Gunkul Engineering Plc.gunkul.listedcompany.com/misc/PRESN/201400828-gunkul-oppDay2… · of...
Transcript of Gunkul Engineering Plc.gunkul.listedcompany.com/misc/PRESN/201400828-gunkul-oppDay2… · of...
Gunkul Engineering Plc.
Opportunity Day Q2/2014
Gunkul Engineering Plc.
Opportunity Day Q2/2014
2
Strictly Private & Confidential
1. Strategic Direction
2. Company Overview
3. Financials
4. Growth Strategy
Agenda
3
1. Strategic Direction
4
Strictly Private & Confidential
Past Present & Future Direction
Section 1: Strategic Direction
PR
ES
EN
T
PA
ST
FU
TU
RE
Mostly green field
Mostly Thailand
Partially divest so as
to reinvest in higher-
yield opportunities
JV & green field
Asian countries
Position as a
developer—seek for
higher yield projects,
develop and partially
divest so as to buildup
balance sheet
initiation of new energy-
related business
Continuous capacity
ramp-up
Stable income from
diversified power
plant portfolio
further earning uplift
from EPC business
and initiation of
energy-related
business
5
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy
Section 1: Strategic Direction
GROWTH
DISCIPLINE
Capacity ramp-up of energy
Line-up renewable energy
construction work
Expansion in Asia
Cash return on
investment with hurdle
of ~18-20%
Dividend payout policy
of > 40%
6
2. Company Overview
7
Strictly Private & Confidential
Trading and
manufacturing, 20.0%
EPC, 30.0%
Power producer,
45.0%
O&M, 5.0%
GUNKUL– Leading Integrated Energy Player
Section 2: Company Overview
Founded in 1982
as an electrical
equipment trader
1982
Set up our
own
manufacturer
1992
Expanded business to
neighboring LVMC
countries
Found the first offshore
office in Myanmar
1997 2009
Entered into
renewable
energy EPC
business by
achieving supply
and set up the
first wind turbine
of Thailand to
EGAT
Since 2010
Trading and
manufacturing
EPC
O&M
Trading and
manufacturing
One of the largest medium- to high-voltage electrical equipment manufacturer and supplier (over 5,000 product items)
Thailand's no. 1 one-stop provider for renewable power plant EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction)
Own power plants. Positioned as a power developer as a shortcut to become leading power producer
Expand into renewable energy
power producer business
Possess a current renewable
energy pool of 178 MW (58 MW
of solar and 120 MW of wind)
4 business units
1
2
3
2017F Revenue
Breakdown2013 revenue
breakdown1
Remark: (1) This revenue includes dividend
income earned from the JV companies
operating solar power plant businesses
Power producer 4
8
Strictly Private & Confidential
Business Structure
Section 2: Company Overview
GUNKUL
Group
Public
shareholders
GUNKUL PCL.
60% 40%
G.K.Assembly100%
G.K.Power
K.N.P.Supply
GUNKUL CHUBU
Powergen (1)
G-Power Source (2)
NK Sola
Wind Energy
Development
51%
40%
100%
100%
Trading and
manufacturing &
EPC business
Power producer
business
Remark: (1) the remaining stake of 49% of GCPG is
held by Chubu Electric Power Gem B.V.(2) the 60% stake of GPS is held by The
Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO)(3) GUNKUL hold 100.00 percent of shares(4) GUNKUL hold 25.01 percent of shares
Greenovation Power
100%
Gunkul LED74.99%
100%
100%
25.01%
100%
100%
100%
100%
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof
1,3,6,10,17
Solar Energy Society
Gunkul Solar Roof 1
Gunkul Solar Power 2
Siam Gunkul Solar Energy
Gunkul Myanmar Central Power
51%
9
Strictly Private & Confidential
Business Structure
Section 2: Company Overview
CustomerManufacturer Distributor
GKA
GKP
External
Manufacturer
KNP
GUNKUL
Gov’t
Private entities
Foreign gov’t
Trading and Manu Business Flow1
CustomerSupplier Main Contractor
EPC Business Flow
GKA
GKP
External
Manufacturer
GUNKUL
GCPG
GPS
In/external
power
producer
2
Power Producer BU Flow
Solar 30.9 MW
3
GUNKUL CHUBU Powergen
G-Power Source
NK Sola
Wind Energy Development
Solar 26.0 MW
Solar 1.0 MW
Wind 60.0 MW
Electricity AuthorityPower plant
Greenovation PowerWind 60.0 MW
GLED
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 1Solar Rooftop
