How Well is Wyoming Preparing All Students for College, Careers and Life

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    HOW WELL IS WYOMINGPREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every goodjob requires some education beyond high school such as anassociates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion ofan apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Currently, far too many students drop out or graduate from highschool without the knowledge and skills required for success,closing doors and limiting their post-high school options andopportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-ReadyExpectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESSThe changing economy is accelerating the

    expectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers, Standards for What? TheEconomic Roots of K16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.

    Jobs in Todays Workforce Require More

    Education & Training

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    The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, BrookingsInstitution, February 2009.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/ technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (but

    typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates degrees,

    vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, BrookingsInstitution, February 2009.

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    Demand for Middle-Skill Workers OutpacesWyomings Supply

    7Sources: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna Desrochers (2003). Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K-12 Reform,EducationTesting Services. http://www.learndoearn.org/For-Educators/Standards-for-What.pdf; Skills to Compete. http://www.skills2compete.org;Measuring Up (2008), The National Report Card on Higher Education. http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php

    In 1950, 60% of jobs were classified as unskilled, attainable by youngpeople with high school diplomas or less. Today, less than 20% of jobs

    are considered to be unskilled.

    One result:In Wyoming, the demand for middle- and high-skilled

    workers is outpacing the states supply of workers educated and

    experienced at that level.

    79% of Wyomings jobs are middle- or high-skill (jobs that require somepostsecondary education or training).

    Yet only 36% of Wyoming adults have some postsecondary degree(associates or higher).

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    The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs

    8Source: Milano, Jessica, Bruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest Growing Jobs and Why Community College Graduates Will Get Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council

    Wyoming should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow, notthe jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the

    Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it iscommon sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that keepsall doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    Wyomings Middle-Skill Jobs

    9

    Occupation

    MedianIncome(2007)

    % By Education Level(ages 25-44), 2007

    Number of Total Jobs(in thousands)

    High School Some College 2006 2016 % Change

    Computer SupportSpecialists

    $38,100 13% 44% 0.4 0.5 25%

    Electrical & Electronic

    EngineeringTechnicians

    $57,900 27% 54% 0.2 0.2 0%

    RadiologicTechnicians &Technologists

    $45,900 7% 68% 0.4 0.5 25%

    First-line Supervisors/ Managers ofConstruction Trades

    $53,500 60% 30% 3.3 4.3 30%

    Civil EngineeringTechnicians

    $41,400 27% 54% 0.1 0.2 100%

    Registered Nurses $53,600 1% 43% 4.4 5.7 30%

    Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Career One Stop. http://www.careerinfonet.org

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping

    10Source: OECD, Education at a Glance, 2007 (All rates are self-reported)

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2006)

    55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 ALL (25-64)

    1 U.S. (38%) Canada (43%) Canada (51%) Canada (55%) Canada (47%)

    2 Canada (37%) U.S. (40%) Japan (46%) Japan (54%) Japan (40%)

    3 N.Z. (30%) Japan (39%) Finland (41%) Korea (53%) U.S. (39%)

    4 Denmark (28%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (41%) N.Z. (44%) N.Z. (38%)

    5 Finland (27%) Finland (34%) N.Z. (39%) Ireland (42%) Finland (35%)6 Australia (26%) Denmark (33%) Korea (37%) Belgium (42%) Denmark (35%)

    7 Sweden (25%) Australia (32%) Denmark (36%) Norway (42%) Australia (33%)

    8 Norway (25%) Norway (30%) Belgium (35%) France (41%) Korea (33%)

    9 Neth. (25%) Neth. (30%) Norway (35%) Denmark (41%) Norway (33%)

    10 U.K. (24%) Switz. (29%) Iceland (34%) U.S. (39%) Belgium (32%)

    11 Switz. (24%) Iceland (29%) Australia (33%) Spain (39%) Ireland (31%)12 Japan (23%) U.K. (29%) Switz. (33%) Sweden (39%) Sweden (31%)

    13 Germany (23%) Sweden (29%) Ireland (33%) Australia (39%) U.K. (30%)

    14 Belgium (22%) Belgium (27%) Spain (31%) Finland (38%) Neth. (30%)

    15 Iceland (21%) Germany (25%) U.K. (31%) U.K. (37%) Switz. (30%)

    Wyoming (35%) WY (38%) WY (35%) WY (36%)

    Americas International Edge is Slipping

    11Source: OECD Education at a Glance, 2007; National Center for Higher Education ManagementSystems analysis of 2007 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROPOUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGHSCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REAL

    WORLD CHALLENGES

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    010

    20

    30

    40

    5060

    70

    80

    90

    100

    9th Graders GraduateHigh Schoolin 4 Years

    Enroll inCollege In

    the Fall

    Still EnrolledSophomore

    Year

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    100

    75

    4331

    25

    Of Every 100 9th Graders in Wyoming

    13Source: NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis. Student Pipeline - Transition andCompletion Rates from 9th Grade to College.www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=119&year=2006&level=nation&mode=data&state=0

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8th GradeAchievement Over Time

    14Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromwww.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

    8th Grade Math 1992 2009

    Wyoming 21% 35%

    U.S. 21% 32%

    8th Grade Reading 1998 2009

    Wyoming 29% 34%

    U.S. 33% 30%

    8th Grade Science 1996 2005

    Wyoming 39% 39%

    U.S. 29% 29%

    % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Wyomings 8th GradeAchievement Gap

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromwww.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

    Subgroup8th Grade Math

    (2009)8th Grade

    Reading (2009)8th Grade Science

    (2005)

    All Students 35% 34% 37%

    White 38% 36% 39%

    Black n/a n/a n/a

    Hispanic 15% 23% 21%

    Asian n/a n/a n/a

    Native American n/a n/a 21%

    % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    Graduation Rates Remain Inequitable

    16Source: Education Week, Education Counts. Developed through the Custom Table Builder,http://www.edweek.org/rc/2007/06/07/edcounts.html

    U.S.

