Global Barometer Hope Despair - Parte 3

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GLOBAL BAROMETER OFHOPE AND DESPAIR: 2011

Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). This document is not intended for publication or distribution in the United States including all United States territories nor is it directed at entities and individual located therein. For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com

Celebrating 33 years of The World’s Leading Global Barometer (1977-2010)

Volume 3

SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011

WIN-Gallup International

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1983USA

1980UK

1968India

1997UK

2010Austria

2008Spain

2007Luxem-bourg

2005Serbia

2004Vietnam

2000Japan1998

Australia1947UK

1987Japan

1995Korea


Gallup International was founded in 1947 at Loxwood, UK. The Global Barometer of Hope was started on completing its 30 years in 1977


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Leila Lotti(1993-1999)

Theo Hess(1999-2002)

Tony Cowling(2002-2009)

Jean-Marc Leger(2009-todate)

PRESIDENTS OF PRESIDENTS OF WINWINGALLUP INTERNATIONALGALLUP INTERNATIONAL

George Gallup(1947-1984)

Jan Stapel(1984-1990)

Helene Riffault(1990-1993)



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MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT

It is my pleasure to present the findings of ‘Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011’. This is one of the largest Global Polls of our industry and also one of the oldest. Our Association has been conducting it every year for the last 33 years.

In 2010, the End of Year Survey was conducted in 53 countries across all continents by leading Polling Companies associated with WIN-Gallup International. Over 64,000 adult men and women representing various sections of society were interviewed across the globe.

Like each year, the findings are enlightening and a valuable resource for Pollsters, the World leaders in Politics, Social Scientists, Academics and general public. As we welcome the year 2011, the Global Opinion shows that the world is hopeful on the whole, though there are differences across geographic and population groups. This opens new debates on prospects of economic prosperity and depression in the coming year.

At WIN-Gallup International we are always interested in striking partnerships with think tanks as well as universities and look forward to such opportunities expanding due to this endeavor. We would welcome any feedback and comments on this Survey.

Jean-Marc Leger,President, WIN-Gallup International/ Leger Marketing, Canada

FOREWORD

It is a matter of great pleasure for me and the Research Team at Gallup Pakistan to have assisted WIN-Gallup International Association and its Expert Group on Opinion Research in this endeavour.

Our team has had the honour of retrieving the survey findings since the inception of the Global Barometer, and compile Trend Reports for all participating countries. The Trend Reports (Volume 2) are available separately. While launching the Trend Data Reports (1977-2010) we are happy to celebrate 33 years of this global survey.

Special effort has been made to widely disseminate the results of this Global Barometer. A Statistical Report (Volume 1) has been released apart from this Volume. We also plan to place the findings on Social Media, such as facebook, blogs, twitter and Pod casts. Your support and participation will be greatly appreciated.

In the end I would like to thank all our member countries for their valuable input and efforts without which this would not have been possible at all. Special thanks to Jean-Marc Leger for his continued support and energetic leadership. Also many thanks to the colleagues in WIN-GIA Expert Group on Social and Opinion Research, whose continued involvement has been a source of inspiration.

Dr. Ijaz Shafi GilaniChairman Gallup Pakistan, Board Member WIN-Gallup International and Chair Global Opinion Research TeamEmail: [email protected] : +92-51-2655630



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WIN-Gallup International Annual Conference in Vienna, Austria (May 2010). President Jean-Marc Leger (center) Members of the Board, member company Heads in the photo.

WINGallup International Team ofEND OF YEAR SURVEY: 2010

Gallup Pakistan Research Team for EOY: 2010

WIN-GIA (Expert Group): Opinion Research Group

Christian Bourque

InahiroSuzuki

CelineBracq

Gael Sliman

AggreyMaposa

LaureCastelnau

Helio Gastaldi

AdeolaTejumola

Peter Kenny

Joan Young

Carlos Clavero

Luciano Miguel

Martin Boon

Ijaz Gilani(Chairperson of the Group)

Rushna Shahid Manzer Ehsan Hammad Irshad



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CONTENTS

Appendix D Contact Persons for Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 in countries across the Globe

Appendix C: Net Hope Score by Per Capita Income

Appendix B: Questionnaire

32Comments

Appendix A: About the Survey/Methodology

28Section 3 Perception on Overall Well-being:Will 2011 be Better than 2010?

