How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC...

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist South Carolina Poll of 2,508 Adults This survey of 2,508 adults was conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of South Carolina were interviewed in English by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of South Carolina from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Both samples were matched by telephone number to a voter registration list for the state. Voter information was appended to each matched case. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection and L2 for voter registration information. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region except for race, which is from the 2010 census. Results are statistically significant within ±2.0 percentage points. There are 2,340 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.0 percentage points. Among registered voters, 909 had a phone match in the voter file and 1,431 did not. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points and ±2.6 percentage points, respectively. There are 1,197 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in South Carolina includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and those who identify as Republicans or Republican leaning independents without a primary preference. There are 887 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in South Carolina includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and those who identify as Democrats or Democratic leaning independents without a primary preference. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±2.8 percentage points and ±3.3 percentage points, respectively. There are 718 likely Republican primary voters and 446 likely Democratic primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 South Carolina Republican/Democratic Presidential Primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points and ±4.6 percentage points, respectively. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Tables of Adults and Registered Voters

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina January 2016 1

South Carolina Adults South Carolina Registered Voters

Col % Col %

100%

93% 100%

48% 51%

29% 31%

35% 38%

18% 19%

Democrat n/a 30%

Republican n/a 38%

Independent n/a 31%

Other n/a 1%

Very liberal n/a 4%

Liberal n/a 14%

Moderate n/a 31%

Conservative n/a 35%

Very conservative n/a 16%

n/a 26%

Men 48% 48%

Women 52% 52%

Under 45 40% 39%

45 or older 60% 61%

18 to 29 17% 16%

30 to 44 23% 23%

45 to 59 26% 26%

60 or older 33% 34%

White 67% 67%

African American 27% 27%

Latino 4% 4%

Other 2% 2%

Upcountry 25% 24%

Piedmont 13% 13%

Central 26% 26%

Pee Dee/Waccamaw 16% 16%

Low Country 20% 20%

Less than $50,000 55% 53%

$50,000 or more 45% 47%

Not college graduate 66% 64%

College graduate 34% 36%

Married 49% 51%

Not married 51% 49%

Yes 42% 43%

No 58% 57%

29% 30%

Practice a Religion 66% 68%

Does not Practice a Religion 34% 32%

Match n/a 39%

No Match n/a 61%

Landline 51% 52%

Cell Phone 49% 48%

Nature of the Sample - South Carolina

Party Identification

Political Ideology

Tea Party Supporters

South Carolina Adults

South Carolina Registered Voters

South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate

Gender

Age

Age

Race

Region

Religiosity

South Carolina Voter Registration List

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Marital Status

Evangelical Christian

White Evangelical Christians

South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters

South Carolina Potential Democratic Electorate

South Carolina Likely Democratic Primary Voters

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=2508 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.^South Carolina Registered Voters: n=2340 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points.





Col % Col %

100%

60% 100%

Democrat 1% 1%

Republican 71% 74%

Independent 26% 23%

Other 1% 2%

Yes 79% 87%

No 21% 13%

Very liberal 1% 1%

Liberal 4% 4%

Moderate 25% 22%

Conservative 48% 50%

Very conservative 23% 24%

40% 43%

Men 53% 52%

Women 47% 48%

Under 45 33% 29%

45 or older 67% 71%

18 to 29 12% 9%

30 to 44 20% 20%

45 to 59 27% 28%

60 or older 40% 43%

White 92% 93%


Latino 3% 2%

Other 2% 1%

Upcountry 28% 30%

Piedmont 14% 13%

Central 23% 23%


Low Country 21% 20%

Less than $50,000 42% 40%

$50,000 or more 58% 60%



Married 64% 66%

Not married 36% 34%

Yes 54% 57%

No 46% 43%

48% 51%



Match 44% 47%

No Match 56% 53%

Landline 55% 58%

Cell Phone 45% 42%

Past Participation*

Political Ideology




Gender

Age

Age

Race

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status





NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1197 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.^South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=718 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Religiosity


