Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train for the Nordic …High-speed on the conventional network:...
Transcript of Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train for the Nordic …High-speed on the conventional network:...
Gröna Tåget a high speedGröna Tåget – a high-speedtrain for the Nordic market
Oskar Frö[email protected]
Public Conference in Oslob16 December, 2010
High-speed on the conventionalg pnetwork: Tilting trainsSweden
First report on tiltingtrains in 1969.trains in 1969.
X 2000 services begun in 1990 (Stockholm-Gothenburg), and was
t d d t ll i liextended to all main linesduring the 1990’s.
Upgrading of the conventional network for Successful in rail/air competi-up to 200 km/h operation.
/ ption up to 400 km, and alsoStockholm-Gothenb.(455 km)
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 2
New high-speed trains needed
• Travel demand increasesSh t t lli ti fit bl• Short travelling times are profitable (for society as
for operators and passengers)
• Lower fares through better economy of serviceLower fares through better economy of service• Existing trains grow older
New links and rebuilt sections since mid-1990’s dimensioned for 250 km/h with tilting trains(mixed freight and passenger)
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 3
G ö A Tå t h GrönA Tåget research programme
The Gröna Tåget research programme• Trafikverket, KTH, research institutes, Bombardier, SJ AB, consultants
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 4
• 2005-2011
Gröna TågetGröna TågetGrønne Toget/The Green Train
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 5
Carbody tiltCarbody tiltTo increase speed in curves
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 6
Boogie technologyBoogie technologyTrack-friendly soft boogie
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 7
The Gröna Tåget cost modelThe Gröna Tåget cost model
Train data Type of service Load factor
Capital costs Onboard personnel costs
Type of service
Energy costs
Terminal costs
Infrastructure user fees
Maintenance costs
Infrastructure user fees
Administration and planning
Sales costs
Administration and planning
Calculation of general operational costs Calculation of operational costs per case
Cost per train-km Cost per passenger-km
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 8
Cost per seat-km
Most important factors for low costs in ptrain operations
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 9
Total operational cost as a Total operational cost as a function of commercial speed
0,50
0,60
at-km
)
0,30
0,40
/sittp
latsk
mt (
SEK/
sea
0,10
0,20Kr/
Total
cost
0,0080 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
Medelhastighet (km/h)Commercial speed (km/h)p ( )
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Total operational cost as a Total operational cost as a function of space utilisation
0,50
0,60
mat-k
m)
0 20
0,30
0,40
r/sitt
plats
kmt (
SEK/
sea
0 00
0,10
0,20KrTo
tal co
st
0,001,6 1,8 2,0 2,2 2,4 2,6 2,8 3,0 3,2 3,4 3,6
Sittplatser per meter tåglängdSeats per metre of train lengthp g
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 11
Total operational cost as a Total operational cost as a function of load factor
1,201,401,60
ss-km
)
0 600,801,00,
r/per
sonk
mt (
SEK/
pas
0,200,400,60Kr
/To
tal co
st
0,0020% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
BeläggningsgradLoad factor
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åGröna Tåget high-speed concept
• Carbody tilt (optional)• High top speed of 250 km/h on conventionalg p p /lines, a 320 km/h version for new lines possible• Wide-body• Shorter, flexible trainsets• Reliable in Nordic winter• Lower total costs• Lower energy consumption (economy andLower energy consumption (economy andenergy efficient)
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 13
Carbody width
2,95 m 3,46-3,55 m
ICE3Continental profile
Gröna TågetWide body
Norway, Sweden, Copenhagen
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 14
o ay, S ede , Cope age
Comparison of train setsSpace utilisationSpace utilisation• Wide-body trains have 25-30% more seats in every car• Space efficient seats and train layout• An EMU is lacking a locomotive/power unit (cf. the X 2000)
108 mGröna tåget (wide body) approx. 300 seats
134 mGröna tåget (continental profile) approx. 300 seats
165 mX 2000 (normal profile)
Illustration by Oskar Fröidh, 2010
309 seats
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 15
Eff t f G ö Tå tEffects of Gröna Tåget
Higher top speed (250 km/h up)
Tilting capabilityTilting capabilityWide body (2+3 seating)Shorter trainsets flexible train length
Market effects Better supply
Shorter trainsets, flexible train length
Market effects• Increased travel demand• Improved economy of operation
pp y
p y p• Increased accessibility, cost-benefit ratio improves• Less air and car travel – sustainable environment
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 16
Suggested strategy
OsloSalaFagersta
Kongsvinger
Lill t
GardermoenAirport Torsby The Oslo–Stockholm corridor
A
Uppsala
VästeråsArvika
Enköping
Sala
Arlanda Airport
Fagersta
KilBålsta
Lillestrøm
Ski
Moss
StockholmEskilstuna
HallsbergÖrebro
Karlstad Söder-tälje
Ström
Arboga
Kil
FlenHasselfors
Hovsta
Järna
SarpsborgHaldenFredrik-
stad
D9
Map: Oskar Fröidh, 2010Norrköping
Katrineholm
M t l
NyköpingOxelösund
Mariestad
Ström-stad Gnesta
Vagn-härad
LaxåJärna
Railway, mixed services or passenger onlyRailway, freight onlyHigh-speed link, proposed
Linköping
Norrköping
