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    C L I N I C A L T R I A L

    Prognostic value of chemotherapy-induced neutropeniain early-stage breast cancer

    Yunwei Han Zhihao Yu Shaoyan Wen

    Bin Zhang Xuchen Cao Xin Wang

    Received: 7 June 2011/ Accepted: 21 September 2011 / Published online: 5 October 2011

    Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2011

    Abstract Neutropenia is one of the most important dose-

    limiting toxicities and often the reason for dose reduction.In this study we aimed to assess whether chemotherapy-

    induced neutropenia could be a marker of efficacy and

    associate with increased survival. Data from a retrospective

    survey for early breast cancer patients in our hospital were

    reviewed. Three hundred and thirty-five patients who had

    been treated with six cycles of cyclophosphamide, epiru-

    bicin, and fluorouracil (CEF) were studied. The association

    between chemotherapy-induced neutropenia and overall

    survival (OS) was assessed. According to a multivariate

    Cox model with time-varying covariates, hazard ratios of

    death were 0.434 (95% confidence interval (CI),

    0.2980.634; P\ 0.001) for patients with mild neutrope-

    nia, and 0.640 (95% CI, 0.420.975; P = 0.038) for those

    with severe neutropenia. Neutropenia occurring in early

    breast cancer patients is an independent predictor of

    increased survival. These findings suggest that neutropenia

    in patients who receive chemotherapy is strongly associ-

    ated with a better prognosis.

    Keywords Breast cancer Adjuvant chemotherapy

    Neutropenia Prognosis Time-dependent variable

    Introduction

    Breast cancer is the most common female cancer [1]. In

    early-stage breast cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy has

    become an element of standard therapy and reduces the

    hazard rate of death by about 15% [2]. Numerous studies

    have demonstrated benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in

    early-stage breast cancer and that anthracycline (doxoru-

    bicin or epirubicin)-based regimens are among the most

    effective [3]. Moreover, six cycles of fluorouracil, doxo-

    rubicin, and cyclophosphamide (FAC), or fluorouracil,

    epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide (FEC) appear superior

    to six cycles of cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and flu-

    orouracil (CMF) in early-stage breast cancer [4]. Despite

    this evidence of benefit with adjuvant chemotherapy,

    important questions remain to be resolved with regard to

    the relative effectiveness and toxicities of chemotherapy

    regimens.

    Patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy may experi-

    ence varying levels of toxicity. Neutropenia due to

    cytotoxic chemotherapy is a common type of myelosup-

    pression. Neutropenia during cytotoxic chemotherapy for

    several types of cancer has been reported to be associated

    favorably with survival [57]. Studies of adjuvant chemo-

    therapy for breast cancer have shown that patients who

    have increased toxic effects during treatment had a better

    outcome than those who had no toxic effects. Neutropenia

    or leukopenia occurring during adjuvant chemotherapy

    regimens using cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and oral

    ftorafur (CAFt) [8] or cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and

    5-FU (CMF) [9, 10] was associated with significantly

    longer survival. Moreover, Ishitobi et al. [11] examined

    the patients having a chemotherapy-induced neutropenia

    was associated with better prognosis in epirubicin-based

    neoadjuvant chemotherapy. A possible explanation for

    Y. Han Z. Yu S. Wen B. Zhang X. Cao X. Wang (&)

    First Department of Breast Tumor, Tianjin Medical University

    Cancer Institute and Hospital; Key Laboratory of Breast Cancer

    Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin Medical University, Ministry of

    Education, Tianjin 300060, China

    e-mail: [email protected]

    1 3

    Breast Cancer Res Treat (2012) 131:483490

    DOI 10.1007/s10549-011-1799-1

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    neutropenias favorable impact on survival is that it is a

    surrogate marker for a sufficient antitumor dose of cyto-

    toxic chemotherapy. However, the nature of the relation-

    ship between chemotherapy-induced neutropenia and the

    survival, in particular, remains controversy. In this report,

    we described a retrospective analysis of patients with early-

    stage breast cancer, who were treated with the first-line

    chemotherapy of CEF, to evaluate any possible associationbetween chemotherapy-induced neutropenia occurring

    during chemotherapy and survival.

