H2 2014 Manufacturing Property Report · Property Report Figure 5 Table 2 industrial land price...

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H2 2014 Manufacturing Property Report research Industrial land sales dropped to 2,276 rai, the lowest in the past few years. There were only 937 rai in H1 2014 and 1,339 in H2 2014 due to political unrest. Factory occupancy rates stood firm at 77.6% in H2 2014, a reduction of 0.1% year on year. The highest factory rental rate growth was seen in the Eastern Seaboard with an increase of 5.6%, however, the rental rates in Pathumthani – Ayutthaya, and Suvarnabhumi – Bangpakong remained stable. highlights

Transcript of H2 2014 Manufacturing Property Report · Property Report Figure 5 Table 2 industrial land price...

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• Industriallandsalesdroppedto2,276rai,thelowestinthepastfewyears.Therewereonly937raiinH12014and1,339inH22014duetopoliticalunrest.• Factoryoccupancyratesstoodfirmat77.6%inH22014,areductionof0.1%yearonyear.• ThehighestfactoryrentalrategrowthwasseenintheEasternSeaboardwithanincreaseof5.6%,however,therentalratesinPathumthani–Ayutthaya,andSuvarnabhumi–Bangpakongremainedstable.

highlights

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Economic Overview

Source: Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board

In2014,theThaiindustrialsector’stotalvaluewasapproximatelyTHB3.95trillion,approxi-matelyone-thirdofThailand’stotaloutput.Similarlytothepreviousyears,itisexpectedthatthegrowthoftheindustrialsectorcouldoutperformThailand’soverallgrowthrate.From2000to2014,theaveragegrowthrateintheindustrialsectorwas4.3%perannum,whereastheaveragegrowthrateoftheThaieconomywasat3.9%perannum.Basedonthisinformation,itcanbeconcludedthattheindustrialsectorisakeydriveroftheThaieconomy,bothintermsofgrowthandvalue.Inaddition,thesector’sgrowthcouldalsobeattributedtotheriseindemandforrealestate;morespecifically,inthefactoryandwarehousingmarkets.

Figure1Growth Rates of the Thai Industrial Sector and Thai National Output from 2000 to 2014

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Source: Board of Investment, ThailandDuringthefirsthalfof2014,theBoardofInvestment(BOI)wasunabletoformallyapprovethepromotionsofalargenumberofmajorprojectsasitwashandicappedbythepoliticalturmoil.However,in2014,Thailandsawanoverallincreaseof1%inthetotalvalueofBOI-approvedforeigndirectinvestment,mostofwhichwereapprovedinthelastquarteroftheyearaheadoftheannouncedchangestotheinvestmentpromotionpolicy.

Seven-Year Investment Promotion Strategy (2015 - 2021) InJanuary2015,Thailandenactedsomeradicalchangestotheirinvestmentincentivepolicy.ThepreviouspolicywasdesignedtoincentiviseinvestmenttolocationsfurtherawayfromBangkok;awardingmoretaxincentivesthefurtherawaytheprojectwaslocatedfromthecapi-tal,withlittleregardtothetypeofbusinessactivitythatwasbeingundertaken.

InthenewpolicyBOIZoneshavebeenabolished.Ithasbeendesignedtoencourageandfosterpreferredbusinessactivities.Thenewschemeawardsincentivesbasedonthetypeofbusinessactivity,andofferhighprioritygroupsadditionalmeritbasedincentives.Major Points of Investment Promotion Policy

1. Promoteinvestmentthathelpenhancenationalcompetitiveness2. Promoteenvironment-friendlyactivities3. Promoteclustersinaccordancewithregionalpotentialandstrengthenedvaluechain4. Promoteinvestmentinsouthernborderprovinces5. Promotespecialeconomiczone,especiallyinborderareas6. PromoteThaioverseasinvestment

foreign direct investment in thailand

Figure2

BOI-approved Foreign Direct Investment in the Industrial Sector from 2008 to 2014

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Granting Investment Incentives•Activity-basedIncentives-Incentivesbasedontheimportanceofactivities•Merit-basedIncentives-Grantadditionalincentivestoencouragemoreinvestment/expendituresthatbenefitthecountryoroverallindustry.oCompetitivenessEnhancementoDecentralizationoIndustrialAreaDevelopment

Activity-based Incentives •A1-Knowledge-basedactivities,focusingonR&Danddesigntoenhancethecountry’scompetitiveness•A2-Activitiesininfrastructureforthecountry’sdevelopment,activitiesusingadvancedtechnologytocreatevalueadded,withnoneorveryfewexistinginvestmentsinThailand•A3-Hightechnologyactivitieswhichareimportanttothecountry’sdevelopment,withafewinvestmentsalreadyexistinginThailand•A4-ActivitieswithlowertechnologythanA1-A3butaddvaluetodomesticresourcesandstrengthensupplychain•B1/B2-SupportingindustriesthatdonotusehightechnologybutarestillimportanttovaluechainListofActivitiesEligibleforInvestmentPromotioncanbefoundatAnnouncementoftheBoardofInvestmentNo.2/2557PoliciesandCriteriaforInvestmentPromotion.

