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    Consumer Trends andPrivate Label

    John KrohnDirector, Category Management & Insight

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    Todays Topics

    Consumer TrendsFactors Driving Demand

    Whats Coming

    Private LabelGlobal Impact

    Domestic ImpactPrivate Label Evolution

    Trends in Product Development

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    Whats Driving theConsumer

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    SOURCE: Hartman Group Study on Shopper Insights 2005

    Cultural Trends Driving Shopping Occasions11 Distinct Shopping Motivators

    After-Work

    Party Fixings

    Traditional Weekly

    Destination

    Random Emergency

    Crafting Recipes

    Recreation

    Coffee Shop Experience

    Workout Fuel

    Socializing with Friends

    Meal Eaten in Store

    What motivates Consumers?How do we fulfill their needs?

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    Cultural Occasions Driving Demand

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    7080

    90

    100

    Trad

    itiona

    lWeekly

    Desti

    nation

    Rand

    omEme

    rgency

    Craft

    inga

    Recipe

    Afte

    r-Wor

    kSup

    plement

    Recratio

    n

    Coffe

    eSho

    pExp

    erience

    Mea

    lInSto

    re

    Party

    Fixings

    Socia

    lizing

    w/F

    riends

    Wor

    koutFu

    el

    In Past Month Most Recent

    PercentofTrips

    SOURCE: Hartman Group, Shopper Insights 2005

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    Household Definitions are Changing

    Independent singles

    Increase in Men and Womenliving alone

    Family structure is changing

    Increased divorce rates

    Significant decrease in MarriedCouples with Children

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    Current US Consumer Trends:Natural & Organic US Diversity Shift

    66% of Americans have used Organic productsin the past year, up from 55% in 2000.

    61% of consumers who purchase natural andorganic foods buy them in supermarkets

    By 2040, Hispanic, Asian, and AfricanAmericans will represent over 50% of theUS Population.

    SOURCE: The Hartman Group

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    Consumer Education

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    An Educated Consumer

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    2004

    2001

    1998

    1995

    1992

    1989

    1986

    1983

    1980

    1977

    1974

    1971

    1968

    1965

    Less than High School

    1-3 years High School

    4 years High School

    1-3 years College

    4 years or more College

    Years of Education Among All PeopleAged 25 or Older (U.S. Only)

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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    The Food Network: Impacting Consumers

    Consumer choice and shopping motivationinspired by top chefs, are seeking out new

    recipes and authentic ingredients

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    Travel Abroad: New Culture, NewExperience

    -

    1

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    34

    5

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    M

    illions

    # of U.S. Passports Issued Annually

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    Experiencing Other Cultures with Food & Taste

    2%Africa

    3%Oceania

    4%Middle East

    4%Eastern Europe

    7%Central America

    9%South America

    18%Caribbean

    19%Asia

    40%Western Europe

    22%Nightclub/ Dancing

    22%Water Sports/Sunbathing28%Art Gallery, Museum

    31%Cultural Heritage Sights

    35%Touring the Countryside

    43%Sightseeing in Cities43%Visit Small Towns/Villages

    51%Visit Historical Places

    75%Shopping

    84%Dining in Restaurants

    Top Destinations

    SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce, ITA, Office of Travel & Tourism Industries, "In-Flight Survey," May 2005

    Top Recreational Activities

    Among US Resident Travelers to Overseas Destinations

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    The Aging Consumer

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    To Put it in Perspective

    No challenge is as certain as global aging, and noneis as likely to have as large and enduring an effect on the size and shape of government budgets, on thefuture growth of living standards, and on the stabilityof the global economy and even the world order.

    -- Center for Strategic & International Studies

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    Aging: Income & EducationThe Most Affluent Retirees in History, But Not All

    Age 50+ individuals own 80% of U.S.

    Financial assets & dispose of 50% ofdiscretionary income.

    Todays workers feel optimistic about thefuture, but real savings are declining and

    people are not planning for retirement. Resources that many boomers are

    counting on to fund retirement are likely tobe cut drastically.

    The aging population will more sharplydivide into haves and have nots.