    Patients and methods

    Patients

    The study population comprised primary breast cancer

    patients in Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and

    Hospital between April 2005 and April 2007, 335 patients

    with early-stage breast cancer were identified who metthe inclusion criteria. The inclusion criteria were as fol-

    lows: sufficient bone marrow function (leukocyte count

    4.0 9 109/l, neutrophil count 2.0 9 109/l, platelet count

    100 9 109/l, hemoglobin 9.0 g/dl); normal liver and renal

    functions; no history of prior chemotherapy for advanced

    disease; and no history of chemotherapy before the com-

    mencement of CEF treatment. The patients were selected

    from those who survived beyond 180 days of treatment.

    Febrile neutropenia patients were excluded from this study.

    The patients were followed up until December 2010 to

    obtain survival information.

    One hundred and eighty patients were stage I breast

    cancer and 155 patients were stage II breast cancer.

    Estrogen receptor (ER) values were available for 329

    patients, 66% of whom were positive. Progesterone

    receptor (PR) values were available for 329 patients, 60%

    of whom were positive. The human epidermal growth

    factor receptor 2 (HER-2) values were available for 327

    patients, 21% of whom were positive. One hundred and

    seventy-nine (53%) patients were over 50 years old. The

    median follow-up time was 65 month.

    Treatment delivery

    The patients had received six cycles of intravenous CEF as

    adjuvant postoperative chemotherapy for a diagnosis of

    invasive breast cancer. All patients had been undergone

    surgery with modified radical mastectomy or breast-con-

    serving resection and axillary lymph node dissection.

    Patients were treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, which

    consisted of cyclophosphamide (600 mg/m2), epirubicin

    (60 mg/m2), and fluorouracil (600 mg/m2) administered

    intravenously on day 1 at 3-week intervals. The patients

    who received radiotherapy were those with positive lymph

    nodes more than three, or the women who received breast-

    conserving surgery. The dosage was 4550 Gy in 1825

    fractions over 5 weeks after six cycles of chemotherapy.

    Estrogen receptor (ER) status was determined by immu-

    nohistochemistry and tumors with 10% or more positively

    stained tumor cells were classified positive for ER. Histo-

    logical grade was determined according to the modifiedScarff-Bloom-Richardson criteria [12]. Patients with ER-

    positive or PR-positive tumors were administered hor-

    monal therapy. Adjuvant trastuzumab was administered in

    17 patients (5%). After treatment, the patients were fol-

    lowed up at 3 to 4 month intervals for the first 2 years

    and thereafter at 6-month intervals for at least 5 years.

    Staging investigations included clinical investigation, liver

    enzymes, chest X-ray, liver ultrasound, and bone scintig-

    raphy. The dose intensity was calculated as the total dose

    administered divided by the duration of time over which it

    was given. The relative dose intensity (RDI) was then

    calculated as the ratio of the actual dose intensity to theideal value if planned doses were all given on schedule.

