Human-Machine Coevolution

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Human–Machine Coevolution How to Thrive in an Era of Acceleratin Technoloical Chane @ala_lobal #alaconf

description

Human-Machine Coevolution How to Thrive in an Era of Accelerating Technological Change Keynote speech at the GALA 2013 Conference in Miami, FL. In our global world of rapid technological change, the need for clear and deep communication has never been more urgent. Whether for personal interests or to implement professional services, today we have the opportunity to bridge the language barriers with computer based tools that complement our own knowledge and skills. Nobody is more exposed to this than professionals and enterprises in the localization industry, which broadly defined, is the bedrock of globalization. Being able to ride the incoming waves of change is a function of smart adaptation and adoption in a co-evolving, rich ecosystem of dynamic, flexible solutions.

Transcript of Human-Machine Coevolution

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Human–Machine CoevolutionHow to Thrive in an Era of Acceleratin! Technolo!ical Chan!e

@!ala_!lobal #!alaconf

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David OrbanCEO, Dotsub

http://dotsub.com

@davidorban@dotsub

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1. Chan!e2. Examples3. Principles4. Q&A

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Questions

1. Who is an Entrepreneur?2. Who is a Mana!er?3. Who is a Creative (Desi!ner, En!ineer)?

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0. My Story

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klearchos

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RDECOM

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µµ

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ensh

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online video translation

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“If an image is worth a thousand words, how much is a video worth?”

Michael Smolens, Founder & Chairman, Dotsub

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1. Chan!e

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William GibsonThe future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet

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Acceleration

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Ray Kurzweil

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Pyramids

archer10

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Feudalism

dicktay2000

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Industrial Age

sludgeulper

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Network Age

jurvetson

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Technolo!y is Key

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Intel

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If computers could learn, grow and evolve the same way humans can,the world would be a much better place

Geordie Rose

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Interaction Desi!n

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Prometheus

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Internet of Everythin!

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Google

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IPv4

IPv6

Atoms

≈ 109

≈ 1038

≈ 1080

A Granular World

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Network Evolution

Generation Isotropy Access

Web data knowled!e

Web 2.0 applications social

Spimes sensors world

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Necessary Autonomy

Platform Orders of ma!nitude

PCs ≈ 108

Mobiles ~ Humans ≈ 109

Spimes > 1012

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joyseyshowaa

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Changing Dialog

Generation Bandwidth M2M Index

Industrial apps Kb/s 1%

Realtime Web Mb/s 10%

Spime Networks Gb/s 99%+

M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications amon! machine in proportion to those with humans

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Every object must be smart

Leandro A!rò

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Network Society

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Photovoltaics - Ecat?

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3D hydroponics - Plantlab

plantlab

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3D Printing - Makerbot

makerbot

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P2P Currency - Bitcoin

sylvar

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familymwr

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2. Examples

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Kay Koplovitz, Founder USA Networks“A billion people to have their own voice to contribute

to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”

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Exponential Trends

Global communications

Machine intelli!ence

Social Networks

Online video

Mobile

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Current

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90% of Global Traffic by 2015

Cisco Visual Networkin! Index: Forecast and Methodolo!y, 2010-2015

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Complex Picture

HTML5

A B C ...

Advertising

Web Mobile Tablet Satellite

Subscription

Social Networks Search Engines

Sponsorship

D

Monetization

GlobalDistribution

Industry Vertical

ContentDiscovery

Technology

Licensing

Javascript RESTful API Location SocialGraph 3D ...

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Video Discovery

“shield of red shadows”

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Video Discovery次に何が起こるかなんてさっぱりわからない

I have no idea what will happen next

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Viral Geographies

Explosive spreadin!

in Czech, and French

for a video in German

Czech FrenchFrench

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38% French

24% Czech

4% Slovenian

10% German

9% Dutch

7% En!lish5% Slovak

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Reaching of Full Potential

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Vertical Partnership

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A Publicis Healthcare Communications Group company

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Roberto Ascione, President, Razorfish Healthware“When you deal with health related content,

the ability of the user to trust the source is very important”

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"hygiene sanitation hand washing breast feeding"

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Industry Partnership

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Marc Osofsky, SVP of Marketin!, Lionbrid!e“Companies are struggling to language enable their video assets.

Our partnership with Dotsub really helps solve that challenge for our clients.”

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Stanford University AI Course

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Start of the Stanford AI Class

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A Plethora of Devices

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Future

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Robert Etches“In 5 years there will be no translators, just machine translation

post editors on one hand, and transcreationists on the other”

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Facebook doesn’t like nipples!

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Machine Learnin! Visual Audio Text Emotions …

Input

Output

Face detection

Speech Reco!nition Scenin! Empathy ?

Avatars Text To Speech Synopsis Emotin! ?

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3. PrinciplesSome

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Searchin!

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Topic Area

Dept

h of

Exp

lora

tion

A B C

1

2

3

… ∞

Solution Search Space

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Depth First Search Strategy

A B C

1

2

3

4

5

Topic Area

Dept

h of

Exp

lora

tion

… ∞

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Breadth First Search Strategy

A B C D E

1

2

3

Topic Area

Dept

h of

Exp

lora

tion

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David Gelb

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Winning strategy – Jiro Ono

A B C

1

2

sushi!

Topic Area

Dept

h of

Exp

lora

tion

Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”

3

… ∞

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cosimoorban

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Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman

A B … ∞

1

2

design!

Topic Area

Dept

h of

Exp

lora

tion

Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED

3

C

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Tryin!

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The Privilege of Failure

“The formula for success? Double your rate of failure.”

Thomas J. Watson, IBM

“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate, without increasin! the cost of our success”

Cory Doctorow

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Innovatin!

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Inventin!

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Questions

Answers

Ignorance

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Competitiveness

Innovation

Invention!

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Adaptin!

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Adoptin!

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Answers

1. Everybody!2. Everybody!3. Everybody!

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Apple

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davidorban.com @davidorban

@dotsub@gala_global

#galaconf

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4. Q&A

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