IAEA China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012
Transcript of IAEA China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit 06122012
Next Generation Aero Engine Evolution To Meet Air Transportation Global Demand
Dr. Hooman Rezaei IAEA Founder & President
China Aerospace Propulsion Technology Summit, June 19-20, Shanghai, China
@IAEA1, : International Aircraft Engine Association
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Commercial Engine Industry Overview
World Regions
Africa 2,045 4%
Asia Pacific 6,634 15%
China 3,599 8%
Eastern Europe 2,115 5%
India 770 2%
South America 2,965 7%
Middle East 2,456 5%
North America 14,951 33%
Western Europe 9,728 21%
Total (2012) 45,263
Total (2022) 62,544 +38%
OEMs 2012 2022
CFMI 16,658 26,951
GE Aviation 9,860 13,085
Rolls Royce 6,134 7,775
Pratt & Whitney 7,441 7,638
IAE 4,118 5,405
EA = GE + P&W 120 824
Power Jet 8 592
Honeywell 924 276
ACAE - TBD
CFMI Fleet Largest Share of 37% , +15
RR’s Fleet Overtake P&W’s Fleet by 2022
Source Fleet Data: Ascend
$22bn+ Industry, 120,000+ Professionals
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Association’s Vision
Founded Jan 2012 Based on 6500+ Social Media Professional Members
Platform to Promote Global Collaboration Among: Manufacturers Lessors & Financiers
Operators Maintenance Providers Consulting Services Providers Academic Institutions
Comprehensive & Standard Industry Wide Solutions Such As: Common MRO/Trade Contracts Lease Return/Non-incident
Global Ecommerce Platform – Wikipedia & Ebay of Aero Engine Industry
Define Industry’s Academic and Professional Development Curriculums
Provide Professional Opinions & Industry Voice – CAA, Forensic, Assessment
Develop Exclusive Publications & Core Engine Event Content Globally
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Board of Directors
Lease & Finance Board of Advisors
Ray Sisson – President & CEO, AWAS Dr. Hooman Rezaei – Founder & President, IAEA
Jon Sharp – President & CEO, ELFC Dave Johnson – SVP, Willis Lease Finance Mark Drechsler – SVP, Bank of America Leasing Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
MRO Board of Advisors
Rod Blake – VP, American Airlines TAESL Frank Walschot – SVP, SR Technics Mark Mounsey – VP, United Airlines Team Leader: Kevin Kearns, P&W
OEM Board of Advisors
Bob Keady - SVP P&W TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Consulting Board of Advisors
Academia Board of Advisors
Dean Maj Mirmirani – Embry Riddle TBD TBD Team Leader: Dr. Hooman Rezaei
Media & Events Board of Advisors
Phil Seymour – President & COO, IBA TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Stephen Bray, EVP UBM Aviation TBD TBD Team Leader: TBD
Association’s Boards
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Supply Chain Board of Advisors
Launched First Global Aircraft Engine Exclusive Career Site Partnership with Zylog Systems (Canada) LTD http://career.turbineengine.org Confidential, Retained Search, Public Job Postings, Cloud based Manpower solution across spectrums
C-Level, Executives, Managers, Engineers, Financiers, Mechanics Airlines, OEMs, MRO, Lessors, Academia, Supply Chain
Proposed MS in Aircraft Engine Engineering & Management Collaboration with Embry Riddle Global Aircraft Engine Industry Integrated and Sponsored Curriculum Balanced Engineering Sciences & Management Skills Curriculum Generate Interest in Aero Engines & Eliminate Excessive Turnovers
Quarterly Aircraft Engine Webinars Collaboration with Airfinance Journal Update community with latest development in the industry www.turbineengine.org/events for schedule
Phase I Execution
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Fan Size trend
FAN DIA , Nacelle DIA , Engine Weight , Landing Gear FOD , Transportation Cost , Maintenance Cost
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Fan Drive System
Gearbox on LEAP’s Architecture? Open Rotor?
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Higher T4 & Fan DIA = CMC & TiAl
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Manufacturing Technology: Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS)
• Cobalt Chromium • Inconel 718 • Inconel 625 • Titanium-6Al-4V • Titanium-6Al-4V ELI • Aluminum 6061-T6 • Stainless 316L • Stainless 17-4PH • EOS Stainless GP1 • EOS Stainless PH1 • EOS Aluminum AlSi10Mg • EOS Maraging Steel MS1 • EOS Direct Metal 20
Rapid Prototyping & Smaller Parts Challenge: Expensive Powder Supply
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Modular Intermix Design Management
TUI’s -7B Game Changing World record of 50K First Run GE90’s successful propulsor concept backs intermix design Challenge: Tracking time/cycles/config on each module
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Fleet utilization & module hard time tracking – Excel spreadsheet or modern live tracking systems
Health monitoring – EGT and Condition considerations, ACARS utilization pros & cons
Removal & Staggering forecast – LLP expiration, AD/SB, Cost of ownership analysis, UERs
Lease vs. owned fleet – lease return considerations including work scope and installation
Time & Material vs. Power-By-Hour – Pros & Cons with respect to the fleet condition & ownership
Service Provider Selection – Capability for true Nose-To-Tail coverage airframe+ engine + APUs
Industry standard metrics to measure service providers – Performance, Repair & Part Supply Chain
Contract interpretation and negotiations – Standard language & coverage comparison template
What definition zeros the clock on engine modules? Changes in work scope definitions & req’ts
Module swap vs. own module complete teardown concept
Removal lease engine support – Lessor’s lease pool vs. MRO lease supply pros & cons
PMA & DER Incorporation - True Engine Concept, Return to OEM Configuration at redelivery time
PMA & DER’s System Impact – Time for Reliability Data & 10 year cost of ownership improvement?
Repair vs. replace (new or serviceable) decisions - Invoice assessment, next shop visit decisions
Test cell modular performance expectation vs. work scope performed – Expected on wing time
OEM’s role in the process – MRO player, consultant, reference, part and repair supplier, …
Design For Optimum MRO
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THANK YOU!
QUESTIONS?
Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 (310) 266-5514 IAEA on @IAEA1, International Aircraft Engine Association
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