Interview Type





Col % Col %

100%

50% 100%

Democrat 75% 79%

Republican 1% 1%

Independent 25% 21%

Yes 74% 83%

No 26% 17%

Very liberal 9% 10%

Liberal 28% 27%

Moderate 36% 35%

Conservative 20% 19%

Very conservative 8% 9%

12% 11%

Men 42% 41%

Women 58% 59%

Under 45 45% 39%

45 or older 55% 61%

18 to 29 21% 16%

30 to 44 24% 23%

45 to 59 26% 28%

60 or older 29% 32%

White 35% 35%


Latino 4% 3%

Other 2% 2%

Upcountry 18% 20%

Piedmont 11% 12%

Central 32% 31%


Low Country 20% 20%

Less than $50,000 64% 62%

$50,000 or more 36% 38%



Married 37% 40%

Not married 63% 60%

Yes 32% 31%

No 68% 69%

8% 6%



Match 34% 36%

No Match 66% 64%

Landline 49% 51%

Cell Phone 51% 49%

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=887 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.^South Carolina Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=446 MOE +/- 4.6 percentage points.



Marital Status



Religiosity


Age

Race

Region

Household Income

Education


Interview Type

Gender

Age



Past Participation*

Political Ideology



Approve Disapprove Unsure

Adults South Carolina Adults

Registered Voters South Carolina Registered Voters

Potential Republican Electorate South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate

Potential Democratic Electorate South Carolina Potential Democratic Electorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Very liberal-Liberal

Moderate

Conservative-Very conservative

Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters

Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household IncomeLess than $50,000

$50,000 or more

EducationNot college graduate

College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women

Marital StatusMarried

Not married

ReligiosityPractice a Religion

Does not Practice a Religion

Interview TypeLandline

Cell Phone 7%

5%

7%

6%

8%

4%

6%

6%

5%

8%

5%

5%

7%

9%

14%

3%

7%

5%

7%

5%

7%

6%

6%

7%

7%

5%

2%

3%

8%

6%

10%

3%

3%

4%

4%

5%

6%

47%

56%

50%

53%

39%

65%

49%

55%

57%

44%

61%

52%

50%

36%

33%

5%

72%

56%

50%

61%

42%

49%

48%

46%

53%

62%

78%

73%

41%

16%

49%

92%

4%

7%

87%

52%

52%

45%

39%

43%

41%

53%

31%

45%

39%

38%

48%

34%

43%

43%

55%

52%

92%

22%

39%

43%

35%

51%

45%

46%

48%

40%

33%

20%

24%

51%

78%

41%

6%

93%

89%

9%

43%

42%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=2508 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. SouthCarolina Registered Voters: n=2340 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate: n= 1197 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate: n= 887 MOE +/- 3.3 percentagepoints.



Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Ben Carson Jeb Bush Rand Paul MikeHuckabee

Chris Christie John Kasich Carly Fiorina Other Undecided

Potential RepublicanElectorate

South Carolina PotentialRepublican Electorate

Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently

Party IdentificationRepublican

Independent

Political IdeologyModerate

Conservative-Veryconservative

Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite EvangelicalChristians



South Carolina VoterRegistration List

Match

No Match


Cell Phone

7%0%1%1%2%2%2%9%9%13%18%35%

4%

1%

0%

4%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

3%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

12%

13%

7%

12%

7%

10%

21%

20%

9%

19%

20%

21%

17%

33%

46%

8%

6%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

4%

1%

10%

9%

7%

9%

18%

11%

17%

20%

28%

38%

6%

8%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

6%

13%

10%

8%

12%

16%

23%

10%

35%

34%

8%

6%

7%

6%

8%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

0%

1%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

12%

6%

11%

7%

8%

5%

10%

9%

10%

9%

12%

11%

14%

10%

15%

19%

15%

19%

22%

17%

34%

45%

32%

37%

32%

5%

7%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

8%

13%

9%

8%

15%

9%

21%

13%

33%

39%

7%

7%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

9%

10%

10%

7%

16%

11%

19%

18%

29%

39%

8%

6%

6%

5%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

0%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

7%

14%

6%

8%

4%

5%

6%

15%

18%

14%

14%

10%

13%

17%

19%

22%

15%

34%

40%

32%

32%

7%

6%

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

11%

6%

5%

16%

14%

11%

18%

19%

36%

32%

8%

6%

0%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

11%

7%

10%

8%

14%

13%

18%

19%

31%

38%

10%

6%

0%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

11%

9%

9%

9%

12%

14%

14%

21%

35%

34%

8%0%0%0%1%3%1%8%11%12%24%32%

8%

6%

0%

0%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

6%

10%

6%

10%

14%

13%

13%

21%

43%

31%

6%

8%

1%0%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

1%

9%

9%

9%

8%

10%

17%

20%

17%

36%

33%

5%

8%

1%

0%

0%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

1%

9%

9%

10%

7%

11%

15%

20%

17%

36%

34%

2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1197 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure


South Carolina Potential RepublicanElectorate with a Candidate Preference

Primary Support

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz

Marco Rubio

Ben Carson

Jeb Bush


Republican

Independent


Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education

Not college graduate

College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Match

No Match

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

2%14%30%54%

6%

0%

2%

1%

2%

17%

19%

21%

13%

6%

37%

24%

42%

30%

26%

40%

57%

35%

55%

66%

2%

2%

16%

13%

38%

28%

44%

58%

2%12%27%59%

3%

4%

2%

0%

2%

12%

12%

14%

14%

18%

28%

21%

34%

34%

30%

57%

64%

50%

52%

50%

2%

3%

13%

15%

31%

29%

54%

54%

2%

2%

13%

15%

30%

30%

54%

54%

3%

2%

2%

1%

15%

14%

10%

17%

26%

26%

37%

37%

55%

58%

51%

45%

2%

2%

15%

12%

26%

37%

57%

49%

2%

2%

16%

12%

30%

30%

51%

56%

2%

2%

17%

12%

28%

31%

53%

54%

2%14%31%54%

3%

2%

16%

13%

25%

32%

56%

53%

3%

1%

15%

13%

31%

28%

51%

58%

1%

3%

14%

14%

28%

32%

57%

51%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Pri-mary Day?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1053 MOE +/- 3.0 percentagepoints.Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Ted CruzMarco Rubio DonaldTrump

Ben Carson Jeb Bush ChrisChristie

MikeHuckabee

Carly Fiorina John Kasich Rand Paul Other Undecided


South Carolina Potential RepublicanElectorate with a CandidatePreference

Primary Support

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz

Marco Rubio

Ben Carson

Jeb Bush


Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Match

No Match

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

6%1%2%3%3%5%5%9%13%15%17%21%

7%

6%

5%

2%

9%

2%

1%

1%

4%

3%

3%

11%

7%

0%

2%

7%

2%

6%

2%

1%

5%

3%

3%

5%

5%

11%

7%

2%

6%

9%

10%

5%

11%

9%

15%

16%

16%

11%

31%

18%

33%

22%

28%

31%

13%

16%

20%

26%

35%

7%

6%

0%

1%

5%

1%

5%

2%

3%

3%

3%

5%

7%

4%

7%

10%

14%

13%

13%

15%

18%

17%

18%

22%

6%

7%

0%

1%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

1%

4%

4%

4%

8%

8%

12%

13%

13%

16%

13%

19%

13%

22%

21%

3%0%3%1%3%4%3%7%15%18%17%25%

6%

9%

7%

9%

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

2%

3%

6%

2%

2%

1%

2%

3%

6%

6%

4%

4%

4%

7%

7%

2%

5%

9%

8%

9%

8%

11%

9%

13%

11%

20%

15%

16%

19%

11%

13%

16%

17%

13%

19%

19%

18%

23%

18%

22%

20%

21%

4%

6%

0%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

3%

8%

10%

17%

11%

15%

14%

18%

17%

19%

24%

5%

7%

1%

0%

2%

2%

4%

2%

4%

2%

3%

6%

7%

4%

8%

10%

14%

13%

15%

14%

19%

16%

18%

23%

6%

7%

7%

5%

1%

1%

1%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

5%

6%

3%

3%

7%

7%

2%

10%

9%

8%

9%

9%

15%

16%

20%

13%

12%

21%

17%

21%

13%

17%

18%

22%

22%

19%

18%

6%

6%

1%2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

7%

1%

9%

8%

11%

17%

12%

19%

17%

17%

22%

19%

8%

4%

1%

0%

1%

3%

2%

4%

4%

2%

7%

3%

6%

4%

9%

9%

14%

13%

11%

18%

19%

16%

18%

23%

6%

6%

1%

0%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

5%

10%

8%

12%

14%

14%

16%

17%

18%

20%

22%

5%0%2%2%2%6%4%10%12%16%21%20%

9%

5%

0%

1%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

5%

5%

8%

9%

11%

14%

16%

14%

13%

20%

26%

19%

5%

8%

1%

0%

3%

1%

3%

3%

2%

4%

4%

5%

5%

5%

9%

10%

15%

12%

17%

12%

16%

19%

21%

21%

8%

4%

0%

1%

1%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

4%

5%

5%

10%

8%

10%

17%

14%

16%

19%

16%

22%

20%

Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate]?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1053 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points.Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Martin O'Malley Other Undecided

