Does Hong Kong have an informal diplomatic role for China on the New Silk Road (hkpsa 21 oct 2017)
HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009
description
Transcript of HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009
Yang Zixiao, HKUST
Does Anti-Americanism correlate with Pro-China?A Regression Analysis to Sixteen Countries’ Public Opinions
Does Anti-Americanism correlate with Pro-China?A Regression Analysis to Sixteen Countries’ Public Opinions
HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009
• Research Questions:
what is the relation between global public opinion, or public attitudes of citizens in major countries, toward the China and the United States?
Key HypothesisKey Hypothesis
• Individuals with higher anti-Americanism will tend to express more amity toward China.
MethodologyMethodology
• Dataset: Pew Global Attitudes Project, Spring 2005.
• Conducted in sixteen countries: France, Germany, Spain, Britain, the Netherlands, Poland, Russia, India, China, Canada, the US, Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Lebanon Jordan and Morocco.
• Overall sample size: 15,575.
Key Dependent VariablesKey Dependent Variables
• Overall do you think that China’s growing economy is a good thing or a bad thing for our country?
• Overall do you think it would be a good thing or a bad thing if China were to become as powerful militarily as the US?
• Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of China?
Figure 2. Sixteen Countries' Public Opinion toward China, the US, Germany, France and Japan, Source: PEW 2005 Spring Survey
Figure 2. Sixteen Countries' Public Opinion toward China, the US, Germany, France and Japan, Source: PEW 2005 Spring Survey
Is your overall opinion of … : very favorable(=5); mostly favorable(=4);don't know(=3);mostly unfavorable(=2);very unfavorable(=1)?
1
2
3
4
5
Pakis
tan
Mor
occo
Britain
German
ySp
ain
Indo
nesia
India
Leban
on
Canad
a
Russia
Netherl
ands
Fran
ce
the U
S
Polan
d
Turke
y
Jord
an
nati
onal
ave
rage
sco
re
China
the US
Germany
France
Japan
Key Explanatory VariablesKey Explanatory Variables
• Five relevant questions about the US, including evaluations of its entire national image, superpower position, foreign policy, war on terror and President George W. Bush.
• Factor analyses help us to create a single “Pro-US” factor.
• In all 17,766 observations, the minimum and maximum values are 0 and 1; the average is 0.459 and standard deviation is 0.260.
Control VariablesControl Variables
• Age
• Gender
• Income
• Education
• Use of Internet
• Country Dummy Variables
• People who are more pro-American are “somewhat” likely to approve China’s rising economic power, “very” likely to disapprove China’s rising military power, and “moderately” likely to have a favorable view of China.
Demographic and Socioeconomic Variables:
Demographic and Socioeconomic Variables:
• Young people are most likely to be approval of China.
• Mid-high income people and people with high secondary educational degree show the least amity.
• Females are less likely to have a favorable view.
• There is no significant difference between netizens and non Internet users.