Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West...

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Seadrill – Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference CFO - Rune Magnus Lundetrae New Orleans, March 2014

Transcript of Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West...

Page 1: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Seadrill – Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy ConferenceCFO - Rune Magnus Lundetrae

New Orleans, March 2014

Page 2: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Forward Looking Statements

The statements described in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements

within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of

1934. Forward-looking statements which could be made include, but are not limited to, statements involving

prospects for the Company, expected revenues, capital expenditures, costs and results of operations and

contingencies and other factors discussed in the Company's most recent annual report on the Form 20-F for the year

ended December 31, 2012 and in the Company's other filings with the SEC, which are available free of charge on the

SEC's website at www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying

assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those indicated. All subsequent written and oral

forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or to persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in

their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking

statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake

no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All non-GAAP financial measure

reconciliations to the most comparative GAAP measure are displayed in quantitative schedules on the company’s

web site at seadrill.com.

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Page 3: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Seadrill Limited Overview

• Most modern fleet of all the major offshore drillers

• Diverse asset base of 69(1) units

– 34 drillships & semi-submersibles(11 Under Construction)

– 32 jack-up rigs (9 Under Construction)

– 3 tender rigs

• Global reach including harsh environment

• Current market capitalization ~ US$16 bn

• Broad customer base with contract backlog ~ US$20 bn

• Dividend annualized ~ US$1.8 bn

Market Leading Track Record of Value Creation

(1) Includes rigs contributed to Seadrill Partners.3

$0

$4

$8

$12

$16

$20

Equity Issuance Dividends Current MarketCap

Value Creation

US

$ B

illio

ns

Page 4: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

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Establishing Vehicles to Offer Exposure to Key Themes

Page 5: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Demonstrated Access to Capital Markets

Seadrill Partners

Dropdowns

• West Sirius and West Leo

- US$465 million in equity raised

- Cash proceeds of US$356 million to Seadrill Limited

• West Auriga

- US$400 million in equity raised

- Cash proceeds of US$350 million to Seadrill Limited

NADLIPO and Bond

Issuance

• NADL completes listing on NYSE with US$125 million IPO

• Issues US$600 million unsecured bond

• NADL is now independently financed and in prime position to be the premier player in harsh environment and Arctic operations

Seadrill Partners

Debt Restructuring

• SDLP launches US$1,800 million Term Loan B

• Creating a cleaner capital structure with lower annual amortization

• Seadrill Limited benefits by receiving proceeds of ~US$500 million

Access to Funding, High Utilization, Large Backlog ���� Stability in Current Market

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Page 6: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Key Investment Highlights

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Page 7: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Key Investment Highlights

� Significant Contracted Backlog Providing Dividend Visibility

� Innovative Capital Structure and Funding Strategy

Modern Fleet with Exposure to Premium Segments�

� Dividend Growth a Priority… While Maintaining Earnings Growth Profile

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Global Operational Footprint�

Page 8: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

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Global Operational Footprint

Presence in all important oil and gas regions

Newbuilds 20 units

- 8 Drillships

- 3 Semis

- 9 BE jack-ups

Americas12 units

- 4 Drillships

- 2 Semis

- 1 Semi-tender

- 8 Jack-ups

Africa –Middle East15 units

Brazil

North Atlantic

West Africa

Middle East

Asia Pacific

Gulf of Mexico

- 2 Tender rigs

- 8 Jack-ups

Asia Pacific10 units

- 4 HE Semis

- 2 HE Jack-ups

- 1 Drillship

North Atlantic7 units

London

- 2 Drillships- 5 Semis - 5 jack-ups

- 5 Semis

Brazil5 units

Page 9: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Strategic Focus on Premium Asset Classes

…with a Modern Fleet…One of the largest Offshore Drillers…

Ultra-Deepwater Units Average Floater Age

Average Jack-Up AgeJack-Up Units

…and Exposure to Premium Segments

% of Jack-Up fleet >350’ Water Depth

% o

f T

ota

l Flo

ate

rs%

of

To

tal F

loa

ters

Nu

mb

er

of

un

its

Nu

mb

er

of

un

its

% Ultra-Deepwater of Total Floaters

Source: ODS Petrodata. 9

Page 10: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Floaters – US$15.4 Billion Contract Backlog

Contract coverage

Contracted

Uncontracted

2014 2015

10

2016

96%

4%

66%

34%

47%

53%

Unit Customer

West Saturn - Newbuild

West Jupiter - Newbuild

West Carina - Newbuild

West Draco - Newbuild

West Dorado - Newbuild

West Aquila - Newbuild

West Libra - Newbuild

West Tellus Chevron 610' US$635'

West Navigator Shell / Centrica Energi NUF US$602,000 US$621'