H2 2014Manufacturing Property Report

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Merit-based Incentives •MeritonCompetitivenessEnhancementAdditionalCITincentiveswillbegranteddependingoninvestment/expenditureratio(%)

•MeritonDecentralizationProjectslocatedin20provinceswithlowestpercapitaincomeo3additionalyearsofcorporateincometaxexemptionoActivitiesinGroupA1andA2receiveanadditional50%CITreductionfor5yearsaftertheendofCITexemptionperiodoDoubledeductionsfromthecostsoftransportation,electricityandwatersupplyfor10yearsoAdditional25%deductionofthecostofinstallationorconstructionoffacilities20provinces:Kalasin,Chaiyaphum,NakhonPhanom,Nan,BuengKan,BuriRam,Phrae,MahaSarakham,Mukdahan,MaeHongSon,Yasothon,RoiEt,SiSaKet,SakhonNakhon,SaKaew,Sukhothai,Surin,NongBuaLamphu,UbonRatchataniandAmnatcharoen[ExcludingborderprovincesinSouthernThailandandSpecialEconomicDevelopmentZoneswhichhaveseparatespecialincentivepackages]•MeritonIndustrialAreaDevelopmentProjectslocatedinindustrialestatesorpromotedindustrialzones

1additionalyearofcorporateincometaxexemption

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Serviced In-dustrial Land Plot

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

Attheendof2014,thetotalsupplyofServicedIndustrialLandPlot(SILP)wasat140,841rai,increasingby3.1%fromthepreviousyear.Onaverage,theSILPsupplyhasincreasedbyasteady2to5%eachyear.

Figure3

Supply

Other Special Policies •MeasurestoEnhanceCapabilitiesofSmallandMediumEnterprises(SMEs)•InvestmentPromotionPolicyforIndustrialDevelopmentinBorderProvincesinSouthernThailandFocusonpromotinginvestmentin4borderprovincesinSouthernThailand(Narathiwat,Pattani,YalaandSatun)and4districtsinSongkhla(Jana,NaThawee,SabaYoi,Dhepha)•InvestmentPromotionPolicyforInvestmentinSpecialEconomicZones•Takprovince14sub-districtswithborderareasinMaeSot,PobPra,andMaeRamaddistricts•Mukdahanprovince11sub-districtswithborderareasinMuang,Wanyai,andDontarndistricts•SaKaewprovince4sub-districtswithborderareasinAranyaprathet,andWattananakorndistricts•Songklahprovince4sub-districtsinSadaodistrict•Tratprovince3sub-districtsinKlongyaidistrictDetailedinformationcanbefoundattheBoardofInvestmentwebsite,www.boi.go.thorAnnouncementoftheBoardofInvestmentNo.2/2557PoliciesandCriteriaforInvestmentPromotionwhichcanbefoundherehttp://www.boi.go.th/upload/content/newpolicy-announcement%20as%20of%2020_12_57_33650.pdf

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Source: Industrial Estate Authority of Thailand

Source:KnightFrankThailandResearchMorethan140,000raiofindustriallandareunderdevelopment,andmostofthefuturesup-plyisintheEasternSeaboardZone,whichbenefitsfromitsproximitytoLaemChabangportandaflood-freelocation.Withinthisyear,nearly4,000raiareexpectedtobeready.

Figure4

Table1

Future Supply

Use of Industrial Estate Land Area in 2014 Classified by Industry

ThailandproducesmorecarsthananyotherASEANnation.Itisamongstthe10largestcarproducersintheworld,thankstopoliciesthatnurtureandsupportthelocalautomotiveindustry.Currently,Thailandcommandsupto55%ofASEAN’stotalcarproduction.Asoneofthecountry’smostimportanteconomicdrivers,theautomotiveindustryiscurrentlyoccupy-

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Figure5

Table2

industrial land price

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

Source:KnightFrankThailandResearch

In2014,industriallandsaleswere2,276rai,thelowestlevelinthepastfewyears.Therewereonly937raiinH12014and1,339inH22014,duetodelaysinBOIinvestmentapprovals,duetotheabsenceoftherelevantcommitteesincelate2013tomid-2014.Aftermid-2014,thelandsalesvolumewasexpectedtorecovery;however,foreigninvestmentsentimentwasstillnot

improving.

Source:KnightFrankThailandResearch

Demand

Figure6

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In2014,theoverallSILPaskingpriceincreasedby0.9%fromlastyear,to4.3%.IndustriallandintheeveryZoneenjoyedpricinggrowth.SILPpricesontheCentralEasternZonerecordedthehighestgrowth,whichsawaveragepricesincreaseby4.3%.Pricinggrowthin2014wasnotasmuchasthegrowthin2013,duetopoliticalunrestthataffectedindustriallandde-mandasindicatedinthedropoftheindustriallandsalesvolume.Location,proximitytotheport,logisticsfacilitiesandinfrastructure,laboursourcesandfloodriskarethekeyfactorsthataffectindustriallandprices.

