Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, December 2001

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00002-E-1 – 1 December 2001 Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, December 2001 Number of people living with HIV/AIDS Total40 million Adults 37.2 million Women 17.6 million Children under 15 years 2.7 million People newly infected with HIV in 2001 Total5 million Adults 4.3 million Women 1.8 million Children under 15 years 800 000 AIDS deaths in 2001 Total 3 million Adults 2.4 million Women 1.1 million Children under 15 years 580 000

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Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, December 2001. Number of people living with HIV/AIDS Total40 million Adults37.2 million Women17.6 million Children under 15 years2.7 million - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic,  December 2001

00002-E-1 – 1 December 2001

Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, December 2001

Number of people living with HIV/AIDS Total 40 millionAdults 37.2 million Women 17.6 millionChildren under 15 years 2.7 million

People newly infected with HIV in 2001 Total 5 millionAdults 4.3 million Women 1.8 millionChildren under 15 years 800 000

AIDS deaths in 2001 Total 3 millionAdults 2.4 million Women 1.1 millionChildren under 15 years 580 000

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Adults and children estimated to be living Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001

Western Europe560 000560 000

North Africa & Middle East

440 000440 000Sub-Saharan

Africa28.1 million28.1 million

Eastern Europe & Central Asia1 million1 million

South & South-East Asia

6.1 million6.1 millionAustralia & New Zealand

15 00015 000

North America940 000940 000

Caribbean420 000420 000

Latin America1.4 million1.4 million

Total: 40 million

East Asia & Pacific1 million1 million

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Estimated adult and child deaths Estimated adult and child deaths from HIV/AIDS during 2001from HIV/AIDS during 2001

Western Europe6 8006 800

North Africa & Middle East

30 00030 000Sub-Saharan

Africa2.3 million2.3 million

Eastern Europe &Central Asia23 00023 000 East Asia & Pacific

35 00035 000South & South-East Asia

400 000400 000

Australia & New Zealand

120120

North America20 00020 000

Caribbean30 00030 000

Latin America80 00080 000

Total: 3 million

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ChildrenChildren (<15 years)(<15 years) estimated to be living estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001with HIV/AIDS as of end 2001

Western Europe4 0004 000

North Africa & Middle East

20 00020 000sub-Saharan

Africa2.4 million2.4 million

Eastern Europe &Central Asia15 00015 000

East Asia & Pacific7 0007 000South

& South-East Asia200 000200 000

Australia & New Zealand

< 200< 200

North America10 00010 000

Caribbean20 00020 000

Latin America40 00040 000

Total: 2.7 million

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About 14 000 new HIV infections a day in 2001

More than 95% are in developing countries

2000 are in children under 15 years of age

About 12 000 are in persons aged 15 to 49 years, of whom:— almost 50% are women— about 50% are 15–24 year olds

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Regional HIV/AIDS statistics and features, end of 2001

Sub-Saharan Africa

North Africa & Middle East

South and South-East Asia

East Asia & Pacific

Latin America

Caribbean

Eastern Europe & Central Asia

Western Europe

North America

Australia & New Zealand

TOTAL

late ’70searly ’80s

late ’80s

late ’80s

late ’80s

late ’70searly ’80s

late ’70searly ’80s

early ’90slate ’70s

early ’80slate ’70s

early ’80slate ’70s

early ’80s

28.1 million

440 000

6.1 million

1 million

1.4 million

420 000

1 million

560 000

940 000

15 000

40 million

8.4%

0.2%

0.6%

0.1%

0.5%

2.2%

0.5%

0.3%

0.6%

0.1%

1.2%

55%

40%

35%

20%

30%

50%

20%

25%

20%

10%

48%

Hetero

Hetero, IDU

Hetero, IDU

IDU, Hetero, MSM

MSM, IDU, Hetero

Hetero, MSM

IDU

MSM, IDU

MSM, IDU, Hetero

MSM

Epidemic started

Adults & childrenliving with HIV/AIDS

Adult prevalence

rate *

% of HIV-positive

adults who are women

Main mode(s) of transmission for those living with HIV/AIDS **

* The proportion of adults (15 to 49 years of age) living with HIV/AIDS in 2001, using 2001 population numbers ** Hetero: heterosexual transmission – IDU: transmission through injecting drug use – MSM: sexual transmission among men who have sex with men

