Going Places Phase 1 Executive Summary
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Transcript of Going Places Phase 1 Executive Summary
Summary of Phase I
Existing Conditions Assessment
Board of Directors
May 7, 2009
Martin Kim, Director of Regional Planning
Urbanization Trends
Population:
346,864 Urbanized Area:
66.2 sq miles Population Density:
5,236 pop/sq mi
Urbanization Trends
Population:
723,955 Urbanized Area:
327.6 sq miles Population Density:
2,210 pop/sq mi
How do you envision the Region in 2040?
??
Going Places – An Integrated Land Use Vision of the Miami Valley Region
is to bring the Miami Valley Region
TOGETHER and to make this Region a BETTER PLACE
to live, work, and play with a Shared Land Use Vision
Planning Process
3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 years Phase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-
Physical Condition Evaluation Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use
Scenario Development and Assessment Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth
Framework
Phase I Structure
Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Supply Evaluate the Region’s land development suitability based on
both natural and built environment factors Examine the existing uses of land, including land use
intensities in the Region Identify developable land in the Region
Non-Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Demand Identify how much land is devoted to different types of land
uses Identify socio-economic trends and develop projections Translate these projections into future land demand
Completed Studies
Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Supply Open Space Assessment Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Factors Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Factors Land Development Suitability Assessment
Non – Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Demand Economic Base Assessment Housing Assessment Industrial Development Assessment Commercial Development Assessment Land Use Demand Assessment
Study reports available on MVRPC’s Going Places website at www.mvrpc.org/rlu/
What have we found out?
Geographically, development has been uneven
Commercial GLA Concentration: 2007Housing Unit Change: 1990 - 2000
Development has been shifting among land use types
Land Use Percentage Change: 1975 - 2000
Residential Commercial IndustrialAgricultural/Open Space
Region 36.3% 148.1% 22.0% -9.3%
- Greene 30.2% 85.9% -10.7% -4.4%
- Miami 123.8% 183.3% 81.7% -5.9%
- Montgomery 25.6% 161.1% 20.3% -17.9%
The Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land development
Not all of our land is equal in terms of development potential – some areas are better suited for physical development than others
Assessment of Region’s landscape from natural and built environment perspectives provided a comprehensive overview of where developmental constraints and/or opportunities exist
Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment
Natural Environment Suitability Composite Map
Regional Land by Development Potential Classification
Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment
Residential Suitability Composite Map Non-Residential Suitability Composite Map
Comprehensive Land Suitability Measure
Land Development Condition Measure
Land Developability Measure
The Region is in the process of a demographic and economic shift
Population is aging and household size has been decreasing
The Region is shifting from a production-based economy to a service-based economy
Household income has remained stagnant Number of households who pay more than 30% of their
income on housing-related cost has been increasing
Land development not tied to population change
Population in the Region remained relatively stable between 1970 and 2000
Between 1975 and 2000, total developed land (res/com/ind) in the Region increased by 44.6%
Vacancy Rates have increased Residential vacancy rate has risen from 6.34% in 1980 to
6.98% in 2000 14.6% of the Region’s commercial space is vacant* 19.3% of the Region’s industrial space is vacant*
* Estimates were calculated based on Gem Real Estate Group’s sample data from their Retail, Office, and Industrial studies
If current development trends continue, a moderate amount of additional developed land will be required
Regional Population Projections Regional Employment Projections
The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs
Supply Vs. Demand
The entire Region will benefit if..
Development is planned and executed in a manner that takes advantage of existing infrastructure before paying for new construction
Development takes advantage of the Region’s natural resources without threatening their quality
Next Step – Phase II
Given projected land demand and considering the regional landscape, where and how should the Region develop in the future? Future Land Use Scenario Development Land Use Scenario Impact Assessment
Identify and incorporate local voices into a regional vision of the future Focus groups and community meetings to understand the wants and needs
of the region’s citizens All data will be used to generate regional development models
Steering and Planning Advisory Committee Meeting Summary
Purpose Phase I Wrap Up
Time and location 9:00 – 11:00 am on Wednesday, April
15, 2009 at the Center for Regional Cooperation
A total of 29 participants engaged in a facilitated small group discussion In terms of LAND USE between 2010
and 2040, the Miami Valley should… Ways to get endorsement of Phase I
from more regional stakeholders…
Phase II Kick-Off
3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 years Phase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-
Physical Condition Evaluation Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use
Scenario Development and Assessment Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth
Framework
Future Land Use Theme Development
Identify common future land use themes Common themes identified from members of the
Steering and Planning Advisory committees will be used as the base in the future land use scenarios mapping exercise, which is the focus of the Joint Phase II Kick Off meeting
Focus groups and community meetings to refine common themes as well as future land use scenarios - incorporate local voices into a regional vision
Next Meeting
Phase II Joint Kick-Off Meeting: Future Land Use Scenario
Development
Time: 9:00 – 11:00 am Date: TBD (mid June)
Location: Center for Regional Cooperation