West Capella ExxonMobil US$562,120 US$627,500

West Gemini Total US$640,000

West Neptune LLOG Newbuild Transit US$570,000

West Polaris ExxonMobil US$653,121 03.2018

West Auriga BP US$565,000 10.2020

West Vela BP US$565,000 11.2020

Sevan Developer - Newbuild

West Rigel - Newbuild

West Taurus Petrobras US$656,662

West Phoenix Total US$454,000

West Eminence Petrobras US$624,460

West Venture Statoil US$441,000

Sevan Driller Petrobas US$419,817

West Orion Petrobras US$624,460

West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate

West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Sevan Louisiana LLOG Newbuild US$505,000

West Aquarius ExxonMobil US$540,000 US$615,000

West Alpha ExxonMobil US$479 US$532,000 US$547,000

West Hercules Statoil US$497,000 US$497,000

West Capricorn BP US$495,650 US$495'

West Leo Tullow Oil US$605,000 06.2018

Sevan Brasil Petrobas US$398,559 07.2018

West Sirius BP US$490,173 US$535,000 07.2019

West Mira Husky Newbuild Transit US$590,000 06.2020

Option Yard plus transit period

20172014 2015 20162013

2Q 3Q 4Q1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q

Dri

llsh

ips

Se

mi-

sub

me

rsib

les

3Q 4Q 1Q4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

Page 11: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Jack-ups - US$4.2 Billion Contract Backlog

80%

20%

Contracted

Uncontracted

2014

2015

Note: Backlog generated by the tender rigs (T15, T16 and West Vencedor) is US$0.5 billion. 11

57%

43%

2016

33%

67%

Unit Customer

West Epsilon Statoil US$286,000

West Elara Statoil US$360,000 03.2017

West Linus ConocoPhillips NB Transit US$375,000 05.2019

West Oberon PEMEX Transit US$171,500 03.2020

West Intrepid PEMEX Transit US$155,500 10.2020

West Defender Shell / PEMEX US$136 Transit US$155,500 04.2020

West Courageous Hess / PEMEX US$150' Transit US$155,500 05.2021

West Titania - Transit

West Prospero Vietsovpetro US$170,000

West Ariel Vietsovpetro US$170,000

West Cressida PTTEP US$129,500

West Telesto Premier US$149,5 US$156

West Tucana PVEP US$164' US$167,000

West Vigilant Talisman US$167,000

West Titan - Newbuild

West Leda ExxonMobil US$138,000 US$165,000

West Proteus - Newbuild

West Mischief ENI US$175,000 US$175'

West Rhea - Newbuild

West Tethys - Newbuild

West Hyperion - Newbuild

West Umbriel - Newbuild

West Dione - Newbuild

AOD l Saudi Aramco US$180,000

West Castor Shell US$155,000

AOD ll Saudi Aramco US$180,000

West Triton KJO US$145,000 US$145,000

West Mimas - Newbuild

AOD lll Saudi Aramco US$180,000

West Resolute KJO US$140,000 US$140,000

West Callisto Saudi Aramco US$150,000 US$150,000

West Freedom Repsol / Cardon IV Transit US$187' US$225,000

Option Yard plus transit period

2014 2015 20162013

2Q 3Q 4Q1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q

HE

Ja

ck-u

ps

BE

Ja

ck-u

ps

3Q 4Q 1Q4Q

Page 12: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Financial Flexibility

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2013-2014 Financing Summary

Secured Financing

• 8 new facilities

• Total of US$ 5,310m

Unsecured Financing

• NOK 1,800m bond

• NOK 1,500m bond (NADL)

• US$ 500m bond

• US$600m Bond (NADL)

• US$125m NADL NYSE IPO

• SEK 1,500 bond

MLP

• US$356m – West Sirius and West Leo sale to SDLP

• US$1,800m TLB

• US$350m – West Auriga sale to SDLP

Secured64%

Unsecured22%

Term Loan B11%

MLP3%

Feb 2014 Actual

Secured55%

Unsecured22%

Term Loan B11%

MLP12%

2015 Illustrative

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2014 2015 2016

US

$ M

illio

ns

Capex Per Year

Floaters Jack-ups

Page 13: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Dividend Growth Continues to be a Priority… while maintaining a Growth Profile

• Key objective to grow quarterly

dividends

• Quarterly cash dividend raised from 95

cents to 98 cents per share in Q4

• Increase reflects improved free cash

flow and newbuilds commencing

operation in 2H 2013

• Future dividends depend on:

– Contract coverage

– Market outlook

– Leverage capacity

– Future earnings

The Q1 2013 dividend was paid in Q4 2012 13

1.2 1.05

2.5353.06 3.36

3.720.3

0.2

0.15

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

US

$

Annual dividends

Extraordinary dividend

Page 14: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Market Outlook

Upstream Market Outlook

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Page 15: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Source: IEA, IHS, Wood Mackenzie, EIA, ODS Petrodata.

