Iberia Monitoring System · Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie or...
Transcript of Iberia Monitoring System · Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie or...
Iberia Monitoring System:Data Analytics- a new approach to asset management.
Rui Manuel Vilhena EDPP
Pablo J. Alvarez Vigil EDPEs
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Agenda
Agenda
1. EDP´s Generation in Portugal and Spain Overview
2. Asset Management and the challenge of the Data
Leap
3. Previous steps and lessons learned at EDP
4. Future developments at EDP
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EDP´s Generation Fleet: Iberia PRO
TechnologyNº Units
#Net Capacity
MWNet Production
GWh
Coal 7 2.424 13.232
CCGT 9 3.808 5.242
Hydro 145 6.115 16.141
Nuclear 1 155,5 (15,5%) 1.239
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How data impacts on traditional asset management policies
Evolving Business Environment
Power Plants are being dispatched in MIBEL• New operating regimes (cycling + secondary reserve)
• Paradigm Shift: Efficiency, Flexibility and Reliabilitybecomes the new key value drivers
Strategy
Focus on operational performance
• Prioritize power plants in terms of their relevance to the business and operating regimes
• Within the power plants, define critical assets and systems
according to RCM/RBM
New Trends
Big Data + Analytics
Source: (100 Data and AnalyticsPredictions Through 2020, Gartner)
As we are collecting more information regarding the operation of our assets,
What role these new trends could have on our strategic
priorities?
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How data impacts on traditional asset management policies
“Big Data in general is defined as high volume, velocity and variety information assets that demand cost-
effective, innovative forms of information processing for enhanced insight and decision making” (Gartner)
The 5 V’s of Big Data:
“Big Data is Right-Time Business Insight and Decision MakingAt Extreme Scale” (J. Higginbotham)
Velocity
(Sense of opportunity
of the analysis)
Variety
(Different data
sources and types)
Veracity
(Impacts the reliability
of the analysis)
Volume
(Large datasets to
analyze)
Value
Source: (Big Data Analytics, Oxenti)
How data impacts on traditional asset management policies
Data Sources
The Big Data cycle:
Process
Insight
Action
Collect
Combine, Aggregate and Convert Data
(Creating Datasets)
Taking Actions
Analytics
Adapted from: (Big Data Basics, J. Higginbotham)
“Analytics is defined as the scientific process of transforming data into
insight for making better decisions.” (informs)
“Analytics is the discovery, interpretation, and communication of meaningful patterns in data” (Davenport & Harris)
How data impacts on traditional asset management policies
But … there are different types of Analytics with distinctive potential business value and difficulty:
Adapted from: (Gartner)
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Former Steps: From data silos to integrated information
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Former Steps: Deployment of RBM and RCM strategies on critical assets
Designing Maintenance Strategy based on RCM-RBM
Assessment of equipment
Definition of Maintenance strategy
On-line monitoring
Field audit and diagnosis
Historical records
Equipment impact on system
reliability / risk
Assessment of equipment condition
Assessment of equipment criticality
Maintenance strategy based on “trade-off” risk vs.
reliability analysis
▪ To define
maintenance
actions per
equipment type
▪ To determine
real cond. and
criticality of
each equip.
▪ To determine
maintenance
needs based
on previous
assessment
Objective
Off-line monitoring
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Former Steps: Learning about predictive capabilities (in-house development)
Hydro: Monitor Hill Chart efficiency Transversal: Access the health index of the power
transformers according to a criticality asset score
Access and monitor performance losses due to water intake obstructions
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Former Steps: Learning about predictive capabilities (in-house development)
Thermal: Evaluate and monitor heat exchange in the
components of a pulverized coal boiler
Monitor the pressure difference in the SCR reactor during the catalyst layers useful life
Loss of operational margins on the boiler induced draft fans
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Former Steps: Learning about predictive capabilities (marketwise solutions)
People (Key Pilar)
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Towards and integrated MDC
Goals &
Key Value Drivers
Processes Tools
What a MDC is not:• its purpose is not to remotely operate the power plants,
• neither to access the performance of the O&M personnel,
• it is not built to hierarchy top up the power plants,
• It is not an emergency response team,
• and it is definitely not a decision center.
Goals: Develop insights from monitoring the health
and efficiency of the assets in a predictive manner andturn them into value.
Key Value Drivers:
• Avoid efficiency losses
• Increase the availability (reducing unscheduled
downtime by anticipating failures)
• Reduce maintenance costs (early warnings prior
to failures allows for a better resource allocation)
MDC (Monitoring & Diagnostic
Center)
Many tools and monitoring platforms are available marketwise …
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MDC Challenges: Data Context and Structure
“Data Scientists, according to interviews and expertestimates, spend 50% to 80% of their time mired inthe mundane labor of collecting and preparingunruly digital data, before it can be explored …”(Steve Lohr, The New York Times)
Source: (Harvard Data Science Course)
It is crucial to improve the context of our raw data:
• label the source tags according to a transversal and coherent structure across the entire fleet
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MDC Challenges: Technology
New challenges: IT/OT convergence + IIoTTraditional Architecture
New challenges: Cloud computing & cybersecurity
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MDC Challenges: Organizational
Workflow integration of MDC with O&M
New Digital Profiles for new developments
New Organizational Functions for MDC exploration
The challenge of the Culture Transformation:Impact on the whole Organization
References
Predictive Analytics: The Power to Predict Who Will Click, Buy, Lie or Die, E. Siegel
100 Data and Analytics Predictions Through 2020, Gartner
Big Data Basics: An Introduction to Big Data and How It Is Changing Business, J. Higginbotham
Big Data Analytics, OxenTI Solutions, M. C. Purificação
Predictive Analytics using R, J. Strickland
Competing on Analytics: The New Science of Winning, T. H. Davenport, J. G. Harris
Eight Levels of Analytics for Competitive Advantage
Business Analytics & Digital Business
Perspectives: Turning Big Data into Valuable Insights, Hydro Review
The New York Times (Steve Lohr)