Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

16
Last update: Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008), GTA, FAO SHEEP & GOAT - MARKET SITUATION - DASHBOARD 14/07/2022 EU Prices EU Production EU Trade (wihout UK) EU exports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month) World Trade 738.2 Heavy Lamb (> 13 kg cw) + 0.9% 666.6 Light Lamb (< 13 kg cw) - 0.1% €/100 kg carcass weight (cw) Livestock Survey - 1.0% + 0.1% + 10.5% + 6.4% Destination Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg Total 34 601 30 896 - 11% Jordan 5 736 8 594 + 50% Saudi Arabia 11 501 7 939 - 31% Israel 3 796 4 326 + 14% Switzerland 1 768 1 607 - 9% Oman 1 632 1 350 - 17% Qatar 1 274 1 056 - 17% U.A.Emirates 1 195 1 043 - 13% Other 7 699 4 983 - 35% SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight) 27 Self-sufficiency 574 562 567 573 572 580 587 571 588 576 709 695 701 702 685 702 693 667 667 656 86% 86% 86% 89% 91% 90% 93% 94% 96% 95% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1 000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f In 1000 tonnes carcass weight EU balance on sheep & goat meat (f = Forecast estimated by DG Agri) NET Production Apparent use Self-sufficiency EU imports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month) Evolution since last week Evolution since last month Evolution since last year Week 1 928 1 914 1 813 667 449 1111 1227 884 404 542 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2019 2020 2021 Jan-Apr21 Jan-Apr22 EU Exports of live sheep (Excluding pure-bred breeding) Live Adults Live Lambs Qty in 1 000 heads EU without UK Australia Australia New Zealand New Zealand United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) EU EU United States United States Uruguay Uruguay 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April). Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April). Source: GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong United States United States EU EU United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) Canada Canada 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April). Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April). Source : GTA Excl. Live animals EU without UK 47.7 39.1 28.8 21.9 20.9 10.8 10.5 5.0 4.4 2.0 1.5 5.0 18.6% 1.5% -0.8% 21.9% 4.9% 10.5% -1.1% -3.6% -25.5% -25.0% -54.1% - 140% - 120% - 100% - 80% - 60% - 40% - 20% + 0% + 20% + 40% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Change (%) In '000 tonnes carcase weight Sheep slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April) Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021 EU + 4.4% Origin Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg Total 22 663 26 253 + 16% New Zealand 18 742 21 058 + 12% Australia 1 092 2 034 + 86% North Macedonia 1 664 1 768 + 6% Argentina 514 522 + 2% Chile 272 385 + 42% Uruguay 15 183 +++ Other 364 304 - 17% SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight) 65 206 63 237 63 088 62 396 62 951 63 385 63 566 62 998 62 470 61 287 60 094 12 694 12 455 12 540 12 528 12 395 12 686 12 605 12 196 12 125 11 714 11 411 0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 70 000 80 000 90 000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1000 heads Evolution EU Sheep & goat herd December 2021 Sheep Goats 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Mar 20 Apr 20 May 20 Jun 20 Jul 20 Aug 20 Sep 20 Oct 20 Nov 20 Dec 20 Jan 21 Feb 21 Mar 21 Mar 21 Apr 21 May 21 Jun 21 Jul 21 Aug 21 Sep 21 Oct 21 Nov 21 Dec 21 Jan 22 Jan 22 Feb 22 Mar 22 Apr 22 May 22 Jun 22 Jul 22 Aug 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov 22 Dec 22 Jan 23 /100 kg carcass weight World Market Prices (Lamb carcasses) NI GB New Zealand (Y-Lamb: North + South Island) Australia (Trade lamb) Uruguay (INAC prices) €/100 kg Brexit 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 2020 2021 2022 Evolution of heavy lamb prices €/100 kg carcass weight Heavy lamb EU Heavy lamb EU+UK 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 2020 2021 2022 Evolution of light lamb prices €/100 kg carcass weight 8.29 7.31 3.96 3.04 1.34 0.85 0.75 0.41 0.28 0.25 0.47 -1.7% 10.6% 16.1% 3.8% -13.0% 21.4% -3.8% -6.8% -29.5% -3.8% - 140% - 120% - 100% - 80% - 60% - 40% - 20% + 0% + 20% + 40% + 60% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 EL RO ES FR NL IT CY PT BG AT Others Change (%) In '000 tonnes carcase weight Goat slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April) Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021 EU + 3.9% ES 9 711 27% RO 6 360 17% EL 4 353 12% FR 4 200 12% IE 2 972 8% IT 8% DE 4% PT 4% BG 2% Others 6% EU Sheep Meat Producers ('000 slaughtered heads) ES RO EL FR IE IT DE PT BG Others 2021 EL 1 756 31% ES 1 176 21% RO 1 128 20% FR 651 11% NL 4% PT 3% IT 3% BG 2% Others 5% EU Goat Meat Producers ('000 slaughtered heads) EL ES RO FR NL PT IT BG Others 2021 EU without UK Meats Great Britain Northern Ireland Live Animals Great Britain Northern Ireland 5 102 18 494 EU Sheep and Goat Trade with UK from Jan to Mar 2022 (Tonnes carcass weight) Exports to UK Imports from UK 5 124 19 325 4 331 17 041 771 1 453 22 831 1 - 21 831

