How to Set a “Think Bold” Recruitment Strategy€¦ · Our Enrollment Services division...
Transcript of How to Set a “Think Bold” Recruitment Strategy€¦ · Our Enrollment Services division...
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved. eab.com
How to Set a “Think-Bold” Recruitment StrategyMake the Right Enrollment Investments to Reach Your Full Potential
Enrollment Services
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
2Today’s Presenters
Ian WattManaging Director, Client SuccessEAB Enrollment Services(800) 899-7227 [email protected]
Rebecca HowardManaging Director, Client DevelopmentEAB Enrollment Services(804) [email protected]
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
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Student interactions annually
1.2B+Individuals on our student success management system
1M+
Goal: Make education smarter
1
Start with best
practices research
› Research Forums for presidents,
provosts, chief business officers,
and key academic and
administrative leaders
› At the core of all we do
› Peer-tested best practices research
› Answers to the most
pressing issues
Then hardwire those insights
into your organization using our
technology & services
Enrollment Management
Our Enrollment Services division provides data-driven undergraduate and graduate solutions that target qualified prospective students; build relationships throughout the search, application, and yield process; and optimize financial aid resources.
Student Success
Members of the Student Success Collaborative use research, consulting, and an enterprise-wide student success management system to help students persist, graduate, and succeed.
Growth and Academic Operations
Our Academic Performance Solutions group partners with university academic and business leaders to help make smart resource trade-offs, improve academic efficiency, and grow academic program revenues.
6
Institutions we are proud to serve
1,200+
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7
Gen Z High School Graduates Won’t Be Enough to Fulfill Growth Goals
A Trend We’re All Too Familiar With
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031
Hig
h S
chool G
raduate
s(M
illions)
High School Graduate Growth Rate Plateaus Before Decline
Number of High School Graduates and Compound Annual Growth Rates
Growth
+1.6%growth rate
Stagnation
+0.2%growth rate
Decline
-1.1%growth rate
Source: Western Interstate Commission on Higher Education (WICHE), Knocking at the College Door, 2016; EAB analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
8
Challenging Market Conditions Require a Shift in Mindset
A New Paradigm
Existing Paradigm New Paradigm
“How productiveis our recruitment-marketing spend?”
“How efficientis our recruitment-marketing spend?”
“How much revenue is our recruitment-marketing spend generating?”
“How much are we spending on recruitment marketing?”
“Here are our enrollment goals. What will it take to accomplish them?”
“Here’s our budget. What kind of enrollment results can we get?”
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
9
A Comprehensive, Integrated Framework for Optimal Enrollment Outcomes
‘First Things First’ Targeting Strategy
Existing parameters
New parameters
Existing markets
1Find students
you’ve previously missed
2Engage new
types of students
New markets
3Gain a foothold
in new markets
4Maximize
penetration in new markets
Geographical markets
Targeting scope
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
10
Distance from Campus Is a Key Variable in Enrollment Outcomes and ROI
The Power of Proximity
Funnel Conversion Rates by Distance from Campus
Distance (Miles) 0-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 201-500 500+
Contacted 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000
Response Rate 13.9% 12.6% 12.9% 12.4% 12.4% 13.6%
Inquiries 3,475 3,150 3,225 3,100 3,100 3,400
Conversion to Applicant 31.3% 22.5% 19.3% 16.1% 13.9% 10.8%
Applicants 1,088 709 622 499 431 367
Accept Percentage 67.7% 67.3% 65.9% 62.9% 54.4% 50.2%
Accepted 736 477 410 314 234 184
Yield Percentage 30.3% 22.6% 20.2% 18.9% 16.4% 15.1%
Enrolled 223 108 83 59 38 28
Enrolled per 1,000 Contacts 9 4 3 2 2 1
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
11
Make Sure You’re Not Missing Students Under Existing Targeting Parameters
Step 1
Existing parameters
New parameters
Existing markets
1Find students
you’ve previously missed
2Engage new
types of students
New markets
3Gain a foothold
in new markets
4Maximize
penetration in new markets
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
12
Source: EAB research and analysis.