636.48 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 3Solar Rooftop
832.32 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 6Solar Rooftop
832.32 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 17
Solar Energy Society
Gunkul Solar Power 2
Gunkul Solar Roof 1
Siam Gunkul Solar Energy
Solar Rooftop
997.56 kWp
Solar Rooftop
723.84 kWp
Solar Rooftop
264.32 kWp
Solar Rooftop
538.56 kWp
Solar Rooftop
1,872 kWp
Gunkul Myanmar Central PowerGas Engine
25 MW
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 10Solar Rooftop
979.20 kWp
10
Strictly Private & Confidential
Trading and Manufacturing Business
Section 2: Company Overview
1
Electricity plants:
Wind turbine
components
Solar panel components
Transmission lines:
Cable and accessories
Fuse and switches
Hardware and connectors
Insulators
Lightning protection
Maintenance equipment
Tools and instruments
Substation:
Battery and chargers
Capacitors
Grounding
Maintenance equipment
Meters
Tools and instruments
Transformers
Low voltage lines:
Capacitors
Explosion proof products
Fuses and switches
Grounding
Hardware and connectors
Insulators
Lightning protection
Meters
Preformed
Street lighting and control
Telephone hardware
We offer a wide range of products and services from upstream to downstream of the electricity supply system (over 5,000 electricity items)
Distribution lines:
Cables and accessories
Capacitors
Fuse and switches
Grounding
Hardware and
connectors
Insulators
Lightning protection
Live part covers
Maintenance equipment
Meters
Preformed
Tools and instruments
Transformers
Highlight in-house products
Cutout Arrester Disconnecting switch SF6 gas switch Low-voltage switch
11
Strictly Private & Confidential
EPC Business
Section 2: Company Overview
2
Project Reference
Project Owner MW Status
1) Gunkul Powergen (Phase 1)
2) G-Power Source (Phase 1)
3) Gunkul Powergen (Phase 2)
4) G-Power Source (Phase 2)
5) NK Power Sola
6) CK & Sun Solar Power Plant
7) Solatra Solar Power Plant
8) BSE (NMA)
9) BSE (CPM1)
10) Solar Rooftop Projects
4.4
19.5
23.5
6.5
1.0
8.0
8.0
12.5
12.5
11.0
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
Complete
75% Complete
Total 106.9
Business Partner
With more 30-year experience in the electrical system and its integrated business model, we are well positioned to offer one-stop services for constructing renewable power plants
12
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business
Section 2: Company Overview
3
Project 1 (Operated since 2011)
Capacity: 3.0 MW and 4.4 MW
Location: Chondan Petchaboon
Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 2 (Operated since Mar 2013)
Capacity: 8.0 MW
Location: Petchaboon
Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 3 (Operated since Mar 2013)
Capacity: 4.5 MW
Location: Pichit
Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 4 (Operated since June 2013)
Capacity: 8.0 MW
Location: Nakorn Nayok
Average Radiation: 5.04 kWh/m2/d
Project 5 (Operated since May 2013)
Capacity: 3.0 MW
Location: Bung Samphan, Petchaboon
Average Radiation: 5.04 kWh/m2/d
Solar
30.9 MW CapacityGPS Plants
GPG Plants
WED Plants
Total Plants : 18 Plants
Already COD : 60.2 MW
Going to Construction : 170 MW
Total : 230.2 MW
NK Plant
Solar
1.0 MW Capacity
Project 1(Operated since Nov 2013)
Capacity: 1.0 MW
Location: Kanchanaburi
Solar
26 MW Capacity
Project 1 (Operated since Q12012)Capacity: 6.5 MWLocation: Tasang, Nakorn - Sawan
Project 2 (Operated since Q12012)Capacity: 6.5 MWLocation: Takeed, Nakorn -Sawan
Project 3 (Operated since Q12012)Capacity: 6.5 MWLocation: Dong-Korn, Chainat
Project 4 (Operated since Feb 2013Capacity: 6.5 MWLocation: Bung Samphan, Petchaboon
Project 1 (Under Development)
Capacity: 10 MW
Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Project 2 (Under Development)
Capacity: 50 MW
Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Wind
60 MW Capacity
Project 1 (Under Development)
Capacity: 60 MW
Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Wind
60 MW Capacity
GNP Plant
Total 17 Projects
Total Capacity: 11.18 MW
Location: Bangkok, Rayong, Samutprakarn
WHA-GUNKUL
Gas Engine
50 MW Capacity
Project 1 (Operated since Nov 2013)
Capacity: 25.0 MW
Location: Rangoon, Myanmar
Project 2 (Under Development)
Capacity: 25.0 MW
Location: Rangoon, Maynmar
GMP
13
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business (Cont’d)
Section 2: Company Overview
3
SolarSolar
RooftopWind
Gas
Engine
Project investment
costs
~THB80–100 mm
per MW
~THB 75 mm
per MW
~ THB75-85 mm
per MW
~ THB58 mm
per MW
Technology
Thin Film CIS modules
without cadmium or
Crystalline Silicon
Module
Crystalline Silicon
ModuleHorizontal Wind Turbine Gas Fired Engine
Selling price
(Base tariff)~THB3.0 per kWh
Feed-in Tariff (FIT)
THB6.16 per kWh
for 25 years since COD
~THB3.0 per kWh ~US$0.034 /kWh
AdderTHB8.0 per kWh for 10
years since COD-
THB3.5 per kWh for 10
years since COD-
BOI tax exemptionYear 1st - 8th : 100%,
9th – 13th : 50%
Year 1st - 8th : 100%,
9th – 13th : 50%
Year 1st - 8th : 100%,
9th – 13th : 50%Year 1st - 5th : 100%
Import tax100% import tax
exemption
100% import tax
exemption
100% import tax
exemption
100% import tax
exemption
Yearly revenue ~ THB 19 mm per MW ~ THB 10 mm per MW ~ THB 15 mm per MW ~ THB 2 mm per MW
Key Information
14
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business (Cont’d)
Section 2: Company Overview
3
Gunkul Myanmar Power
(Hlawga) Pte. Ltd.
Myanmar Local
Partner
Gunkul Engineering
PLC.
GKMCP II
SCOD : 2H 2015
GKMCP I
COD: Nov 2013
60%
51% 49%
40%
15
Strictly Private & Confidential
Progress on 120-MW Huai Bong Wind Farm
Section 2: Company Overview
Land site: fully secured1
Fencing works : Done
Land Boundary Measurement: Done
EIA: approved
License for 120 MW Huai Bong Wind Power Project: (WED 60 MW and GNP 60 MW)fully secured
2
3 Wind Data Summary Report
Average wind speed (34 months) at 100 m height: 5.6 m/s (WED mast 1) and 5.7 m/s (WED mast 2)
The long term wind speed at 100m are 5.8m/s (Mast HB1) and 5.9 m/s (Mast HB2)
The long term wind speed at 125m are 6.0 m/s (Mast HB1) and 6.2 m/s (Mast HB2)
WED
GNP
16
3. Financials
Strictly Private & Confidential
1717
Note : Total Revenue from Government , Private and Foreign Customer is considered as revenue from Conventional Business.
Revenue Breakdown
Revenue from sales of electricity and EPC work is expected to be majority in the future.
Revenue Breakdown by Customer Type % Revenue Breakdown by Customer Type
2014
2013
THB MM
1,288
2,651
2,746
4,722
1,668
1,692
Strictly Private & Confidential
1818
Revenues & Profit as of June 30, 2014
Revenue vs. Overall Gross Margin Net Profit vs. Net Profit Margin
THB Mn
THB MM
GPS divestment GPG divestment
Included Gain From share divestment
Strictly Private & Confidential
1919
Our Financial Flexibility
Gunkul’s Liabilities D/E Ratio
Debt to Equity ratio
THB MM
657
4,355
4,814
1,459
2,643
Strictly Private & Confidential
2020
Unit : THB mm
Comparison of Balance Sheet 2014 VS 2013
Balance Sheet
Non Current Asset
Current Asset
Current Liabilities
Non Current Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
As of Jun 30,2014As of Dec 31,2013
Total Asset 4,579.61 Total Asset 5,767.39
Strictly Private & Confidential
2121
Financial Information as of June 30, 2014
Asset Liability EquityUnit : THB MM Unit : THB MMUnit : THB MM
Transaction 30/6/2014 31/12/2013 31/12/2012 31/12/2011 31/12/2010 31/12/2009
Asset (MB) 5,767.39 4,579.61 7,197.34 5,539.78 1,789.71 856.90
Liability (MB) 2,642.89 1,458.88 4,983.90 4,356.18 657.51 351.79
Equity (MB) 3,124.50 3,120.73 2,213.44 1,183.60 1,132.20 505.11
Paid-up (MB) 880.00 660.00 440.00 400.00 400.00 300.00
Revenue (MB) 1,726.15 2,855.72 4,763.87 2,668.70 1,288.70 864.07
Revenue (MB)* 1,346.98 2,431.51 4,715.87 - - -
Net Profit (MB) 308.43 867.97 769.60 89.52 123.17 53.66
ROA (%) 5.35 18.95 11.06 1.62 6.88 6.26
ROE (%) 9.87 27.81 35.88 7.56 10.88 10.62
Net Profit (%) 17.87 11.92 10.29 3.35 9.56 6.21
Net Profit (%)** 17.87 30.39 16.15 - - -
* PROFIT SHERING FROM INVESTMENTS ACCOUNTED FOR USING THE EQUITY METHOD
** INCLUDED GAIN FROM SALE OF INVESTMENT
(2.03)
(2.89)
Strictly Private & Confidential
2222
Million Baht.
