Goldman Reform Presentation
Transcript of Goldman Reform Presentation
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Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 2
Regulat ion
1. Stepping back whats really on the table
First tenant: limitations of scope, which would restrict the activities of banks (ie
the Volcker
rule, the Blanche Lincoln proposal)
Second tenant: alterations to existing practices and market structures (ie
the derivatives
proposals, the consumer protection agency)
2. An off-setting force credit and liquidity
Must be weighed against credit availability and liquidity in secondary markets
This may moderate some of the worst case scenarios (eg
momentum seems to be building
to remove an outright prohibition on swaps dealing by banks )
Where we would position
We believe big banks have lagged enough to justify the legislative risk
Continue to favor JPM and BAC
Exchanges (CME, ICE, NDAQ and NYX) should benefit from the move to central clearing
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Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 5
Sum m ary o f key proposa ls and potent ia limpac t t o f inanc ia l sub sec t o rs
Area of reform What seems likely Points of greatest debate from here
Big
Banks
Regional
Banks
Credit
Cards
Smid
Brokers
Mkt
Structure
Asset
Mgrs
Derivatives Greater use of central clearing
1. Section 106 - can banks own swaps dealers
2. Margin requirements3. Central clearing vs. exchange trading
+
Volcker rule Less proprietary trading
1. Sponsorship of hedge funds and private equity --
i.e. can banks put HF and PE into asset mgmtdivisions
+
Consumer Protection New Consumer FinancialProtection Agency (CFPA)
1. Rule making authority: CFPA vs. Fed
2. National pre-emption vs. state by state lendinglaws
Bank tax & size limitationsSome form of tax to fund anylosses from TARP
1. Pre-funded money for any future crisis
2. Legislative restrictions on size of banks
Resolution AuthorityAbility to wind down systemicallyimportant firms
1. Impact on credit markets including potentialratings agency actions
OVERALL RISK -->
MOST
NEGATIV
E RISK
Potential Sector Risk
LESS AT RISK
POTENTIAL
MODEST
POSITIVES
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
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The re form debat e f rom here
Passes Financial ServicesCommittee (Nov. 2009)
Banking Committee Markup(March 2010)
Ag. Committee Markup(April 2010)
Passes House Floor 223-202(Dec. 2009)
Senate Floor(April/May 2010)
House-Senate ConferenceCommittee
(May/June 2010)
Option 2: House Passage of Senate Bill
House Passage of SenateBill (May/June 2010)
Option 1: Conference Committee
House Passage of Conf.Report (June 2010)
Senate Passage of Conf.Report (June 2010)
House Senate
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Der ivat ives and prop t rad ing
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RAFSA has t w o im por t ant proposa ls thatimpac t m ark e t s t ruc t u re com pan ies
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
The Volcker Rule (Section 619 or Title VII)
Would prohibit certain types of high risk activity
Proposal could reduce overall trading activity, potentially lower market liquidity, and
impact fees generated by exchanges in the transaction parts of their business
Creating a safer derivatives market: there are three tenets to this proposal:
Central clearing of OTC derivatives: all OTC products would be required to be centrallycleared with requisite initial margin requirements for all products
Exchange trading as a price transparency mechanism would be required
Can be exchange traded or traded on an alternative swap execution facility(ASEF)
Allow for some customized bilateral contracts. Exceptions are fairly well defined:
One counterparty is not a swap/security dealer or MSP (major swap participant),the product does not meet the eligibility requirements of a clearing house
Margin may be waived in certain circumstances if one party is not a swap/securitydealer or MSP, is using the swap to hedge under GAAP, and is not predominantlyengaged in financial activities
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Marke t St ruc t u re & Ex c hange s tock sappear w el l pos i t ioned t o benef i t
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
Difficult to see how exchange and clearing stocks are not incremental beneficiaries
CME: currently trades and clears 99% of U.S. futures products on interest rates
NDAQ: acquired the International Derivatives Clearing Group (IDCG) in 2009, which is
the only market participant to have announced it has an interest rate swap clearingplatform ready for clients to test
Dealers/Brokers have less directional authority to drive clearing strategy than they have hadin the past few years
ICE Trust is the dominant provider of clearing services in CDS clearing in the U.S.
