Global Monthly December 2020 100 10 103 99...
Transcript of Global Monthly December 2020 100 10 103 99...
-
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Global Monthly December 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
99
100
101
102
103
104
10509-N
ov
16-N
ov
23-N
ov
30-N
ov
07-D
ec
14-D
ec
Vaccine probabilityEquity prices
Index, 100=November 9 Percent
http://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/economic-monitoringhttps://www.worldbank.org/en/research/brief/newsletter-archive
-
2
December 2020
0
4
8
12
16
20
Vaccines are effective Vaccines are safe
Disagree Unsure
Share of respondents
0
10
20
30
40
0-9
10-1
9
20-2
9
30-3
9
40-4
9
50-5
9
60-6
9
70-7
9
80-8
9
90-1
00
Decline in international tourist arrivals (percent)
Share of countries
-5
0
5
10
15
Ju
l-2
0
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
No
v-2
0
De
c-2
0
Current situation
ExpectationsChange in index points
-
3
December 2020
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Jan-2
0
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Apr-
20
May-2
0
Jun-2
0
Jul-20
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
Nov-2
0
Debt EquityUSD billion
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Ja
n-2
0
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Apr-
20
May-2
0
Jun-2
0
Jul-20
Au
g-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
Nov-2
0
Dec-2
0
Brent Crude Oil
Copper
$/bbl $/mt
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
4
6
8
10
12
Ja
n-2
0
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Ap
r-2
0
May-2
0
Jun-2
0
Ju
l-20
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
No
v-2
0
Dec-2
0
Speculative gradecorporate yield
10-year US treasuryyield (RHS)
Percent Percent
-
4
December 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Nov-1
9
Dec-1
9
Jan-2
0
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Apr-
20
May-2
0
Jun-2
0
Jul-20
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
Nov-2
0
Dec-2
0
France Germany
Italy Spain
Euro area
Index, 50+=expansion
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May-2
0
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-2
0
Au
g-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
No
v-2
0
De
c-2
0
New daily cases
Retail and recreation (RHS)
New daily cases Percent change from baseline
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Apr-
20
May-2
0
Jun-2
0
Jul-20
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
Nov-2
0
Dec-2
0
Retail mobility News sentimentPercent
-
5
December 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
No
v-1
9
Dec-1
9
Jan-2
0
Feb-2
0
Mar-
20
Apr-
20
May-2
0
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
Aug-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-
20
Nov-2
0
AverageIndex, 50+=expansion
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Private consumptionPublic consumptionFixed investmentNet exportsGDP growth (y/y)
Percent
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Nov-1
6
May-1
7
No
v-1
7
May-1
8
Nov-1
8
May-1
9
Nov-1
9
Exports ImportsPercent, year-on-year
-
6
December 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
EAP ECA LAC MNA SAR SSA
Informal output
Informal employment (RHS)
Percent of GDP Percent of employment
0
10
20
30
40
50
Catastrophicexpenditure forsurgical care
Improverishingexpenditure forsurgical care
High informality Low informality
Percent of people at risk
******
0
20
40
60
80
0
20
40
60
1990 2016 1990 2016 1990 2016 1990 2016
AEs EMDEs AEs EMDEs
Informal output Informal employment(RHS)
AEs EMDEs World mean
Percent of GDP Percent of employment
-
7
December 2020
0
20
40
60
80
100
Sanitation Drinkingwater
Handwashingfacilities
High informality Low informality
Percent of population
*** ***
***
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
High Low High Low
Governmentrevenues
Governmentexpenditures