    10%

    25%

    40%

    25%

    Poverty Less than $35K $35K-$95K More than $95K

    Bab Boomer Households

    Source: Enhancing Volunteerism Among Aging Boomers, AARP 2003, AARP via Nielsen 360, www.marketingresearch.com

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    Current US Consumer Trends:Baby Boomer/Aging Consumer Trends

    By 2030, the percentage of persons 65+ in the US will almost double, growing fromthe current 12.5% to 23%

    The Boomers are expected to utilize Drug stores for health needs, andconvenience for groceries.

    0

    2

    4

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    8

    10

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    14

    Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

    Age Groups

    %o

    fExpenditures

    HealthCare

    Food atHome

    Food Away

    From Home

    SOURCE: Willard Bishop; Competitive Edge Report Dec2004

    VNU: The Aging U.S. Population

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    Behavioral Trends in the Aging

    Resulting EffectsBehavior Trend

    Boomers will redecorate, renovate, and even move or buysecond homes in less metropolitan or rural areas.

    Cocooning, Enjoying the Home

    As the nest empties, couples with more time and money will turneating into a leisure activity seeking healthier, tastier foods and

    cooking for two for fun.

    Healthy Eating

    Affluent Boomers will spend more money than ever before onhealth and appearance.

    Do Not Want to Look or FeelOld

    More working out, traveling, leisure, entertainmentContinue to Seek Adventure

    Working past traditional working years, alternative careers arestarting earlier, The chance to contribute to society.

    Desire to Stay Young & Active

    As their children leave the home, empty nesters are finding more

    time and money to spend on themselves.

    Continued Desire for Comfort

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    Convenience Meets Lifestyle Need

    1. Easy I.D.The name of the drug is printed on the top of the bottle, soits visible if kept in a drawer.

    2. Code red.The red color of the bottle is Targets signature and auniversal symbol for caution.

    3. Information hierarchy.Adler divided the label into primary and secondary positions,separated by a horizontal line.

    4. Upside down to save paper.

    Klaus Rosburg, a Brooklyn-based industrial designer hiredby Target, came up with an upside-down version that standson its cap, so that the label can be wrapped around the top.

    5. Green is for Grandma.Adler and Rosburg developed a system of six colored rubberrings that attach to the neck of the bottle.

    6. An info card thats hard to lose.

    A card with more detailed information on a drug (commonuses, side effects) is now tucked behind the label.

    7. Take daily.Adler avoided using the word once on the label, since itmeans eleven in Spanish.

    SOURCE: New York Magazine

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    Health and Wellness

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    To Put it in Perspective

    For the first time in human history, the number ofoverweight people rivals the number of underweightpeople. ... While the worlds underfed population hasdeclined slightly since 1980 to 1.1 billion, the numberof overweight people has surged to 1.1 billion.

    --American Obesity Society

    Source: American Obesity Society

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    Barriers to Eating Healthy

    Cost

    34% of shoppers say that the cost

    of healthful foods deters them tofrom eating better.

    Conflicting/Confusing information onhealthful foods

    Atkins diet, low-carb diets Despite these barriers, shoppers tend

    to make purchases based on healthand nutritional claims on the package

    Source: Food Marketing Institute 2005

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    Health and Wellness

    Shoppers believe thatsupermarkets are not the bestoutlets for meeting their healthneeds.

    The group mostly like to move

    away from supermarkets are theyoung shoppers.

    Shoppers want information,convenience, and products thathelp them to lose weight.

    Gen.Y Gen. X Boomers MaturesHealth prepared

    foods46 59 52 50 34

    Foods without

    trans-fatty acids45 52 43 51 36

    Low fat foods 40 48 42 40 36

    Low-carbohydrate

    foods39 48 40 40 32

    Information about

    weight loss36 43 40 37 29

    Organic foods 34 40 40 34 28

    Herbal and naturalremedies

    33 40 34 40 21

    Vitamin and

    mineral27 37 33 27 22

    Generation %Want my store to

    offer more

    Total

    %

    Proportion of Shoppers Who Want Their Storeto Offer More of Each Product of service

    Source: Food Marketing Institute 2005

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    The Organic Consumer

    The Hartman group reports that 66% havetried organic food and beverages.