Adults & children newly infected

with HIV

3.4 million

80 000

800 000

270 000

130 000

60 000

250 000

30 000

45 000

500

5 million

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Changes in life expectancy in selected African countries with high HIV prevalence, 1950 to 2000

South-Africa

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

1950-55 1955-60 1960-65 1965-70 1970-75 1975-80 1980-85 1985-90 1990-95 1995-00

Life

exp

ecta

ncy

at b

irth,

in y

ears

BotswanaUganda

ZambiaZimbabwe

Source: United Nations Population Division, 1998

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Increase in mortality among men between 15 and 60, selected African countries, 1986-1997

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Tanzania, 1996 Malawi, 1992 Zimbabwe, 1994 Uganda, 1995 Zambia, 1996-97

Prob

abili

ty o

f dyi

ng fr

om a

ll ca

uses

estimated for 6 years before survey estimated for year of survey

Source: Timaeus I, AIDS 1998, 12 (suppl): S15-S27

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Lifetime risk of AIDS death for 15-year-old boys, Lifetime risk of AIDS death for 15-year-old boys, assuming unchanged or halved risk of becoming assuming unchanged or halved risk of becoming

infected with HIV, selected countriesinfected with HIV, selected countries

Source: Zaba B, 2000 (unpublished data)

Current adult HIV prevalence rate

Burkina Faso

CambodiaCôte d’Ivoire

Kenya

South AfricaZambia

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Burkina FasoCambodia

Côte d’IvoireKenya

South AfricaZambia

Zimbabwe

Botswana

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Ris

k of

dyi

ng o

f AID

S

current level of risk maintained

risk halved over next 15 years

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Projected population structure with and Projected population structure with and without the AIDS epidemic, Botswana, 2020without the AIDS epidemic, Botswana, 2020

80757065605550454035302520151050

020406080100120140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Males Females Deficits due to AIDS

Projected population structure in 2020

Population (thousands)

Age

in y

ears

Source: US Census Bureau, World Population Profile 2000

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HIV prevalence among pregnant womenHIV prevalence among pregnant womenin South Africa, 1990 to 1999in South Africa, 1990 to 1999

Source: Department of Health, South Africa

0.71.7 2.1

4

7.6

10.4

14.2

17

22.8 22.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99

HIV

pre

vale

nce

(%)

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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Cambodia

Haiti

Mozambique

Rwanda

Côte d'Ivoire

Zambia

Kenya

South Africa

Zimbabwe

Botswana

Life expectancy at birth (years)

Predicted life expectancy Loss in life expectancy due to HIV/AIDS

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

Predicted loss in life expectancy Predicted loss in life expectancy due to HIV/AIDS in children born in 2000due to HIV/AIDS in children born in 2000

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Impact of HIV/AIDS on urban households, Côte d’Ivoire

General population Families living with AIDS

Source: Simulation-based on data from Bechu, Delcroix and Guillaume, 1997

Monthly income per capita

Monthly consumptionper capita

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

– 5 000

30 000 Francs CFA

Savings/Disavings

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Reduction in production in a household with an AIDS death, Zimbabwe

Crops

Maize

Cotton

Vegetables

Groundnuts

Cattle owned

Reduction in output

61%

47%

49%

37%

29%

Source: Stover & Bollinger, 1999

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Affordable prices

Annual cost per person for triple therapy in Africa (US$)

$12,000

$10,000

$8,000

$6,000

$4,000

$2,000

$01991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003

Drug Access Initiative

Domestic production

Accelerated access initiative

February-April 2001 offers