How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - How can IPv6 change the world? - New...

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How can IPv6 How can IPv6 change the change the world? world? - New Business - New Business Opportunities - Opportunities - 2002.4.11 Takashi Arano Chair of IPv6 Deployment Committ ee, IAJapan Board member of the IPv6 Forum

Transcript of How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - How can IPv6 change the world? - New...

Page 1: How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - 2002.4.11 Takashi Arano Chair.

How can IPv6 change How can IPv6 change the world?the world?

- New Business Opportunities -- New Business Opportunities -

2002.4.11

Takashi AranoChair of IPv6 Deployment Committee, IAJapan

Board member of the IPv6 Forum

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2002© Takashi Arano

Why IPv6?

Many technical advantages– No more NAT– P2P, IPSec– Plug and Play

Limitation of IPv4– Routing table– Address shortage

New applications & new business opportunitiesHow IPv6 can change the world?

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2002© Takashi Arano

Limitation of IPv4

Nobody could predict the current scale of the Internet when TCP/IP was designed.

Address Scarcity Global routing table size

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2002© Takashi Arano

RIPE/NCC

(Europe)

APNIC

(AsiaPacific)

ARIN

(America)

Total

1998 0.77

1999 0.79 0.52 1.29 2.61

2000 1.50 0.92 2.05 4.47

2001 1.51 1.71 2.25 5.47

Approximately 90-100 /8s are unallocated. Address Usage Rate ( /8 unit per a year)

IPv4 Address Usage

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IPv4 Address Usage Estimate

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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How soon will 2009 be?

We need experiences for new technology well in advance.– Transition takes time

Address Scarcity increases operation cost and other costs– Complicated network design

• NAT/private address• Insufficient global address assigned

– Complicated procedure for address allocation and assignment

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Cost?

Transition cost from IPv4 to IPv6? Cost for keeping IPv4?

– Operation cost– R&D cost for NAT, etc.

IPv4

IPv6

Transition cost

It’s like energy level transition in chemical reactions.

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Global Routing Table Size Currently, 110k Increasing every year,

every month… Size affects routing

convergence time and eventually stability of the Internet

Router performance is being improved greatly…

Catastrophic accidents occurred in the past.

BGP Table Growth

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

110000

Time

Pre

fixe

s

Mar1999

Feb2001

出典: by Phillip Smith in 11th APNIC Open Policy Meeting

Page 9: How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - How can IPv6 change the world? - New Business Opportunities - 2002.4.11 Takashi Arano Chair.

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Applications are emerging

IPv6Car(Wide Project) PlayStation Game(SONY)

IPv6 Refrigerator (Toshiba)

IPv6 VoIP IPv6 Toy Train (TOMY)

Pictures provided by Kame project, NTT and RIIS

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IPv6’s Merit? (again)

IPv6 is not functionally different in principle, but practically different– “Quantity” changes “quality”

• Only by sufficiency of addresses, every equipment can be assigned a global address and be accessible from the world.

– Built-in IP-sec encourages its use, but not separate IP-sec module does.

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Extending the Internet…

NAT+Private Addresses to all Global Addresses– Some applications don’t work in NAT+private enviro

nments• NetMeeting, Napstar, VoIP…

Computers to non-Computers– In office

• Phone, FAX, desk, clock, camera, coffee server, meeting room…

– At home• Home appliance, car, front door, bath, …

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Example of Home Appliance (I)

HA utilizes contents from the network HA is upgraded from the network.

– Like a COMPUTER

HA will grow according to user’s preference

IPv6IPv6NetworkNetwork

HA vendor server

Server by Recipe Provider

Downloading Recipes

Ex) Growing to be a microwave specialized in Chinese cuisines !

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Example of Home Appliances (II)

utilize information which would be otherwise discarded

・ frequency/time the oven function is used・ healthiness of power unit

・ frequency/time of door opened・ contents inside

IPv6IPv6NetworkNetwork

HA vendorsMarket researchRemote maintenance

Neighborhood Community(Grocery store, etc.)One-to-one marketing & sales

Food IndustryMarket research

Info

Money back(?)

third parties

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Example of Automobile Famous example: generating fine-grained weather information

– GPS -> location– r.p.m. -> speed of the car– Movement of wiper -> precipitation

Information Retrieval on demand– Congestion info– Restaurant info on demand

Restaurant

info

moneyInfo broker

info

couponUsers

discount with coupon

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IPv6 and Mobile Terminal

Personal interface to the IPv6 network– AAA– Various use

• Information retrieval

• Control HA from remote

• E-commerce

• VoIP (Voice over IP, Video over IP)

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IPv6 = Information Exchange Platform

IPv6 will grow to be a platform for Information Exchange– Win-Win situation for all

• Sell information to those who need this for their business• Pay money to users who give their information

– Information exchanges occur not only between home electronic vendors and their users, but among heterogeneous industry sectors, home users and equipments, various sensors in public, etc.

– Authentication & authorization and privacy protection mechanism should be included in the platform.

A lot of opportunities for new applications and your business!

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IPv6 in Enterprise Network

Combination of firewall model and IPSec model would give more powerful solutions to enterprise networks.

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An Application in Enterprise Network

Experiment for IPv6-VPN with constructing company.

Joint Venture co. A

File server

Printer

Security unit

JV co. B

Z co. employeeX co. employee

Y co. employee

X co. HQ

the Internet

Security unit of X co.

IPv6TunnelingwithIPSec

FW

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Thinking more objectively…

All these merits are just possibilities which nobody has proved.

Believe or not? Try or just watch(do nothing)? It’s up to you!

But we should know– a few business chances in what has already been proved.– Experiences are essential for any next step

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Perspective of 2002 Windows XP will let people feel IPv6 near at hand More real IPv6 applications emerging More commercial activities in Japan, and maybe in Asia

and Europe as well More constructive and practical discussion will be

progressed, although some criticism will be shown– More collaborative discussion among R&D, operations, business

sectors are expected.

Collaboration among various countries in Asia, Europe and US.

Let’s go ahead together!