    Evaluation of neutropenia and supportive therapy

    Routine blood counts were taken during every chemo-

    therapy cycle, day one before treatment and approximately

    on day 7 and day 14, in all patients during all chemo-

    therapy cycles. Hematologic toxicity, including neutrope-

    nia, leukopenia, thrombocytopenia and decreased

    hemoglobin level, was graded according to the National

    Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for

    Adverse Events(NCI-CTCAE), version 3. Chemotherapy

    was delayed until recovery for a neutrophil count of

    1.5 9 109/l or any significant persisting nonhematologic

    toxicity. The treatment was discontinued if the patient

    developed unacceptable toxic effects, refused treatment, or

    withdrew consent. Patients with treatment delay due to

    toxicity were followed up with weekly or more frequent

    blood counts. The most severe grade of neutropenia was

    based on the neutrophil count for a given patient between

    the first day of CEF administration and 2 weeks after the

    last CEF cycle was administered. The grade was according

    to the National Cancer Institute Common Toxicity Criteria

    version 3.0. (grade 0 equates to Within normal limits; grade

    1 equates to a neutrophil count of between 1.5 and

    2.0 9 109 cells/l; grade 2 equates to a neutrophil count of

    between 1.0 and 1.5 9 109 cells/l; grade 3 equates to a

    neutrophil count of between 0.5 and 1 9 109 cells/l; and

    grade 4 equates to a neutrophil count of lower than

    0.5 9 109 cells/l.) To evaluate neutropenia during che-

    motherapy, patients were divided into three categories:

    neutropenia absent (grade 0), mild (grades 12), and severe

    (grades 34). The indication for using granulocyte-colony-

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    stimulating factor (G-CSF) was generally used in grade 4

    neutropenia or in febrile neutropenia, and no use as pro-

    phylaxis was allowed. To avoid bias from different fre-

    quencies of neutrophil counting, the worst grade of

    neutropenia was evaluated by the lowest recorded neutrophil

    count of six cycles of chemotherapy regimen.

    Statistical analysis

    The association between neutropenia and various clinico-

    pathological parameters was assessed using the v2 test or

    Fishers exact test. Overall survival (OS) was the primary

    endpoint of the analysis. OS was defined as the time from

    surgery to death or follow up. The survival curves of the

    three categories were estimated by the KaplanMeier

    method and compared by the log-rank test. What is more,

    we treated chemotherapy-induced neutropenia as a time-

    dependent variable. For each patient, the worst grade of

    neutropenia occurring during the CEF treatment was

    defined as the value of the variable at T. The variable valuefor each patient could change over time according to the

    worst grade of neutropenia experienced by that time. To

    quantify the impact of time-dependent neutropenia on

    survival, Clinical and pathological factors were tested by

    univariate and multivariate analyses according to the worst

    grade of neutropenia, which was considered to be a time-

    dependent variable. All of the statistical tests and P values

    were two-tailed, and P\ 0.05 was considered significant.

    Results

    Incidence of neutropenia

    Figure1shows the worst grade of neutropenia recorded at

    each cycle of chemotherapy in the 335 patients. Table 1

    shows characteristics of patients in the analysis. Relation-

    ship between neutropenia and various clinicopathological

    parameters overall, mild neutropenia (grades 12) occurred

    in 139 (42%) of 335 patients and severe neutropenia

    (grades 34) occurred in 37 (11%). The other 159 patients

    (47%) did not experience neutropenia during treatment

    with CEF. The relative dose intensity was not significantly

    different between each group. In 176 patients experiencing

    neutropenia, the worst grade was seen during the first cycle

    in 32 patients, during the second cycle in 38, during the

    third cycle in 32, during the fourth cycle in 31 and duringthe fifth cycle 22 or thereafter in 20, indicating that 76% of

    patients with neutropenia experienced their worst grade

    within four cycles. On the other hand, 43 of 202 patients

    (21%) without neutropenia within four cycles experienced

    neutropenia (35 patients with mild neutropenia and 8

    patients with severe neutropenia) (Fig. 2).

