Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14...

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Estonian innovation policy: challenges and dilemmas Tea Danilov Head of the Foresight Centre

Transcript of Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14...

Page 1: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Estonian innovation policy: challenges and dilemmas

Tea DanilovHead of the Foresight Centre

Page 2: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Personal background

• Ministry of Economy

- Head of Technology and Innovation Division

- Head of Economic Development Department

- Head of Internal Market Department

• Enterprise Estonia (EAS)

- Director of Entrepreneurship and Export

Centre

• Foresight Centre- Head of the Foresight Centre since January

this year

Tea Danilov

Page 3: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Outline• The evolution of the innovation policy in

Estonia

• Selected results

• Dilemmas encountered

• Challenges ahead

Page 4: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Value-chain approach, critical mass through collaboration

• Competence Centers

• Clusters

• National R&D programmes

• Start-up ecosystem

Changing mainstreams & Estonian responses

Digitalisationof industry

• IndustrialPolicy greenpaper

Market failureconcept

• RDI funding

• State venturecapital

• Innovationvouchers

• Loanguarantees

Demand-ledpolicy

• Building of chargingsystem forelectric cars

• Membership in EuropeanSpace Agency

• Publicprocurementof innovation

„No hassle“ economy

• Zerobureaucracy, „once only“ principle

• eGovernmentas catalyst, eResidency

Page 5: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Selected results

Page 6: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Contributors and Detractors: Ranking Countries’ Impact on Global Innovation

Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF) 2016

This report assesses 56 countries on 27 factors reflecting

the extent to which their economic and trade policies

contribute to and detract from innovation globally.

Page 7: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

The Geography of Europe’s Brain Business Jobs

Country RankingAll brain business sectors, jobs per

1000 working age population

1 Sweden 87.1

2 Denmark 79.1

3 Nethrlands 77.0

4 UK 76.1

5 Luxemburd 70.1

6 Germany 65.8

7 Norway 65.4

8 Finland 59.8

9 Austria 59.7

10 Estonia 55.1

11 Slovenia 54.4

12 Belgium 52.7

13 France 52.5

14 Czech Republic 51.4

15 Hungary 50.6

European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship, 2017

Page 8: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Venture capital investments in Estonia

€74m invested (+385%)

80

60

40

20

0

€m

2013 2014 2015 2016

Other countries (€m)

Estonia (€m)

€49m to Estonian

companies

2016 investments by stage

New

Follow-on

Seed

Start-up

Early Growth

Growth

Expansion

Buyout

Number of investments

Source: Estonian Private Equity and Venture Capital Assocation

Page 9: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Enterprise-academia cooperation

3,1

4,14,3

3,94,3 4,2

4,7

6,46,0

7,3

8,0

4%

5%

4% 4% 4%

3% 3%

4% 4%

5%

6%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0

8,0

9,0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Expenditures of the universities that are financed by companies (mio EUR)

Share of funds provided by companies in the total funding of the universities (%, r.s)

Source: Statistical Office Estonia

Page 10: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

The target group dilemma:excellence vs extension

Page 11: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Number of companies with R&D expenditures

Year Number of companies

2004 100% of RD expenditures 90% of RD expenditures 75% of RD expenditures

2005 198 75 37

2006 185 59 25

2007 241 75 34

2008 240 77 34

2009 303 108 51

2010 287 104 48

2011 277 95 43

2012 258 71 27

2013 232 68 28

2014 226 81 38

2015 225 68 33

2016 257 71 33

Source: Statistical Office Estonia

Page 12: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Companies with more than 100 employeesbelonging to corporate groups, as of 2011

514

74

345

419

247

36

169

205

267

38

176

214

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Total number of companies

..parent company

..subsidiary

Belongs to group

Services Industry All

Source: Statistical Office Estonia

Page 13: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

• Identifying and testing market signals

• Design and development competencies

• Marketing and distribution

• Feedback fromcustomers

• Upscaling

Obstacles to innovation in Estonian companiesKaarna, K., Ojamäe, K., Welch, E., Fisher, B., Lember, K. „Eesti ettevõtete uuendusmeelsuse toetamise võimalused“ 2015

The smiling curveValue distribution along the global value chain

Page 14: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Down-stream, where the challenge is

scaling, we need to allow expenses in

such taboo fields as marketing, which has

traditionally been viewed as too far from

the lab bench. /…/ Extension schemes to

spread new-to-region innovations

deserve a lot more emphasis.

“Mandelin, Ringrose 2016 „Opportunity now:

Europe’s mission to innovate“

Page 15: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

The dilemma of constant policy innovation vs consistent

high-quality execution

Page 16: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

While Estonian innovation policy is

one of the most developed amongst

the New EU Member States and is

well structured and advanced in terms

of the use of different instruments,

the capacities of the RTDI policy system

have to be increased.

“OMC Peer Review Report for Estonia, 2007

Page 17: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,
Page 18: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

The big questionof magnitude

Page 19: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

EAS annually

• 600 companies in voucher programme

• 400 companies in export services

• 200 companies in clusters

• 100 companies in competence centres

• 100 companies in development

programme

• 50 companies in European Space

Agency & Horizon 2020 programmes

Ca 1500 companies in totalVolume (turnover size,

number of employees)

Value

added per

employee

Page 20: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Challenges ahead

• It takes two to tango: motivation of universities &

demand from companies

• Extension & dissemination, new-to-firm innovation

• Embracing both ends of the „smile curve“

• One-stop-shops, „low overhead“ ways of support

• Stronger clusters & ecosystems

Page 21: Head of the Foresight Centre · 10 Estonia 55.1 11 Slovenia 54.4 12 Belgium 52.7 13 France 52.5 14 Czech Republic 51.4 15 Hungary 50.6 European Centre for Policy Reform and Entrepreneurship,

Thank [email protected]

riigikogu.ee/en/foresight Arenguseire Keskus