22Section 2 Perception on Employment andFear of Rising Unemployment in 2011

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SUMMARY

Section 1 Perception on EconomicProsperity in 2011 across theGlobe

10Regional Classification

9Findings

7Overview

Courtesy: The preparation of this Report and compilation of the trend data (1977-2010) has been done by Gallup Pakistan as a public service to members of WIN-Gallup International

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GLOBAL BAROMETER OF HOPE AND DESPAIR: 2011The End of Year Survey (EOY) also called as “Global Barometer of Hope and Despair” was initialed by Gallup International Association (GIA) in 1977. The initial survey was carried out by 20 countries and was led by Dr. George Gallup. Since then, the survey has been conducted every year across the globe. The survey explores Public “Hope and Despair” about the coming year. In 2010 over 64,000 men and women's statistically selected in 53 countries from across all countries were asked their perceptions about 2011.

This Report is based on this survey carried out in October-December 2010 by leading pollsters associated with WIN-Gallup International.



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This Report is the third in the series of Reports based on this Global Survey. The other two are as follows:

Volume 1: Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 (Statistical Report)

Volume 2: Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 (Country Trends)

The Volume 1 and Volume 2 can be downloaded from Gallup Pakistan website: www.gallup.com.pk



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FINDINGS• On the whole Hope outweighs Despair for

Economic Prosperity in 2011. But there are disparities across regions of the World.

- Mature Economies are in despair whereas the emerging economies of Asia and Latin America and Africa are hopeful.

- Those countries with high Incomes are most fearful of economic depression in 2011.

- Young are hopeful whereas old are gloomy.

• Majority of the world fears that unempl0oyment will rise in 2011.

- People in Global Flash points are most fearful of unemployment in 2011.

• Overall the world thinks that 2011 will be better than 2010. But there are variations across Regions.

- The hope score about economic prosperity shapes hopes about overall well being in 2011.


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REGIONAL CLASSIFICATIONThe following are the regional classifications used in the “Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011”

Denmark

KosovoSweden

SerbiaSwitzerlandJapan

RomaniaNetherlandsCanada

PolandSpainItaly

EgyptMacedoniaIcelandChinaGermany

NigeriaCzech Republic

FinlandIndiaFrance

GhanaBosnia and Herzegovina

AustriaRussian Federation

United Kingdom

CameroonBulgariaBelgiumBrazilUSA

AFRICAEastern Europe (other than Russia)

Western Europe (other than G20

BRICG7 Countries

TajikistanColombia

AzerbaijanEcuador

KazakhstanPeru

ArmeniaBangladeshAustralia

LithuaniaPakistanPhilippinesTurkey

LatviaAfghanistanVietnamKorea

UkraineIraqMalaysiaArgentina

CIS/Former Soviet Union

Global Flash-points

Emerging and other Nations in Asia and Latin America

Other G20



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SUMMARYSUMMARY



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ECONOMIC PROSPECTS IN 2011:OPTIMISM IN ASIA AND PESSIMISM IN EUROPE:

Findings from the World’s leading Global Barometer

Rising Powers of Asia and Latin America are Hopeful scoring 35 % on Net Hope; the G7 are Gloomy, scoring minus (-) 19 % on Net Hope.

Global Survey confirms the shift from G7 to New Members of G20

As the new century enters its second decade both economic data and perception data suggest that while wealth is still concentrated in Europe and North America, there is a shift of Power and Prosperity from the West of the 20th Century to the East. These findings have emerged from one of the largest global surveys covering 53 countries from across all continents including all the G7 countries, the four countries of emerging BRIC and another 45 countries from Asia, Africa, Latin America and Australasia. Together a sample of over 64,000 scientifically selected men and women were interviewed by leading pollsters associated with WIN-Gallup International. This is the second global survey which the Group has conducted and released during this month. The other survey pertained to Perceptions of Corruption which the Group conducted on behalf of Transparency International.


Continued………..