    Relationship between neutropenia and prognosis

    The survival curves of the three categories were estimated

    by the KaplanMeier method and compared by the log-rank test. Neutropenia status was significantly associated

    with OS. Patients without neutropenia showed a signifi-

    cantly lower 5-year OS rate (65%) than those with mild

    neutropenia (P\ 0.001) (89%) and severe neutropenia

    (P = 0.033) (84%) (Fig. 3). The result of a Cox regression

    analysis for the association between overall survival and

    the worst grade of neutropenia, which was treated as a

    time-dependent variable is showed in Table 2. Univariate

    and multivariate analyses including neutropenia and vari-

    ous clinicopathological parameters of breast cancer was

    done. In univariate analysis, the HR for mild (grade 12)

    neutropenia in comparison with no neutropenia (grade 0)was 0.424 (95% CI, 0.2800.642; P\ 0.001). Similarly,

    the HR for severe (grade 34) neutropenia in comparison

    with no neutropenia was 0.579 (95% CI, 0.4150.807;

    P = 0.001). In multivariate analysis, the HR for mild

    (grade 12) neutropenia in comparison with no neutropenia

    (grade 0) was 0.434 (95% CI, 0.2980.634; P\ 0.001),

    which translated into a 24% lower risk of death. Similarly,

    the HR for severe (grade 34) neutropenia in comparison

    with no neutropenia was 0. 640 (95% CI, 0.420.975;

    P = 0.038), which represented a 19% lower risk of

    death. Therefore, patients who experienced neutropenia

    had a more favorable prognosis, and the presence of mild

    neutropenia suggested a higher efficacy of the drug than

    did the presence of either severe neutropenia or no

    neutropenia. It demonstrated that both mild and severe

    grade of neutropenia were independently associated with

    a better survival. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate

    analysis including other clinical features such as tumor

    size, nodal status, ER status, HER-2 status, histological

    grade were also independent predictive factors for OS

    (Table2).

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%90%

    100%

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    cycle

    ratioofpatientas

    severe mild absent

    Fig. 1 Worst grade of neutropenia recorded by each cycle of

    chemotherapy in 335 patients

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    Relationship between neutropenia and various

    clinicopathological parameters

    Both mild and severe neutropenia tended to be associ-

    ated with improved prognosis in almost all subgroups

    (Fig.4). In all subgroups, both mild and severe neu-

    tropenia were favorable prognostic factors almost to the

    same degree.

    Finally, we performed similar analysis for other hema-

    tologic manifestations of toxicity, including leukopenia,

    hemoglobin decrease, and thrombocytopenia. However,

    none of these variables remained as significant factors in

    the multivariate model (data not shown).

    Table 1 Baseline demographics and clinical/hematologic characteristics in all patients and in subgroups stratified according to the worst grade

    of neutropenia during six cycles

    All patients (n = 335) Neutropenia P

    Absent (n = 159) Mild (n = 139) Severe (n = 37)

    Age, median (range) 50 (2874) 52 (2874) 52 (2874) 52 (3267) 0.518

    BSA, median (range) 1.63 (1.012.04) 1.62 (1.152.04) 1.66 (1.172.03) 1.59 (1.011.95) 0.318

    Treatment duration, median (range) 156 (124178) 142 (124163) 150 (126168) 164 (128178) 0.257

    RDI, median (range) 0.86 (0.351.25) 0.86 (0.351.25) 0.88 (0.551.25) 0.85 (0.431.23) 0.166

    leukocytes, median (range) 8.5 (4.015.5) 8.0 (4.013.2) 8.7 (4.114.1) 8.3 (4.015.5) 0.433

    Neutrophils, median (range) 4.0 (1.956.5) 4.0 (1.956.4) 4.3 (2.06.5) 4.1 (2.0 6.4) 0.526

    Clinical tumor size, n 0.418

    TB 50 mm 174 91 65 18

    T[ 50 mm 151 68 64 19

    Clinical nodal status, n 0.143

    N0 180 80 76 24

    N13 155 79 63 13

    ER, n 0.147

    Positive 213 101 83 29

    Negative 116 55 53 8

    PR, n 0.128

    Positive 119 104 75 20

    Negative 130 52 61 17

    HER-2, n 0.120

    Positive 69 35 31 3

    Negative 258 120 104 34

    Use of tamoxifen 0.218

    Yes 160 76 63 21

    No 161 77 70 14

    Histological grade 0.073

    I 108 57 45 6IIIII 196 88 81 27

    Surgical 0.518

    Modified radical mastectomy 296 141 129 26

    Breast conservation 39 18 13 8

    BSA body surface area; Units age (years), BSA (m2), leukocytes (9 109/l), neutrophils (9 109/l), treatment duration (days)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    cycle