Increased Service Intensity

400

500

600

700

22

23

24

25

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Num

ber

of

Rig

s C

ontr

acte

d

Mill

ion B

arr

els

per

Day

Total Offshore Production Total Offshore Rigs

15

More Rigs Working, but Declining Oil Production

Page 16: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Resources discovered and produced 2000-2012 (Billion boe)

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2013

Shelf Deep Water Ultra deepwater

Discovered resources 1980 to 2013 (Billion boe)

Source: Rystad Energy research and analysis; UCube

Recent Discoveries to Become Produced Volumes

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Page 17: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Ultra-Deepwater Production Growth Accelerating

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Global liquids production, by land and water depth

Offshore ultra deep

Onshore

Million bbl/d 2012-2030CAGR = 1.3%

19%

2%

0%

1%

2012-2020CAGR

Source: Rystad Energy.

30 mbbl/d

Thousand boe/d

Global offshore productionby water depth 1960 - 2040

16.4

2.5

0.5

0.9

Rep

lacem

en

t R

ati

o

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Shelf (to 400 ft) Deep water (400-5000 ft) Ultra deepwater (5000+ ft)

30 mbbl/d

16 mbbl/d

5 mbbl/d

17

Page 18: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Near Term Outlook

X-axis: total liquids production mbpd; Y-axis: avg Brent equivalent breakeven price, $/bblSource: Morgan Stanley and Rystad Energy

1

1

2014 Projects Pushed to 2015

• Block 32 � Total – Angola• Mad Dog 2� BP – Gulf of Mexico• Stampede � Hess – Gulf of Mexico• Chevron Indonesia� Chevron – Indonesia • Bonga� 2 rigs - Nigeria

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Page 19: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Drilling Market Outlook

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Page 20: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Global Rig Supply & Demand Imbalance Favors Contractors

Source: Rystad Energy, ODS Petrodata20

3

01

8

21 21

28

1718

28

25

11

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Ultra-Deep Water Deliveries

276340

455

64

165

50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Current Floater Fleet Newbuilds 2014-2016 Potential Supply Possible Retirements Additional RigRequirements

2020 Demand

Significant Newbuilds Required to Bridge Expected Demand Gap

Page 21: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14

Newbuild water depth Operating water depth

Greater than 750085%

Less than 45008%

4500 – 75007%

Total floater utilization

Seadrill

NobleEnsco

Diamond

Transocean

4500 – 750054%

Less than 450034%

Greater than 750012%

Source: ODS Petrodata

Bifurcation in Deepwater is a Reality

Customers Demand Better Performance and Safety of New Equipment

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Page 22: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Robust Jack-up Fundamentals

• In 2015 more than 220 of the currently contracted Jack-up fleet will be more than 30 years old

• 90 of the units will be more than 35 years old

• Scrapping & Conversion of older units increased in 2011 and 2012 with trend expected to continue

Age Development of Contracted Jack-up Fleet Jack-ups Removed from the Market

22

1017

26

90

5167

90

220208

215 220232

0

50

100

150

200

250

2013 2014E 2015E 2020E

40 years or more 35 years or more 30 years or more

# of rigs

1

2

3

6

8

7

10

6

12

2

11

9

8

3

4

2

1 1 1

4

1 1 1 1

4

1

12

15

2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

# of rigs

Source: Pareto

Page 23: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

Conclusion

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Page 24: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

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Well Positioned to Weather the Storm…..

West Tellus

World oil demand and oil price* by scenario

Illustrative daily liquidity cushion

Floater supply and demand

(1) Based on LTM average for the West Sirius, West Leo, West Aquarius and West Capella(2) Assuming $1,700 million of debt @4.25%(3) Assuming 5% amortization per year(4) Based on average contrat dayrates for West Sirius, West Leo, West Aquarius and West Capella, assumes 95% utilization and 4.25% tax on revenuesSource: Morgan Stanley and Rystad Energy

Seadrill UDW Coverage 2014

(1) (2) (3) (4)(1)

(1) (2) (3) (4)(1)(1) (2) (3) (4)(1)

Page 25: Howard Weil 42nd Annual Energy Conference · - 8 Jack-ups Africa – Middle East 15 units ... West Pegasus PEMEX US$555,000 Market rate West Eclipse Total US$435' US$450,000 US$455,000

• 32 6th generation ultra-deepwater units

• 2 Midwater harsh environment semi-submersible rigs

• 29 High-specification jack-ups

• 3 Harsh environment jack-ups

• 3 Tender rigs

Core Assets

Financial Investments

12% of SapuraKencana –

Market Value ~US$920mm

50.11% of Sevan Drilling –

Market Value ~US$200mm

39.9% of Archer –

Market Value ~US$280mm

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