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Transcript of Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID...
![Page 1: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009
DAVID PARRISHChemical Sciences DivisionEarth System Research Lab
Boulder, Colorado
CalNex 2010: The NOAA Perspective
![Page 2: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
CalNex 2010: The NOAA Perspective
Today:
•Address both Climate and Air Quality
•Science Issues
•NOAA’s Contributions to CalNex
CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009
![Page 3: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
NOAA’s Climate and Air Quality Regional NOAA’s Climate and Air Quality Regional IntensivesIntensives
CalNex 2010 will be our first effort in California with full capabilities, and with a major air quality focus
California
East Texas2000, 2006
Southeast1994, 1995, 1999
New England
1993, 2002, 2004ITCT 2002
CCOS 2000
West1996
Chemically and Meteorologically Diverse
![Page 4: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
IPCC 2007 AR4
Benefits of dealing with climate change and air quality togetherBenefits of dealing with climate change and air quality together
• Climate change and air quality are highly interrelated.
- The major air pollutants—aerosols (including soot) and ozone—are also significant climate change forcing agents.
- These “common agents” are short-lived (days to months), compared to centuries for CO2. Can give quick payoffs for climate (years instead of many decades).
- These agents all have common sources (transportation, industry, agriculture, forests).
NOAA’s Climate and Air Quality Regional Intensives NOAA’s Climate and Air Quality Regional Intensives CalNex 2010 = Our first steps at integrating these 2 issues
![Page 5: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
CalNex: A first step for the Nation toward providing information for integrated regional decision-making on air quality and climate
CalNex: A first step for the Nation toward providing information for integrated regional decision-making on air quality and climate
Why California?
• California’s leadership on these issues and its diversity of emissions make it an ideal testbed.
• Science information needed to support California’s efforts at integrated climate and air quality management.
• California already has considerable efforts and capabilities that CalNex can leverage to benefit the Nation
Payoffs from CalNex- Science-based options for air quality and climate decision-makers in California.- Information that can be extended to other regions of the Nation.
Payoffs from CalNex- Science-based options for air quality and climate decision-makers in California.- Information that can be extended to other regions of the Nation.
![Page 6: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
NOAA’s Science Issues
• Emissions Quantification - Greenhouse Gases and O3 and Aerosol Precursors – improved emission inventories, particular focus on GHG, soot and sulfur emissions.
![Page 7: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Emissions Quantification -
•Example: Sulfur budget of LA Basin
•Research vessel will sample ship emissions (ports, offshore)
•WP-3D aircraft can sample urban areas and point sources throughout California
•Track changes (2002-2008-2010)
-119.0 -118.5 -118.0 -117.5 -117.0 -116.5
Longitude
NOAA P-3 trackMay 13, 2002
LA Basin
34.4
34.2
34.0
33.8
33.6
33.4Lati
tud
e
-119.0 -118.5 -118.0 -117.5 -117.0 -116.5
Longitude
ArcoTosco
Shell
Chevron
Texaco
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
SO
2, k
ton
s/y
ear
40
30
20
10
0
SO
2, p
pb
vAddressing CalNex science questions
![Page 8: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
• Chemical Transformation - O3 and Aerosols, Day and Night, Gas-Phase and Heterogeneous – improved chemical mechanisms for air quality modeling, particular focus on organic and sulfate formation.
• Transport and Mixing - Intercontinental, Inter- and Intra-state, Boundary Layer/Free Troposphere – improved understanding of how we are affected, and affect, our neighbors.
NOAA’s Science Issues (cont.)
![Page 9: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Transport and Mixing - Use chemical measurements to define pathways for export of LA Basin and Central Valley pollution
Addressing CalNex science questions
NOAA Twin Otter airborne lidar data - Houston - 2006
In 2010, Joint flights with P-3, Twin Otter, and NASA King Air will be useful
![Page 10: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
NOAA’s Science Issues (cont.)
• Aerosol Properties and Radiative Effects - Regional Haze, Direct Radiative Forcing, Cloud-Aerosol Interactions, Satellite Validation – Reduced uncertainty in the role of aerosols in climate – Improved understanding of role black carbon plays in climate
• Model Development - Diagnostic Evaluation of Forecast Models, Chemical Data Assimilation, Regional Climate Models
![Page 11: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
NOAA’s ContributionsNOAA’s Contributions
NOAA WP-3D
NOAA R/V Ronald H. Brown NOAA O3 and Aerosol LIDAR Aircraft
Funding for CIRPAS Twin Otter aircraft – SOA in Los Angeles
Contributions to Los Angeles surface site instrumentation and Tall Towers
Contributions to ozone-sonde and radar wind profiler networks
![Page 12: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
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-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
Ground-based monitoring stations
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
Long-term surface observations
![Page 13: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
e
-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
CALGEM (LBNL/NOAA) tall tower sites
WGC
Sutro
Long-term surface observations
Instrumented tall towers
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
![Page 14: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
e
-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
CalNex and CARES major ground sites
T0
T1
SJV
LA
Long-term surface observations
Instrumented tall towers
Major intensive ground sites
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
![Page 15: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
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-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
IONS-2010 ozonesonde network
Long-term surface observations
Instrumented tall towers
Major intensive ground sites
Daily ozonesonde launches
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
![Page 16: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
NOAA, Air Districts, others42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
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-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
Long-term surface observations
Instrumented tall towers
Major intensive ground sites
Daily ozonesonde launches
Radar wind profiler network
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
![Page 17: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Long-term surface observations
Instrumented tall towers
Major intensive ground sites
Daily ozonesonde launches
Radar wind profiler network
Mobile research platforms
NOAA WP-3D NOAA Twin OtterCIRPAS Twin OtterNASA King AirDOE G-1USFS CessnaNOAA Ron Brown
Satellite observationsTES, OMI, Sciamachy, IASI
CalNex and CARES aircraft operations42
40
38
36
34
Lati
tud
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-124 -122 -120 -118 -116 -114
Longitude
Jointly, we will field extensive measurements for CalNex 2010:
![Page 18: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf
CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009
CalNex 2010: The NOAA Perspective
Today:
•Address both Climate and Air Quality
•Science Issues
•NOAA’s Contributions to CalNex
![Page 19: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009
Proposing a return in 2011 for: • Focus on Air Quality and
Climate Interactions• Greenhouse Gases and
Aerosols – Soot particularly
CalNex 2010: The NOAA Perspective
WinLose
WinLose
LoseLose
WinWin
Today:
•Address both Climate and Air Quality
•Science Issues
•NOAA’s Contributions to CalNex
![Page 20: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Extra Slide
![Page 21: Http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/calnex/scienceplan.pdf CARB Board Meeting San Diego, 23 July 2009 DAVID PARRISH Chemical Sciences Division Earth System Research.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081603/5697bf831a28abf838c864d4/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
• Comprehensive and fa
st
• Mobile over e
ntire state