HSBC Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference in Berlin

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HSBC Holdings plc Resilience in the face of uncertainty MICHAEL GEOGHEGAN GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE GOLDMAN SACHS CONFERENCE JUNE 2008

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Transcript of HSBC Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference in Berlin

Page 1: HSBC Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference in Berlin

HSBC Holdings plc

Resilience in the face of uncertaintyMICHAEL GEOGHEGAN

GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVEGOLDMAN SACHS CONFERENCE JUNE 2008

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Forward-looking statements

This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Group

These forward-looking statements represent the Group’s expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements

Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our Annual Report

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• Market turmoil and outlook

• Resilience of HSBC’s strategy

• Challenges and opportunities ahead

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Financial market dislocation

• Industry’s recent propensity for high leverage

• Growth models that depended on such leverage are now unsustainable

US commercial paper: shrinking ABCP marketUSDbn

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Asset-backed

Financial

Source: The Federal Reserve

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Outlook for rest of 2008

• US will be weak and may move into recession• Europe will be relatively weak• Asia and other emerging markets will probably exhibit reasonable growth• Future risk from demand led inflationary pressure• Illiquidity in the markets is a continuing concern• Deleveraging of the financial system• Tighter regulation

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• Market turmoil and outlook

• Resilience of HSBC’s strategy

• Challenges and opportunities ahead

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Resilience of HSBC’s strategyThe world’s leading international emerging markets bank

Generating sustainable and profitable growth through strategies that focus on:• Being positioned in fast-growing markets

• Having good customer relationships based on fairness

• Running efficient operations

• A strong capital base and balance sheet

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Strategy aligned with trends that will shape the global economy

• Emerging markets growing faster than mature ones

• World trade and investment grow faster than the world economy

• Longevity is increasing

• Invest primarily in fast-growing markets

• Use our unique global network for the benefit of our internationally connected customers in developed markets

• Maintain financial strength

Align ourselves with three long-term trends We will

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We are reshaping to focus primarily on fast growing economies

Fast growing economies

Mature economies*

2007

63%37%

2006

47%53%

2005

42%58%

2004

42%58%

Trending towards…

60%40%

Based on PBT (excluding the gains on dilution of interests in associates in 2007)* USA, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, EU15, Switzerland, Malta

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Business models that define our ‘right to win’

Businesses with international customers where Emerging Marketsconnectivity is critical

3Global Product Platforms(eg Cards, HSBC Direct)

1

2

Mass Market(PFS)

Small & Medium Sized Businesses

(CMB)

Personal Financial Services125 millioncustomers

Commercial Banking

2.8 millioncustomers

Global Banking and Markets

4,200 customers

Private Banking96,000 customers

Mass Affluent(PFS)

Corporates

HNWI(PB)

Businesses withlocal customers where efficiencycan be achieved through global scale

Products where global scale is critical to effectiveness:efficiency, expertise and brand

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We are defining business models that determine how we will participate in markets

Business models Today(# of countries/territories) Aspiration

• 14 PFS• 20 CMB

• Measured increase mainly in CMB

• Sharpened deployment of business model

Full service bank across all Customer Groups

Full

• 31 PFS• 30 CMB

• Realign countries between selective and network models

• Measured increase in country coverage

• Sharpened deployment of business models

Targeted propositions in specific customer segments

Selective

• 8 PFS• 14 CMB

Network Small presence complementing the global network

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Intra regional trade growing faster than world trade

Numbers in brackets give the number of times trade flows have increased from 1990-2006Source: IMF

China

US$266b US$161b

US$247b

Taiwan

Singapore Korea

Hong Kong

US$149b[49]

Thailand Malaysia

Indonesia

US$53b

[13.4]

Philippines

Australia

[2.1]

