How to Stop Putting the Wrong Parts into your Machine by Choosing the Right Supplier
23
-
Upload
sentient-science -
Category
Engineering
-
view
233 -
download
0
Transcript of How to Stop Putting the Wrong Parts into your Machine by Choosing the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Trusted 3rd PartyUniquely Built with Operators
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Sentient Science FamilyWorlds Most
Tested ProductsProducts with the
Lowest Cost of Operation
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Growth of Wind Customers
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
How We Apply Material Science
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
• Second generation Machines Approaching Mid-Life
• Year 9-12 Failure rates increasing 400-500%
What is the Mid-Life Crisis?
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Unplanned maintenance costs are seen as 40-60% of total maintenance costs
Looking in the Rearview Mirror…
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
5%: Blades & Pitch Bearings
60%: Drive-Train
Est. for avg. 1.5MW turbine platform
20%: Pitch & Converter Subsystems
15%: All Other Subsystems
100% of Unplanned Cost
+
Years 9-12 drivetrain failures are increasing 4-5x!
05/01/2023
Why guess when you can know?Market Solutions
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
-Upgrades-Uprate Solutions-Sensors + Monitoring-Profit leech LTSA
OEM
-Remanufacturing-XL Replacements-New Foreign Suppliers
Gearbox
-Specialty Bearings-Enhanced Lubricants-Additives
3rd Party
05/01/2023
Trusted 3rd Party
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
Connecting Buyers with Suppliers:Prognostic models go beyond ISO life predictions:• Quantify major component risk• Compare life vs price – Know ROI • Ensure Your site achieves lowest possible LCOE
Software that Connects to Individual Assets:Value on individual assets• Global Fleet Value for small and large operators• Visibility From Operator to Boardroom• Knowledge Immediate benefit with no hardware
05/01/2023
Determine the estimated life of current assetsSite Health
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Identify Critical Component Life
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
Component Supplier Life
HSS_BRG1SUPPLIER A > 20 yrsSUPPLIER B > 20 yrsSUPPLIER C > 20 yrs
HSS_BRG2
SUPPLIER A > 20 yrsSUPPLIER B > 20 yrsSUPPLIER C > 20 yrsSUPPLIER D > 20 yrs
PS_BRG2SUPPLIER A 10 yrsSUPPLIER B 18 yrs
Component Supplier Life
LSIS_BRG1SUPPLIER A > 20 yrsSUPPLIER B > 20 yrs
LSIS_BRG2SUPPLIER A > 20 yrsSUPPLIER B > 20 yrs
HSIS_BRG1SUPPLIER A > 20 yrsSUPPLIER B > 20 yrsSUPPLIER C > 20 yrs
HSIS_BRG2SUPPLIER A 10 yrsSUPPLIER B 13 yrsSUPPLIER C 7 yrs
05/01/2023
If you knew 18 months in advance of failure, what could you do?
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
Standard Replacement Gearbox 1
05/01/2023
Unlock additional value by extending the gearbox replacement 1-2 years!
Friction, Wear & Lubrication Surface Treatments
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
DigitalClone Component™ Friction, Wear & Lubrication Surface Treatments
DigitalClone Component™Simulate Stress in Microstructure to Predict Crack Initiation & Propagation
05/01/2023Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
By extending the life of 10 turbines, you could
unlock $120,000 in O&M
05/01/2023
V2 – Buy on Life®
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
All Bearings Not Created Equal
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
OEM provides part number for supplier options
Which one do you choose?
• All approved by OEM• Significant Life differences observed• Price does not correlate with life
05/01/2023
• Results show Supplier D – had longer life than the perceived “Premium Choice”
• Currently you don’t know life, now you can
Buy on Life®
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
Make sure your replacement gearbox has the right combination of parts / suppliers to meet your site life
05/01/2023Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
$25k per turbine = $250k
O&M savings for 10 turbines
05/01/2023Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
05/01/2023
Unlocking V1 Value
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
$25k - $175k savings per turbine
05/01/2023Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
Beyond 20 Years
05/01/2023
DigitalClone® Empowers Choice
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
• 18,000+ assets• Adding new components every day• Enabling operators to know the right
choice• Communicate better from field to the
boardroom• Suppliers are partnering with us to
allow Buy on Life®
• OEM’s are incorporating prognostics from the design stage
New Asset Management Strategy’s:• Reduced fleet Risk – Lower
Insurance Premiums• Increased accuracy for forecasting
& budgeting• Strategic sourcing strategies• Fleet acquisition strategies
Awards for DigitalClone® Pedigree
05/01/2023
Using Prognostics to Choose the Right Supplier
2001-2016
$25M R&DWith Worlds
Largest Operator of
Heavy Equipment
2010NASA
ValidatesThe Game Changing
Technology
2014Tibbett's Award
White House Honors
Technology
Decoding the Material Genome
April 2016New Energy Pioneer
Award- Michael Bloomberg Honors The Commercial
Impact of the Technology in Sentient’s 1st market Clean
Energy
