Heathrow Area Transport Forum (HATF)€¦ · 06/12/2018 · TAXI How Heathrow passengers arrive...

Classification: Confidential


Heathrow Area Transport Forum (HATF) Autumn 2019 Wider Forum Event



Welcome, Introductions and Overview of HATF Val Shawcross CBE, HATF Chair



The role of the Independent Chair

• Leads the HATF Board and HATF Wider Forum group, ensuring it is effective in:• Reaching, and articulating, a clear collective HATF position

• Delivering its strategic objectives

• Effectively performing and executing its responsibilities – including those outlined in the Airports National Policy Statement.

• Ensures that the HATF provides robust challenge to Heathrow with regards to its performance against defined surface access targets

• Monitors Heathrow’s performance in relation to the implementation of its Surface Access Strategy and delivery of the associated surface access targets and delivery plans.

• Discusses, debates and influences strategic issues facing airport in relation to Surface



Who is currently on our Board • Val Shawcross, HATF Chair.

• Anthony Smith, CEO, Transport Focus.

• Cllr Keith Glazier, TfSE Chair, Transport for the South East.

• David Lutton, Executive Director, London First.

• Graham Vidler, Chief Executive, Confederation of Passenger Transport.

• Kris Beuret, Non-Executive Director, Transport & Environment Group, Heathrow Community Engagement Board (HCEB).

• Mark Frost, Head of Transport & Environmental Strategy, London Borough of Hounslow Council.

• Richard Anderson, Chair, Airline Consultative Committee.

• Robert Windsor, Policy & Compliance Manager and Executive Director, British International Freight Association.

• Rupert Walker, Strategy and Planning Director (South), Network Rail.

• Wayne King, Unite.

• Tony Caccavone, Director of Surface Access, Heathrow

• Shamal Ratnayaka, Aviation Strategy Lead, Transport for London (TfL)

• Christian Wolmar, Trustee, London Cycling Campaign

• Kathy Slack, CEO, Enterprise M3



HATF Work to Date

• Two board meetings and today’s full forum event

• The Board has explored together the realism of plans and proposals to provide additional high capacity rail services to Heathrow -

• Southern Rail Access,

• Western Rail Access,

• Intensification and upgrade of Piccadilly line services,

• The impact of HS2 and the planned interchange at Old Oak Common



HATF Work ProgrammeHATF Main Board Wider Forum Special Interest Group

2019

September 17th 2019Public Transport (high capacity / rail)

October 24th 2019Modal shift (car) / air quality Local Transport overview (bus/coach)

November 21st 2019Budget and FundingFeedback from data modelling and capacity Assessment case and potential phasing

October (2nd Oct) Wider forum launch event:Customer services Disability accessSmart travel Modal shift

October Data modelling and capacity

2020

January Monitoring February Construction Statement of Common Ground

31st March 2020 Wider forum event

January Active Travel (special seminar event) February Freight



AgendaItem Owner

1 Welcome, introductions and overview of HATF:

Purpose, Objectives, Role of HATF Board

Val Shawcross CBE

HATF Chair

2 Section One: The Challenges Passenger Information and Accessibility Modal shift and transport related air quality issues

Kris Beuret and Anthony SmithMark Frost and Shamal Ratnayaka

3 Interactive Q & A

4 Section Two: Delivering the Surface Access Masterplan by Heathrow Surface Access Strategy Team

James CorneliusChristopher CaseyNicola Jones

5 Interactive Q & A

Networking Lunch and opportunity to visit the Cycle hub

6 Section Three: Scrutiny workshopsPassenger Information and Accessibility Modal shift and transport related Air Quality issues

Kris Beuret and Anthony SmithChristian Wolmar

Refreshment Break

7 Feedback from Scrutiny Workshops and Chair’s Closing Comments Val Shawcross CBE

HATF Chair 8 Close



The Challenges: Passenger Information and Accessibility Anthony Smith (Transport Focus) & Kris Beuret (HCEB)



AccessibilityAirport Spread• The size of the airport and the spread out location of the different terminals and entry points

Service Issues• PRM service provider – staff recruitment, training, language skills

• Disruption

Equipment and Design• e.g. wheelchair design, ITS capacity, wayfaring

Passenger Flows• Logistics – imbalance of PRMs on departure and arrival

• PRM definition

• Wheelchair ‘trains’



The Challenges: Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues

Shamal Ratnayaka (TfL) & Mark Frost (HSPG Transport Group/LB Hounslow)



The Demand Challenge

Expanded Heathrow

Heathrow today

370,000 daily trips

235,000 daily trips

2026 2030 2035 2040 2050

NPS central case (opening) 132 mppa - 135 mppa 136 mppa

HAL DCO (opening) 115 mppa 130 mppa 135 mppa 142 mppa

75 mppa

132 mppa



• Heathrow aspiration: No net increase in highway trips

• 150,000 extra daily trips by sustainable modes (+150%)

• In mode share terms – from 39% → 66%• Caveat: extent to which staff car-sharing and backfilling taxis can reduce car trips?