Dealers were able to secure 49% of net profits from ICE Trust to support that platform
NYSE sold 49% stake in its U.S. options business to attract flow
Beyond clearing, there could be positive impacts on transactions and associated exchangetraded product
Clearing tends to have a higher profit stickiness given underlying liquidity pool
Other market structure names may benefit: GFIG, BGCP, MKTX, NITE
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Sizing t he OTC m ark et s : $604 t n not ionaland m ul t ip le the s ize o f ex c hange mark e t s
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
1H98
2H98
1H99
2H99
1H00
2H00
1H01
2H01
1H02
2H02
1H03
2H03
1H04
2H04
1H05
2H05
1H06
2H06
1H07
2H07
1H08
2H08
1H09
Interest rate contracts Unallocated Credit default swaps
Foreign exchange contracts Commodity contracts Equity-linked contracts
72 80 81
OTC
notionalamountoutstanding($,
trillions)
88 94 95 99111
127 141169
197
220257 281 297
370414
516
596
684
592
604
Interest rate and F/X OTC markets are multiple of exchange peers
437.2
6.6
48.867.1
5.8 0.3-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Interest Rate Equity Index F/X
6.5x
1.2x
157x
11.9x
21.2x
0.6x4.5x
1.2x 2.8x 1.1x 1.0x
93.0x
45.0x
92.0x
0
1020
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Total FX
Forward
FX Swaps FX
Options
Total FRAs IRS IR
Options
F/X
Futures
Rate
Futures
Equity
Futures
F/X OTC Interest Rate OTC Exchange Traded
OTC markets have grown at a 24% CAGRsince 1998
Interest Rate swaps have grown the
fastest at 26% and represent 72% of total
CDS swaps are now $25 tn
But exchange traded products turn overmuch more rapidly
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CDS m ark et s : $25 t n gross not ional , butnet t ing reduces r isk roughly 90%
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
The CDS markets remain quite robust, withover $25 tn in gross exposure
With compression and tear-ups, the amount
of net exposure is $2.4 tn
77% of CDS is dealer to dealer and is likely tomove into the ICE Trust Clearing House
The average length of time to termination is2.7 years
Dealer to
Dealer77%
Dealer to
Client
23%
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
Gross Net
Index Single Name
$25.0 tn
$2.4 tn
90% Compression
from Gross to Net
CDS exposure
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%Cumulative Single Name Notional Outstanding ($ tn) Cumulative Notional % Outstanding
Average Years to Swap
Term ination: 2.7 years
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In te res t Rat e Sw aps: t he upc om ing $437 tnoppor tun i ty
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
35% of global interest rate swap products are U.S.based
More than three-quarters are interest rate swaps,plain vanilla and somewhat easy to standardize
Roughly 60% of product is dealer-to-dealer, with theremaining 40% up for client central clearing and thusimpacted by U.S. regulatory changes
Interest Rate Swap Clearing Opportunity
Options9%
Eligible to clear by
cpty and type
27%
Basis and X-
currency
6%
Exotics
10% Currently cleared
25%
Customer trades -
focus on customer
clearing
12%
FRAs 30 yr +eligibility v ia
product set
expansion
3%
Eligible w / smaller
dealers - focus on
increased
Sw apclear 8%
Backloading
program to
address
More bespoke structures
w hose eligibility w ill
require further product
expansion
Intere st Rate Swaps by Derivative Type: Total: $437 tn
Options
11%
Interest rate sw aps
78%
Forward rate
agreements
11%
Interest Rate Swaps by Currency: Total $437 tn
Swedish krona
1%
Sterling
7%
CAD
1%
Swiss franc
1%
Other
4%
Euro
38%
US dollar
35%
Yen
13%
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Cl ient Clear ing U.S. denom inat ed sw aps ist he ta rge ted In te res t Rat e produc t
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
The interest rate swap market is the focus of
the next leg of clearing. It represents 72% ofthe global OTC market
Total Global Interest Rate Swap
Market:$437 tn
Dealer to Client(25%):
$109 tn
USDSwaps:(35%):
$39 tn
Dealer to Dealer transactions (52%) are clearedat LCH SwapClear
The clearing opportunity lies in plain vanillaclient transactions
The initial opportunity to clear will be in USDdenominated swaps
However, their could emerge global solutionsfollowing a successful U.S. Launch
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Could be up t o $570 bn in IRS in i t ia l m arg inrequi rem ent s needed for USD sw aps
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
We estimate USD swapsaccount for 35% of totalglobal swaps.