    Mainstream is moving the demographicprofile of the organic consumer

    The Organic Shopper has less to do with

    demographic and more to do withattitude toward food and health

    concerns

    Source: Food Marketing Institute 2005

    43%

    15%14% 14%

    11%

    Groc

    ery

    Supermark

    ets

    +Discou

    nt

    Specilaity

    FarmersM

    kts

    HealthF

    ood

    Stores

    % of Shoppers who Purchase

    Organic Foods by Outlet:

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    Natural & Organic Now Mainstream

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    Private LabelWorldwide

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    Privat e Label Evolut ionPrivat e Label Evolut ion

    1970sGeneric

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    Privat e Label Evolut ion

    1980s Me Too

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    Privat e Label Evolut ion

    1990sPremium

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    Privat e Label Evolut ion

    TodayUnique

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    Global Impact

    $108B Global Grocery Sales

    Global Growth 3% All CategoriesPrivate Label up 5%

    National Brands up only 2%

    Discount Retailers have seen the fastest growth in Private Label

    Mature markets (Germany & Spain) are still experiencing stronggrowth

    2/3rd of Consumers Consider PL Good AlternativeNorth America & Western Europe 4/5th

    SOURCE: ACNielsen Power of Private Label 2005

    Reuters: Fighting Private Label in Germany AiMark/Europanel

    Datamonitor: How to Resist the Private Label Threat in 2006

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    Private Label by Region

    2%

    4%

    6%

    16%

    23%

    17%

    Latin America

    Asia Pacific

    Emerging Markets

    North America

    Europe

    Global

    5%

    5%

    11%

    7%

    4%

    5%

    Latin America

    Asia Pacific

    Emerging Markets

    North America

    Europe

    Global

    Private Label Dollar Share Private Label Dollar Growth

    SOURCE: ACNielsen The Power of Private Label 2005

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    Room for Growth

    SOURCE: Reuters, Business Insights, Fighting Private Label in Germany 2005

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    Private LabelDefined

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    Private Label Defined

    Exclusive Products only available at a specific chain of stores

    Not limited to Food and Drug Industry

    Not defined by Geography

    Private Brands are Everywhere

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    Brand Tiers

    Banana Republic is known for casual luxury, with high-quality apparelfor men and women and sophisticated seasonal collections ofaccessories, shoes, personal care products, intimate apparel andgifts

    for the home. The brand's timeless style and luxurious fabricationscapture a modern interpretation of classic fashion. Customers canexpect exceptional service from Banana Republic

    Old Navy makes shopping fun again! With great fashion at great pricesfor adults, kids and babies, Old Navy is famous for the best in denim,graphic tees, cargos, Performance Fleece, plus the Old Navy Itemofthe Week; each and every week, a special item at a special price.

    Gap has provided its customers with clothing and accessories thatenhance personal style. What began as one brand has grown to includeGap, GapKids, babyGap and GapBody. By providing great style, value

    and service.

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    Brand Tiers

    Gap has provided its customers with clothing and accessories thatenhance personal style. What began as one brand has grown toinclude Gap, GapKids, babyGap and GapBody. By providing great

    style, value and service.

    Banana Republic is known forcasual luxury, withhigh-qualityapparelfor men and women and sophisticatedseasonal collections of

    accessories, shoes, personal care products, intimate apparel andgiftsfor the home. The brand's timeless styleand luxuriousfabricationscapture a modern interpretation ofclassic fashion. Customers canexpect exceptional servicefrom Banana Republic

    Old Navy makes shopping fun again! With great fashion at greatpricesfor adults, kids and babies, Old Navy is famous for the best indenim, graphic tees, cargos, Performance Fleece, plus the Old NavyItem of the Week; each and every week, a special item at a special

    price.Value

    Mainstream

    Premium

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    Private LabelGrowth

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    PRIVATE LABEL GROWTH 2004

    Private Label Growth Factors

    Growth is outpacing National Brands

    Breaking into new and diversecategories and channels of trade

    Positioned to meet changingconsumers demands

    Adding excitement to the consumersretail experience

    Good and/or Better Quality as

    compared to the National Brands

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    Private Label Growth in Categories

    Private Label has become the category share leader in 95 categoriesover the past 8 years.

