Goals for Education Challenge to Lead: Virginia 2006

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Goals for Education

Challenge to Lead: Virginia

2006

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Themes: Challenge to Lead Goals

Transitions• Pre-K to elementary school

• Middle grades to high school

• High school to college and careers

Closing the achievement gaps• Race/ethnicity and gender

• Geography

• Income

Education systems• Aligned curricula/assessments

• Data from schools and colleges linked

• Accountability to the public

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Actual and Projected ChangesPublic Elementary and Secondary Enrollment

13%2%

14%4%

14%

1%

1992-2002 2002-2012

Source: SREB Fact Book on Higher Education, 2003 and 2005

State Profile

U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

State Profile

Children Ages 18 and Younger in Poverty2003

18% 21%12%

30%

10%

U.S. SREB VA HighSREBstate

LowSREBstate

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and the Annie E. Casey Foundation

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

State ProfilePercent of Students Approved for a Free or Reduced-Price Lunch

1990 and 2004

33%39%

24%

11%12%

9%

U.S. SREB VA

Increase in percent, 1990-2004

Percent, 1990

44%51%

33%

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and the National School Lunch Program

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

United States

State Profile

14%

13%

23%

20%

22%

6%

17%

66%

56%

65%

52%

14%

11%

6%

6%

9%

2006

2018

2006

2018

Black Hispanic White Other

Virginia

Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

Racial/Ethnic ProportionsPublic High School Graduates

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

First-Grade Readiness

Children in Poverty Compared With Children in Prekindergarten Programs

2005

200% or more 100% to 199% Less than 100%

MD

DE

Sources: U.S. Head Start Bureau and the National Institute for Early Education Research

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Achievement in the Early Grades Increases in NAEP Scale Scores

Fourth-Grade Reading1998 to 2005

Source: National Center for Education StatisticsSignificant increases

1998 data not available

DEMD

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

62%

30%

62%

28%

72%

37%

Basic and above Proficient and above

Achievement in the Early Grades NAEP Fourth-Grade Reading Results

2005

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Achievement in the Early Grades

NAEP Fourth-Grade Reading ResultsPercent Scoring At or Above Basic

by Race/Ethnicity


47%40%

49%49%

72%51% 55% 65%80%77%80%

72%

1998 2002 2003 2005

Black Hispanic White

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Achievement in the Early Grades

NAEP Fourth-Grade Reading ResultsPercent Scoring At or Above Basic Level

by School Location, 2005

54%67% 64%

58%65% 60%63%

78%69%

Central cities Suburbs/largetowns

Rural


U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Achievement in the Middle Grades

NAEP Eighth-Grade Mathematics Results 2005

68%

28%

64%

23%

75%

33%

Basic and above Proficient and above


U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


NAEP Eighth-Grade Mathematics ResultsBasic and Above by Race/Ethnicity


37%

49% 52%52%

59%63%76%

82% 84%

2000 2003 2005


Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


NAEP Eighth-Grade Mathematics ResultsPercent Scoring At or Above Basic Level

Free and Reduced-Price Lunch, 2005

51%

79%

50%

77%

52%

83%

Eligible Not eligible


U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

33%

26%

56%42%36%42%

33%

30%34%27%

U.S. SREB VA High SREB

state

Low SREB

state


Eighth-Grade Students on Track for College-Prep Math in High School, 2005


70%69%

89%

59%

Pre-algebraAlgebra I or higher

72%

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Out of 100 ninth-grade students in Virginia ...

79 became high school graduates

Four-Year Graduation Rate From High School2004


U.S. Graduation Rate: 75%

High School Graduation

Updated 9/2006

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

High School Graduation

Source: Urban Institute

70%

63%

64%

70%

51%

83%

61%

59%

76%

50%

48%45%

White female

Hispanic female

Black female

White male

Hispanic male

Black male

Graduation Rates by Race and Gender2003

U.S. VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

College and Career Readiness

Algebra I, II and geometry

Algebra I and geometry

Notspecified

Sources: State departments of education

Math Courses Required for College-Prep Diploma

DE *

MD **

**

*

*

State has one standard diploma and does not specify a distinct college-prep diploma; courses indicated are for the standard diploma.*

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Number of Career Courses Required in State’s Career Pathway


No pathway defined

One course

Three or more courses

MD

Sources: State departments of education

DEDE

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


10% or fewer11% to 22%23% or more

U.S. 23% SREB 24%

Source: Advanced Placement Report to the Nation, 2006

Percent of Graduating Seniors Taking At Least One AP Exam

2005

MD

DE

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Source: The College Board

70% 76%74%86%

1997 2005

SAT Test-Takers Completing 18 or More Courses in Academic Subjects

U.S. VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

•Verbal plus mathematics scores



Average SAT Scores*

101610161020

1026

1028

1010

10031007

999 1000

1030

1003

102410111007

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

U.S. SREB VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Average SAT Scores* by Race/Ethnicity

865854848845 846

10121014 10161011 998

1050 1054 10641042 1070

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005


*Verbal plus mathematics scores


Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Adult Literacy and Job Training

25- to 44-Year-OldsWithout High School Credentials

Enrolled in Adult Education2000

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Education

9% 9% 6%

U.S. SREB VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Adult Literacy and Job Training

