Historic Factors Shaping Housing in Seattle

HistoricFactorsShapingHousingInSeattle

AliModarres

Or

ContextforUnderstandingHousinginPugetSound

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

1890

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

HistoricalPatternsofPopulationGrowth

Tacoma Seattle Everett

City 2000 2014 Growth

Seattle 563,374 668,342 104,968(18.6%)

Bellevue 109,569 136,426 26,857(24.5%)

Renton 50,052 98,404 48,352(96.6%)

Kirkland 45,054 85,763 40,709(90.4%)

TheOtherPugetSound

• OtherCities:– FromBurienandSeaTactoOlympia,includingKitsapcounty.

– 42cities/censusplaces

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000Tacoma

Kent

FederalW

ay

Aubu

rn

Lakewoo

dSouthHill

Burie

nOlym

pia

Lacey

Puyallu

pParkland

Un

iversityP

lace

DesM

oines

Spanaw

ay

SeaTac

Graham

Frederickson

Tukw

ila

Cascade-Fairw

ood

Tumwater

ElkP

lain

FortLe

wis

Artond

ale

Lakeland

South

Lakeland

North

Vashon

Sumner

Edgewoo

dFife

DuPo

nt

Midland

Summit

Waller

GigH

arbo

rMilton

Pacific

Fircrest

Norm

andyPark

Steilacoom

FoxIsla

nd

McCho

rdAFB

2014Population

-10000

-5000

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000Au

burn

SouthHill

Burie

n

Graham

Frederickson

Kent

Lacey

Parkland

FederalW

ay

Tacoma

Spanaw

ay

DuPo

nt

Tumwater

Olym

pia

Puyallu

p

Fife

Artond

ale

Tukw

ila

SeaTac

UniversityP

lace

Lakeland

South

Milton

Pacific

GigH

arbo

r

DesM

oines

Midland

Sumner

FoxIsla

nd

Fircrest

Lakewoo

d

Edgewoo

d

Vashon

Norm

andyPark

Steilacoom

Summit

McCho

rdAFB

Waller

ElkP

lain

Lakeland

North

FortLe

wis

2000-2014PopulationGrowth

-50.0

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

DuPo

nt

Frederickson

Graham

Fife

Aubu

rn

SouthHill

Burie

nArtond

ale

Parkland

Tumwater

Lacey

Spanaw

ay

FoxIsla

nd

Milton

Pacific

Total

GigH

arbo

rPu

yallu

pMidland

Lakeland

South

Tukw

ila

Kent

Olym

pia

Fircrest

Sumner

FederalW

ay

SeaTac

UniversityP

lace

Edgewoo

dTacoma

DesM

oines

Vashon

No

rmandyPark

Lakewoo

dSteilacoom

Summit

ElkP

lain

Lakeland

North

Waller

McCho

rdAFB

FortLe

wis

%2000-2014Growth

Aregionalperspective• AsoftheCensus2014populationestimate,these42cities/censusplaceshousedslightlymorepeoplethanthecitiesofSeattle,Bellevue,Renton,Redmond,andKirkland,combined.– 1.2millionversus1.05million

6.1 6.4

6.3

6.2 6.7

17 17.8

14.9

4.8

3.3

5.1

3.9

1.4

6.2

5.9

5.6 5.8 6.6

16.6

15.1

14.4

6.6

5.5 6.

5

3.3

1.8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Under5years

5to9years 10to14years

15to19years

20to24years

25to34years

35to44years

45to54years

55to59years

60to64years

65to74years

75to84years

85yearsandover

KingCounty

2000

2014

6.7 7.5 7.8

7.4

6.5

12.9

16.8

15.2

5.1

3.5

5.4

3.8

1.3

6.9

6.5 6.9

6.6 7.4

14.5

13.1 14

.2

6.5

5.5 6.

8

3.5

1.5

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Under5years

5to9years 10to14years

15to19years

20to24years

25to34years

35to44years

45to54years

55to59years

60to64years

65to74years

75to84years

85yearsandover

PierceCounty

2000

2014

37.2

39.3

35.8

37.5

38.4

35.7 35.8

34.1

34.7

36.5

30

32

34

36

38

40

KingCounty KitsapCounty PierceCounty SnohomishCounty ThurstonCounty

MedianAge

2014 2000

AverageHouseholdSizebyCounty

• King 2.44(Seattle,2.1)• Kitsap 2.51• Pierce 2.64(Tacoma,2.49)• Thurston 2.52• Snohomish 2.67

Source: 2010-2014 ACS

FirstImpression• Threeregionsareemerging:

– FamilyandChildren– Hip(EnergizerBunnyUrbanism)– Aging

• Housingcost• Desirabilityofparticularurbanform• Minimalregionalgrowthmanagement

