GOES-R Proving Ground Activitiesat the

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Dr. Russell S. SchneiderChief, Science Support Branch

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Chris SiewertGOES-R Proving Ground (Norman)

NESDIS Supported OU-CIMMS Research Associate

NWS Storm Prediction Center

GOES-R Proving Ground Meeting –

May 2009

“Where America’s Weather and Climate Services Begin”

“The Storm Prediction Center exists solely to protect the life and property of the American

people through the issuance of timely, accurate watch and forecast products dealing with tornadoes and other hazardous mesoscale

weather phenomena.”

Worcester, Mass: 9 June 1953

F4: 90 Killed, 1288 Injured,10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path115 killed in Flint: 8 June 1953

114 killed in Waco: 11 May 1953

Chicago Area Outbreak: 21 April 1967

Belvidere F4: 90 Killed, 1288 injured,10,000 Homeless, 46 Mile Path

Oak lawn F4: 33 killed 500+ injured

• Tornadoes, Hail & Wind

• Fire weather (Day 1- 8)• Winter weather• Excessive rainfall

Storm Prediction Center

Hazardous Phenomena

National Weather Center• Co-location !!!

• SPC

• WFO Norman

• NSSL

• WDTB

• CIMMS

• OU School of Meteorology

• CAPS, OCS

• Private Sector (nearby)

NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed

Two Main Program Areas…

Experimental

Warning

Program

Experimental

Forecast

Program EFP

EWP

Prediction of hazardous weather events from a few hours to a week

in advance

Detection and prediction of hazardous weather events up to several hours in

advance

JDOP

Pre-STORM

NEXRAD IOT&E II VORTEX

Early algorithms DOPLIGHT MAPS,

COPS,

QED,

Pre-AWIPS

WDSS

AWIPS

WDSS II,JPOL,

COMET,IHOP,

Dual Pol, TIMEX, STEPS,PAR,

SHAVE, ProbWarn

Late ’70s 1985 1989 1994-95 1996 1997 2001 +

Establishing the “Culture of Collaboration” A glance at pioneering Collaborative Projects between NSSL and the

local NWS forecast office (WFO-OUN)

3

1997 2000 - 2001 2002 2003 2004 - 2005

WintWinter er

WeatWeather her

ExpeExperimerime

ntnt

WintWinter er

WeatWeather her

ExpeExperimerime

ntnt

Convectio

n-Allowing

WRF mod

el forecasts

Convectio

n-Allowing

WRF mod

el forecasts

Convection-Allowing ensemble

s

Convection-Allowing ensemble

s

Mesoscal

e Ensemble

s

Mesoscal

e Ensemble

s

IHOIHOP P

forecforecastinastin

g g suppsupportort

IHOIHOP P

forecforecastinastin

g g suppsupportort

ConvecConvective tive

parameparameterizatioterizatio

nn

ConvecConvective tive

parameparameterizatioterizatio

nn

2007 - 2008

SPC Arrives…Spring Experiments begin…

2006SE SE SE SESESpring Experiments…Spring Experiments…Spring Experiments…Spring Experiments…

4

Norman

Kansas City

NOAA Hazardous Weather Test Bed• HWT – Experimental Forecast Program Objectives

• Advance the science of weather forecasting and prediction of severe convective weather consistent with NOAA strategic goals

• Enhance collaboration between researchers and forecasters on topics of mutual interest through real-time forecasting and evaluation activities during active severe weather

• Provide for thorough examination and efficient delivery of scientific advances for SPC and NWS operations

Disciplined collaboration to advance forecast

operations

HWT-EFP Spring Experiments http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/hwt/index.html

When:• 8 am to 4 pm M-F from 3rd week of April into 1st week of June

Where:• In National Weather Center HWT between OUN and SPC

Participation:• ~ 60 researchers and forecasters from U.S. and international

government agencies, academia, and the private sector

• 6-10 active participants at any time

Adding the GOES-R Proving Ground • First year of a multi-year effort

• Year 1: focus on core product developers• Year 2: add WFO, SPC and NESDIS forecasters• Year 3: add diverse satellite specialists

• Goals• Day 1 product testing & risk reduction

• Ingest, display, training, integration, evaluation

• Day 2 product ideas through focused collaboration• Aid successful AWIPS-2 integration• Bring a satellite perspective to the heart of radar

country

Initial Products & Examples• 3 GOES-R PG products currently available at the

SPC-HWT• Cloud-top Cooling Rate (UW-CIMSS)

• Convective Initiation (CI) Nowcast (UW-CIMSS)

• 10-km Total Lighting (SPoRT)

• Goal:• Provide product developers with useful feedback on

product usefulness/performance through detailed interactions with forecasters

• Daily & Weekly Schedule (2009)

Opportunities to Grow

2010 Plans:• Invitations &Announcements in January & February

• Experiment likely begins in late April• Expanded product suite & participation

• including WFO invitations through SSD Chiefs

Visits• Mix core one week participants & multiday “drop ins”

• Build multi faceted collaborative environment• Integration with other HWT components including V2