Transcript of Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Page 1: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Last update:

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008), GTA, FAO

SHEEP & GOAT - MARKET SITUATION - DASHBOARD 14/07/2022EU

Pri

ces

EU P

rod

uct

ion

EU T

rad

e (w

iho

ut U

K)

EU exports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month)

Wo

rld

Tra

de

738.2Heavy Lamb(> 13 kg cw)

+ 0.9%

666.6Light Lamb(< 13 kg cw) - 0.1%

€/100 kg carcass weight (cw)

Live

sto

ck S

urv

ey

- 1.0%

+ 0.1%

+ 10.5%

+ 6.4%

Destination Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg

Total 34 601 30 896 - 11%

Jordan 5 736 8 594 + 50%

Saudi Arabia 11 501 7 939 - 31%

Israel 3 796 4 326 + 14%

Switzerland 1 768 1 607 - 9%

Oman 1 632 1 350 - 17%

Qatar 1 274 1 056 - 17%

U.A.Emirates 1 195 1 043 - 13%

Other 7 699 4 983 - 35%

SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)

27

Self

-su

ffic

ien

cy

57

4

56

2

56

7

57

3

57

2

58

0

58

7

57

1

58

8

57

6

70

9

69

5

70

1

70

2

68

5

70

2

69

3

66

7

66

7

65

6

86% 86% 86% 89% 91% 90% 93% 94% 96% 95%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f

In 1

00

0 to

nn

es

car

cass

we

igh

t

EU balance on sheep & goat meat(f = Forecast estimated by DG Agri)

NET Production Apparent use Self-sufficiency

EU imports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month)

Evolution since last week

Evolution since last month

Evolution since last year

Week

19

28

19

14

18

13

667 449

11

11

12

27

88

4

404542

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2019 2020 2021 Jan-Apr21 Jan-Apr22

EU Exports of live sheep(Excluding pure-bred breeding)

Live Adults Live Lambs

Qty in 1 000 heads

EU without UK

Au

stra

lia

Au

stra

lia

New

Zea

lan

d

New

Zea

lan

d

Un

ited

Kin

gdo

m H

MR

C (

Incl

N

Irel

and

)

Un

ited

Kin

gdo

m H

MR

C (

Incl

N

Irel

and

)

EU EU

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Uru

guay

Uru

guay

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April).

Source: GTA Excl. Live animals

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Sta

tes

EU EU

Un

ited

Kin

gdo

m H

MR

C (

Incl

N

Irel

and

)

Un

ited

Kin

gdo

m H

MR

C (

Incl

N

Irel

and

)

Can

ada

Can

ada

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

EU without UK

47

.7

39

.1

28

.8

21

.9

20

.9

10

.8

10

.5

5.0

4.4

2.0

1.5 5

.0

18.6%

1.5%

-0.8%

21.9%

4.9% 10.5%

-1.1% -3.6%

-25.5%-25.0%

-54.1%

- 140%

- 120%

- 100%

- 80%

- 60%

- 40%

- 20%

+ 0%

+ 20%

+ 40%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Ch

ange

(%

)

In '0

00

ton

nes

ca

rcas

e w

eigh

t

Sheep slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April)

Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021

EU + 4.4%

Origin Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg

Total 22 663 26 253 + 16%

New Zealand 18 742 21 058 + 12%

Australia 1 092 2 034 + 86%

North Macedonia 1 664 1 768 + 6%

Argentina 514 522 + 2%

Chile 272 385 + 42%

Uruguay 15 183 +++

Other 364 304 - 17%

SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)