Initial margin
requirements are likely tobe 1%-5% of notionalbased on duration
We estimate clients mayneed to post up to $570
bn in initial margin onswap positions for USDswaps
The size of the client swapmarket may decline
meaningfully with highercosts/margin
Today, there is a deminimis amount of margincollected on client swaps
outside hedge fundclients
NDAQ and CME have announced they would offer an interest rate swapproduct for clients; LCH SwapClear has also launched a client product
NDAQs IDCG indicated it would charge $1/$100K of notional valuecleared per contract
Average duration is 5-7 years for most plain vanilla swaps
Duration
Less than 1
Year
Between 1-5
Years Over 5 Years Total
Total Interest Rate OTC Global Market ($ bn) 159,143 128,301 149,754 437,198
% of total 36% 29% 34% 100%
U.S. denominated swaps, % of total 35%U.S. denominated swaps, in $ bn 56,118 45,242 52,807 154,167
% of original interest rate swap notional value 35% 35% 35% 35%
Transaction Type
Dealer-to-Dealer 60%
Dealer-to-Client 25%
Non-Clearable (bespoke, option, basis) 15%
Dealer-to-Client summary of notional exposure ($ bn) 14,029 11,311 13,202 38,542% of original interest rate swap notional value 9% 9% 9% 9%
Estimated Compression (netting, tear-ups) 25%
Net Exposure 10,522 8,483 9,901 28,906
% of original interest rate swap notional value 7% 7% 7% 7%
Initial Margin required for U.S. denominated Swaps (est) 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 2.0%
Initial Margin required for U.S. firms ($ bn, est) $105 $170 $297 $572
Interest Rate Margin Estimates for U.S. Clients ($ bn)
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How w e th ink about t he i nt e rest rat e sw apc lear ing oppor t un i t y : up t o $400 m n annual ly
The only part of the market up for competition is the dealer-to-clientIRS market, about 25% of the total IRS market, or about $39 tn innotional
There is limited netting given client positions are bespoke
Potential revenue opportunity from clearing of $100-$400 mn over time,though this could take 4-7 years to achieve
Notes
Total Global Interest Rate Swap Notional Outstanding $437,198,000,000,000 $437 tn
U.S. Percentage of total 35%
U.S. Dollar denominated IRS $154,167,000,000,000
Swap participant break-down
Dealer to Dealer - plain vanilla 60% $92,500,200,000,000 Already within LCH SwapClear Clearing mechanism
Dealer to Client - plain vanilla 25% $38,541,750,000,000 Target market opportunity
Other (bespoke, option, basis, etc) 15% $23,125,050,000,000 Will require initial margin, not likely to be cleared
Dealer to Client Notional $38,541,750,000,000 This is the sector CME, NDAQ are pursuing
Number of 'one $ mn units' 38,541,750 Assumes full backloading, probably takes 4-7 years to reach this level
Potential Clearing Revenues Cost per million Potential revenue$2 $77,083,500
$5 $192,708,750
$10 $385,417,500 This is IDCG's target pricing
Summary
Interest Rate Swap Clearing opportunity
Source: Goldman Sachs Research
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Consum er p ro tec t ion
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Reso lut ion Aut hor it y
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Capi t a l leve ls are bac k t o pre-c r is is leve ls
Source: Company reports, Goldman Sachs Research
