Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference...Jun 05, 2009 · Goldman Sachs European Financials...
Transcript of Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference...Jun 05, 2009 · Goldman Sachs European Financials...
Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference
Defining a winning strategy: specialisation vs diversification
Fredrik Rystedt Group CFO 5 June 2009, Frankfurt
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Nordea – the leading Nordic bank…
Corp. lending % % Share of Group income (size of bubbles)
Finland15%
Norway12%
Denmark21%
Sweden17%
Global Other
Group¹29%
New European Marke
ts6%
1 ) Shipping, Oil services & International, International Private Banking and Group Functions and Financial Institutions
A unique customer baseApprox. 7.7 million HH customers in programmes and 0.7 million active corporate customers
Strong distribution powerApprox. 1 400 branches
Financial strengthEUR 16.1bn in tier 1 capital Tier 1 ratio 10.9% before transition rules
Economies of scaleCost base/RWA ratio 2.3%
DiversificationNo single market accounts for more than one quarter of Nordea’s incomeHH. Lending %
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… on track from Good to Great…
Profit orientation – cost, risk and capital
Ambitious vision and targets
Clear growth strategy
Strong customer-oriented values and culture
Strong income growth - costs under control
Strong capital and funding position
In line with targets, risk-adjusted profit ahead
Values have become part of Nordea’s DNA
Increasing scores on CSI¹ as well as ESI²
Strategic initiatives delivers according to plans
More customers - more income per customer
¹ Customer Satisfaction Index² Employee Satisfaction Index
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…by applying the “middle of the road” we aim to maintain the high business momentum
Middle of the road
• Focus on core customers – selected new business opportunities
• Proactive risk management manage cost growth down and significant adjustment of growth investments
• Creating a Core Tier 1 ratio of 10% - rights issue and dividend reduction
Over-reacting to the situation
Not reacting to the downturn
Not responding prudently to the economic crisis
Lost momentum - withdrawing
from customers
• Closing down growth initiatives
• Drastic cost-cutting
• No dividend pay-out asset releases
• Unchanged lending growth
• Unchanged growth in costs and investments
• Raise of hybrid Tier-1 capital only
Balancing opportunities and challenges
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The Nordea journey – creating a Nordic championCross boarder
Single country
Pro
duct
div
ersi
ficat
ion
Pro
duct
spe
cial
izat
ion
The rationaleCreate the leading financial service group in the Nordics and Baltic sea region
Ensure the best improvement of shareholder value in the peer group
Create high customer satisfaction for prioritised customer groups
Improve the customer offering
Expand with the customer base
AdvantagesDiversification
Cross-selling
Customer knowledge and technical know how from mergers
Economies of scope and scale in production, procurement, service and support
Capital flexibility
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Geographic diversification through Nordic consolidation
Orgres Bank
Estonia
International Moscow Bank
Latvia
Bank Komunalny
Lithuania
NBH
PostgirotBank
LG Petro
Kredyt Bank
Sampo Polska
Tryg
Vesta
BWP
1995 1998 2001 2008
Roskilde
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Well spread income streams from selected geographical markets
Geographical split of total income in customer areas Q1 2009, EUR 2148m
Global*24%
NEM6%
SE18% NO
13%
FI16%
DK23%
NO14%
FI19%
DK25%
Global*15%
SE26%
NEM5%
Mortgage32%
Consumer9%
Corporate 59%
Share of total lending, EUR 274bn
Strong franchise in four largely equally sized markets
Different business cycles in the Nordic countries
Less than 6% income proportion from New European Markets
Well-diversified lending mix measured by geography and customer segments
Low risk mortgage portfolio accounts for approximately 1/3 of total lending
*Shipping, Oil services & International, International Private Banking and Financial Institutions
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Mortgage32%
Consumer9%
Corporate 59%
Well diversified industry split in the corporate portfolio
No sector larger than 22% of the portfolio
Small changes in industry split over time – real estate exposure decreasing
LOANS AND RECEIVABLES TO THE PUBLIC - CORPORATES BY INDUSTRY
EURbn Q1 Share of End Share of End Share of2009 portfolio 2008 portfolio 2007 portfolio
Real estate management and investment 35,529 22% 35,500 23% 36,766 28%Other financial institutions 19,830 13% 16,275 11% 10,502 8%Industrial commercial services etc 14,487 9% 15,482 10% 15,403 12%Other, public and organisations 13,533 9% 10,462 7% 7,855 6%Consumer staples (food, agriculture etc) 12,658 8% 12,943 9% 11,267 8%Shipping and offshore 11,598 7% 11,296 7% 7,581 6%Retail trade 10,968 7% 11,020 7% 10,190 8%Other materials (chemical, building materials 5,698 4% 5,377 4% 3,568 3%Transportation 4,618 3% 4,017 3% 3,845 3%Construction and engineering 3,983 3% 3,671 2% 3,243 2%Utilities (distribution and production) 3,867 2% 4,022 3% 3,310 2%Industrial capital goods 3,308 2% 3,264 2% 3,189 2%Consumer durables (cars, appliances etc) 3,286 2% 2,752 2% 2,807 2%Energy (oil, gas etc) 2,872 2% 2,815 2% 1,448 1%Media and leisure 2,826 2% 3,171 2% 3,104 2%Paper and forest materials 2,239 1% 2,287 2% 1,928 1%Metals and mining materials 1,744 1% 1,750 1% 792 1%IT software, hardware and services 1,617 1% 1,489 1% 1,309 1%Telecommunication operators 1,553 1% 1,686 1% 1,062 1%Health care and pharmaceuticals 1,498 1% 1,606 1% 1,772 1%Telecommunication equipment 522 0% 623 0% 641 0%Banks 126 0% 206 0% 1,737 1%