    WY

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    AmericanIndianAsianHispanicBlack

    WhiteAll

    50%

    79%

    55%51%

    76%

    69%

    26%

    77%73%

    n/a n/an/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping

    17Source: OECD, Education at a Glance, 2007 (All rates are self-reported)

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Ireland

    Netherlands

    Germany

    Denmark

    Israel

    Canada

    Japan

    Norway

    Korea

    U.S.

    Wyoming

    % Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness

    18Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year

    institutions requiring remediation

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are MoreLikely to Require Remediation

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.

    0%5%10%15%20%25%

    30%35%40%45%

    Reading, Writingor Math

    ReadingWriting

    Math

    42%

    19%23%

    34%

    24%

    6%8%13%

    2-Year Colleges 4-Year Colleges

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    Most U.S. College Students Who TakeRemedial Courses Fail to Earn Degrees

    20Source: National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2004:% of 1992 12th graders who entered postsecondary education.

    Percentage earning degree by type of remedial coursework

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    How Many College Students Return TheirSophomore Year and Go On To EarnDegrees?

    21Source: Measuring Up (2008). The National Report Card on Higher Education.http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics2003 , Remedial Education at De ree-Grantin Postsecondar Institutions in Fall 2000.

    0%10%20%30%40%

    50%60%70%80%

    Completion (4-Year)Persistence (4-Year)

    Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    76%

    53% 57%

    74%

    67%

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    Many College Students in WyomingFail to Earn a Degree

    22Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelors

    degree within six years, 2006

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have TakenHarder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    23Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. (2005) Rising to theChallenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work?Washington, DC:Achieve.

    Would have takenmore challengingcourses in at leastone area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANTHIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILLOPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS

    AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    Personal Benefits of Education in Wyoming

    While there may be jobs available to high school drop outs andgraduates, they often pay lessand offer less securitythan jobsheld by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employment

    is clear:

    More education is associated with higherearnings and higher rates of employment.

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    26Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2008). Current Population Survey, Annual Social and EconomicSupplement. Figures are based on total person within the civilian labor force

    Personal Benefits of Education in Wyoming

    UNEMPLOYMENT

    RATE

    LEVEL OF

    EDUCATION

    MEAN

    INCOME

    4% TOTAL $39,492

    13% HS Dropout $19,068

    5% HS Graduate $34,626

    1% Some College $40,552

    2% Bachelors & Above $55,937

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    27

    Source: Horn, L. and A.M. Nuez (2000). Mapping the Road to College: First-generation Students' Math Track,Planning Strategies, and Context of Support. U.S. Department of Education.http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2001/2001153.pdf; Adelman, C. (2006). The Toolbox Revisited: Paths to Degree Completion

    The Importance of Rigorous Course-Takingin Closing Gaps

    Students who take challenging courses and meet high standards aremuch more likely to enter college ready to succeed.

    87% of first-generation college-going students who took a highly rigorouscourse of study in high school persisted in college or earned a degree after18 months.

    Only 55% of first-generation students who took just a general curriculumpersisted that long.

    High school students who take advanced math double their chances of

    earning a postsecondary degree:

    59% of low-income students who took advanced math in high school earneda bachelors degree.

    36% of low-income students who did not complete the rigorous high schoolcourse of study earned a bachelors degree.

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    28Source: Measuring Up, 2008:NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)2003, 2005 Mathematics Assessments.

    8th Graders Taking Algebra I

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    29Source: College Board, National Summary Reports, 2008.http://www.collegeboard.com/student/testing/ap/exgrd_sum/2008.html

    Students Participating in AdvancedPlacement

    Percent of all 11th/12th GradersParticipating in Advanced Placement (2008)

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    30

    Source: ACT (2009), ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html; College Board,

    Mean SAT Critical Reading, Mathematics and Writing Scores by State.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/cbs-2009-Table-3_Mean-SAT-CR-MATH-and-Writing-

    Wyomings Students Taking College

    Admissions Exams

    2009 Wyoming U.S.

    Participation in ACT 99% 45%

    Average ACT Score 20.0 21.1

    Participation in SAT 5% 46%

    Average SAT Score 1685 1509

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    THE SOLUTION:STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSETHE EXPECTATIONS GAP

    All students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    32

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college-and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Wyomings Commitment to Closing the

    Expectations Gap

    33

    Wyoming has a P-20 longitudinal data system, and is oneof a few states that satisfies all ten of the Data QualityCampaigns essential elements, including the matchingof student-level data across K012 and postsecondary

    systems.

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    HOW WELL IS WYOMINGPREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE