Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

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Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-1 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach 7 th Edition Chapter 11 Hypothesis Tests for One and Two Population Variances

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Materi ini merupakan bahan ajar sebagai pelengkap e-materi mata kuliah statistika bisnis.Groebner, D. F., Shannon, P. W., Fry, P. C. & Smith, K. D. (2011). Business Statistics: A Decision Making Approach 8th Edition. pearson.

Transcript of Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Page 1: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-1

Business Statistics:

A Decision-Making Approach7th Edition

Chapter 11

Hypothesis Tests for One and Two

Population Variances

Page 2: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-2

Chapter Goals

After completing this chapter, you should be

able to:

Formulate and complete hypothesis tests for a single

population variance

Find critical chi-square distribution values from the

chi-square table

Formulate and complete hypothesis tests for the

difference between two population variances

Use the F table to find critical F values

Page 3: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-3

Hypothesis Tests for Variances

Hypothesis Tests

for Variances

Tests for a Single

Population Variance

Tests for Two

Population Variances

Chi-Square test statistic F test statistic

Page 4: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-4

Single Population

Hypothesis Tests for Variances

Tests for a Single

Population Variance

Chi-Square test statistic

H0: σ2 = σ0

2

HA: σ2 ≠ σ02

H0: σ2 σ0

2

HA: σ2 < σ02

H0: σ2 ≤ σ0

2

HA: σ2 > σ02

*Two tailed test

Lower tail test

Upper tail test

Page 5: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-5

Chi-Square Test Statistic

Hypothesis Tests for Variances

Tests for a Single

Population Variance

Chi-Square test statistic *

The chi-squared test statistic for

a Single Population Variance is:

2

22

σ

1)s(n

where

2 = standardized chi-square variable

n = sample size

s2 = sample variance

σ2 = hypothesized variance

Page 6: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-6

The Chi-square Distribution

The chi-square distribution is a family of

distributions, depending on degrees of freedom:

d.f. = n - 1

0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28

d.f. = 1 d.f. = 5 d.f. = 15

2 22

Page 7: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-7

Finding the Critical Value

The critical value, , is found from the

chi-square table

Do not reject H0 Reject H0

2

2

2

H0: σ2 ≤ σ0

2

HA: σ2 > σ02

Upper tail test:

Page 8: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-8

Example

A commercial freezer must hold the selected

temperature with little variation. Specifications call

for a standard deviation of no more than 4 degrees

(or variance of 16 degrees2). A sample of 16

freezers is tested and

yields a sample variance

of s2 = 24. Test to see

whether the standard

deviation specification

is exceeded. Use

= .05

Page 9: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-9

Finding the Critical Value

Use the chi-square table to find the critical value:

Do not reject H0 Reject H0

= .05

2

2

2

= 24.9958

= 24.9958 ( = .05 and 16 – 1 = 15 d.f.)

22.516

1)24(16

σ

1)s(n2

22

The test statistic is:

Since 22.5 < 24.9958,

do not reject H0

There is not significant

evidence at the = .05 level

that the standard deviation

specification is exceeded

Page 10: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-10

Lower Tail or Two Tailed Chi-square Tests

H0: σ2 = σ0

2

HA: σ2 ≠ σ02

H0: σ2 σ0

2

HA: σ2 < σ02

2/2

Do not reject H0Reject

21-

2

Do not reject H0

Reject

/2

21-/2

2

/2

Reject

Lower tail test: Two tail test:

(2U)(2

L)

Page 11: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-11

Confidence Interval Estimatefor σ2

2/2

/2

21-/2

2

/2

(2U)(2

L)

The confidence interval estimate for σ2 is

2

L

22

2

U

2 1)s(nσ

1)s(n

χχ

Where 2L and 2

U are from the

2 distribution with n -1 degrees

of freedom

Page 12: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-12

Example

A sample of 16 freezers yields a sample

variance of s2 = 24.

Form a 95% confidence interval for the

population variance.

Page 13: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-13

Use the chi-square table to find 2L and 2

U :

6.2621

( = .05 and 16 – 1 = 15 d.f.)

Example(continued)

2.025

/2=.025

2.975

/2=.025

(2U)(2

L)

27.4884 57.489σ13.096

6.2621

1)24(16σ

27.4884

1)24(16

1)s(nσ

1)s(n

2

2

2

L

22

2

U

2

χχ

We are 95% confident that the population variance is between 13.096

and 57.489 degrees2. (Taking the square root, we are 95% confident that

the population standard deviation is between 3.619 and 7.582 degrees.)

Page 14: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-14

Hypothesis Tests for Variances

Tests for Two

Population Variances

F test statistic

*

F Test for Difference in Two Population Variances

H0: σ12 = σ2

2

HA: σ12 ≠ σ2

2 Two tailed test

Lower tail test

Upper tail test

H0: σ12 σ2

2

HA: σ12 < σ2

2

H0: σ12 ≤ σ2

2

HA: σ12 > σ2

2

Page 15: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-15

Hypothesis Tests for Variances

F test statistic*

F Test for Difference in Two Population Variances

Tests for Two

Population Variances2

2

2

1

s

sF

The F test statistic is:

= Variance of Sample 1

D1 = n1 - 1 = numerator degrees of freedom

D2 = n2 - 1 = denominator degrees of freedom

= Variance of Sample 2

2

1s

2

2s

Where F has D1

numerator and D2

denominator

degrees of freedom

Page 16: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-16

The F critical value is found from the F table

The are two appropriate degrees of freedom:

D1 (numerator) and D2 (denominator)

In the F table,

numerator degrees of freedom determine the row

denominator degrees of freedom determine the column

The F Distribution

where D1 = n1 – 1 ; D2 = n2 – 12

2

2

1

s

sF

Page 17: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-17

For a two-tailed test, always place the larger

sample variance in the numerator

For a one-tailed test, consider the alternative

hypothesis: place in the numerator the sample

variance for the population that is predicted

(based on HA) to have the larger variance

Formulating the F Ratio

where D1 = n1 – 1 ; D2 = n2 – 12

2

2

1

s

sF

Page 18: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-18

F0

rejection region for a one-tail test is

Finding the Critical Value

F0

2/2

2

2

1 Fs

sF F

s

sF

2

2

2

1

(where the larger sample variance in the numerator)

rejection region for a two-tailed test is

/2

F F/2

Reject H0Do not reject H0

Reject H0Do not reject H0

H0: σ12 = σ2

2

HA: σ12 ≠ σ2

2

H0: σ12 σ2

2

HA: σ12 < σ2

2

H0: σ12 ≤ σ2

2

HA: σ12 > σ2

2

Page 19: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-19

F Test: An Example

You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. You

want to compare dividend yields between stocks listed

on the NYSE & NASDAQ. You collect the following data:

NYSE NASDAQ

Number 21 25

Mean 3.27 2.53

Std dev 1.30 1.16

Is there a difference in the

variances between the NYSE

& NASDAQ at the = 0.05 level?

Page 20: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-20

F Test: Example Solution

Form the hypothesis test:

H0: σ21 = σ2

2 (there is no difference between variances)

HA: σ21 ≠ σ2

2 (there is a difference between variances)

Find the F critical value for = .05:

Numerator:

D1 = n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20

Denominator:

D2 = n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24

F.05/2, 20, 24 = 2.327

Page 21: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-21

The test statistic is:

0

256.116.1

30.1

s

sF

2

2

2

2

2

1

/2 = .025

F/2

=2.327

Reject H0Do not reject H0

H0: σ12 = σ2

2

HA: σ12 ≠ σ2

2

F Test: Example Solution

F = 1.256 is not greater than

the critical F value of 2.327, so

we do not reject H0

(continued)

Conclusion: There is no evidence of a

difference in variances at = .05

Page 22: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-22

Using EXCEL and PHStat

EXCEL

F test for two variances:

Data | Data Analysis | F-test: Two Sample for Variances

PHStat

Chi-square test for the variance:

PHStat | One-sample Tests | Chi-square Test for the Variance

F test for two variances:

PHStat | Two-sample Tests | F Test for Differences in Two

Variances

Page 23: Groebner Business Statistics 7 Ch11

Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 11-23

Chapter Summary

Performed chi-square tests for the variance

Used the chi-square table to find chi-square

critical values

Performed F tests for the difference between two

population variances

Used the F table to find F critical values