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A key question in the global survey asked: Would you say that 2011 will be a year of Economic Prosperity, Economic Difficulty or remain the same. At a global level 30% of the world expects that 2011 will be a year of Prosperity and 28% expect it to be a year of Economic Difficulty, while 42% think the economic situation will remain unchanged.* The hopefuls outscore the pessimists by 2%. That is the net Global Hope Score. But like many other good things in life Hope is also not uniformly spread across the globe. The data show that global hope is highly concentrated among the rising economic powers, the so called BRIC—Brazil, Russia, India and China. The Hope Score for this Group is 35%. In sharp contrast the Hope Score for the Rich countries of the world, known as the G7 (USA, Canada, Germany, France, UK, Italy, and Japan) is in the negative: -19%. Among them, the Pessimists (36%) outscore the Hopefuls (17%) by 19% points.

The Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2010, an Annual tradition initiated under the Chairmanship of Dr. George Gallup in 1977 and conducted every year since then shows that of the 53 countries polled this year 19 can be classified as Hopeful while 34 would be seen as Pessimists. But it is somewhat shocking to know that most of the wealthy nations of the world fall in the Red Group, High on Per Capita Income and Low on Hope for 2011, while the Green Group of Hopefuls is mostly comprised by low per capita income countries. The Greens are, in comparison to the Reds, Low on Per



* Included in this are 5% who did not give a specific response


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Capita Income but High on Hope. There is also a third group of countries which are unfortunately low on both Per Capita Income and Hope for 2011. The survey analysis has termed them as the Yellow Group. On the whole, of the 53 polled countries, 15 are in the Green Box, 14 in the Red Box and 20 in the Yellow Box. Fortunately there are a small number of countries that qualify to be classified as the Purple Group. They are High on both Hope Score and per capita income. These are 4 altogether including 3 Scandinavian nations (Sweden, Finland, Denmark) and Switzerland. (SEE MATRIX AHEAD)



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PROSPECTS FOR EMPLOYMENT: 45% fear Unemployment

The survey also asked a question on Fear of unemployment. 45% of global respondents fear that unemployment might rise in their country in 2011. As opposed to this 27% believe it might fall while 23% expect the employment conditions to remain the same as in the current year. The remaining 5% did not give an answer.

OVERALL HOPE & DESPAIR: Globally 42% take an Optimistic outlook; 19% are Gloomy

Finally in response to an overall question: Would you say 2011 will be better, worse or the same as 2010, a good proportion of the world takes an Optimistic outlook with 42% saying they expect it to be better, while 19% think it will be worse, and 32% believe the situation will remain unchanged. The remaining 5% did not give an answer

To see Hope Score for each country relative to its Per Capita Income, please see Appendix C



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1. GLOBAL VIEWS ON ECONOMIC PROSPERITY: HOPE AND DESPAIR FOR 2011

Overall, the world is hopeful about economic prosperity in 2011. At a global level 30% of the world expects that 2011 will be a year of Economic Prosperity and 28% expect it to be a year of Economic Difficulty, while 42% think the economic situation will remain unchanged*. The hopeful outscore the pessimists by 2% that is the net Global Hope Score. But there are disparities between Regions of the World.

The data show that global hope is highly concentrated among the rising economic powers, the so called BRIC-Brazil, Russia, India and China. The Hope Score for this Group is 35%. In sharp contrast the Hope Score for the Rich countries of the world, known as the G7 (USA, Canada, Germany, France, UK, Italy and Japan) is in the negative: -19%. Among them, the Pessimists (36% outscore the Hopefuls (17%) by 19 percentage points.

The results of this Hope Score across our Regional Classification are shown below:

* Included in this are 5% who did not give a specific response.



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Figure 1Hope Score comparison across global regions

2%

-19%

35%

-6%-14%

24%

5%

-9%

-32%-23%

-50-40-30-20-10

01020304050

All G7

BRIC Other G20

Global Flash Points Emerging and other Nations in Asia and Latin America

Africa Western Europe other than G20

Eastern Europe other than Russia For rmer Soviet Union

GLOBAL REGIONS

Hope Score: The net balance of those who think 2011 will be a year of Economic Prosperity minus those who think it will be year of Economic difficulty.

Hig

hLo

wG

loba

l Hop

e S

core

Source: WIN-Gallup International Association Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011. Percentages are weighted by population of the participating countries. For details consult Methodology section.

