Human-Machine Coevolution
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Transcript of Human-Machine Coevolution
Human–Machine CoevolutionHow to Thrive in an Era of Acceleratin! Technolo!ical Chan!e
@!ala_!lobal #!alaconf
1. Chan!e2. Examples3. Principles4. Q&A
Questions
1. Who is an Entrepreneur?2. Who is a Mana!er?3. Who is a Creative (Desi!ner, En!ineer)?
0. My Story
klearchos
RDECOM
µµ
ensh
online video translation
“If an image is worth a thousand words, how much is a video worth?”
Michael Smolens, Founder & Chairman, Dotsub
1. Chan!e
William GibsonThe future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet
Acceleration
Ray Kurzweil
Pyramids
archer10
Feudalism
dicktay2000
Industrial Age
sludgeulper
Network Age
jurvetson
Technolo!y is Key
Intel
If computers could learn, grow and evolve the same way humans can,the world would be a much better place
Geordie Rose
Interaction Desi!n
Prometheus
Internet of Everythin!
IPv4
IPv6
Atoms
≈ 109
≈ 1038
≈ 1080
A Granular World
Network Evolution
Generation Isotropy Access
Web data knowled!e
Web 2.0 applications social
Spimes sensors world
Necessary Autonomy
Platform Orders of ma!nitude
PCs ≈ 108
Mobiles ~ Humans ≈ 109
Spimes > 1012
joyseyshowaa
Changing Dialog
Generation Bandwidth M2M Index
Industrial apps Kb/s 1%
Realtime Web Mb/s 10%
Spime Networks Gb/s 99%+
M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications amon! machine in proportion to those with humans
Every object must be smart
Leandro A!rò
Network Society
Photovoltaics - Ecat?
3D hydroponics - Plantlab
plantlab
3D Printing - Makerbot
makerbot
P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
familymwr
2. Examples
Kay Koplovitz, Founder USA Networks“A billion people to have their own voice to contribute
to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”
Exponential Trends
Global communications
Machine intelli!ence
Social Networks
Online video
Mobile
Current
90% of Global Traffic by 2015
Cisco Visual Networkin! Index: Forecast and Methodolo!y, 2010-2015
Complex Picture
HTML5
A B C ...
Advertising
Web Mobile Tablet Satellite
Subscription
Social Networks Search Engines
Sponsorship
D
Monetization
GlobalDistribution
Industry Vertical
ContentDiscovery
Technology
Licensing
Javascript RESTful API Location SocialGraph 3D ...
Video Discovery
“shield of red shadows”
Video Discovery次に何が起こるかなんてさっぱりわからない
I have no idea what will happen next
Viral Geographies
Explosive spreadin!
in Czech, and French
for a video in German
Czech FrenchFrench
38% French
24% Czech
4% Slovenian
10% German
9% Dutch
7% En!lish5% Slovak
Reaching of Full Potential
Vertical Partnership
A Publicis Healthcare Communications Group company
Roberto Ascione, President, Razorfish Healthware“When you deal with health related content,
the ability of the user to trust the source is very important”
"hygiene sanitation hand washing breast feeding"
Industry Partnership
Marc Osofsky, SVP of Marketin!, Lionbrid!e“Companies are struggling to language enable their video assets.
Our partnership with Dotsub really helps solve that challenge for our clients.”
Stanford University AI Course
Start of the Stanford AI Class
A Plethora of Devices
Future
Robert Etches“In 5 years there will be no translators, just machine translation
post editors on one hand, and transcreationists on the other”
Facebook doesn’t like nipples!
Semantics
http://techcrunch.com/2013/01/03/facebook-flexible-sentences-open-!raph/
Machine Learnin! Visual Audio Text Emotions …
Input
Output
Face detection
Speech Reco!nition Scenin! Empathy ?
Avatars Text To Speech Synopsis Emotin! ?
3. PrinciplesSome
Searchin!
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
A B C
1
2
…
∞
3
… ∞
Solution Search Space
Depth First Search Strategy
A B C
1
2
3
4
5
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
… ∞
Breadth First Search Strategy
A B C D E
1
2
3
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
…
∞
David Gelb
Winning strategy – Jiro Ono
A B C
1
2
…
∞
sushi!
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”
3
… ∞
cosimoorban
Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman
A B … ∞
1
2
design!
Topic Area
Dept
h of
Exp
lora
tion
Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED
…
∞
3
C
Tryin!
The Privilege of Failure
“The formula for success? Double your rate of failure.”
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate, without increasin! the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow
Innovatin!
Inventin!
Questions
Answers
Ignorance
Competitiveness
Innovation
Invention!
Adaptin!
Adoptin!
Answers
1. Everybody!2. Everybody!3. Everybody!
Apple
davidorban.com @davidorban
@dotsub@gala_global
#galaconf
4. Q&A