Potential DemocraticElectorate

South Carolina Potential DemocraticElectorate

Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Obama Approval Rating

Approve

Disapprove

Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Race

White

African American

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Match

No Match

Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

7%0%2%29%61%

8%

2%

1%

34%

39%

27%

58%

59%

73%

3%

8%0%

4%

1%

46%

24%

47%

66%

4%

8%

0%1%

2%

37%

34%

58%

56%

9%

7%

11%

1%

41%

28%

39%

64%

6%

6%

7%

13%

4%

1%

2%

4%

2%

2%

1%

34%

33%

27%

23%

30%

58%

57%

64%

62%

64%

3%

9%

2%

2%

36%

27%

59%

63%

5%

8%0%

2%

2%

39%

24%

54%

66%

11%

4%

6%

7%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

14%

24%

38%

49%

73%

69%

56%

42%

9%

4%0%

1%

3%

20%

42%

70%

50%

7%

6%

0%3%

1%

19%

43%

71%

49%

9%

4%

0%1%

3%

25%

36%

65%

57%

8%

6%

0%2%

3%

29%

28%

62%

62%

4%

9%

0%2%

2%

39%

24%

56%

65%

6%

9%

0%1%

3%

33%

23%

60%

65%

6%

8%

0%1%

3%

36%

23%

57%

66%

2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=887 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totalsmay not add to 100% due to rounding.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure

Potential DemocraticElectorate

South Carolina Potential DemocraticElectorate with a Candidate Preference


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Primary Support

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Match

No Match

Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

1%13%27%59%

1%

1%

17%

12%

31%

25%

50%

63%

1%

1%

4%

18%

30%

29%

65%

52%

1%

1%

14%

11%

34%

24%

51%

64%

2%

1%

2%

1%

17%

15%

8%

13%

16%

30%

29%

24%

19%

30%

54%

55%

67%

66%

53%

1%

1%

11%

15%

29%

23%

59%

61%

1%

1%

11%

15%

30%

25%

58%

59%

1%

1%

13%

13%

25%

32%

61%

54%

3%

1%

1%

10%

17%

15%

11%

16%

25%

30%

41%

72%

58%

55%

49%

2%

0%

13%

13%

20%

35%

65%

52%

1%

1%

14%

12%

25%

29%

60%

58%

1%

1%

15%

10%

26%

28%

58%

61%

1%

1%

10%

16%

26%

27%

64%

56%

1%

1%

13%

13%

30%

21%

56%

65%

0%

2%

13%

13%

31%

22%

55%

63%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently onPrimary Day?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=760 MOE +/- 3.6 percent-age points.Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Job creation andeconomic growth

National securityand terrorism

Health careThe deficit andgovernmentspending

Religious andmoral values

Immigration Climate change All equally None of these Other Unsure


Registered VotersSouth Carolina RegisteredVoters

Potential Republican ElectorateSouth Carolina PotentialRepublican Electorate

Potential Democratic ElectorateSouth Carolina PotentialDemocratic Electorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate

Conservative-Veryconservative


Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion

Does not Practice aReligion

Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone 0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