• How to attract people to public transport?

• How to accommodate that additional demand?

Car & Taxi

Public Transport

0 25020015010050Daily surface access demand (000s)

The Demand ChallengeCurrent & Expansion



The Mode Share Challenge

NPS targets

Passenger public transport mode share

• 50% in 2030

• 55% in 2040

Staff car trips

• 25% reduction in 2030

• 50% reduction in 2040

TfL analysis found NPS targets may result in +40,000 vehicles

HAL aspiration: No increase in “airport-related” road trips

Air quality obligations – compliance



• To secure no increase in highway traffic would require that Heathrow also introduce a road access charge• Analysis by Airports Commission, TfL found this would need to be £40-50

It will be essential to demonstrate:

• Necessary package of infrastructure is in place to encourage and accommodate sustainable mode shift

• Appropriate use of demand levers (emissions zone, road user charging, parking management including cost) to drive mode shift

ScenarioHighway

person tripsPassenger/StaffPT mode share

2015 Base 143,700 39%

2031 No expansion 151,900 45%

2031 Expansion + infrastructure interventions 200,000 - 220,000 46% - 50%

2031 No extra traffic(132 mppa; allows for freight growth)

125,200 66%

How To Secure Mode Shift – Carrot and Stick



How To Secure Mode Shift – From All Directions

• New rail links would seem to be essential to achieve mode shift from south + west?

HEATHROW 18 tphKensington & Chelsea 52%

Hammersmith & Fulham 59%

Ealing 38%

Reading 33%

Slough 4%

Windsor & Maidenhead 7%

Richmond 21%

Kingston 24%

Guildford 7%

Woking 25%

Overall passenger public transport share: 39%

[Current]based on CAA/HAL data

(22+ tph

in future)



Various Questions On Assumptions…

HAL believes its modelling supports the view that its mode share targets can be met; though some substantial work has been done, there remain fundamental questions around some of the assumptions used, for example:

• % transfer passengers, % future workforce etc. ?

• Effect of HULEZ (particularly as colleagues are exempt?)/real world impact of vehicle access charge on behaviour for people with a high value of time?

• Equity of the VAC in respect to access to public transport?

• Hypothecation of income from VAC etc., managing the VAC to deliver NPS targets (time lags etc.). Confusion on approval process?

• Mitigation of parking on neighbouring roads by those seeking to avoid charges?

• Lack of sensitivities and a feared tendency to best case?

• What bus/coach service improvements are modelled? What if these don’t materialise?

• Environmentally managed growth – independence? Teeth?



If Mode Shift Not Achieved...

2031 AM peak hour · Do-Expansion (‘TfL package’) minus Do-Minimum

% increase in journey time for non-airport trips



Compliance with Air Quality Obligations

• Air quality impacts primarily depend on surface transport

• Air Quality Directive - compliance with law must be...• achieved in shortest possible time, • by route likely to succeed, and • by means that reduce exposure• best possible AQ must be maintained, consistent with sustainable development

• Government was unable to show exceedence could be avoided

• HAL PEIR results show at least one new exceedence plus widespread and long term increases in air pollution throughout the area

• Compliance assumed in areas outside the core area but unclear if it has any evidence for this

• Based on surface access modelling which cannot be relied upon



Air Quality Policy Context

• Mayor’s measures to improve air quality for benefit of Londoners• Including ULEZ (2019), ULEZ extension (2020 & 2021), low emission bus zones, new

bus fleet (zero emission by 2037)

• Expansion cannot rely on or consume headroom created by these AQ improvements to stay within legal limits

Legal limit40μg/m3

Current

Future (no expansion)Headroom resulting from Mayoral measures...

...cannot be consumed by Heathrow expansion

[indicative]



‘Environmentally Managed Growth’ framework for AQ

• Means by which HAL proposes to limit impact on AQ• Borrows concept of ‘envelope’ of allowable harm from noise• Does not create new exceedence• Does not delay London as a whole in achieving compliance• But could add substantially to pollution load in atmosphere, with corresponding health

impacts

• Allows steady release of additional capacity• Potentially misapplies Air Quality Directive requirements• Allows erosion of benefits of AQ measures• Ought to be working towards achieving and maintaining best possible air quality (in

shortest time), by a route likely to succeed

• Proposed that this would replace traditional caps on MPPA and ATMs• Should this be either/or?



