Greater Manchester’s £6bn Health & Social Care Budgets’ · 2016-06-13 · Health and social...
Transcript of Greater Manchester’s £6bn Health & Social Care Budgets’ · 2016-06-13 · Health and social...
‘Devo Manc: Bringing Together Greater Manchester’s £6bn
Health & Social Care Budgets’
18th June 2015
MSP CityLabs
Welcome & Introduction
Professor Chris Taylor
Manchester Ecosystem
European Connected Health Alliance Bringing Together the future of Health, Social Care & Wellness
www.echalliance.com / [email protected]
Progress across Europe
The International Network stretches across Europe and North America and is growing!
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• Northern Ireland (UK)
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New In development
No
rthern
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Manch
est
er
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lonia
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tland
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rk
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ast
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European Connected Health Alliance Bringing Together the future of Health, Social Care & Wellness
www.echalliance.com / [email protected]
Ian Williamson
Chief Officer
Greater Manchester Health and Social Care Devolution
NW Finance Directors
Friday 15 May 2015
NW Finance Directors
Friday 15 May 2015
Ian Williams
Chief Officer
Greater Manchester Health and Social Care Devolution
Chief Officer
Greater Manchester Health and Social Care Devolution
Manchester Connected Health Ecosystem
Health & Social Care Devolution - Introduction
18th June 2015
Warren Heppolette
GM Devolution – the background
Greater Manchester Devolution Agreement settled with Government in November 2014, building on GM Strategy development.
Powers over areas such as transport, planning and housing – and a new elected mayor.
Ambition for £22 billion handed to GM.
MOU Health and Social Care devolution signed February 2015: NHS England plus the 10 GM councils, 12 Clinical Commissioning Groups and NHS and Foundation Trusts
MoU covers acute care, primary care, community services, mental health services, social care and public health.
To take control of estimated budget of £6 billion each year from April 2016.
Vision
To ensure the greatest and fastest possible improvement to the health and wellbeing of the 2.8 million citizens of Greater Manchester
Objectives
• Improve the health and wellbeing of all of the residents of Greater Manchester from early age to older people, recognising that this will only be achieved with a focus on the prevention of ill health and the promotion of wellbeing
• Move from having some of the worst health outcomes to having some of the best
• Close the health inequalities gap within GM and between GM and the rest of the UK faster
Benefits
• Enable us to have a bigger impact, more quickly, on the health, wealth and wellbeing of GM people
• Be more free to respond to what local people want - using their experience and expertise to help change the way we spend the money
• Create more formal collaboration and joint decision making across the region to co-ordinate services to tackle some of the major health, housing, work and other challenges - supporting physical, mental and social wellbeing
Devolution is the mechanism, not the master…
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What is the problem we are trying to solve…?
….devolution can be the trigger for greater and necessary positive reform
A growing ageing population
Poorer health & growth in chronic conditions
Instability & fragmentation in the health & care system
Consequences • Unplanned,
Haphazard change
• Poorer care and treatment
• Difficulty in meeting future health needs
• Failing the health & care workforce
Increasing pressure on health & social care
Greater Manchester local health profile is significantly worse than England Average
SOURCE: 2014 Local Health Profiles, AHPO
Better Mixed Generally worse
General health
Lower than average Higher than average
Deprivation
Comparison to England average
Local Authority
Trafford
Wigan
Tameside
Stockport
Salford
Oldharn
Manchester
Bury
Bolton
Children living in poverty
Life expectancy gap. most and least deprived areas Life expectancy Deprivation
Year 6 children classed as obese
General health
Rochdale 11,900 Lower for men and
women 20.7% • 9.7 years lower for men.
• 7.9 years lower for women
6,500 Higher for women 18.4% • 10.1 years lower for men.
• 6.3 years lower for women
12,000 Lower for men and women
18.9 % • 9.4 years lower for men.
• 8.5 years lower for women
10,300 Lower for men and women
18.6% • 10.9 years lower for men.
• 8.2 years lower for women
8,500 Similar for men and women
17.1 % • 10.8 years lower for men.
• 8.4 years lower for women
12,700 Lower for men and women
21.5 % • 11.5 years lower for men.
• 8.2 years lower for women
13,300 Lower for men and women
19.3% • 11.2 years lower for men
• 9.2 years lower for women
34,630 Lower for men and women
24.7% • 9.6 years lower for men.
• 8.2 years lower for women
6,670 Lower for men and women
19.3 % • 11.5 years lower for men.
• 7.6 years lower for women
13,040 Lower for men and women
20.0 % • 12.1 years lower for men.
• 9.2 years lower for women
Rate of avoidable admissions in all Greater Manchester CCGs is higher than national average
Whilst our disease registers show a high level of disease prevalence we've still only found about half of the preventable disease that exists. In those patients with disease we have only around 40% are treated to evidence based levels leading to our high level of ambulatory care admissions. We can improve treatment processes resulting in real impacts on the rates of disease progression and reductions in preventable admission costs.
18 SOURCE: January 2015 ASC, CCG and Trust information returns
NHS commissioners
NHS Trusts
Adult Social Care
Challenge1
£1,184m
£851m3
£333m
Financial pressures
• Allocations growing at 0.7-2.5% p.a.