4%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

6%

5%

5%

6%

5%

5%

5%

7%

3%

8%

5%

3%

3%

6%

5%

5%

4%

6%

3%

6%

6%

5%

6%

5%

5%

3%

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

6%

5%

5%

5%

5%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

6%

4%

0%

3%

5%

0%

2%

2%

6%

5%

6%

5%

6%

5%

4%

7%

5%

6%

5%

5%

4%

8%

15%

2%

6%

5%

6%

6%

5%

5%

6%

4%

7%

6%

7%

6%

5%

5%

5%

8%

2%

2%

8%

5%

5%

11%

10%

5%

14%

9%

12%

13%

8%

10%

11%

9%

11%

12%

10%

7%

7%

12%

10%

10%

12%

10%

4%

8%

11%

12%

15%

15%

15%

7%

3%

8%

17%

5%

5%

15%

10%

10%

11%

11%

11%

10%

9%

13%

9%

13%

11%

11%

10%

11%

14%

8%

13%

5%

13%

13%

10%

15%

8%

12%

10%

9%

12%

11%

12%

13%

11%

6%

12%

15%

6%

6%

15%

11%

11%

13%

13%

13%

13%

16%

10%

15%

10%

15%

10%

15%

15%

9%

11%

13%

18%

11%

9%

15%

8%

17%

11%

16%

14%

16%

10%

10%

11%

10%

22%

13%

7%

19%

19%

8%

13%

13%

21%

27%

23%

24%

19%

29%

23%

25%

27%

19%

29%

24%

19%

19%

16%

16%

27%

25%

24%

28%

19%

30%

17%

24%

23%

24%

31%

29%

25%

11%

25%

32%

15%

14%

32%

24%

24%

30%

23%

30%

25%

31%

22%

26%

27%

21%

35%

18%

26%

34%

36%

26%

41%

21%

28%

26%

24%

30%

28%

31%

26%

24%

26%

20%

19%

34%

38%

27%

15%

42%

42%

16%

27%

27%

Which one of the following issues is most important to you for the 2016 presidential election?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=2508 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. South Carolina Registered Voters: n=2340 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate: n= 1197 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. PotentialDemocratic Electorate: n= 887 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points.



Support Oppose Unsure



Potential Republican Electorate South Carolina Potential RepublicanElectorate

Potential Democratic Electorate South Carolina Potential DemocraticElectorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




Cell Phone 3%

6%

3%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

2%

6%

3%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

5%

4%

4%

5%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

4%

4%

47%

44%

47%

45%

40%

51%

39%

53%

47%

44%

46%

48%

46%

42%

17%

55%

41%

48%

51%

41%

41%

46%

43%

50%

50%

69%

59%

39%

21%

51%

66%

15%

18%

66%

46%

46%

50%

51%

49%

50%

55%

45%

57%

43%

49%

51%

49%

49%

48%

55%

78%

41%

55%

48%

47%

54%

55%

50%

53%

45%

46%

30%

38%

58%

77%

47%

29%

83%

80%

30%

50%

50%

Do you support or oppose making laws covering the sale of firearms more strict?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1244 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. South Caroli-na Registered Voters Split Sample: n=1154 MOE +/- 2.9 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 610 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Potential DemocraticElectorate Split Sample: n= 417 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.









Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone 11%

14%

14%

12%

13%

12%

16%

9%

12%

14%

14%

9%

17%

9%

13%

12%

13%

12%

7%

14%

12%

15%

12%

8%

15%

8%

12%

10%

10%

9%

12%

14%

12%

10%

12%

13%

28%

28%

26%

30%

33%

24%

26%

30%

30%

25%

28%

34%

25%

24%

31%

28%

16%

35%

24%

32%

21%

35%

28%

35%

26%

32%

31%

27%

23%

32%

29%

23%

26%

29%

28%

28%

60%

58%

60%

59%

55%

64%

57%

61%

58%

61%

58%

58%

57%

67%

56%

59%

71%

53%

70%

54%

67%

50%

60%

56%

59%

60%

57%

63%

67%

60%

58%

63%

61%

61%

59%

59%

Do you support or oppose free trade with foreign countries?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1244 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. South Car-olina Registered Voters Split Sample: n=1154 MOE +/- 2.9 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 610 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Potential Demo-cratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 417 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.






Potential Republican ElectorateSouth Carolina Potential RepublicanElectorate

Potential Democratic ElectorateSouth Carolina Potential DemocraticElectorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone 8%

10%

8%

10%

11%

7%

10%

9%

9%

9%

10%

8%

11%

7%

13%

8%

10%

9%

6%

10%

8%

5%

10%

11%

11%

7%

8%

8%

4%

10%

6%

10%

10%

7%

9%

9%

43%

48%

43%

47%

45%

46%

44%

47%

53%

34%

54%

52%

33%

36%

38%

49%

33%

53%

44%

46%

42%

49%

44%

49%

47%

55%

56%

40%

26%

37%

62%

34%

32%

57%

45%

46%

48%

42%

49%

43%

44%

47%

46%

44%

38%

56%

37%

40%

56%

57%

49%

43%

57%

38%

50%

44%

50%

46%

47%

40%

42%

37%

35%

52%

71%

53%

33%

56%

59%

36%

46%

45%

Do you support or oppose immigration policies which include a pathway to citizenship for undocumented or illegal immigrants?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1244 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. South Carolina Registered Voters Split Sample: n=1154 MOE +/-2.9 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 610 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 417 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due torounding.









Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




Cell Phone 7%

10%

7%

9%

9%

8%

11%

5%

9%

7%

11%

6%

7%

7%

10%

8%

11%

7%

7%

8%

10%

5%

9%

8%

9%

5%

7%

9%

6%

8%

7%

12%

10%

7%

9%

9%

39%

39%

39%

39%

42%

35%

43%

34%

37%

42%

37%

37%

43%

40%

58%

33%

39%

39%

36%

42%

36%

39%

43%

35%

38%

27%

29%

44%

54%

41%

23%

57%

56%

26%

38%

39%

55%

50%

54%

52%

49%

57%

45%

60%

54%

51%

51%

57%

50%

52%

31%

60%

50%

54%

57%

50%

54%

56%

48%

56%

53%

68%

64%

47%

40%

52%

70%

32%

34%

67%

53%

53%

Do you support or oppose sending U.S. combat troops to Iraq and Syria to fight ISIS?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1244 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. South Carolina RegisteredVoters Split Sample: n=1154 MOE +/- 2.9 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 610 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 417MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.









Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




Cell Phone 4%

6%

7%

4%

6%

4%

4%

6%

6%

4%

6%

7%

3%

4%

7%

4%

4%

6%

4%

6%

5%

3%

5%

5%

7%

3%

4%

8%

3%

7%

5%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

49%

60%

32%

67%

47%

62%

53%

56%

63%

43%

67%

58%

49%

36%

54%

56%

51%

56%

53%

53%

48%

59%

50%

56%

61%

74%

73%

45%

23%

45%

73%

43%

39%

70%

55%

55%

47%

34%

60%

29%

47%

33%

43%

38%

31%

53%

27%

36%

47%

60%

39%

40%

45%

38%

43%

41%

47%

38%

44%

39%

33%

24%

23%

48%

74%

48%

21%

54%

56%

25%

40%

40%

Do you support or oppose same-sex marriage, that is, allowing gay or lesbian couples to legally marry?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1264 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points.South Carolina Registered Voters Split Sample: n=1186 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 587 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points.Potential Democratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 470 MOE +/- 4.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.









Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




Cell Phone 9%

14%

9%

13%

14%

9%

16%

7%

12%

11%

15%

8%

10%

12%

17%

10%

7%

14%

5%

15%

6%

18%

13%

11%

11%

11%

9%

12%

8%

11%

8%

13%

12%

8%

11%

12%

35%

38%

32%

39%

31%

42%

33%

41%

41%

30%

44%

38%

35%

23%

24%

42%

35%

37%

39%

33%

44%

32%

34%

37%

36%

58%

53%

26%

16%

33%

56%

17%

19%

55%

37%

36%

56%

48%

59%

48%

56%

48%

51%

53%

47%

60%

41%

54%

55%

66%

59%

48%

58%

49%

56%

52%

50%

51%

54%

52%

53%

31%

37%

62%

76%

56%

36%

70%

69%

37%

52%

52%

Do you support or oppose the government taking action to combat climate change?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1264 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points.South Carolina Registered Voters Split Sample: n=1186 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 587 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points.Potential Democratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 470 MOE +/- 4.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.









Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Upcountry

Piedmont

Central

Pee Dee/Waccamaw

Low Country


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

African American

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




Cell Phone 9%

11%

9%

11%

8%

13%

11%

9%

14%

6%

16%

11%

6%

5%

11%

10%

9%

11%

9%

9%

6%

12%

11%

10%

11%

11%

10%

10%

8%

10%

9%

10%

9%

10%

10%

10%

61%

54%

59%

56%

65%

50%

58%

57%

50%

67%

47%

52%

65%

71%

70%

50%

62%

55%

57%

61%

62%

53%

61%

57%

52%

38%

47%

62%

77%

58%

42%

75%

75%

44%

58%

57%

30%

35%

32%

33%

28%

38%

31%

34%

37%

27%

37%

37%

30%

24%

20%

40%

29%

34%

34%

30%

32%

35%

28%

32%

37%

52%

43%

28%

15%

32%

49%

15%

16%

47%

32%

33%

Do you support or oppose banning Muslims from entering the United States?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll South Carolina Adults Split Sample. Interviews conducted January 17th through January 23rd, 2016, n=1264 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. South Carolina Registered Vot-ers Split Sample: n=1186 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Potential Republican Electorate Split Sample: n= 587 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate Split Sample: n= 470 MOE+/- 4.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC...

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