Profit sharing from GPS & GCPG (2013 vs 2014F)
Q1/13 Q1/14 Q2/13 Q2/14 Q3/13 Q3/14 Q4/13 Q4/14
150
241
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Y2013 F2014
Strictly Private & Confidential
2323
Backlog & Sales Forecast and Incoming Project
- The value of backlog project and sales forecast are 2,909 million baht.
Column1 Project (Incoming) MW. Expected SCOD
1 WED 60 Q4/15
2 GNP 60 Q4/16
3 Gas Enging (Myanmar) # 1 25 COD ( NOV/13)
4 Gas Enging (Myanmar) # 2 25 Q4/15
EPC, 1,389 Mn
Service, 50 Mn
Electricity, 20 Mn
Backlog Project : THB 1,459 million
No. project Amount (Million Baht)
1 EPC 1,389
2 Service 50
3 Electricity (NK Solar) 20
Total 1,459
Backlog project : THB 1,459 million
Domestic Trading, 970 Mn
Oversea Trading, 480 Mn
Forecast Sales : THB 1,450 million
No. project Amount (Million Baht)
1 Domestic Trading 970
2 Oversea Trading 480
Total 1,450
Forecast Sales : THB 1,450 million
24
4. Growth Strategy
25
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy for Trading and Manufacturing Business1
Expansion and improvement of electrical system are
expected, as demand for electricity continued to
expand
In 2012 electricity peak demand in Thailand increased
strongly at 9.2% YoY, compared with the average of
2.4% of growth rate of peak demand over the past ten
years
Investment in transmission and distribution
systems will remain substantial
As indicated in PDP 2010, the investments for the main
electricity authorities during 2010-20F is budgeted to
reach THB328 bn
1,691 1,779
328421
2010-2020 2021-2030
Power generation Distribution
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Unit: THB bnUnit: MW
+9.2% YoY
Source: EPPO as of May 2013
26
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy for Trading and Manufacturing Business1
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Gov’t budget of THB2 trillion for improving Thailand’s infrastructure including
the construction of Mass Rapid Transit for 9 routes will create demand of our
in-house productsIn-house
products
1.Bangsue-Bangyai
C1.Bangsue-Talingchan
5.Bangkapi-Bangbumru
7.Bangkapi-Minburi
C3.Bangsue-Pyatai-Huamark2.Bangsue-Thapra
Hualumpong-Bangkae
6.Taksin-Bangwa-Puttamonton sai 4
3.Morchit-Paholyathin-Sapanmai (Lumlukka)
C2.Bangsue-Thammasart Rungsit
C4. Hualumpong-Mahachai
4.Baring-Sumrong-Samutprakarn (Bangpu)
8.Outer Ring Road (A-D)
Transport network of rail and mass transit 9 lines
27
Strictly Private & Confidential
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer
Section 4: Growth Strategy
2 3
Growing number of renewable power plants is expected
From New Alternative Energy Development Plan 2012-2021, following policy announcement on November 30, 2011 by the government,
renewable energy is to contribute 25% of electricity source by 2021. On July 2013, the regulator increased generating capacity from 9,201
MW to 13,927 representing 51%
Type of Energy Previous Capacity Current Capacity PPA-Granted PPA-COD in Q1/2014
Solar 2,000 3,000 1,493 961
Biogas 600 3,600 242 275
Biomass 3,630 4,800 2,301 2,351
Waste 160 400 163 47
Hydro 1,608 324 14.03 112
Wind 1,200 1,800 1,817 223
Total 9,201 13,927 6,030 3,969
Thailand’s PDP 2010, 3rd revision
Unit: MW
PreviousTotal 9,201 MW
RevisedTotal 13,927 MW in 2021
Source: http://webkc.dede.go.th/testmax/sites/default/files/factsq1_2014.pdf
Current (install capacity)Total 3,969 MW in Q1/2014
28
Strictly Private & Confidential
On July 16, 2013, the Energy Ministry launched a solar rooftop program and set the rate of electricity to be sold back to utilities (the Provincial Electricity Authority) in a range of 6.16 to 6.96 baht
Energy Regulatory Commission was delegated to issues regulations for the purchase of power from solar roof
The Energy Ministry also revised up the target of electricity contribution from renewable energy sources by 51% from 9,201 MW to 13,927 MW, 3,000 MW of 14GW are targeted to come from solar energy sources
800MW1,400
MW
800 MW
Solar Rooftop
Provincial Solar Farm
Solar Farm
Breakdown of Thailand’s solar
power industry
Total 3,000 MW
Solar Roof
Total Value
800 MW
~THB 56 Bn.