Percent of GDP
***
***
0
1
2
3
4
Physicians Nurses and midwives
High informality Low informality
Per 1,000 people
***
***
-
8
December 2020
(Percent change, y/y)
(Percent change y/y)
Recent releases: November 16, 2020 - December 15, 2020 Upcoming releases: December 16, 2020 - January 15, 2021
Country Date Indicator Period Actual Previous Country Date Indicator Period Previous
Nigeria 11/22/20 GDP Q3 -3.1% -6.0% Canada 12/16/20 CPI NOV 0.7%
Germany 11/24/20 GDP Q3 -4.0% -11.2% New Zealand 12/16/20 GDP Q3 -10.1%
United States 11/25/20 GDP Q3 -2.9% -9.0% United Kingdom 12/16/20 CPI NOV 0.9%
Mexico 11/26/20 GDP Q3 -8.6% -18.7% Euro area 12/17/20 CPI OCT -0.3%
France 11/27/20 GDP Q3 -3.9% -18.9% Japan 12/17/20 CPI OCT -0.4%
India 11/27/20 GDP Q3 -7.5% -23.9% United Kingdom 12/22/20 GDP Q3 -9.6%
Indonesia 11/30/20 CPI NOV 1.6% 1.4% United States 12/22/20 GDP Q3 -9.0%
Poland 11/30/20 GDP Q3 -1.8% -8.0% Spain 12/23/20 GDP Q3 -8.7%
South Korea 11/30/20 GDP Q3 -1.1% -2.7% Netherlands 12/24/20 GDP Q3 -2.5%
Turkey 11/30/20 GDP Q3 6.7% -9.9% Japan 12/27/20 IP NOV -3.2%
Australia 12/1/20 GDP Q3 -3.8% -6.4% South Korea 12/30/20 CPI DEC 0.6%
Canada 12/1/20 GDP Q3 -5.2% -12.5% Spain 12/30/20 CPI DEC -0.8%
Italy 12/1/20 GDP Q3 -5.0% -18.0% Germany 1/6/21 CPI DEC -0.3%
Brazil 12/3/20 GDP Q3 -3.9% -10.9% Italy 1/7/21 CPI DEC -0.2%
China 12/8/20 CPI NOV -0.5% 0.5% Mexico 1/7/21 CPI DEC 3.3%
Euro area 12/8/20 GDP Q3 -4.3% -14.7% India 1/12/21 IP NOV 3.6%
Japan 12/8/20 GDP Q3 -5.7% -10.3% United States 1/13/21 CPI DEC 1.2%
Netherlands 12/8/20 CPI NOV 0.8% 1.2% China 1/14/21 GDP Q4 4.9%
South Africa 12/8/20 GDP Q3 -6.0% -17.5% Euro area 1/14/21 IP NOV -3.6%
Argentina 12/9/20 IP OCT -2.9% 3.7% France 1/15/21 CPI DEC 0.0%
Russian Federation 12/11/20 GDP Q3 -3.4% -8.0% Poland 1/15/21 CPI DEC 3.0%
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectshttp://www.worldbank.org/en/research/publication/global-productivityhttps://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectshttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/34621/CMO-October-2020.pdfhttps://www.worldbank.org/en/research/publication/waves-of-debthttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/32641/167273.pdfhttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/783871605552592458/technology-within-and-across-firmshttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/432861602682833105/the-impact-of-covid-19-on-formal-firms-micro-tax-data-simulations-across-countrieshttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/352481603127763989/supporting-carbon-tax-implementation-in-developing-countries-through-results-based-payments-for-emissions-reductionshttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/801901603314530125/how-to-improve-education-outcomes-most-efficiently-a-comparison-of-150-interventions-using-the-new-learning-adjusted-years-of-schooling-metrichttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/801901603314530125/how-to-improve-education-outcomes-most-efficiently-a-comparison-of-150-interventions-using-the-new-learning-adjusted-years-of-schooling-metrichttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/594491605102982608/the-coronavirus-pandemic-and-food-security-evidence-from-west-africahttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/675271607503255200/the-impact-of-covid-19-on-foreign-investors-evidence-from-the-quarterly-global-mne-pulse-survey-for-the-third-quarter-of-2020https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/329551607529269246/fdi-watch-quarterly-reporthttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/34587/9781464816482.pdf?sequence=21&isAllowed=yhttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/34518/9781464816437.pdf?sequence=4&isAllowed=yhttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/34497/9781464816413.pdf?sequence=39&isAllowed=y