• Underlying demand growth: 4.4% in 2014/15, then 5.1% p.a. due to demographic pressures (aging and population growth) and other non-demographic pressures
• Need to invest in new services and improve existing services
• Reductions in price while costs increase (4.0-4.5% p.a. gap between tariff and cost inflation)
• Reduction in hospital activity from integrated care and other commissioner demand management programmes
• Rising costs to meet new clinical service standards (e.g., 24x7 consultant cover)
• Shrinking budgets
• Rising demand from population growth and aging
Health and social care services in Greater Manchester face a £1.1bn financial challenge
1 Commissioner and Trusts challenge as projected for FY 2018/19. Social care challenge as projected to FY 2018/19 2 Plans to resolve the commissioner challenge contribute to provider challenge, thus excluded from total to avoid double counting 3 £237m of the £851 Challenge is directly due to NHS commissioner changes
£237m
Excluded from total to avoid double counting2
This isn’t just about Health
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Worklessness & Low Skills Children & Young People Crime & Offending Health & Social Care Long-term JSA claimants ESA claimants (WRAG) ‘Low pay no pay’ cycles
Working Tax Credit claimants
Low skill levels (vocational or academic)
Insecure employment
NEET (Young People) Compounding factors:
Lone parents with children 0-4
Poor literacy and numeracy
Poor social skills
Low aspirations
Living alone
Child in Need Status (CIN) / known to Children’s Social Care Child not school ready Low school attendance & exclusions Young parents Missing from home Compounding factors:
Repeat involvement with social care
LAC with risk of offending
Poor parenting skills
SEN
Frequent school moves
Single parents
Repeat offenders Family member in prison Anti-social behaviour Youth Offending Domestic Abuse Organised Crime Compounding factors:
Lost accommodation
Dependent on service
Vulnerability to sexual exploitation
Missing from home
Violent crime
Mental Health (including mild to moderate) Alcohol Misuse Drug Misuse Chronic Ill-health (including long-term illness / disability) Compounding factors:
Unhealthy lifestyle
Social isolation
Relationship breakdown / loss or bereavement
Obesity
Repeat self-harm
Living alone
Adult learning difficulties
The roots of poor health are found across society and the public service – we need to do more than just respond at the point of crisis. This requires integration of not just health and care, but contributing wider public services
Whole Public Service Reform Focus
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Troubled Families - families with multiple needs
Early Years - vulnerable children aged 0-5 and their families
Working Well – individuals leaving the Work Programme without a job, also claiming ESA
Justice & Rehabilitation – includes offenders within Integrated Offender Management, with Intensive Community Orders and Women Offenders
Current PSR: focus on testing the principles of a holistic, integrated, sequenced and evidence-based delivery of public services through bespoke programmes aimed at specific cohorts
Complex Dependency - Supporting a broader group of individuals and families with complex needs Sharper focus on employment Supporting those at risk of becoming dependent on public services Implementing PSR principles at greater scale Taking an integrated approach to tackling complex dependency through whole system change in a place
Complex Dependency: build on the evidence to date that a PSR approach works and learning from progress in our reform programmes
The characteristics of our current models
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The main causes of Greater Manchester's high cost/poor outcomes are: • ‘Too late care’ where conditions are either not prevented or detected early
enough, nor treated to evidenced based standards, and patients' needs escalate resulting in preventable hospital based emergency and elective care and for longer than is necessary.
• The perverse incentives and associated self-interested organisational behaviours of Greater Manchester's hospitals, and weak and uncoordinated system management
• A population that is "inactivated". That is too many of our population don't know that better health outcomes are significantly driven by appropriate lifestyle choices, self-care, the health benefits of work and the potential of a prevention driven NHS and Social Care service.
What does radical reform look like?
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• Shifting the balance of investment towards proactive, early help and away from a crisis response
• Health & care defined by an
approach based on prevention
• Intelligence led, highly targeted preventative action based on a deep knowledge of our communities and their strengths
• More integrated public services responding to all forms of vulnerability
• Increased healthy life expectancy
Wanless for GM 2022… “Levels of public engagement in relation to their health are high. Life expectancy increases go beyond current forecasts, health status improves dramatically and people are confident in the health system and demand high quality care. The health service is responsive with high rates of technology uptake, particularly in relation to disease prevention. Use of resources is more efficient.”
What does it take to get there?
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• Embed a new city wide “offer” to the population, of ensuring the systematic implementation of primary, secondary and tertiary prevention in all health and social care.
• Use our Public Service Reform opportunities to transform the balance between social and medical support to address properly the social determinants of poor health.
• A new model of general practice, extended in scope and scale to exploit the power of both “big data” using a single electronic record, continuity of care and “people powered health”, to lead a systematic implementation of a prevention service and producing a step change improvement in outcomes.
• Develop a “new contract” with our public detailing their new responsibilities regarding lifestyle choices, self-care and self-management of long term conditions.
• Achieve world class standards of elective and emergency hospital care, with hospital Providers’ collaborating as a system to create a “Centre of Excellence” in Greater Manchester providing “best in world” outcomes, to an “activated” population.
• Effective and objective system management, to ensure that both the new primary care led Provider services and the "Hospital Chain" services deliver continually improving, evidence based standards of care.
• An aligned Academic Health System ensuring we genuinely operate at the margins of science and drive innovation across a ‘Learning Health System’.
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Devo Manc & the GMAHSS
Clive Morris Vice President Research & Development
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Panel Question & Answer
Session
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Networking Lunch & Interactive Market Place
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Workshop: ‘Involving Industry’ Discussion Points
1) How can we ensure that digital and mobile health technologies are used to place patients and patient outcomes at the forefront of this change? 2) What can the Manchester Ecosystem do to help you & your organisation make the most of ‘Devo Manc’?
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Wrap Up & Further Networking