1 2

34

5

6

7 89 10

1 23 4

5 67 8

9 10



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1.1 HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES: MOST FEARFUL OF ECONOMIC DEPRESSION IN 2011

The Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 shows that of the 53 countries polled 19 can be classified as Hopeful while 34 would be seen as Pessimists. But it is somewhat shocking that most of the wealthy nations of the world fall in the Red Group, High on Per Capita Income Low on Hope for 2011, while the Green Group of Hopefuls is mostly comprised by low per Capita Income countries. The Greens are, in comparison to the Reds, Low on Per Capita Income but High on Hope. There is also a third group of countries which are unfortunately low on both per Capita Income and Hope for 2011. The survey analysis has turned them as the Yellow Group. On the whole, of the 53 polled countries, 15 are in the Green Box, 14 in the Red Box and 20 in the Yellow Box. Fortunately there are a small number of countries that qualify to be classified as the Purple Group. They are High on both Hope Score and per Capita Income. There are 4 altogether including 3 Scandinavian nations (Sweden, Finland, Denmark) and Switzerland. (SEE MATRIX AHEAD) in Figure 2:



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Figure 2GLOBAL MATRIX OF HOPE AND DESPAIRSource: WIN-Gallup International Association Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011. Percentages are weighted by population of the participating countries. For details consult Methodology section.

Note: Per Capita Income is based on World Bank Estimates for 2009, with only one exception i.e. Switzerland for which data is from 2008.

GLOBAL REGIONS

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000

0

-20

-40

-60

80

60

40

20



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1.2 YOUNG ARE HOPEFUL ABOUT ECONOMICPROSPERITY IN 2011 WHEREAS OLD ARE GLOOMY

The views about economic prosperity vary with the age of respondents globally. On the whole those under 50 years of age are hopeful about economic prosperity whereas those in age group 51 and above are pessimistic about economy in 2011

Figure 3GLOBAL HOPE SCORE ACROSS AGE GROUPS

Under 30 years, +19%

30-50 years, +4%

51-65 years, -11% Over 65 years,

-13%-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

AGE GROUPS

Hig

hLo

wG

loba

l Hop

e S

core




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2. MAJORITY FEARS UNEMPLOYMENT WILL INCREASE IN 2011:Global Flashpoints most fearful of unemployment for 2011

The 2010-11 Barometer also records People’s fear that whether the unemployment in their respective countries will increase, decrease or remain the same in 2011.

Unfortunately, majority of the world fears the unemployment will increase a lot or to some extent (45%). 23% say it will remain the same where as 27% say it will fall. 5% gave no answer to the question.

The fear of unemployment varies across regions as shown below:



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Figure 4Fear of Unemployment Across Regions

Africa, 47%

CIS/Former Soviet Union, 49%

Eastern Europe (other than Russia), 49%

Western Europe (other than G20), 42%

Emerging and other Nations in Asia and Lat in America,

38%

Global Flash Point, 64%

Other G20, 45%

BRIC, 38%

G7, 45%

All, 45%

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Percent of respondents who say that unemployment will increase “A Lot” or “To some Extent” in their respective countries in 2011




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COUNTRIES LEAST FEARFUL THAT UNEMPLOYMENT WILL RISE IN 2011:Least Fearful Countries (Countries where less than 30% are fearful of rising unemployment)

Bosnia and Herzegovina, 24%

Serbia, 25%

Brazil, 26%

Germany, 27%

Sweden, 28%

Austria, 29%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35





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COUNTRIES MODERATELY FEARFUL THAT UNEMPLOYMENT WILL RISE IN 2011:Moderately Fearful Countries(Countries where 30-40% are fearful of rising unemployment)

Finland, 31%Kazakhstan, 32%

Peru, 32%Switzerland, 32%

Argent ina, 33%Denmark, 35%

Ghana, 35%Canada, 36%

Czech Republic, 37%

Veitnam, 37%Colombia, 38%Lithuania, 38%

M alaysia, 38%Russian Federat ion, 38%

Kosovo, 39%

Latvia, 39%USA, 39%

Australia, 40%

Iraq, 40%Tajikistan, 40%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45





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COUNTRIES MOST FEARFUL THAT UNEMPLOYMENT WILL RISE IN 2011:Most Fearful Countries

Countries where more than 40% are fearful of rising unemployment in 2011.

