Hybrids and Capital Securities, Fitch 2006

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    Hybrids and Capital Securities:

    New Criteria for Equity Credit

    Daniel R. Kastholm, CFADaniel R. Kastholm, CFA

    Managing DirectorManaging Director

    August 2006August 2006

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    Hybrids and Capital Securities: Overview

    > Basic Concepts and Fundamental Approach

    > Analyze Hybrid Features

    > Examples of Applying Criteria

    > Impact on Credit Ratios and Notching

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    Basic Concepts and Fundamental Approach

    > Underlying credit philosophy Equity is needed when companies experience stress

    Products are analyzed for their ability to provide financial flexibilityto the issuer regardless of the probability a stress will occur

    > Basic building blocks

    Loss absorption

    Cash flow Flexibility, i.e. no fixed servicing costs

    Qualities of these features determine specific equity credit

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    Basic Concepts and Fundamental Approach

    New Debt to Equity Continuum

    100%0Class E

    75%25%Class D

    50%50%Class C

    25%75%Class B

    0100%Class A

    DebtEquity

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    Analyzing Features: Role of Subordination

    Senior debt

    Subordinated debt for banks (and

    bank holding companies)

    Class E - 0%

    n.a.Class D - 25%

    n.a.Class C 50%

    Junior subordinated and

    subordinated debt for corporates

    and less regulated insurance

    companies

    Class B 75%

    Preferred and preference shares

    Junior subordinated debt for banks

    (and bank holding companies)

    Class A 100%

    Equity Class Caps Level of Subordination

    Source: Fitch

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    Analyzing Features: Role of Maturity

    Less than 5 yearsClass E - 0%

    5 to 10 yearsClass D - 25%

    Class C 50%

    10 to 20 yearsClass B 75%

    Perpetual/20 years plusClass A 100%

    Maximum Equity Class Effective Matur ity

    Source: Fitch

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    Analyzing Deferral Features: Non-Cumulative vs Cumulative

    Cumulative five years or more

    Cumulative five years or more with constraints, partially

    offset by exceptionally strong mandatory feature

    Non-cumulative with constraints, but

    offset by strong mandatory featureClass B 75%

    Cumulative five years or more with constraints, butoffset by strong mandatory feature

    Cumulative three to five years

    Cumulative three to five years with constraint, but

    partially offset by exceptionally strong mandatory

    feature

    Non-cumulative with constraints

    Non-cumulative with constraints, but

    with weak mandatory feature

    Class C 50%

    Cumulative five years or more with constraints

    Cumulative five years or more with constraints, butweak mandatory feature

    Cumulative three to five years with constraints, but

    offset by strong mandatory feature

    Class D 25%

    Cumulative three to five years with constraints

    Cumulative three to five years with constraints ,but

    weak mandatory featureCumulative less than three years

    Class E 0%

    Non-cumulative

    Non-cumulative with constraints, but

    offset by exceptionally strong

    mandatory feature

    Class A 100%

    Equity Classes Non-Cumulative Cumulative

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    Analyzing Deferral Features: Optional & Mandatory

    > Constraints on optional deferral, such as a look-back clause, can reduce

    the equity assignment

    Equity credit limited to a maximum of Class C (50%)

    If deferral is constrained by over 12 months, instruments generally

    receive no equity credit, i.e. Class E

    > Mandatory Deferral may offset the effect of the constraint, depending onthe mandatory deferral feature

    Class E (no offset to

    Constraint)

    Reporting is delayed; triggers take

    effect only after severe financial

    stress

    Weak.

    Limit is Class BTriggers are effective and monitored

    reasonably often.

    Strong

    Limit is Class ATriggers kick-in early and are very

    frequently monitored

    Exceptionally Strong

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    Analyzing Features: Mandatory Convertibles

    Over five years senior or non-

    deferrable/non-loss absorbing sub

    Class E - 0%

    Between three and five years to

    conversion, senior or non-deferrable/non-

    loss absorbing sub

    Class D - 25%

    Three years or less to conversion, senior

    or non-deferrable/non-loss absorbing sub

    Class C 50%

    Between three and five years to

    conversion, junior subordinated note

    Class B 75%

    Three years or less to conversion,junior subordinated note

    Class A 100%

    Equity Classes Type of Mandatory Convertible

    Source: Fitch

    Note: An instrument whose conversion is more than five years forward may

    qualify for equity credit based on its other features (subordination, loss

    absorption, deferral mechanism.)