50% of banks have >8% Tier 1 commonCapital ratios back to pre-crisis levels
~5.8%
~8.3%
~11.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
1Q91
2Q92
3Q93
4Q94
1Q96
2Q97
3Q98
4Q99
1Q01
2Q02
3Q03
4Q04
1Q06
2Q07
3Q08
4Q09
USBanksCapitalRatio
s
TCE / TA
Tier 1 Common
Tier 1 Ratio
Tier 1 CommonSTT 15.9%NTRS 12.8%BK 11.6%COF 10.7%FHN 9.9%CMA 9.6%CYN 9.4%C 9.1%
JPM 9.1%BBT 8.7%
WAL 8.2%
MS 8.2%
STI 7.7%BAC 7.6%PNC 7.6%KEY 7.5%
MI 7.5%FNFG 7.5%RF 7.1%USB 7.1%WFC 7.1%ZION 7.0%FITB 7.0%HBAN 6.5%
Simple Avg 8.8%Weighted Avg 8.3%
6.0%
8.0%
100%
above 6%
50% above
8%
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We are about of t he w ay through lossesand cap it a l m ark e ts rem a in ac c omm odat i ve
Source: Company reports, Goldman Sachs Research
Capital markets remain open$1.8 tn through $2.1-2.6 tn of losses
$ trillions
Out-
standingLosses
Cumulative
Loss Rate Losses
Cumulative
Loss Rate
Subprime 0.9 0.3 32% 0.3 38%
Option ARM 0.5 0.1 27% 0.2 33%
Home Equity 1.1 0.1 13% 0.2 16%
Other (FHA, GNMA) 0.9 0.1 11% 0.1 14%
Alt-A 2.2 0.2 11% 0.3 14%
Prime 5.7 0.3 5% 0.4 6%
Resi Mortgage 11.3 1.2 11% 1.5 13%
Commercial Real Estate 3.3 0.3 8% 0.3 10%
Cards 1.0 0.2 20% 0.2 23%
Auto 1.1 0.1 9% 0.2 14%
Commercial 6.8 0.4 5% 0.5 7%
Total 23.5 2.1 9% 2.6 11%
Losses Recognized as of 1Q10 $1.8TN
Low High
34%Average Deal
Performance-49% 5%-8% 62% 29%
26
45
52
140
64
9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 TD
USBanksCommonand
ConvertsIssuance($bn)
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Size c aps w ould be a b ig deal but w e renot sure t here i s support t o enac t t hem
Source: Company data, SNL, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
Liabilities would increase through a boom,then need to fall in a bust2% GDP cap implies $2.7TN of shrinkage
$BN Assets Liabilities DepositsNon-
Deposits2% of GDP
Implied
Decline
Implied
shrinkage
BAC 2330 2,103 976 1,127 285 842 36%
JPM 2130 1,971 925 1,046 285 761 36%
C 2000 1,848 828 1,021 285 735 37%
MS 820 765 64 701 285 416 51%
WFC 1220 1,105 805 301 285 15 1%
Total 8500 7794 3598 4,196 1,426 2,770 33%
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2%o
fNominalGDP($bn)
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Credi t ava i lab i l i t y and l iqu id i t y
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Less in t eres t ra t e hedging = m ore vola t i lem or t gage ra t es rela t ive to 10yr UST
Source: Federal Reserves, Freddie Mac, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
134bps
170bps
224bps
116bps
0bps
50bps
100bps
150bps
200bps
250bps
300bps
350bps
400bps
450bps
500bps
Jan-72
Jan-73
Jan-74
Jan-75
Jan-76
Jan-77
Jan-78
Jan-79
Jan-80
Jan-81
Jan-82
Jan-83
Jan-84
Jan-85
Jan-86
Jan-87
Jan-88
Jan-89
Jan-90
Jan-91
Jan-92
Jan-93
Jan-94
Jan-95
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00
Jan-01
Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Conforming Mortgage spread to 10yr Treasury
Average
+1SD
-1SD
1970 - 1989 70
1990 - Now 32
Standard Deviation
Less hedging = more volatility
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As pr iva t e sec t or c red i t shr ink s , loans aresh if t ed t o t he governm ent ba lance sheet
Source: Industry sources, Goldman Sachs Research.
Transfer of credit to government balance sheet most pronounced in resi mortgages
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
Gov't incl GSEs Bank Loans Non-banks + securitization
USRes
iRea
lEs
tateCre
dit-
Yo
YChange,
$bn
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Mortgageorig
ina
tions
hare-
Fann
ie,
Fre
ddie
,FHA
Note: Loan shrinkage data cited here differs from similar data points cited on p14 and p24 as this data point is sourced from Federal Reserve-
Flow of Funds data while p12 andp28 data points are derived from the Federal Reserve- H-8 data
% of US
Credit Market
YoY %
Change
YoY $bn
Change
Non-banks + securitization 40% -12% -607
Bank loans 31% -7% -552
Government incl GSEs 29% +8% +495
Total 100% -3% -664
Non-banks and securitization account for biggest piece ofcredit outstanding and credit shrinkage
Private credit is being transferred to Government balancesheet
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Bank s possib le r isk s t o norm al ized EPS
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Signi f ic ant range of EPS out c om es dependingon leg is la t ion
Source: FactSet, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
Estimate risk vs valuation gap to historyEPS risk: from small plus to -20%
Exchanges
Asset Managers
Small Brokers
Regionals
Credit CardsLarge Banks
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
Potential Earnings Estimate Upside/Downside from Reg Reform
Cu
rrentMultiplevs.LTAverage
Negative, but
seems factored
into valuation
A positive that may
not be fully
factored in
Potential
Earning Impact
% Factored in to
Estimates
Potential EarningsEstimate
Upside/Downside
Exchanges 7% 0% 7%
Asset Managers 5% 0% 5%
Small Brokers 3% 0% 3%
Regionals -6% 70% -2%
Credit Cards -17% 80% -3%
Large Banks -26% 20% -20%
M k t t b di t i
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Mark et appears t o be discount ing someelem ent o f reg re form
Source: FactSet, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
77%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
01/01/10
01/08/10
01/15/10
01/22/10
01/29/10
02/05/10
02/12/10
02/19/10
02/26/10
03/05/10
03/12/10
03/19/10
03/26/10
04/02/10
04/09/10
04/16/10
04/23/10
04/30/10
MarketImpliedProbabilityof
FinancialRegul
atoryReform*
*: defined as underperformance of big banks relative regionals, credit cards and small brokers divided by the incremental earnings from
regulatory reforms to big banks relative to the other sectors
We estimate the market discounts about an 80% chance of worst case scenario
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Assessing im pact o f leg is lat ion by i t em
Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
Hit to Industry
Normalized EPS
Accounted for by
Street? Large Banks * Regionals All
CARD Act 2% Mostly Total risk 25.7% 5.5% 17.6%
Overdraft Fees 3% Mostly Already modeled ** 5.3% 3.7% 5.2%
TARP Tax 4% NoIncremental risk to
normalzed EPS20.4% 1.8% 12.4%
Prop Restriction 3% No*: BAC, C, JPM and MS.
Liability Caps 2% No **: assuming CARD Act and Reg E are mostly modeled in.
Derivatives Legislation 4% No
Total 18% Partly
Large Banks * 26% Partly
Regionals 5% Mostly
Everything proposed so far could haircut normalized EPS about 18%
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Break -up values for BAC and J PM areh igher than the c urren t s toc k p ri ces
Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.