Source: American Council on Education

Adults 18 to 24

Adults 50 and older

Adults 25 to 49

Youth 16 and 17

24% 25%

50%

1%

GED Awards by Age, 2004

Number of Awards in VA: 11,488

Pass Rates: U.S. 61% SREB 63% VA 64%

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Postsecondary Certificates & Degrees

Estimated College Enrollment Rates of Recent High School Graduates


54% 58%49%

58%49% 55%

Fall 1992 Fall 2002

U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


24% 22%

30%

14% 14% 15%10% 12%

21%24%

32%

26%

U.S. SREB VA

All Black Hispanic White

Adults With Bachelor’s Degrees or Higher 2000

Source: SREB Fact Book on Higher Education, 2003, 2005

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

VA median income $53,800

Poverty-income family$18,850


Affordability Gap, 2004

Tax Credit $1,500

ExpectedFamily

Contribution$6,750 Pell Grant

$4,050

Gap fillersState grants

Merit aidExtra jobCost cuts

Sources: SREB-State Data Exchange and National Center for Education Statistics

$11,330

Needed for annual

tuition/fees, room/board at Virginia

public four-year

institutions

Gap$6,530

Gap$3,080

SEOG - $750

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

School Performance Standards

Percent At or Above Standards Fourth-Grade Reading

2005

2003

2005

State standards NAEP Basic Proficient

Virginia VA U.S. VA U.S. NA 69% 62% 35% 30% NA 72% 62% 37% 30%

NA = Not available.Virginia did not report results for fourth-graders in 2003 or 2005.

Sources: Virginia Department of Education and National Center for Education Statistics

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Percent At or Above Standards Eighth-Grade Mathematics

2005

2003

2005

State standardsNAEP

Basic Proficient

Virginia VA U.S. VA U.S. 75% 72% 67% 31% 27% 81% 75% 68% 33% 28%

Sources: Virginia Department of Education and National Center for Education Statistics

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Schools in Need of ImprovementNo Child Left Behind

Virginia, 2005

Year 1: School choice 208 Schools

Year 2: Extra services 97 Schools

Year 3: Corrective action 10 Schools

Year 4: Plan to restructure 4 Schools

Virginia had 1,845 public elementary and secondary schools in 2005.

Source: Virginia Department of Education

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

School Leadership

Substantial ProgressNo Progress

Rating: 2002 2006

Little Progress

Some Progress

Promising Progress

Indicators

Recruit and select future school leaders

Redesign leadership programs to emphasize curriculum, instruction and student learning

Develop programs with school-based experiences that prepare participants tolead school improvement

Base professional-level licensure on improved school and classroom practices

Create alternative pathways to initial licensure

Provide training and support for leadership teams in low-performing schools

Source: SREB Learning-centered Leadership Program

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Qualified Teachers

Source: Council of Chief State School Officers

Secondary Mathematics Teachers Certified in Mathematics, 2004

61%

89%

65%

86%90% 92%

Middle Grades High School

U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Source: American Federation of Teachers

Average Salaries of Beginning Teachers2004

U.S. $31,704 SREB $30,052

MD $33,760

VA$32,437

WV$26,692

NC$27,572

TN$30,449

KY$28,416

Qualified Teachers

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Average Salaries of Full-Time Instructional Faculty at Public Colleges and Universities

2005

College and University Accountability

$52,810

$67,880$63,770

$45,250

$70,630

$46,170

Four-year Two-year

Source: SREB Data Library

U.S. VASREB

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

34%

65%

65%

52%

Low SREB state

High SREB state

Virginia

SREB


Six-Year Graduation Rates in 2004for First-Time Freshmen Who Entered

Public Four-Year Colleges and Universities in Fall 1998

Source: SREB-State Data Exchange

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Sources: SREB Fact Book on Higher Education, 2005, and SREB Data Library

Graduate Degrees Awarded in Sciences and Technologies

Public and Private Colleges and Universities

1,733 1,969

457430

1993 2003

2,1902,399

Doctoral

Master’s

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Ninth-Grade Bulge, 2004


For every 100 eighth-graders in Virginia in 2003,

there were 16 MORE ninth-graders in 2004.

Education System That is Aligned

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Education System That is Accountable

K-12 Funding Changes1999 to 2003

Sources: National Center for Education Statistics and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

22% 17%3%

23%29%

14%

State and localfunds

State and localfunds per student

State and localfunds per student,

adjusted forinflation

SREB VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia


Enrollment and Funding ChangesPublic Four-Year Colleges and Universities

2001 to 2005

5%

10%

15%

9%

13%

23%

-7%

-3%

Funding per FTEstudent, adjusted

for inflation

Funding per FTEstudent

Full-time-equivalent (FTE)

students

Stateappropriations,tuition and fees


SREB VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Maryland


Enrollment and Funding Changes Public Two-Year Colleges, 2001 to 2005


-5%

7%

15%

24%

5%

25%

31%

-7%

Funding per FTEstudent, adjusted

for inflation

Funding per FTEstudent

Full-time-equivalent (FTE)

students

Stateappropriations,tuition and fees

SREB VA

Challenge

to Lead

Southern

Regional

Education

Board

Virginia

Progress in Building the 10Essential Elements for a Student Data System

2005

4 to 5 6 to 78 to 10 Elements

Source: National Center for Educational Accountability, August 2005 Survey


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Goals for Education Challenge to Lead: Virginia 2006

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