MjölbySkövde
Falköping
MotalaLidköping
St d g p , p pExisting corridor Oslo–StockholmHigh-speed corridor, new link/existing line
Gothenburg
TranåsHerrljungaAlingsås
Stenungsund
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new link/existing line
Total operating costsTotal operating costsThe Gröna Tåget cost modelApplied on Oslo–Stockholm corridor
Total operating costs ‐ high‐speed linesTotal operating costs ‐ conventional lines
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
km
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
km
0 10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
NOK/seat‐k
0 10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
NOK/seat‐k
0,00
0,05
0,10
GT Wide‐4 (250 km/h; 300 seats)
GT Wide‐6 (320 km/h; 450 seats)
DB ICE3 (320 km/h; 444 seats)
0,00
0,05
0,10
SJ X 2000 (309 seats) NSB BM73 (204 seats) GT Wide‐4 (300 seats)300 seats) 450 seats) 444 seats)
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Lower ticket price – more journeysp j yThe Oslo–Stockholm corridor
• Total operating cost for 1 single journey in 2010’s prices• Total operating cost for 1 single journey in 2010 s prices• Operating cost not the same as ticket price (which
includes yield management and profit), but an indicationincludes yield management and profit), but an indication
Existing line (570 km, 4h50)Train type Operating cost1 Travel demand2
NSB BM73 NOK 428 ref.SJ X 2000 NOK 411 +3%Gröna Tåget (GTW 4) NOK 347 +15%Gröna Tåget (GTW-4) NOK 347 +15%
High-speed line (491 km, 2h30)Train type Operating cost1 Travel demand2Train type Operating cost Travel demandDB ICE3 NOK 312 ref.Gröna Tåget (GTW-6) NOK 256 +14%
1) Load factor 60%2) At a fare elasticity of -0.82) At a fare elasticity of 0.8
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Total operating costsTotal operating costsGröna Tåget cost modelApplied on Oslo–Stockholm corridor
0,50
Total operating costs by line standard
Hi h d h 20%
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50High-speed has 20% lower operating costs
than services on a
0,20
0,25
0,30
,
OK/Seat‐kmconventional line.
Effect of shorterdistance and time
0,05
0,10
0,15
,N
distance and time
Efficient spaceutilisation (Wide-
0,00
Conventional line High‐speed line
NSB BM73 (204 seats) GTWide 4 (300 seats)
utilisation (Wide-body) has 15% loweroperating costs than
ti t l b d NSB BM73 (204 seats) GT Wide‐4 (300 seats)continental carbody
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åGröna Tåget in Scandinavia
• Higher speeds (250 km/h or more) of interestin all countries (DK FI NO SE)in all countries (DK, FI, NO, SE)• Conventional network supplemented by new high-speed linksg p• Wide-bodied trains possible (according to European norms, but critical in DK)• Many prerequisites in common (climate, market, economy, social order)• Larger market for improved design and lowerprice of trains
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Energy consumptionEnergy consumptionAll modes, Norway
kWh/pass.-km
Train Metro Tram Bus Train Car Car Taxi Air Local(electric) (diesel) ferries boats
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From www.jernbaneverket.no
Energy consumptionEnergy consumptionStockholm–Gothenburg (455 km)E i ti i li Wh/ kExisting main line Wh/pass.-kmOld loco-hauled train (160 km/h; 4 hrs; Lf*44%) 108 1
X 2000 (200 km/h; 2h45; Lf*55%) 77X 2000 (200 km/h; 2h45; Lf*55%) 77Gröna Tåget (250 km/h; 2h30; Lf*60%) 52
New high-speed line (Götaland line)New high speed line (Götaland line)Gröna Tåget (320 km/h; 2 hrs: Lf*60%) 69
Reference valuesEuropean high-speed average (2009; Lf*65%) 61 2
Airplane (Boeing 737-800; Lf*65%) 510 3
1) Equivalent to NSB average today
2) Longer trains than on Stockholm-Gothenburg) g g
Electricity from public grid; 3) Energy content in fuel
* Load factor/Cabin factor; Share of occupied seats
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Energy supply and the environment
• Railways use 1-2% of electricity (Sweden)• Environmental load incl emissions of CO dependent• Environmental load, incl. emissions of CO2, dependent
on energy source for electricity generation• Electricity mix on the common Nordic market gives Electricity mix on the common Nordic market gives
relatively low CO2 emissions due to high proportion of hydroelectric and nuclear* power
• For increased steady use, biofuel, wind, hydroelectric, nuclear* and natural gas are more or less economicand likely power sourcesand likely power sources
• Limited grid transfer capacity and high costs make for example German coal power only a marginal optionp p y g p
* Finland, Sweden
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How can Gröna Tåget contribute to gthe Norwegian High-speed railassessment?assessment?• Economic and environmental friendly concept solution
f l ll h h d lfor existing lines as well as new high-speed lines• Increased travel demand due to shorter travelling
times and lower operating costs (lower ticket prices)times and lower operating costs (lower ticket prices)• A technical solution (tilting carbodies, track-friendly
boogies, winter ability) that suits Nordic operatorsboogies, winter ability) that suits Nordic operators• A flexible concept on a common technical platform
assures lower prices for standardised rolling stock
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E-mailIllustrationer från Konstfack, Stockholm
University College of Arts Crafts and DesignE mail
www.infra.kth.se/jvgwww.gronataget.se
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