GLOBAL WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL
Transcript of GLOBAL WIND ENERGY POTENTIAL
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GLOBAL WIND ENERGY
POTENTIAL
GLOBAL WIND ENERGY
POTENTIAL
Colin Palmer
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THE MARKETTHE MARKET
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Global Wind Energy CapacityGlobal Wind Energy Capacity
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
GW
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2006 Capacity by Country2006 Capacity by Country
USA
Germany
India
Spain
China
France
Canada
ROW
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Total Capacity by CountryTotal Capacity by Country
Germany
Spain
USA
India
ROW
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SUMMARYSUMMARY
w20GW/yr by 2008
w>100GW total by 2008
w Increasing diversity
w Less reliance on Europe
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And in the UK?And in the UK?
w2 GW total
w< 3% global capacity
wOffshore to the rescue?
w10GW pipeline–304MW built
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THE INDUSTRYTHE INDUSTRY
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VESTASVESTAS
w£3.0 bn/yr sales
w12,000 employees
w30% market share
w20GW to date
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OTHERSOTHERS
w Enercon
wGamesa
wRePower
w Suzlon
Consolidation
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TURBINE DESIGNTURBINE DESIGN
w3 blade upwind
w1.5MW to 5MW
wOnshore and offshore
wReliable and proven
w Incremental advance
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ISSUESISSUES
w Supply shortages
wConnection
w Permitting
w (Intermittency)
It’s the policies, stupid
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0
5
10
15
20
25
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
LAND AREA
DENSITYDENSITY
60 kW per sq km= 14 GW in UK
Germany
SpainDenmark
UK
France
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DEALS BEING DONEDEALS BEING DONE
wGamesa/Iberdrola–£1.5 bn supply over two years
wTexas loop–4,200 MW connection–$1.5 bn
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SUPERGRIDSUPERGRID