    number

    ofpatients

    Fig. 2 The timing of occurrence of neutropenia with worst grade in

    176 patients during six cycles of CEF

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    Discussion

    Patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy may experience

    varying levels of toxicity. It is well known that neutropenia

    is one of the most important dose-limiting toxicities

    and often the reason for dose reduction. In this study, we

    found significantly improved survival in patients who

    experienced neutropenia during CEF treatment as first-line

    chemotherapy for the early-stage breast cancer. The fre-

    quencies of neutropenia in this study were comparable to

    past clinical study reports where CEF regimens were used

    [1316]. In our study, both the mild and severe chemo-

    therapy-induced neutropenia were prognostic for increased

    survival. The results indicate that both mild and severe

    neutropenia during chemotherapy have a significant impacton the risk of death (HR = 0.434 in mild neutropenia and

    HR = 0.640 in severe neutropenia). To the best of our

    knowledge, this is the first report in the early-stage breast

    cancer of CEF chemotherapy.

    Several findings lend support to the idea that neutrope-

    nia might be a surrogate indicator for the biological activity

    of drugs [17]. Since the late 1990s, a series of reports have

    suggested that those who experienced myelosuppression

    had better outcome than those who did not in both post-

    operative and neoadjuvant chemotherapies of breast cancer

    [811, 18]. In all these studies, the hematologic toxic

    effects analyzed with neutropenia or leukocyte nadir had asignificant effect on survival.

    The prognostic role of chemotherapy-induced neutro-

    penia also has been investigated in other diseases.

    Recently, Di Maio et al. [5] analyzed the pooled data from

    three randomized trials of 1265 patients in advanced non-

    small-cell lung cancer. They concluded that both mild

    Fig. 3 KaplanMeier survival curves according to the three groups of

    worst grade neutropenia that occurred during six cycles of CEF

    Table 2 Univariate and multivariate Cox models for the association between survival and chemotherapy-induced neutropeniaa

    Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis

    Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) P Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) P

    Neutropeniaa

    Mild vs. 0 0.424 (0.2800.642) \0.001 0.434 (0.2980.634) \0.001

    Severe vs. 0 0.579 (0.4150.807) 0.001 0.640 (0.420.975) 0.038

    Age

    \50 y vs. C 50 y 0.846 (0.5411.322) 0.463

    BSA

    [1.50 m2 vs. B 1.50 m2 0.660 (0.4191.039) 0.072

    Clinical tumor size, n

    T B 50 mm vs. T[50 mm 1.981 (1.3652.875) \0.001 1.762 (1.1182.777) 0.015

    Clinical nodal status, n

    N0 vs. N13 2.614 (1.6294.193) \0.001 1.92 (1.0983.383) 0.022

    ER, n

    Positive vs. negative 0.609 (0.3880.955) 0.031 0.601 (0.370.978) 0.04

    PR, n

    Positive vs. negative 0.657 (0.4201.028) 0.066

    HER-2, n

    Positive vs. negative 1.730 (1.3762.175) \0.001 1.377 (1.0671.777) 0.014

    Histological grade

    IvsIIIII 1.946 (1.1123.404) 0.02 1.964 (1.0983.513) 0.023

    BSA body surface area, Neutropeniaa is treated as a time-dependent variable

    Breast Cancer Res Treat (2012) 131:483490 487

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    (grade 12) and severe (grade 34) neutropenia might be a

    surrogate marker of an adequate chemotherapy dose and

    that lack of neutropenia indicates underdosing. Other arti-

    cles reported that chemotherapy-induced neutropenia dur-

    ing treatment is associated with a higher probability of

    treatment response and better survival in colon and gastric

    cancer patients [6, 7, 19]. These findings prompted us to

    perform a rigorous quantification of the prognostic value of

    chemotherapy-induced neutropenia with respect to survival

    outcomes in patients with early-stage breast cancer.