65

20

6

63

23

7

63

08

8

62

39

6

62

95

1

63

38

5

63

56

6

62

99

8

62

47

0

61

28

7

60

09

4

12

69

4

12

45

5

12

54

0

12

52

8

12

39

5

12

68

6

12

60

5

12

19

6

12

12

5

11

71

4

11

41

1

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

10

00

hea

ds

Evolution EU Sheep & goat herdDecember 2021

Sheep Goats

250

350

450

550

650

750

850

Jan

20

Feb

20

Ma

r 2

0

Ma

r 2

0

Ap

r 2

0

Ma

y 2

0

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Au

g 2

0

Sep

20

Oct

20

No

v 2

0

De

c 20

Jan

21

Feb

21

Ma

r 2

1

Ma

r 2

1

Ap

r 2

1

Ma

y 2

1

Jun

21

Jul 2

1

Au

g 2

1

Sep

21

Oct

21

No

v 2

1

De

c 21

Jan

22

Jan

22

Feb

22

Ma

r 2

2

Ap

r 2

2

Ma

y 2

2

Jun

22

Jul 2

2

Au

g 2

2

Sep

22

Oct

22

No

v 2

2

De

c 22

Jan

23

€/1

00

kg

carc

ass

wei

ght

World Market Prices(Lamb carcasses)

NI GB New Zealand (Y-Lamb:North + South Island)

Australia(Trade lamb)

Uruguay(INAC prices)

€/100 kg

Brexit

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2020 2021 2022

Evolution of heavy lamb prices€/100 kg carcass weight

Heavy lambEU

Heavy lambEU+UK

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2020 2021 2022

Evolution of light lamb prices€/100 kg carcass weight

8.2

9

7.3

1

3.9

6 3.0

4

1.3

4

0.8

5

0.7

5

0.4

1

0.2

8

0.2

5

0.4

7

-1.7%

10.6%16.1%

3.8%

-13.0%

21.4%

-3.8% -6.8%

-29.5%

-3.8%

- 140%

- 120%

- 100%

- 80%

- 60%

- 40%

- 20%

+ 0%

+ 20%

+ 40%

+ 60%

0123456789

1011121314

EL RO ES FR NL IT CY PT BG AT Others

Ch

ange

(%

)

In '0

00

ton

nes

ca

rcas

e w

eigh

t

Goat slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April)

Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021

EU + 3.9%

ES9 71127% RO

6 36017%

EL4 35312%FR

4 20012%

IE2 972

8%IT8%

DE4%

PT4%

BG2%

Others6%

EU Sheep Meat Producers('000 slaughtered heads)

ES RO EL FR IE IT DE PT BG Others

2021

EL1 75631%

ES1 176

21%

RO1 12820%

FR65111%

NL4%

PT3%

IT3%

BG2%

Others5%

EU Goat Meat Producers('000 slaughtered heads)

EL ES RO FR NL PT IT BG Others

2021

EU without UK

Meats

Great Britain

Northern Ireland

Live Animals

Great Britain

Northern Ireland

5 102 18 494

EU Sheep and Goat Trade with UK from Jan to Mar 2022

(Tonnes carcass weight)

Exports to UK Imports from UK

5 124 19 325

4 331 17 041

771 1 453

22 831

1 -

21 831

Page 2: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

EU

Pric

es 738.2Heavy Lamb

(> 13 kg cw)+ 0.9%

666.6Light Lamb(< 13 kg cw) - 0.1%

€/100 kg carcass weight (cw)

- 1.0%

+ 0.1%

+ 10.5%

+ 6.4%

27 Evolution since last week

Evolution since last month

Evolution since last year

Week

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. (EU) 2017/1185)

Page 3: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. (EU) 2017/1185)

Brexit

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2020 2021 2022

Evolution of heavy lamb prices€/100 kg carcass weight

Heavy lambEU

Heavy lambEU+UK

Page 4: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. (EU) 2017/1185)

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2020 2021 2022

Evolution of light lamb prices€/100 kg carcass weight

Page 5: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

47.7

39.1

28.8

21.9

20.9

10.8

10.5

5.0 4.

4

2.0

1.5 5.

0

18.6%

1.5%

-0.8%

21.9%

4.9% 10.5%

-1.1% -3.6%

-25.5%-25.0%

-54.1%

- 140%

- 120%

- 100%

- 80%

- 60%

- 40%

- 20%

+ 0%

+ 20%

+ 40%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Chan

ge (

%)

In '0

00 to

nnes

car

case

wei

ght

Sheep slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April)

Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021

EU + 4.4%

Page 6: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

8.29

7.31

3.96 3.

04

1.34

0.85

0.75

0.41

0.28

0.25

0.47

-1.7%

10.6%16.1%

3.8%

-13.0%

21.4%

-3.8% -6.8%

-29.5%

-3.8%

- 140%

- 120%

- 100%

- 80%

- 60%

- 40%

- 20%

+ 0%

+ 20%

+ 40%

+ 60%

0123456789

1011121314

EL RO ES FR NL IT CY PT BG AT Others

Chan

ge (

%)

In '0

00 to

nnes

car

case

wei

ght

Goat slaughtering for EU 2022/2021 (up to April)