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    Examples: Non-cumulative Preferred Shares

    40 years initial, 7years remaining

    (Max Class: D)

    40 years initial, 30years remaining

    (no cap)

    Perpetual (no cap)Maturity/

    Permanence

    Class A (100%

    Equity)

    No cap

    Max Class: A

    Max Class: A

    Preferred Shares

    (Bank)

    Max Class: AMax Class: ACash Payments

    Max Class: AMax Class: ALoss Absorption

    No capNo capOther (Covenants,

    Step-Ups)

    Class D (25% Equity)Class A (100%

    Equity)

    Assign

    Equity Class

    Preferred Shares

    (Corporate)

    Preferred Shares

    (Corporate)

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    Examples: Trust Preferred

    Optional non-cum:

    Mandatory upon reg. capital

    breach.

    Max Class: A

    Optional cumulative for 5

    years, no constraint.

    Max Class: B

    Cash payments

    Jr. Subordinated, Going-

    concern loss absorption

    Max Class: A

    Jr. Subordinated,

    Max Class: B

    Loss Absorption

    60 years remaining (no cap)30 years remaining (no

    cap)

    Matur ity/ Permanence

    No capNo capOther (Covenants, step-up)

    Class A (100% Equity)Class B (75% Equity)Equity Class

    Tier 1 Innovative Capital

    (Bank)

    Std. Trust Preferred Security

    (Corporate)

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    Examples: Other Deferrable Securities

    Class B (75% Equity)Class E (Debt)Equity Class

    no capno capOther (Covenants,

    step-up)

    Non-cum optional, no look-

    back; Also reasonable

    mandatory deferral

    Max Class: A

    Cum. Optional 5 years, with

    Look-Back in excess of 12

    months; Weak mandatory

    deferral

    Max Class: E

    Cash payments

    Jr. Sub, Max Class: BJr. Sub, Max Class: BLoss Absorption

    60 years;60 years;Maturity/ Permanence;

    5 years call, + 100 bp;

    Acceptable replacement;(no cap)

    10 years call, + 100 bp;

    Acceptable replacement;(no cap)

    Call & replacement

    Enhanced Capital Securi ty

    (Corporate)

    Enhanced Capital Securi ty

    (Corporate)

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    Examples: Convertibles

    No deferral

    Max Class: E

    Cum. Deferrable for 3 years

    (no cap)Pre-exercise Cash

    Payments

    No capNo capOther (covenants,

    cross defaults)

    Class E (Debt)Class A (100% Equity)Equity Class

    Optionally Convertible; cash

    settlement

    Max. Class: E

    Mandatory exercise in 3

    years or less at defined

    range of equity prices.

    Max Class: A

    Convertibility

    Jr. Subordinated (no cap)Jr. Subordinated (no cap)Pre-exercise Loss

    Absorpt ion

    Optionally Convertib le Jr. Sub

    Notes

    Mandatory Convertible Jr.

    Subordinated Units

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    Impact on Credit Ratios: Leverage

    > Limit of 30% Adjusted Eligible Capital

    > Flat limitation, no difference for rating levels or sectors

    > Limits are applied because hybrids are not equally equity-like in allscenarios

    Generally are somewhat debt-like when issuer is weakening but not

    yet in distress (i.e. continue to be serviced and have effectivematurities)

    Companies can generally sustain up to 30% of total capital from thesesources without materially changing the risk profile

    > Constitutes a soft cap for corporate and industrial sectors wherecash flow measures are more relevant than balance sheet capital

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    Impact on Credit Ratios: Debt Service

    > Hybrid instrument segmented into adjusted debt and adjusted

    equity components for capitalization and balance sheet ratios> Capital Ratios

    Banks: Eligible Capital ratios (defined as core equity plus up to 30%

    hybrids) are calculated on a risk weighted basis.

    Insurance Holding Companies: Adjusted Debt/Total Capital Corporates: Adjusted Debt / Cash Flow and Adj. Debt /EBITDA for

    corporate leverage ratios.

    > Interest or dividends

    Corporates and Insurance: Coupon is NOT allocated into different

    components; 100% of interest expense is used in coverage and fixed

    charge calculations; in stress cases, maximum deferrals are applied.

    Banks: Hybrid dividends are included in interest expense when calculating

    net interest margins.

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    Impact on Notching

    > No change from existing notching criteria, based on IDR and RR

    approach, with recovery of deeply subordinated instruments ordinarilyassumed to be RR6.

    > We DO NOT apply extra notching for the existence of deferral feature.

    > We DO move to the widest permitted notching if deferral has occurred,is imminent, or if a mandatory deferral trigger is very severe.

    -2 or -3-1 or -20-10%RR6

    -1-111-30%RR5

    0031-50%RR4

    +1+151-70%RR3

    +2+271- 90%RR2

    +3+291-100%RR 1

    Speculative GradeInvestment Grade

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