Diversity

GrowingDiverse(KingCounty)

• Comparativegrowthratesofracialandethnicgroupsbetween2000and2014

• Overallpopulation=15.7%(averageannual1.12%)• Non-HispanicWhitePopulation=0%• Non-HispanicAsianPopulation=63.4%(averageannual

growth4.5%)• Latinopopulation=93.5%(averageannualgrowth6.7%)

GrowingDiverse(PierceCounty)

• Comparativegrowthratesofracialandethnicgroupsbetween2000and2014:

• Overallpopulation=18.7%(averageannual1.34%)• Non-HispanicWhitePopulation=6.6%(averageannual

growth0.55%)• Non-HispanicAsianPopulation=39%(averageannual

growth2.8%)• Latinopopulation=119%(averageannualgrowth8.5%)

HousingandTransportation

LaborMovement• 93%ofKingCountyresidentsworkinKingCounty• Nearly36,000workinSnohomishand25,000inPierceCounty.

• 73%ofPierceCountyresidentsworkinPierceCounty.

• Nearly24%workinKingCounty

• Thismovementiscausedbyunevengeographiesof– housingaffordability,– housingtype,and– employment.

• Theseareallindicatorsofunevendevelopment.

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

KING KITSAP PIERCE SNOHOMISH

HousingPermitsbyHousingType2013

MF50+ MF1-49 SF

Economy

ARegionalPerspective• ThefivecountiesofSnohomish,King,Kitsap,Pierce,andThurstonhadabout190,000worksitesasofthe3rdweekofDecember2015.

• Theyemployedabout1.97millionpeople.• ThecitiesinmySouthSoundhousedabout45,000worksites(or24%ofallworksites).Theyalsocollectivelyemployedabout507,000 individuals(26%).

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0SEATTLE

TACO

MA

BELLEV

UE

EVERETT

OLYMPIA

KENT

KIRK

LAND

LYNNWOOD

RENTO

N

PUYA

LLUP

REDM

OND

AUBU

RN

FEDE

RALWAY

BOTH

ELL

BREM

ERTO

N

GIGHA

RBOR

ISSA

QUA

H

LAKEWOOD

EDMONDS

TUKW

ILA

SNOHO

MISH

Top20CitiesbyNumberofWorksites– PugetSoundRegion

KING67%

KITSAP7%

PIERCE19%

THURSTON7%

PercentageofWorksitesbyCounty

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

KING KITSAP PIERCE SNOHOMISH THURSTON Kitsap,Pierce&Thurston

FirmsbyEmployeesizebyCounty2015

10000+

5000-9999

1000-4999

500-999

250-499

100-249

50-99

20-49

10-19

5-9

1-4

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000

RetailTrade

HealthcareandSocialAssistance

AccommodationandFoodServices

Manufacturing

Professional,Scientific,andTechnicalServices

PublicAdministration

EducationalServices

Construction

OtherServices(ExceptPublicAdministration)

Information

Wholesale

FinanceandInsurance

Administrative,Support,WasteManagementandRemediationServices

RealEstateandRentalandLeasing

Arts,Entertainment,andRecreation

TransportationandWarehousing

Utilities

Agriculture,Forestry,FishingandHunting

ManagementofCompaniesandEnterprise

MiningandOilandGasExtraction

Kitsap Pierce Thurston

0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000

RetailTrade



Manufacturing



EducationalServices

Construction

OtherServices (ExceptPublicAdministration)

Information

Wholesale

FinanceandInsurance

Administrative,Support,WasteManagement andRemediationServices

RealEstate andRentalandLeasing



Utilities

Agriculture,Forestry,FishingandHunting

Management ofCompaniesandEnterprise


EmploymentbyIndustry

King Kitsap Pierce Thurston

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000RetailTrade



Manufacturing



EducationalServices

Construction

OtherServices(ExceptPublicAdministration)

InformationWholesale

FinanceandInsurance

AdministrativeandSupportandWasteManagementandRemidiationServices

RealEstateandRentalandLeasing



Utilities

Agriclture,Forestry,FishingandHunting

ManagementofComaniesandEnterprise


EconomicSectorsbyEmploymentSize

King Kitsap Pierce Snohomish Thurston

MovingForward• Canwecontinueourpatternsofuneveneconomicdevelopment?

• Canweboastaboutasustainablecity(ormorerealisticallypocketsofsustainability),iftheregionisnotsustainable?

• HowmanygreenbuildingsdoesittaketocompensateforthousandsofpeoplecommutingupanddownI-5corridor?

Historic Factors Shaping Housing in Seattle

Documents

Transcript of Historic Factors Shaping Housing in Seattle