Tonnes 2022 Change 2022/2021

EU + 3.9%

Page 7: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

ES9 71727% RO

6 36017%

EL4 35312%FR

4 20011%

IE2 974

8%IT8%

DE6%

PT4%

BG2%

Others5%

EU Sheep Meat Producers('000 slaughtered heads)

ES RO EL FR IE IT DE PT BG Others

2021

EL1 756

31%ES

1 19421%

RO1 12820%

FR651

12%NL4%

PT3%

IT3%

CY2%

Others4%

EU Goat Meat Producers('000 slaughtered heads)

EL ES RO FR NL PT IT CY Others

2021

Page 8: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

6520

6

6323

7

6308

8

6239

6

6295

1

6338

5

6356

6

6299

8

6247

0

6128

7

6009

4

1269

4

1245

5

1254

0

1252

8

1239

5

1268

6

1260

5

1219

6

1212

5

1171

4

1141

1

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

1000

hea

ds

Evolution EU Sheep & goat herdDecember 2021

Sheep Goats

Source : Eurostat

Page 9: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Aust

ralia

Aust

ralia

New

Zea

land

New

Zea

land

Uni

ted

King

dom

HM

RC (I

ncl N

Ir

elan

d)

Uni

ted

King

dom

HM

RC (I

ncl N

Ir

elan

d)

EU EU

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uru

guay

Uru

guay

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April).

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April).

Source: GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 10: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uni

ted

Stat

es

EU EU

Uni

ted

King

dom

HM

RC (I

ncl N

Ir

elan

d)

Uni

ted

King

dom

HM

RC (I

ncl N

Ir

elan

d)

Cana

da

Cana

da

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2021 (up to April). 2022 (up to April).

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to April).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

EU without UK

Page 11: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

250

350

450

550

650

750

850Ja

n 2

0

Feb

20

Ma

r 2

0

Ma

r 2

0

Ap

r 2

0

Ma

y 2

0

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Au

g 2

0

Sep

20

Oct

20

No

v 2

0

De

c 20

Jan

21

Feb

21

Ma

r 2

1

Ma

r 2

1

Ap

r 2

1

Ma

y 2

1

Jun

21

Jul 2

1

Au

g 2

1

Sep

21

Oct

21

No

v 2

1

De

c 21

Jan

22

Jan

22

Feb

22

Ma

r 2

2

Ap

r 2

2

Ma

y 2

2

Jun

22

Jul 2

2

Au

g 2

2

Sep

22

Oct

22

No

v 2

2

De

c 22

Jan

23

€/1

00

kg

ca

rca

ss w

eig

ht

World Market Prices(Lamb carcasses)

NI GB New Zealand (Y-Lamb:North + South Island)

Australia(Trade lamb)

Uruguay(INAC prices)

€/100 kg

Page 12: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : DG AGRI Short-term outlook report

574

562

567

573

572

580

587

571

588

576

709

695

701

702

685

702

693

667

667

656

86% 86% 86% 89% 91% 90% 93% 94% 96% 95%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f

In 1

000

tonn

es c

arca

ss w

eigh

t

EU balance on sheep & goat meat(f = Forecast estimated by DG Agri)

NET Production Apparent use Self-sufficiency

Page 13: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

192

8

191

4

181

3667 449

1111

1227

884

404542

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2019 2020 2021 Jan-Apr21 Jan-Apr22

EU Exports of live sheep(Excluding pure-bred breeding)

Live Adults Live Lambs

Qty in 1 000 heads

EU without UK

Page 14: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

EU exports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month)

Destination Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg

Total 34 601 30 896 - 11%

Jordan 5 736 8 594 + 50%

Saudi Arabia 11 501 7 939 - 31%

Israel 3 796 4 326 + 14%

Switzerland 1 768 1 607 - 9%

Oman 1 632 1 350 - 17%

Qatar 1 274 1 056 - 17%

U.A.Emirates 1 195 1 043 - 13%

Other 7 699 4 983 - 35%

SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 15: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

EU imports (EU without UK, UK trade data not complete for latest available month)

Origin Jan-Apr 21 Jan-Apr 22 % Chg

Total 22 663 26 253 + 16%

New Zealand 18 742 21 058 + 12%

Australia 1 092 2 034 + 86%

North Macedonia 1 664 1 768 + 6%

Argentina 514 522 + 2%

Chile 272 385 + 42%

Uruguay 15 183 +++

Other 364 304 - 17%

SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)

Page 16: Great Britain 1 Northern Ireland - European Commission

Source : Eurostat

Meats

Great Britain

Northern Ireland

Live Animals

Great Britain

Northern Ireland

5 102 18 494

EU Sheep and Goat Trade with UK from Jan to Mar 2022

(Tonnes carcass weight)

Exports to UK Imports from UK

5 124 19 325

4 331 17 041

771 1 453

22 831

1 -

21 831