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    Preface

    Health Vision 2020

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    A healthy workforce for the twenty first century

    Editorial reproduced from Bulletin of Kuwait Institute for Medical Specialization2005;4:43-44

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    Workforce needs of Health Professionals in Kuwait

    Part I - Physicians and Dentists

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    Appendix

    Table 51Estimated population = [Kuwaiti population in the previous year x 1027.9/1000 for Kuwaitis (growth rate 2.79%)] + [non Kuwaitipopulation in the previous year x 1008.1/1000 for non Kuwaitis (growth rate 0.81% )], [27.9 = 28.5 (natural increase in Kuwaiti popu-

    lation per 1000 for the year 2004) 0.6 (the average decrement in natural increase per 1000 in Kuwaiti population for the period of1994 - 2004), 8.1 = 8.5 (natural increase per 1000 in non Kuwaiti population for the year 2004) 0.4 (the average decrement in natu-ral increase in non Kuwaiti population for the period of 1994 - 2004), Health Kuwait, 2004.2Projected total number of physicians needed at a year = Estimated population at that year divided by 541 (population to one physi-cian ratio which is equivalent to 1.85), 1.85 = the number of physicians per 1000 population for the year 2004 (1.81) + the averageincrement in the ratios for the period of 2000 to 2004 (+0.04).3Projected number of Kuwaiti physicians at a year = Number of Kuwaiti physicians in the previous year x 104.55/100. The Averageannual growth rate of Kuwaiti physicians of the period 2000 to 2004 = 4.55%, is calculated as {[(1678-1296)/1678] x 100}5.4Disparity number = Projected total number of physicians needed (column 2) Projected number of Kuwaiti physicians (column 3).Disparity % = [Disparity number Projected number of physicians needed (column 2)] x 100.

    Table 61,4As described in Table 5.2Projected total number of dentists needed at a year = Estimated population at that year divided by 2915 (population to one dentistratio which is equivalent to 0.3431), 0.3431 = the number of dentists per 1000 population for the year 2004 (0.3374) + the averageincrement in the ratios for the period of 2000 to 2004 (+0.0057).3Projected number of Kuwaiti dentists at a year = Number of Kuwaiti dentists in the previous year x 106.22/100. The Average annualgrowth rate of Kuwaiti dentists of the period 1994 to 2004 = 6.22%, is calculated as {[(393-124)/393] x 100}11.

    Table 71,3,4As described in Table 5.2Projected number of physicians needed at a year = Estimated population at a year divided by 357 (population to one physician ratioin the high income group countries which is equivalent to 2.8 : the average number of physicians per 1000 population in the highincome group countries, World Bank2,3).

    Table 81,3,4As described in Table 6.2Projected number of dentists needed at a year = Estimated population at a year divided by 2481 (population to one dentist ratio inthe United Kingdom which is equivalent to 0.4030: the average number of dentists per 1000 population in the United Kingdom,WHO).

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    Appendix

    Table 31Estimated population = [Kuwaiti population in the previous year x 1027.9/1000 for Kuwaitis (growth rate 2.79%)] + [non Kuwaitipopulation in the previous year x 1008.1/1000 for non Kuwaitis (growth rate 0.804% )], [27.9 = 28.5 (natural increase in Kuwaiti

    population per 1000 for the year 2004) 0.6 ( the average decrement in natural increase per 1000 in Kuwaiti population for the periodof 1994 - 2004), 8.1 = 8.5 (natural increase per 1000 in non Kuwaiti population for the year 2004) 0.4 (the average decrement innatural increase in non Kuwaiti population for the period of 1994 - 2004), Health Kuwait, 2004.2Projected total number of nurses needed at a year = Estimated population at that year divided by 230 (population to one nurse ratiowhich is equivalent to 4.36: the average number of nurses per 1000 population for the period of 1994 to 2004).

    3Projected number of Kuwaiti nurses at a year = Number of Kuwaiti nurses in the previous year x 98.79/100. The Average annualgrowth rate of Kuwaiti nurses of the period 1994 to 2004 = -1.21%, is calculated as {[(1017-1152)/1017] x 100}11.

    4Disparity number = Projected total number of nurses needed (column 2) Projected number of Kuwaiti nurses (column 3). Disparity% = [Disparity number Projected number of nurses needed (column 2)] x 100.

    Table 41,3,4

    As described in Table 3.2Projected number of nurses needed at a year = Estimated population at a year divided by 201 (population to one nurse ratio in theUnited Kingdom which is equivalent to 4.97: the average number of nurses per 1000 population in the United Kingdom, WHO).

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    Appendix

    Table 31Estimated population = [Kuwaiti population in the previous year X 1027.9/1000 for Kuwaitis (growth rate 2.79%)] + [non Kuwaitipopulation in the previous year X 1008.1/1000 for non Kuwaitis (growth rate 0.804% )], [27.9 = 28.5 (natural increase in Kuwaiti popu-lation per 1000 for the year 2004) 0.6 (the average decrement in natural increase per 1000 in Kuwaiti population for the period of1994 - 2004), 8.1 = 8.5 (natural increase per 1000 in non Kuwaiti population for the year 2004) 0.4 (the average decrement in natu-ral increase in non Kuwaiti population for the period of 1994 - 2004), Health Kuwait, 2004.

    2Projected total number of pharmacists needed at a year = Estimated population at that year divided by 1613 (population to one phar-macist ratio which is equivalent to 0.6231: the average number of pharmacists per 1000 population for the period of 2000 to 2005).

    3Projected number of Kuwaiti pharmacists at a year = Number of Kuwaiti pharmacists in the previous year X 109.44/100 (Averageannual growth rate of Kuwaiti pharmacists of the period 2000 to 2005 = 9.44%, calculated as {[(272-118) / 272] x 100 2} 6.

    4Disparity number = Projected total number of pharmacists needed (column 2) Projected number of Kuwaiti pharmacists (column3). Disparity % = [Disparity number Projected number of pharmacists needed (column 2)] X 100.

    Table 4

    1,3,4As described in Table 3.

    2Projected number of pharmacists demanded at a year = Estimated population at a year divided by 1698 (population to one pharma-cist ratio in UK which is equivalent to 0.5891: the average number of pharmacists per 1000 population in UK, WHO).

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