The Challenges: 1) Passenger Information and Accessibility

2)Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues

Interactive Q&A



HATF Wider ForumSurface Access Proposals and the Masterplan

James Cornelius

Chris Casey

Nic Jones



Our Vision is to transform

how colleagues and passengers get to, from and around the airport.

We want sustainable travel to be the default choice, be it by public transport, car sharing, cycling or walking.



Surface access today Colleagues

72,000 Colleagues

47,700car trips per day

62% 4%

27%

1%



5 MPassengers

13 MPassengers

10 MPassengers

1 MPassengers

6 MPassengers

17 MPassengers

TAXI

How Heathrow

passengers

arrive today*

60% 40%18%

12%

9%

25%

3%

33%

* Figures do not sum precisely due to rounding. The Underground carried nearly 18.5% of passengers in 2017, with local bus and coach slightly more than

12% and rail slightly more than 9%. In aggregate this equates to just under 40% mode share (39.6%).

Source: Department for Transport / Civil Aviation Authority statistics. Table TSGB0207 (AVI0107); last Updated 6 December 2018.

Rail

Underground

Local bus & coach

Taxi

Hire car

Private car

TAX

I

80 millionpassengers a year

Estimated

52 millionArriving/leaving by Surface

Access

Surface access todayPassengers



Where do we need to get to?ANPS Targets

2027 2030 2040

50% Passenger

Mode Share by

Public Transport

55% Passenger

Mode Share by

Public Transport

Passenger Mode

Share by Public

Transport Target

Colleague Car Trip

Reduction Target25% Less than 2013

Levels

50% Less than 2013

Levels

Ensure UK

Compliance with Air

Quality Limits

Compliance Compliance Compliance

Mitigate Transport

Impacts

Acceptable

Mitigation in PlaceAcceptable

Mitigation in Place

Acceptable

Mitigation in Place

No More Heathrow

Related Traffic

Commitment

No More Heathrow

Related Traffic than

Baseline (2019)

No More Heathrow


Baseline (2019)

No More Heathrow


Baseline (2019)

NPS

Pass

Fail

NPS

Pass

Fail

NPS

Pledge

NPS

Good Progress

Good Progress



Restraint measurese.g. parking management, pricing

Policies and incentivese.g. discounted fares, HR policies

Infrastructure and new servicese.g. new rail links, coach services

To achieve the targets, the strategy is built up in layers



Beyond models – how we know these interventions can ‘work’We have seen a dramatic increase in passengers using public transport and Uber



New A3044 with cycle

lanes and bus priority

M25 widened and

realigned

Vehicle Access

Charge Operational

New Taxi Backfilling

Model in Operation

Piccadilly Line

Enhancements

(TfL delivery)

Operational

Improvements

Virtual

Consolidation

Key Surface Access Moves

Parking

ChangesP

Freight

Improvements

Virtual Call

Forward Facility

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027) - Roads

Realigned A4 with cycle

lanes and bus priority

Landside Terminal Zone

access from Southern

Perimeter Road

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Freight Vehicle

Call Forward

Facility T4 Multi Storey

Long Stay

Existing A3044

– road closure

Existing A4 –

road closure

Hatch Lane –

road closure

Carg

o



Bus priority on A4

/ A3044

Elizabeth Line

Operational

Western / Southern

Rail route

safeguarded

Expanded bus and

coach facilities at

Central Bus

Station and

landside

terminal zones

Operational

Improvements

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Key Surface Access Moves2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027) – Public Transport

New bus and

coach services



Re-introduced cycle

provision to the Northern

Access Tunnel

Improved cycling facilities

on the Eastern Perimeter

Road

Implemented a needs

based parking

management system

Launched Heathrow

Travel Wallet with all

incentives and rewards

Delivered improved

Car Share platform

linked to rewards

Piccadilly Line

Enhancements

(TfL delivery)

Operational

ImprovementsNew or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Colleague parking

reduced from c25,000 to

c19,000 spaces

Key Surface Access Moves2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027) - Colleague