Thetotalsupplyofrentalfactoryspaceattheendof2014was2,553,046squaremeters,increasingfromlastyear’ssupplyby88,577squaremetres,representingagrowthof3.6%.Asignificantincreaseinthesupplywasobservedrightafterthemajorfloodsof2011inThailand,wherefactoriesweredevelopedtoaccommodatenewdemandinareasunaffectedbyflooding.

Therentalfactorysupplydidnotincreaseaggressivelyintermsofwarehousesupply,duetothelimitationoflanduseregulationsrequiringalicenseforfactoryoperations.

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

Factory rental Market

Figure7

Supply

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Future Supply

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

Basedonannouncementsfrommajorindustrialdevelopers,itisexpectedthattherewillbeatotaladditionalspaceof150,000squaremetresinSamutprakarn,Chonburi,RayongandPrachinburiin2015.

Chonburiprovincehasthelargestshareofthetotalrentalfactorysupplyat30%,withatotalrentalfactoryspaceof775,636squaremetres.Samutprakarnhasthesecondlargestshareat20%,with517,452squaremetres.ThethirdandthefourthlargestsharesgotoRayongat19%,andAyutthayaat17%.TheEasternSeaboardinChonburiandSamutprakarnprovincesboaststhelargestsupplyoffactoryleasablespace,asthoseareasaremajorlocationsofvariousindustrialhubsandmoreparticularly,theyarehometoThailand’sautomotiveindustry.

Figure8Supply by Provinces

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Demand

Thecurrentoccupancyrateis77.6%,areductionof0.1%comparedtotherateattheendof2013.Thiswasmostlyduetoanincreaseintherentalfactorysupplyin2014.Thetotaldemandforrentalfactoryspaceattheendof2014was1,980,108squaremeters,anincreaseof64,693squaremetersfromthepreviousyear.

TheoccupancyrateintheSuvarnabhumi–BangpakongandtheEasternSeaboardcontinuestoperformbetter,withtheoccupancyratesof93.6%and81.3%,respec-tively.Thisismostlyduetohigherdemandswithinthearea,whichislocatedwithinthecloseproximityofmanyindustrialestates,LaemChabangdeepseaportandSuvarnabhumiInternationalAirport.Suvarnabhumi–BangpakonghasahighlevelofoccupancyasthesupplyinthisareaislimitedandtheavailablelandtodeveloprentalfactoriesislessthanthatoftheEasternSeaboard.TheoccupancyratesinPathumthaniandAyutthayaarestilllowerthanthemarketaverageat60.8%;however,recentdatashowssignsofrecovery.

Figure9

Figure10

Source:KnightFrankThailandResearch

Source:KnightFrankThailandResearch

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Theaveragefactoryrentalratewas205.4THB/sq.m./month,increasingby2.7%Y-o-Y.TheEasternSeaboardZonecommandedthehighestrentsof224.8THB/sq.m./month,followedby200.7THB/sq.m./monthinPathumthani–Ayutthaya,and174.6THB/sq.m./monthinSuvarnab-humi–Bangpakong.

ThehighestrentalrategrowthwasseenintheEasternSeaboardwithanincreaseof5.6%;however,therentalratesinPathumthani–Ayutthaya,andSuvarnabhumi–Bangpakongremainedstable.

Suvarnabhumi–Bangpakonggenerallyhaslowerfactoryrentalrates,asmostoftherentalfactoryspaceisnotlocatedinsideindustrialestates;moreover,landinsidetheindustriales-tatesinthisareaisquitescarce.

Figure11

Rental Rate

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

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TheaskingrentalrateisthehighestinChonburiandChachoengsaoprovincesatTHB250persquaremetrepermonth.ThesecondhighestisinSamutprakarnandRayong,wherethefeeisatTHB230persquaremetrepermonth.ThehighestrateinAyutthayaisatTHB220persquaremetrepermonth.Provincesunaffectedbythefloods,suchasChonburi,Chachoengsao,SamutprakarnandRayong,com-mandthehighestrents.

In2014,Thailand’sindustrialpropertymarketwasweakenedasaresultofthenegativedomesticcircumstances.However,Thailandisstillattractivetoinvestors,withadvantagesofahighlevelofinfrastructure,geographiclocationinthemiddleofSoutheastAsia,specialtaxincentives,andaskilledlabourforce.Moreover,thelaunchoftheAECisexpectedtobringpositivechangestoThailand.Weexpectgrowthindemandfrombothdomesticandinternationalcompanies,includingsmall,medium-sized,andlargeenterprises,reflectingtheneedforindustrialpropertyandthegrowthintheautomotiveindustryfromEcoCarPhase2,whichstrengthensThailand’spositionasthekeyautomotivemanufacturingbaseinASEAN.WealsoexpecttoseeindustriallandvaluesincreaseintheEasternSeaboardandSamutprakarn,astheselocationshavelimitedsupply.

OUTLOOK

Figure12

Rental Rate by Provinces

Source: Knight Frank Thailand Research

FactoryRentalMarket:purposebuiltfactoriesforrentfromallmajordevelopers,butnotlim-itedtoindustrialestatelocations

SILP:servicedindustriallandparcelslocatedinindustrialestates,zonesandparks

APPENDIX

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