    The availability of active antitumor drug at tumor cells

    is affected by pharmacokinetic factors, including drug

    metabolism or elimination which produces a similar effect

    in healthy cells. The sensitivity of tumor cells and healthy

    cells is affected, partly, myelosuppression might represent

    an index of bodily drug exposure. Several prospective

    randomized studies [2022] have investigated the dose

    response relationship in breast carcinoma to assess the

    preference for higher doses than those guided by the body

    surface area (BSA) criteria. However, the BSA-based

    dosing system is not appropriate, then the optimal dose of

    chemotherapy for individual patients is relatively unrelated

    to whether the dose is high or low in terms of the BSA-

    based one [23]. Several previous reports suggest that the

    optimal dose defined by an estimated body surface area

    may be insufficient in some cases. A poor correlation

    between body surface area and the pharmacokinetics of

    most cytotoxic agents have been pointed out [2429]. A

    complex model taken into account not only body surface

    area, but also bodyweight, serum creatinine, sex, and

    platelet count before treatment are important for the che-

    motherapy effect. These results lead us to recognize the

    possibility that optimal dosing is not necessarily governed

    by the use of BSA-dosing guidelines. Using a tailoredregimen of fluorouracil, epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide

    guided by toxic effects in patients with breast cancer

    probably would have a better result in many patients

    [23,30]. The fact that severe neutropenia is no better than

    mild neutropenia but that both are better than no neutro-

    penia at prediction of survival suggests that enough, but not

    too much, chemotherapy needs to be given. What is more,

    a large randomized study on dose-escalation of doxorubi-

    cin failed to show any benefits in the adjuvant setting [31].

    Although the methods of dose optimization and calculation

    have been criticized repeatedly [32,33], the doses directed

    by BSA are valid for most, in insuring that the majority ofpatients receive an effective dose. If not, all the patients

    without toxicity such as myelosuppression will continue to

    derive substantial benefits from treatment. However, our

    study and that of others suggest that the absence of neu-

    tropenia may actually be a sign of an inadequate dose of

    chemotherapy [17]. The cause of this interpatient variation

    is unclear. Patients show quite different concentration time

    properties for levels of drug in tissue after the adminis-

    tration of a uniform dose. The explanation might be related

    to genetic predisposition and a large inter-individual

    variation of systemic exposure [3436].

    However, chemotherapy dose reductions and dose

    delays, as a result of chemotherapy-induced neutropenia,

    can lead to reduce patient survival [3739]. In our study,

    between the subgroups of patients with and without neu-

    tropenia, the RDI and the dose delays did not significantly

    differ. Therefore, the better prognosis of patients with

    neutropenia was not due to a dose reductions and dose

    delays in patients with neutropenia. Neutropenia might be

    associated with prognosis as a consequence of selection

    bias. Patients with occult problems due to disease might be

    more prone to toxicity and early failures may receive lower

    doses because of treatment discontinuation. Since neutro-

    penia does not exist before the initiation of chemotherapy,

    patients surviving longer had a greater chance to receive

    additional cycles. Therefore, a higher incidence of neu-

    tropenia was expected as the number of cycles of chemo-

    therapy increased. To avoid the bias, we restrict the

    primary analysis to patients who had completed six

    cycles of treatment and who survived after 180 days of

    treatment [5].

    We further evaluated the impact of neutropenia during

    the first four cycles of CEF on survival and found that 76%

    Fig. 4 Hazard ratios for death and 95% CI. In subgroup analyses,

    both mild and severe neutropenia tended to be associated with

    improved prognosis in almost all subgroup

    488 Breast Cancer Res Treat (2012) 131:483490

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