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Thailand’s Solar Industry Snapshot
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer2 3
29
Strictly Private & Confidential
Solar Roof Government Feed-in Tariff Program
Residential Industrial Building
0 to 10 kW 10 to 250 kW 250 kW to 1 MW >1 MW
Private CustomerLocal communities
Small buildings
Agriculture
Local communities
Medium buildings
Agriculture
Industries
Industries
Retail
Logistic centres
Installed capacity
6.96 6.55 6.16FIT
(Baht/unit)
0 to ~77 sq.m. ~77 to ~1,900 sq.m. ~1,900 to ~7,700 sq.m.
Section 4: Growth Strategy
30
Strictly Private & Confidential
11 MW
Our Solar Roof Project Pipeline
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Yr. Residential (MW) Industrial (MW)
GrantedQuota
Submit / Granted
Granted Quota
Total Submission
Granted PPAfor GUNKUL
Remark
1 100 36 100 456 11 GUNKUL submitted in total 81 MW
2 100 100 -
70 GUNKUL Opportunity3 100 100 -
4 100 100 -
Total 400 400 -
7.5 MW
3.5 MW
100% EPC by GUNKUL
100% Own by GUNKUL
GUNKUL with Partner
31
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
PPA status of Wind Energy
Currently, GUNKUL has been granted PPA 120 MW
GUNKUL is looking for opportunity to get more PPA around 100-150 MW
Already COD,
209 MW
PPA-Not COD yet,
1,608 MW
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer2 3
32
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
With unusable land of wind projects
(2,100 Rais with additional land for new
projects), plantation of high heat plants
is an interesting option for biomass
power plant or trading business
Biomass Business
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer2 3
New opportunity to fulfill
“Smart Energy in Action!”
33
Strictly Private & Confidential
Existing & Potential Power Plants of Domestic Renewable Market
Extracting growth from existing domestic assets & potential developing projects
Section 4: Growth Strategy
3
Energy/
CapacityCompany Project Location
2013 2014 2015Installed
Capacity
Accumulat
ed
Installed
Capacity
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q1 (MW) (MW)
Solar/57 MW
GPG Project 1 Chondan COD since 2011 7.5 7.5
GPS Project 1-3 Tasang, Taked, Dong-Khon COD since Q12012 19.5 27
GPS Project 4 Bung Samphan COD since Feb, 2013 6.5 33.5
GPG Project 2 Petchaboon COD since Mar, 2013 8 41.5
GPG Project 4 Nakorn Nayok COD since June, 2013 8 49.5
GPG Project 3 Pichit COD since Mar, 2013 4.5 54
GPG Project 5 Bung Samphan COD since May, 2013 3 57
Solar/1 MW NK Project 1 Kanchanaburi COD since Nov,
20131 58
Solar Roof Top Solar Entities Project 1-17Bangkok, Saraburi, Rayong,
Nongthaburi, etc
Amount 3 Projects
COD since April,
2014
5.36 63.36
Wind # 1/60 MW
WED Project 1 Huai Bong 1& 2SCOD
Q41510 73.36
WED Project 2 WayuSCOD
Q41550 123.36
Wind # 2/60MW GNP Project 1 SalarnlomSCOD
Q41660 183.36
Wind # 3/60 MW Potential developing projects 50 233.36
Wind # 4/60 MW Potential developing projects 50 283.36
Solar/40 MW Potential developing projects 40 323.36
Total 323.36 MW
34
Strictly Private & Confidential
Potential Oversea Wind Projects
Granted MOU by
MOEP2 (Ministry of
Electric Power 2) to
conduct feasibility
study for wind
projects in Myanmar
with total capacity of
1,000MW
Section 4: Growth Strategy
3
35
Q & A
36
Strictly Private & Confidential
Disclaimer
This presentation includes statements of future expectations, projections or other forward-looking
statements, which reflect our current views with respect to future events and are not a guarantee of further
performance. A number of important factors, risks and uncertainties could cause actual results or
outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. No assurance is
given that these future events will occur, or that the Company’s assumptions are correct.
Contact us at [email protected]
37
Strictly Private & Confidential