Efficiency Pursuits May Hinder Outcomes
692
Enrolls
63
Enrolls
42.0%11.3% 1,647
Admits
180
Admits
48.3%
3,211
Applications
372
Applications
17.0%
28,180
Inquiries
2,181
Inquiries
42.0%18.5%
35.0%16.3%
Selected by predictive
model
Contacted
152,325
13,361
Contacted
Excluded by predictive
model
4.7enrolls per
1,000 contacts
4.5enrolls per
1,000 contacts
165,686
Targeted & Purchased
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13
Inquiry Pool Contact Quantity by Test Group
Success Hinges on Outreach and Conversion
9,779 9,740
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
10,679 10,571
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
15,193 15,071
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
10,217 10,199
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
College A College B
College C College D
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14
Applications by Test Group
Success Hinges on Outreach and Conversion
599
1,459
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
358
880
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
905
2,124
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB Marketing
134
505
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
College A College B
College C College D
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15
60
128
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
107
162
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
164
313
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Control - InstitutionalApp Marketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
15
38
0
15
30
45
Control - Institutional AppMarketing
Test - EAB AppMarketing
Enrollments by Test Group
Success Hinges on Outreach and Conversion
College A College B
College C College D
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
16Same Markets, New Potential
<50%
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
2,900
3,100
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Applications Freshman Enrollment
Applications
Enro
llm
ent
Applications and Freshman Enrollment
By Entering Class Year, Mayflower State University
>90%
43% Increase in freshman enrollment from 2015 to 2018
>95% Of new enrollment came from within 100 miles
Percentage of eligible high school seniors in
primary market engaged via
recruitment marketing
Search saturation
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
17
Adjust Targeting Parameters to Capture New Candidates
Step 2
Existing parameters
New parameters
Existing markets
1Find students
you’ve previously missed
2Engage new
types of students
New markets
3Gain a foothold
in new markets
4Maximize
penetration in new markets
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
18Tactical Elements Can Limit Full Potential
100%
80%
65%
50%
Maximum potential
Percentage of Best-Fit Students Available for Recruitment-Marketing Outreach
Prospect-Volume Penalty, by List-Sourcing Scenario, Typical College/University
-20% -15% -15%
-50%
Names purchased
only once per year
Incomplete set of list sources
used
Overly restrictive filtering
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
19
Multiple Aspects of Targeting Strategy Can Impact Full Potential
A Multifaceted Challenge
Percentage of Students Switching Major
Between Initial Search Contact and Application, by Year First Engaged1
1172
12711258
1235
Non-Search Sophomore Junior Senior
58%
51%46%
Sophomores Juniors Seniors
Average Enrolled SAT Score
By High School Year of First Search Contact, College A
Source: EAB research and analysis.