    SOURCE: ACNielsen Homescan; Total US, AllOutlets; Share measured in dollars

    Total # of Categories

    # of Categories with Private Label

    # of Categories w/Private Label Ranked # 1a

    1997 2005

    1,022

    709

    146

    1,062

    832

    241

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    Global Private Label Product Development

    SOURCE: Mintel, Global New Products Database 2006

    Almost 12,000 New PrivateLabel Items launched in thelast year

    Top two -USA (25%), UK(20%)

    Canada, France & GermanyRounded out Top 5

    26% of the Food items werepositioned as healthier

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    Consumer Reports August 2004 Big name detergents arent much

    better cleanersBut they cost 2 to 3times as much

    Tide with Bleach Alternative

    $0.31 /Load

    Kirkland Signature

    $0.11 /Load

    3 of the 6 Best Buys were Own Brand LaundryDetergents

    Kirkland Signature (Costco) was the highest overallrated detergent based on quality and value. Onlyproduct to get Excellent score in all categories.

    Winn-Dixie and Sears Own Brand were also ratedCR Best Buys

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    Consumer Reports August 2005

    Tested 65 products in six categoriesincluding: facial tissues, paper

    towels, plastic bags, cannedpeaches, french fries, and yogurt

    Many store brands are at least as

    good as national brands.

    Switching to a store brand can cut thecost of a product by as much as half.

    The companies that make store

    brands are often household names.Our behind-the-scenes peek showsthat they include Sara Lee, DelMonte, and Birds Eye.

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    Source: GNPD, Private Label Prices from Retail Audits

    Brands are Positioning Themselves

    Charmin Basic

    Soft, Strong, Sensible.

    KRAFT

    Product Reformulations

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    SKU Rationalization

    Over 33,000 New Products introduced last year: Only 22 generated over $50 million in annual retail sales

    Majority of which were line extensions, new flavors/scents, or Me Too Few meaningful to the Consumer

    Major Brands are consolidating their Portfolios

    Retailers are increasingly able to differentiate their productsand drive category innovation.

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    Private Label Brand Loyalty

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    Out-of-StoreEnvironment

    Direct Mail

    Advertising

    OutDoor

    Promotions

    RetailerPositioning In-StoreEnvironment

    Employees

    Destination

    Marketing/POP

    Promotions

    Retail Solutions

    Demos

    Creating a Consistent Brand Experience

    Private LabelPortfolio

    Product

    Package

    Tiers

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    ConsumerUnderstanding

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    Changing Attitudes Toward Private Label

    THEN

    Cheap goods, low quality

    Blue collar, downscalefamilies

    Not educated

    Necessity

    NOW

    NBE or better w/ consistentquality

    Everyone buys it

    Smart, aware

    Choice

    No longer a homogenous view of the typical private label shopper

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    Food Enthusiast Enjoy Cooking Try new Products/Recipes

    Prefer Food Presented asan Art form Tend to watch Food Network,

    Martha Stewart Living or ReadFood & Wine, Bon Appetite, andalso Shop at Williams-Sonoma

    Core Corporate

    Brand ShopperHave purchased a specificcombination of PL items fromboth High and LowPenetrated categories

    Consumer Understanding

    The Premium Target Consumer

    Customer Consumer Skew HH Income $50K+

    Some College Education 2+ Person HH

    ThePremium

    ConsumerTarget

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    Findings based on Simmons 2003

    Consumer UnderstandingMarketing to the Premium Private Label ConsumerFamily & Career Oriented:

    Enjoy Entertaining People at Home

    Like Spending Time with Family

    Look at Work as a Career, not just a Job

    Food Enthusiast:

    Prefer Authentic Foreign, Gourmet, and Spicy Foods

    Thoroughly Enjoy Cooking and Trying New Recipes and New Food Products.

    Always look for the Freshest Ingredients when CookingThe Stores Environment makes a Difference whether I shop there or not.

    Health Conscious:

    Regularly Diet and Exercise

    Make a conscious effort to Monitor Product Ingredients on Packaging

    Though these consumers try to maintain a healthy lifestyle, they also agree that there isnothing wrong with indulging in fattening foods .

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    Whats to Come?

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    Building Loyalty

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    Private Label Innovation

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    Private Label Going Up-Scale

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    Expanding Categories

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    Thank You