Japan, 41%Armenia, 42%

Afghanistan, 43%Belgium, 44%Korea, 44%

Egypt, 45%M acedonia, 45%

Poland, 46%Azerbaijan, 48%

Netherlands, 49%Spain, 49%

Iceland, 50%Nigeria, 50%

Bangladesh, 51%Cameroon, 51%Turkey, 51%

China, 54%Ecuador, 54%

Philippines, 55%India, 56%Ukraine, 56%

Bulgaria, 60%Italy, 61%

Romania, 65%France, 67%

Pakistan, 72%UK, 74%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%





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The 2010-11 Barometer explores people’s overall view of 2011. When asked “In your opinion will the coming year (2011) be better, worse or same as 2010?” 42% say 2011 will be better, 32% say it will remain the same, 19% think 2011 will be worse than 2010 and 6% gave no response to this question,

The percentage of Hopeful people (those who think 2011 will be better) varies across regions as given below:

Figure 6OVERALL HOPE ABOUT 2011 ACROSS REGIONS

42%

32%

63%

36%

24%

56%

33%

18%27%

58%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

All

G7

BRIC

Other G

20

Global Flash-points

Emerging and other N

ations inAsia and Latin Am

erica

Western Europe (other than

G20)

Eastern Europe (other thanR

ussia)

CIS/Form

er Soviet Union

Africa

Percent of respondents who say 2011 will be better than 2010

3. PERCEPTIONS ON OVERALL WELLBEING IN 2011: Majority is Hopeful with variations across Regions




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The 2010-11 Barometer found out that the regions which are pessimistic about economic prosperity in 2011 have low hopes about overall wellbeing in 2011. Whereas the emerging economies which have high hopes about economic prosperity in the coming year score high on overall hope for 2011.

The figure bellow shows this relation in a scatter plot:

% of respondents who say 2011 will be better overall than 2010

3.1 HOPE SCORE ON ECONOMIC PROSPERITYShapes Overall Hope and Despair About 2011

Hig

hLo

wN

et H

ope

Sco

re

Low HighOptimism about 2011


Figure 7Relationship between Hope Score and Optimism about 2011



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CONCLUSIONSThe Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 is a unique tool that provides insight into people’s perceptions about the coming year. It explores public Hope and Despair about Economic prosperity, rising unemployment and overall wellbeing in 2011.

The findings are interesting with wide variations across the regions of the world. While overall the world is hopeful, this hope is more widespread in the emerging economies in Asia and Latin America.

The developed world including G7 countries and Europe are comparatively pessimistic about economic prosperity and overall wellbeing in 2011.



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Comments



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COMMENTS ON ‘Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011’ from Colleagues in Opinion Research and Academics across the Globe

“The Global Barometer highlights crisply and visually the emerging trend of the tectonic shift of the world economy from G7 to G20. One can say that once carried out more frequently, more systematically, in more financially self-sustained format and in more consultative spirit, it may start to constitute a flagship of an invisible global parliament in the fledgling stage.”

Professor Takashi Inoguchi,Director, the Asia Barometer Survey ProjectPresident, the University of Niigata PrefectureProfessor Emeritus, University of Tokyo

'Longitudinal studies that chart changing perceptions over time are very rare. This study represents two rare achievements at the same time--it offers longitudinal data across a global range of countries. The team responsible for this study, led by Dr. Ijaz ShafiGilani, should be commended for their wide-ranging ambition, the commitment over the years, and their success in bringing outthis report.'

Professor Matthew J. NelsonDepartment of PoliticsSchool of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS)University of London

…………More to be added later



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Appendix A:ABOUT THE SURVEYThe Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 is a Public Opinion Survey that explores the general public’s perceptions and hopes about 2011. This year the Barometer covered 53 countries across all continents. Overall, there were over 64,000 interviews with adult men and women selected in a scientific manner across the globe.



