Googlepaper - and other future media scenarios

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    focus

    This print-digital reportincludes a microsite with:

    Resources to help you conductyour own scenario planning

    Expanded strategy and businessplans for our three scenarios

    Contact details for these experts

    An opportunity for you to critiqueany of our experts future memosor to submit your own

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    March 2007 newspaper techniques Scenario Planning

    Using scenario-planning storytelling techniques to gaze into the industrys crystal ball

    Memos from the newspapers futurenewspaper techniques asked a group of the indus-

    trys most innovative thinkers to put themselves in

    the mind of some future executive faced with a

    sudden drastic change in how newspapers are

    published and do business. What if..., we asked.

    And then we told them to write a memo in re-

    sponse, to explain how they would deal with a

    digital megacompany that expands into newspa-pers, or the sudden popularity of electronic paper,

    or being forced to become a freesheet.

    www.ifra-nt.com/scenarios

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    What if a digital megacompany expands into print newspapers

    promising innovative integration of new and old media?

    Scenario

    The announcement was not entirely

    unexpected. The other newspaper in

    your town, your long-time rival in

    readership and advertising, has been

    sold. It had been known they were

    looking for a buyer. The surprise is

    who bought them. Google.

    Googles press release calls the move

    a logical expansion for the informa-

    tion powerhouse. It says the acquisi-

    tion gives Google access to original

    content as well as to a medium that

    complements its corporate mission of

    making information universally

    accessible and useful. It talks about

    the important role and the unmatched

    positioning of newspapers in gather-

    ing and providing local news and

    information for the community. It

    pledges to continue your rivals

    commitment to thoroughly reported,

    reliable information. It promises

    exciting new services and opportuni-

    ties for the public from an innovative

    integration of print and digital media.

    Your staff already knows what has

    happened. What they need from younow is an idea of what you think these

    new print-digital services and

    opportunities mentioned in the press

    release might look like, and what

    kinds of changes your newspaper is

    going to have to make to compete at

    this new level.

    Googlepaper:

    InternalEm

    ail

    From:

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    ;Advertis

    ingManage

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    tionManag

    er;

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    Subject:

    Practical

    steps

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    mpetitori

    sanadmis

    sionthat

    theirva

    approacht

    ocontentisn

    otsufficie

    nt.Wenee

    dtoexplo

    itthis.F

    orGoo

    challenge

    isnotthe

    integrationof

    realcon

    tentwith

    aggregated

    ,b

    exploitati

    onofthei

    rbrandwi

    ththelocalnewsp

    apers.Ou

    rbiggest

    t

    thatwewi

    llnotkee

    pupwith

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    wemustusethi

    sastheo

    ppo

    togetour

    organisat

    ionmoving

    faster.

    Somepract

    icalsteps

    :

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    snttheo

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    town,and

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    justthep

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    takeonth

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    omallsou

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    Editors note: Google is a trademark of Google Inc., which had no involvement in the preparation of this article. The scenario developed inthese fictional memos and the accompanying material represents the opinions of the authors and/or newspaper techniques magazine only.It does not in any way (that we know of) reflect the views or strategy of Google Inc.

    Scenario Planning March 2007 newspaper techniques Kerry J. Northrup

    Jim Chisholm

    Joint Principal

    iMedia

    Lille, France Direct Link (3399)

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    Enter (Article Direct Link) numbers online

    Expanded scenario description (3396); expanded evaluation (3406)

    Constantine Kamaras expanded memo (3409); Jean-Luc Renauds expanded scenario

    memo (3412); Jennifer Carrolls expanded memo (3411)

    Comment on this scenario at www.ifra-nt.com/scenarios/yourview

    tyouandIisrecom-lesscosthnical.Ineither

    tbecauseess,isonecloser

    lddisap-

    ydifferen-

    ndlyaskntwouldseditingnctiveerac-dto

    roposerward:Thosee.orthe

    movetheed

    March 2007 newspaper techniques Kerry J. Northrup Scenario Planning

    MEMO

    Subject: Changingtoa

    freesheet

    Thedecisionhasbeentaken

    ,sincethelastboardmeeti

    ng,tochangetoa

    freesheet.Inviewofthefa

    ctthatourbusinessturnov

    erisabout50percent

    newspapersalesand50pe

    rcentadvertisingrevenue,

    ifwedonotchangewe

    willlose50percentofourin

    come.Consequently,itisvi

    taltoexaminethe

    organisationandcostsofou

    rnewspaperinordertores

    toreabalanceas

    quicklyaspossible,i.e.with

    in2to3years.

    Thereareseveralapproac

    hestochangethatdonota

    llhavethesameorgani-

    sationalorfinancialweight,butmustallbe

    used:

    1)Atproduc

    tlevel:

    a)Changetotabloidwithou

    tincreasingpagecount,if

    possiblewithall

    pagesincolour(i.e.fullcolo

    ur)

    2)Atproductionlevel:

    a)Inthenewsroom:Elimin

    ateintermediaries

    (1)Readerscanplaceana

    rticleoraphotodirectlyin

    thenewspaper

    viatheweb(fewerpaidcor

    respondents)

    (2)Inthesameway,journa

    listsfinalisepagesthatare

    senttoCTP

    bytheproductionmanagem

    entsystem.

    b)Intheadvertisingdepart

    ment:Eliminateintermedia

    ries

    (1)Advertiserscancreate

    theiradsonline

    (2)Inthesameway,thedesignersfina

    lisedirectlytheiradsthat

    automaticallyenterthespacesreservedinthepages

    .

    (3)Increasesoldspacebyu

    singeveryweekday.

    c)Intheprintingdivision:R

    educenumbersofpersonn

    elasfaraspossible

    bypolyvalenceandoutsour

    cingauxiliarytasks.

    (1)Introduceremoteprint

    ingatcommercialprinting

    plantsordigital

    printingforshortprintruns

    .

    d)Indistribution:Reorgani

    sebychangingtostandard

    bundlesandlower

    transportcosts,alsolower

    costsduetothefactthatth

    eproductisfree.

    3)Atfinanciallevel:

    a)Savingsonsalaries

    b)Savingsonbasemateria

    ls

    c)Savingsonmarketingco

    sts

    Jochen Dieckow

    Business and New Media

    Ifra

    Darmstadt, Germany

    Direct Link (3407)

    Evaluation

    The loss of distribution revenues means that newspapers must save costs and/or in-

    crease advertising income. Relying wholly on a system of advertising-based financ-

    ing calls for an income strategy aimed at maximising market share. The extended

    reach achieved by changing from pay-for to free content must result in higher ad-

    vertising revenues. Especially in competitive markets, this can mean that profits take

    some time to materialise and financial reserves are required. It is essential to have agood knowledge of the advertising market. The next question is when and where the

    desired target audiences can be reached.

    Jean-Luc Renaud

    Technical Director

    Le Rpublicain Lorrain

    Metz, France

    Direct Link (3478)

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