BANK OF AMERICA JP MORGAN3Q09
Commercial
Bank
Global Card
Services
Investment
BankTotal 3Q09
Commercial
Bank
Global Card
Services
Investment
BankAM & Trust Total
Net interest income 5.2 2.7 3.8 11.8 Net interest income 7.2 2.3 2.3 1.1 12.8
Noninterest income 7.7 1.3 7.8 14.6 Noninterest income 4.9 1.1 5.4 2.8 14.3
Total revenue 12.9 4.0 11.7 26.4 Total revenue 12.1 3.5 7.7 3.9 27.1
Provision expense 7.0 3.7 1.1 11.7 Provision expense 4.4 3.3 0.4 0.1 8.1Noninterest expense 8.0 2.0 6.4 16.3 Noninterest expense 5.2 1.3 4.3 2.6 13.5
Pre-tax income -2.1 -1.6 4.3 -1.6 Pre-tax income 2.5 -1.1 3.0 1.2 5.5
Taxes -0.8 -0.6 1.6 -0.6 Taxes 1.1 -0.4 0.9 0.4 2.0
Tax rate 40% 36% 36% 39% Tax rate 43% 37% 31% 37% 36%
Net income -1.3 -1.0 2.7 -1.0 Net income 1.4 -0.7 2.1 0.7 3.5
Total assets 1,237 224 885 2,345 Total assets 1,161 192 679 93 2,12
Total loans 702 208 99 1,009 Total loans 450 169 66 52 738
Adjustment Adjustment Revenue run rate 12.9 4.0 11.7 28.6 Revenue run rate 11.3 3.5 7.7 3.9 26.3
Normalized provision rate 0.50% 3.00% 0.10% 0.98% Normalized provision rate 0.50% 3.00% 0.10% 0.00% 1.00
Normalized provision ($) 3.5 6.2 0.1 9.8 Normalized provision ($) 2.3 5.1 0.1 0.0 7.4
Normal efficiency 50% 40% 70% 57% Normal efficiency 50% 40% 70% 70% 14.8
Assumed efficiency * 55% 44% 77% 62% Assumed efficiency * 55% 44% 77% 77% 63%
Annual Pre-tax 19.6 2.8 10.7 33.1 Annual Pre-tax 18.1 2.7 7.0 3.6 31.3
Tax rate 35% 35% 35% 35% Tax rate 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
Preferred dividend 2.6 0.0 0.0 2.6 Preferred dividend 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net income 10.2 1.8 6.9 18.9 Net income 11.8 1.7 4.5 2.3 20.4
ROA 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% ROA 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Multiple 10.0x 10.0x 10.0x 10.0x Multiple 10.0x 10.0x 10.0x 15.0x 10.6
Value 102 18 69 189 Value 118 17 45 35 215
Value per share $11.8 $2.1 $8.0 $21.8 Value per share $29.8 $4.4 $11.6 $8.8 $54.6
*: assuming expenses are 10% higher due to the cost of running businesses separately.
Note: Note:
Commercial Bank includes Deposits, Home Loans & Insurance and Global Commercial Banking. Commercial Bank includes Retail Financial Services and Commercial Banking.
Investment Bank includes Global Corporate & IB, Global Markets and GWIM. AM & Trust includes Asset Management and Treasury & Securities Services.
Corporate segment is allocated to each segment. Excluding $2.2bn of MER CVA. Corporate segment is allocated to each segment.
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Ana lyst c e rt i f i ca t ion
We, Richard Ramsden, Brian Foran and Daniel Harris, hereby certify that allof the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal viewsabout the subject company or companies and its or their securities. We also
certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be, directly orindirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed inthis report.
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Disc losures
May 6, 2010
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Disc losures
Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s)
Compendium report: please see disclosures at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html.
Company-specific regulatory disclosures
Compendium report: please see disclosures at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html.
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Disc losures
Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
Price target and rating history chart(s)
Compendium report: please see disclosures at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Disclosures applicable to thecompanies included in this compendium can be found in the latest
relevant published research.
Goldman Sachs Investment Research global coverage universe
Rating Distribution Investment Banking Relationships
Global
Buy Hold Sell
30% 54% 16%
Buy Hold Sell
48% 46% 38%
As of April 1, 2010, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 2,821 equity securities. Goldman
Sachs as signs s tocks as Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so ass igned are deemed Neutral.
Such ass ignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for the purposes of the above disc losure required by NASD/NYSE rules. See
'Ratings, Coverage groups and view s and related def initions' below .
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