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SURVEY METHODUNIVERSEThe Universe is Global population. The survey was carried out in 53 countries. The population of these 53 countries comprise 76% of global population.For the purposes of this survey the standard/conventional approach was followed: each country has been treated as an independent universe. The sample selected to be interviewed in each country are representative of the adult population of the country. In a few countries interviews were limited to the major cities (notably China and India). In such cases the limitation has been indicated in the section below which provides details on country level sample size.SAMPLING METHODSProbability sampling methods have been used in all the polled countries. Further details can be provided upon request. In general multi-stage stratified sampling methods have been employed. The error margins are in the range of + 3-5% at 95% confidence level.INTERVIEWING METHODSThe Interviewing Methods are specific to each country. Details are provided below in the country level sampling and interviewing details. The Methods can generally be described as Multi-Mode. They include Face to Face, Telephone and Online interviews depending on the country.



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WEIGHTING SCHEME:

1- For Global Averages only that population has been treated as the polled universe where the survey was conducted. This means that if (such as in China and India) only major urban centers were interviewed, only those populations are treated as the relevant population for developing the weights. Details are available at the end of this Report. Further details can be available upon request. The issue of weighting in determining global averages is under deliberation in our team and we will be happy to share our thoughts with the interested scientific and professional community.

2- A number of countries have used weights for their national level data. Details can be available upon request.

3- The country level averages which appear in this Report are weighted averages.


For Details on Methodology for each country, please see ahead:


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[email protected]

Carlos A. CordovaEcuador

Nov01 –Nov 10500YesNatio

nalOnlineDMA/[email protected] ElstedDenmark


nalFace to faceMareco [email protected]

zJan TrojacekCzech Republic

-501---Centro Nacionalde Consultoria

[email protected]

Cristina QuerubinColombia

Oct 22 –Dec 031000Yes

5 major cities

in China

Online survey (Random interview)

CRC-Research Center

[email protected] XinChina

Oct 25 –Oct 271517YesNatio

nalWebLeger [email protected]

Diane RousseauCanada

Nov 20 –Nov 25517Yes

Two main towns

Face to face

Research & Marketing Company

[email protected] PlacideCameroon

Oct 28 –Nov 41009YesNatio

nalFace-to-face

BBSS Gallup International

[email protected]

Mila GrigorovaBulgaria

Nov11 –Nov 16 2.002NoNatio

nalFace to face

IBOPE Inteligência

[email protected] , [email protected]

LaureCastelnauand HélioGastaldi

Brazil

Nov 18–Nov 30. 2500NoNatio

nalFace to face

MARECO INDEC BOSNIA

[email protected]

Aida Hadziavdic-Begovic

Bosnia And Herzegovina

Nov 02 –Nov 17 1000YesNatio

nalTelephoneDedicated Research

[email protected]

SterckmansWilliamBelgium

Nov27 –Dec12 3000NoNatio

nalFace to face

ORG Quest Research Ltd.

[email protected] AhmedBangladesh

Nov15 –Dec01 1000NoUrbanFace to

face

SIAR Research and Consulting Group

[email protected]

AshrafHajiyevAzerbaijan

-814---ÖsterreichischesGallup-Institut

[email protected] luskAustria

Nov29 –Dec06 1000YesNatio

nalOnlineYour Source/ Colmar Brunton

[email protected]

Bianca MazzaferroAustralia

Oct 29 –Nov 071067NoNatio

nalFace to face

Armenian Marketing Association

[email protected]

Nov10 –Nov19 800YesOtherTelephoneIBOPE

Inteligencia [email protected]

Gerardo Tuñón CortiArgentina

Nov19 –Nov 27 1107YesNatio

nalFace to faceACSORa.blagoev@gallup-

bbss.comAssenBlagoevAfghanistan

FieldworkDatesSize

Data weighted?

Sample

TypeModeCompanyE-mailContactCountry

40

Nov26 –Dec 011204NoNatio

nalFace to face

Datum InternacionalS.A.

