Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K....

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Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Transcript of Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K....

Page 1: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water

Jennifer GrahamProf K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Page 2: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW)

Dark green = extent of Antarctic Intermediate Water

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 3: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

AAIW in HadCM3

Zonal-mean salinity from 500-year control

Characteristic salinity minimum found at intermediate depths in each ocean basin.

Key Questions:: •Can changes in AAIW affect the climate system? •If so, how?

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 4: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Perturbation ExperimentSeparate experiments for Atlantic, Pacific and Indian

oceans.Temperature perturbation of ±1oC, made between 10-

20oS.Density-compensating change in salinity.Simulations run for 100 years, using 9 member

ensembles.

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Example: perturbing Atlantic AAIW

Page 5: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Surfacing Anomalies• Surfacing in equatorial regions and higher latitudes (>30oS).• Mechanisms:

• A = equatorial or coastal upwelling.• B = shoaling isopycnals and deeper mixed layers.

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 6: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Atmospheric Response

• Surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies found over regions of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies.

• Response is not equal and opposite for warming or cooling perturbations.

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Warmer, saltier AAIW Cooler, fresher AAIW

Page 7: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Mean SAT anomaly for each experiment

Response for Atl- is most significant.

Cooling in the North Atlantic Current (NAC) and subpolar gyre (SPG).

Reduced SAT over cooler surface ocean.

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Mean SAT anomaly for years 51-100 [oC].

Page 8: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Non-linear responses - I

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Non-linear response to initially density-compensating perturbations.▫ When anomalies

surface, anomalous ocean-atmosphere heat fluxes cause changes in density.

▫ Density anomalies cause fresher AAIW to spend greater length of time at surface than the saltier AAIW.

Graham et al., 2011, Clim Dyn.

Page 9: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Non-linear responses - II

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

• Density anomalies lead to changes in ocean circulation.e.g. Meridional overturning circulation (MOC),

Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC).

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

MOC Index

Page 10: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Conclusions• Perturbed AAIW, between 10-20oS

▫ ±1oC, compensating salinity decrease, constant density.

• Anomalies found at surface:▫ Equatorial regions.▫ Higher latitudes (>30oS).

• More significant response for cooler, fresher perturbations i.e. non-linear response.▫ North Atlantic particularly sensitive as decreased

MOC strength reduces northward ocean heat transport.

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Finally, thanks to The Challenger Society for proving me with funding for this conference.

Page 11: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Any questions...?

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 12: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 13: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Equatorial response - ISalinity anomalies found in equatorial regions.

▫Surfacing through equatorial upwelling.

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 14: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

… but no corresponding trend in surface temperature.

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Equatorial response - II

Page 15: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Higher latitudes - ISalinity anomalies found in the Southern

Ocean.▫Shoaling isopycnals and regions of deeper

mixed layers.

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 16: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Higher latitudes - II

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Temperature anomalies are also found in the Southern Ocean.▫Responses are not equal and opposite.

Page 17: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Ensemble-mean anomalies, EXP-Ctl.Red = +1oC (saltier); Blue = -1oC (fresher).

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

Page 18: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Non-linear responses

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011

▫ Density anomalies lead to changes in ocean circulation.▫ e.g. Meridional overturning circulation (MOC),

Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC).

Page 19: Global climate responses to perturbations in Antarctic Intermediate Water Jennifer Graham Prof K. Heywood, Prof. D. Stevens, Dr Z. Wang (BAS)

Jennifer Graham, Ocean Modelling 2011