TOTAL LENDING TO CORPORATES 158,360 151,711 133,321
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Strong asset quality - approximately half of the credit portfolio is low risk – a few challenging areas
Low risk areas, 48%
Medium risk areas,
33%
Special attention
areas, 19%
Metals/Mining
Telecom/IT
Tankers/Offshore
Industrials
Pulp and paper
Transportation
Media/Leisure
Dry bulk/Container
Commercial real estate
Russia
Baltics
PE companies
Telecom operators
Residential real estate
Public sector
Fin Institutions
Mortgage lending
Health care
Total lending to public Q1 2009, EUR 274bn
Construction
Companies owned by Private Equity funds – 3% of total lending
Well diversified between industries
Insignificant exposure to junior debt
Shipping and offshore – 4% of total lending
Largely collateralised and well diversified portfolio – less than 16% towards high risk sectors (dry bulk and container)
Commercial real estate – 7% of total lending
Largely secured with limited exposure towards the Danish market
Baltic exposure – 3% of total lendingPrudent business model
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Broad product range – income split varies over the business cycle
1537
563 598
1010
348 418242
153
1333
626
386
690
Corporatelending
Householdmortgagelending
Consumerlending
Corporatedeposits
Householddeposits
Financecompanyproducts
Payments Cards Guarnteesand
documentarypayments
Capitalmarket
products
SavingsProducts &
AssetManagement
Life &Pension
Income from key product groups FY 2008, EURm
Differentiating through a complete offering, provided seamlessly across channels
Product development in the current market environment favours standardised products with low capital consumption rather than complex and non-transparent products
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Nordea’s relationship driven strategy
Well diversified universal bank
The customer base is the main asset
Customer segment strategy to leverage the full value of the customer base
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Segment strategy enables Nordea to fully exploit the opportunities of its customer base
A clear segment strategy ensure that resources are prioritised to customers providing the best opportunities
Value propositions has been developed for both household and corporate segments including contact and service policies, pricing and product solutions
Corporate strategy is relationship driven and aims at building house-bank relations
Emphasis on a holistic view on customers business
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Tailored offerings to different segments
Gold
83
2,474
1,255
3,785
Inactive
Value proposition
The best Nordea has to offer
Named advisor – priority in access – guaranteed best pricePersonal service when needed – favorable price
Simple service – fair price
Customers, 000’s
Four segments based upon customer share of wallet
Clear emphasis on relationship banking, being a lifetime financial partner, and identifying potential Gold customers in the lower segments
Large
3
25
70
590
Customers, 000’s
Small
Medium
CMBPrivate banking
Bronze
Silver
Value proposition
Strategic partnership – one point of entry – tailored, individual solutionsPartnership – one point of entry – individual solutionsBusiness relationship – individual solutions – standard pro
Personal relationship – simple service - efficient
Household segments Corporate segments
Challenging market conditions proves the Nordea house-bank concept
Customer satisfaction stable – increased loyalty
Pro-activity and staying close to customers increasingly important
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2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Successful outcome of the Nordea journey20
02
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Cost management Support to customers
C/I down from 64 to 53 Total lending up 65% since 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Risk-adjusted profit
Up 38% since 2005
High business momentum
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Income up 34% since 2004
Strong track record of improved cost efficiency
C/I down from 64 despite strong volume growth
By applying the “middle of the road”we trust we can maintain the high business momentum
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Concluding remarks
Strong start of the year – on track from Good to Great
Organic growth strategy adjusted – Middle of the road
Geographic diversification through Nordic consolidation
Well spread income streams from geographical markets selected
Broad product range – income split varies over the business cycle
A relationship driven strategy – customers the main asset
Segmentation strategy enables Nordea to fully exploit the opportunities of its customer base
Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference
Defining a winning strategy: specialisation vs diversification
Fredrik Rystedt Group CFO 5 June 2009, Frankfurt