NewZealand JapanUS$54b

US$248b

US$519b US$110b

Vietnam

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Signature capital strength

7.6 7.9 8.3 8.4

1.3 1.11.1 0.9

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

2004 2005 2006 2007

Shareholders' equity, minority interest and preference shares less deductions Innovative Tier 1 capital

8.9% 9.0%9.4% 9.3%

Tier 1 capital ratios (%) Basel 2Tier 1:9.0%

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HSBC’s strong deposit base

1,096

982

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Customer Deposits Customer Loans and Advances

US$ billion, 31 December 2007 % Growth, 2007 vs 2006

Money market/CP funding costs below Libor for main Group entities

+22%

+13%

0

5

10

15

20

25

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Benefits of diversification by geography and customer group

2007 Profit before tax: US$24.2bn, up 10%Geography

Customer group24%

30%25%

6%

15%Personal Financial Services

Commercial Banking

Global Banking and Markets

Private Banking

Other

% share

% share

% change 2007 vs 2006

% change 2007 vs 2006

+24

+5

+19

-38

n/a

-50 -20 10 40 70

50%

5%9%

36%Asia-Pacific (50% )

Middle East (5% )

Latin America (9% )

Europe (36% )

North America (0% )

+23

+26

+26

+57

-98

-130 -100 -70 -40 -10 20 50 80

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Performance in 1Q 2008

1Q 08 key highlights

• Q1 2008 profit ahead of Q1 2007

• Pre-tax profits up in all emerging markets in Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America

• European businesses performed well with the UK retail business increasing pre-tax profit

• US profit down as a result of higher consumer finance loan impairments and additional write-downs in Global Banking and Markets

• Resilient profitability in Global Banking and Markets

• Group underlying revenue comfortably ahead of 1Q 2007

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• Market turmoil and outlook

• Resilience of HSBC: strategy

• Challenges and opportunities ahead

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Financial targets

Return on total shareholders’equity (through the cycle)

15-19%

Cost efficiencyratio

48-52%

Tier 1 capital(Basel 2)

7.5-9.0%Total shareholder return

Above peergroup average

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Restructuring in the US consumer finance business

Actions taken include:• Discontinued wholesale and correspondent originated mortgages

• Reduced mortgage services portfolio from US$50bn to US$34bn

• Reduced branch based business

Achievements• US credit card business remains profitable

• HFC contribution breakeven since beginning of 2006

• Provisions have been increased

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Continue to build out organically and selectively through acquisition in emerging markets

Strong growth in Rest of Asia 2005-2007

Acquisitions

• Customer loans up by US$32bn to US$102bn

• Incremental operating expense up by US$2bn

• Operating profit up by US$1.5bn

• KEB outstanding

• Strategic partnerships in Vietnam (Techcombank and Bao Viet)

• Integration of the Chinese Bank and rebranded Chailese Credit Card Services in Taiwan

• 50% joint venture with National Trust Ltd in China

• IL&FS Investsmart in India, retail brokerage (agreed to acquire 73%)

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Mainland China – Expanding the network

Qingdao

DalianBeijingTianjin

ChengduChongqing

WuhanShanghai

Hangzhou

Xi’an Suzhou

ShenzhenGuangzhou

Shenyang

Dongguan

Changsha

Xiamen

Zhengzhou

• 67 service outlets• Regional focus: Bohai Rim,

Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and Western region

Cities with branches and sub-branches

Cities with branches only

Branch approved, to be opened this year

Regions of focus

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Progress in joining up the company

• HSBC Premier – on the way to achieving 6m target by 2011

• Global links system servicing global inter-connectivity for Commercial Banking customers

• Focused alignment in Global Banking Markets resulted in many awards including, Best Risk Management House – both globally and in Asia

• Staff engagement

• Monitor customer service

• One HSBC – continue to streamline our underlying processes through development of common systems for common products and services on a global basis

Strengthen the brand

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HSBC: the world’s local bank

Leading international emerging markets bank

Widespread international network

Uniquely international customer base

Signature financial strength

Diversity works