Strengthened active

travel route between

T4 and Feltham

Strengthened cycling

route between

Hounslow and north of

airport

Provided a crossing for

cycling and walking of the

A30 at T4 to enable link to

Feltham and SPR

Trialled DRT for

colleagues and

implemented where

appropriate

Promoted and marketed

a cycling culture,

including improved

secure cycle parking and

a Cycle Friendly

Employer scheme for

workplaces

Parking

ChangesP

Targeted HR

approaches to

encourage non car

travel



Stanwell Moor

Junction

Reconfiguration –

grade separated

junction

Southern Parkway

Stage 1 (EV

compatible)

Southern

Perimeter Road

realignment with

increased capacity

Southern Access

Tunnel operational

Optimising measures

(including public

transport services and

Access Charging) to

achieve targets

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) - Roads

Operational

Improvements

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Parking

ChangesP

Northern Perimeter

road closure

Carg

o



Old Oak

Common station

(subject

to Oakervee review)

Western Rail

Link operational

(if not, a network

of express coach

routes)

Bus

priority at Stanwell

Moor Junction

Southern access

tunnel operational

Operational

Improvements

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure


New bus and

coach services

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) – Public Transport

Piccadilly Line

improvements

(subject to TfL

delivery)

Heathrow

Express fares



Public Transport

corridor improvements

targeted at colleagues

Cycle provision on Stanwell

Moor Junction

Cycle lanes on

Southern Perimeter

Road

Cycle access to

Eastern Campus via

Southern Access

Tunnel

Colleague parking to reduce

from c19,000 to c17,000

spaces

Travel Wallet

enhancements -

harnessed new

technology capabilities

as they evolve

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2027-30) - Colleague

Operational

ImprovementsNew or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Parking

ChangesP

Implement cycle

infrastructure improvements

to address key barriers to

cycling on hub & spoke

routes

Continue to incentivise

and reward sustainable

travel



Completion of Southern

Parkway to full capacity

(Full EV Compatibility)

Consolidation and

removal of car parks

on northern

perimeter road

First phases of

Northern Parkway

(Full EV compatibility)

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) - Roads

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure

Parking

ChangesP

No major changes

from a surface

access perspective

Carg

o



No major

changes from a

surface access

perspective

Southern Rail

Link operational

(if not, a network

of express coach

routes)

Operational

Improvements

New or Enhanced

Infrastructure


New bus and

coach services

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) - Public Transport

Intelligent

Mobility



Colleague car

parking reduced to

c12,000

2027 2030 2040 Key Surface Access Moves (2030 – 40) -

Colleagues

Operational

Improvements

Public Transport corridor

improvements targeted

at colleagues

Southern Rail operational

– if not, network of

express coach routes to

Staines and Woking.

New or

Enhanced

Infrastructure

Parking

ChangesP Plans under

development

No major

changes from a

surface access

perspective

Travel Wallet

enhancements -

harnessed new

technology capabilities

as they evolve



Transport networks, monitoring, mitigation & enforcement

• The AEC documentation sets out how we propose to monitor the surface access NPS and no more traffic targets

• It also articulates that we recognise that the complexity and longevity of the implementation of expansion requires us to think through how an ‘enhanced’ approach to the Transport Assessment may be required.

‘’Heathrow is considering whether the traditional TA approach should be supplemented with enhanced measures including:

1. A mechanism to ensure that the impacts of the project on the wider transport network are accurately identified.

2. A procedure for developing the most effective mitigation in response to those impacts.

3. A mechanism to secure the funding and delivery of the necessary mitigation, particularly where this is on parts of the network which are controlled by third parties.

Heathrow will develop these proposals in conjunction with the relevant authorities and stakeholders prior to submission of the application for development consent’’

• We have been giving careful consideration around potential options for an enhanced TA approach and are currently in the process of preparing a technical note through which we can share our thinking.

• We plan to issue this note to relevant stakeholders in the next week or two and then kick off a series of meetings to gather views and work together to equitable solution



Surface Access Proposals and the Masterplan

Interactive Q&A


Classification: Confidential Page40

Networking Lunch & opportunity to visit the Cycle Hub



Scrutiny Workshops



Scrutiny Workshop 1: Passenger Information and Accessibility Facilitated by Anthony Smith (Transport Focus) and Kris Beuret (HCEB)

Mark Frost (HSPG/ LB Hounslow), Shamal Ratnayaka (TfL) and Christian Wolmar (London Cycling Campaign)

Scrutiny Workshop 2: Modal Shift and Transport Related Air Quality Issues



Feedback from Scrutiny Workshops and Chair’s Closing CommentsVal Shawcross CBE, HATF Chair

Heathrow Area Transport Forum (HATF)€¦ · 06/12/2018 · TAXI How Heathrow passengers arrive...

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