1) Based on results from 36 colleges and universities studied.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
20
Make Carefully Calibrated Entry into New Markets
Step 3
Existing parameters
New parameters
Existing markets
1Find students
you’ve previously missed
2Engage new
types of students
New markets
3Gain a foothold
in new markets
4Maximize
penetration in new markets
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
21
Markets Thought of as Attractive Don’t Always Make Strategic Sense
Understanding Reach-Market Potential
Markets that are attractive
Markets that are a strategic
match
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
22
EAB’s Reach-Market Analytics Pinpoint Most Promising Zip Codes
Analytics Boost Reach-Market Viability
Recruiting College
Target-Market Zip Codes
Examples of parameters analyzed
• Selectivity
• Size
• Public/private
• Historical reach-market draw
• Location
• Reputation
• Average household income
• Average educational attainment
• Historical student-enrollment behaviors
• Average distance traveled for college
• Distance from campus
• % public versus private high schools
Examples of data sources
used
• EAB recruitment-campaign data
• Historical data from recruiting college
• IPEDS
• EAB data warehouse
• National Center for Educational Statistics
• US Census
• Third-party consumer databases
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
23
A School in the Northeast Assesses the Chicago Market
Reach-Market Analytics in Action
Lake Michigan
Highest potential
Lowest potential
Application-Generation Potential by Zip Code
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
24
ROI
Understanding Recruitment-Marketing Cost Relative to Revenue Impact
A Framework for ROI
Recruitment-Marketing Break-Even Analysis
Number of Enrolled Freshmen
Recruitment cost
Cost/
Revenue
Revenue from enrolled
students
Recruitment-marketing costs are covered once this many students are enrolled
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
25
Assessing Incremental Enrollment Required for Different Levels of Return
Targeting New Markets with an ROI Mindset
Contact year
Contact quantity
FY 2020 investment
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022
Additional markets in New York
Senior 3,000 $8,100 0.4
Junior 6,000 $14,400 0.7
Sophomore 4,000 $9,600 0.5
Enrollments required tobreak even
on FY 2020 investment
2019–20 tuition and fees $42,885
Estimated annual tuition increase 3.00%
Estimated tuition discount rate 57.0%
Estimated first-year NTR per
enrollment
FY 2020 $18,441
FY 2021 $19,564
FY 2022 $20,150
Assumptions
Sample ROI Analysis for College A
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
26
Contact year
Contact quantity
FY 2020 investment
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022
Additional markets in New York
Senior 3,000 $8,100 1.8
Junior 6,000 $14,400 2.9
Sophomore 4,000 $9,600 1.9
Assessing Incremental Enrollment Required for Different Levels of Return
Targeting New Markets with an ROI Mindset
Assumptions
Sample ROI Analysis for College A
2019–20 tuition and fees $42,885
Estimated annual tuition increase 3.00%
Estimated tuition discount rate 57.0%
Estimated first-year NTR per
enrollment
FY 2020 $18,441
FY 2021 $19,564
FY 2022 $20,150
Enrollments required to realize
3xreturn on FY 2020 investment
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
27
Contact year
Contact quantity
FY 2020 investment
FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022
Additional markets in New York
Senior 3,000 $8,100 2.2
Junior 6,000 $14,400 3.7
Sophomore 4,000 $9,600 2.4
Assessing Incremental Enrollment Required for Different Levels of Return
Targeting New Markets with an ROI Mindset
Enrollments required to realize
4xreturn on FY 2020 investment
Assumptions
Sample ROI Analysis for College A
2019–20 tuition and fees $42,885
Estimated annual tuition increase 3.00%
Estimated tuition discount rate 57.0%
Estimated first-year NTR per
enrollment
FY 2020 $18,441
FY 2021 $19,564
FY 2022 $20,150
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
28
Targeting-Strategy Framework for Optimal Enrollment Outcomes
An Integrated, Comprehensive Approach
Existing parameters
New parameters
Existing markets
1Find students
you’ve previously missed
2Engage new
types of students
New markets
3Gain a foothold
in new markets
4Maximize
penetration in new markets
Source: EAB research and analysis.
©2019 by EAB. All Rights Reserved
29
A Change in Mindset Can Deliver Striking Impact for All Types of Schools
Transformative Results
Change in first-year:
Enrollment NTR (Total) ROI
College A Midsize university in the West +14% +19% 5:1
College B Highly selective university in the Northeast +34% +35% 15:1
College C Midsize private university in the South +34% +61% 10:1
College D Small private college in the Mid-Atlantic +66% +80% 7:1
Source: EAB research and analysis.
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Contact Ian or Rebecca to learn more about goals-first recruitment strategy
Ian WattManaging Director, Client SuccessEAB Enrollment Services(800) 899-7227 [email protected]
Rebecca HowardManaging Director, Client DevelopmentEAB Enrollment Services(804) [email protected]