[email protected]

Gustavo YralaPeru


nalFace to faceGallup Pakistanfatima.idrees@gallup

com.pkFatima IdreesPakistan*

27-Oct5002YesNational

Face to faceRMS Nigeriajkimanzi@rms-

africa.comJosiah KimanziNigeria

Nov 01 –Nov 221000YesNatio

nalTelephoneMarketResponse

[email protected]

Imre van RooijenNetherlands

Oct 29 –Dec05800Yes

Urban Peninsular Malay

sia

Face to face

TNS-R1 Malaysia

[email protected], [email protected]

Krishna.Veni/kara CheongMalaysia


nalFace-to-faceBRIMAoffice@brima-

gallup.com.mkIvanaTodevskaMacedonia


nalFace to faceRait, [email protected]

VonseviciuteLithuania

Dec 06 –Dec 221007YesNatio

nalFace to faceLatvian [email protected]

FreimanisLatvia

First half of November 2010

998YesNational

Face to faceIndex Kosovak.kuci@indexkosova.

comKaltrina KuciKosovo

Dec 01 –Dec 07500NoUrbanTelephoneDAMU

Research [email protected]

Nov 04 –Nov 161200NoNatio

nal

Self-administered

Nippon Research Center, Ltd.

[email protected] KumadaJapan


nalFace to faceDOXA S.P.Apaolo.colombo@dox

a.itColombo PaoloItaly

[email protected]

Dr.Ali AbdalRazakIraq

Nov09 –Nov 161002NoNatio

nalFace to face

MaRSMonitoring and Research Systems

[email protected]

ArundhatiCharIndia


nalOnlineCapacentGallup

[email protected]

Vilborg Helga Hardardottir..Iceland

Oct 15 –Oct 21915NoNatio

nalFace to face

RESEARCH & MARKETING SERVICES

[email protected] AddyGhana

3-Dec501YesNationalTelephoneTNS Emnidjohannes.huxoll@tns

-emnid.comJohannes HuxollGermany

Nov30 –Dec 01979YesNatio

[email protected]éline BracqFrance

Oct 15 –Nov 011028YesNatio

nalFace to face

TaloustutkimusOy

[email protected]

MrJariPajunenFinland

Nov – Dec 20101000YesUrbanFace to

face

RADA Research & Public Relations

[email protected] GuindyEgypt

FieldworkDatesSize

Data weighted?

Sample


* Disclaimer: Gallup Pakistan is not related to Gallup Inc. headquartered in Washington D.C. USA. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup Pakistan (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). We disclaim any responsibility for surveys pertaining to Pakistani public opinion except those carried out by Gallup Pakistan, the Pakistani affiliate of Gallup International Association. For details on Gallup International Association see website: www.gallup-international.com

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nalFace-to-face

Indochina ResearchLimited

[email protected] OwenVietnam

-1000NoNationalonlineTRIGckaminski@trig-

us.comCindy KaminskiUSA


nalFace to face

Research & Branding Group

[email protected]

EduardZolotukhinUkraine


nalTelephoneICM Research…[email protected]

Sabrina MohitUK


nalTelephoneBaremResearch

[email protected] , [email protected]

ArdaÖZKAN , Onur NAR

Turkey


nalFace to face

Research Centre [email protected] M.A.Tajikistan

17-Nov1000YesNational

Face to faceIsopublicKarin.maendlilerch@

hispeed.chKarin MändliLerchSwitzerland


nalOnlineDMA/[email protected]

Roger ElstedSweden


nalFace to faceInstituto DYMluciano.miguel@insti

tutodym.esLucianoMiguelSpain


nalFace to faceGallup [email protected]

…HyunjeongJungSouth Korea

Oct 11– Oct 171023YesNatio

nalFace-to-face

TNS MediumGallup

[email protected]

JelenaKončarevićSerbia

Oct 25 –Oct 261000YesUrbanonline-

omnibusRomir…[email protected]…

IvanishevaNatalya…Russia


nalFace to faceTNS [email protected] BebiRomania

Nov02 –Dec 111049YesUrbanFace to

faceMareco [email protected]

GrzegorzDąbrowskiPoland

Oct 18 –Oct 301000NoNatio

nalFace to face

Asia Research Organization, Inc...

[email protected]

Lawrence a. DuganPhilippines

FieldworkDatesSize

Data weighted?

Sample



42

Appendix B:

EOY: 2010 Questionnaire

Q1. So far as you are concerned, do you think that 2011 will be better, or worse than 2010?

1- Better2- Same3- Worse4- Don’t Know/No Response

Q2. Compared with this year, in your opinion, will next year be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same?

1- Economic Prosperity2- Remain the Same3- Economic Difficulty4- Don’t Know/No Response

Q3. In the next 12 months do you expect the number of unemployed in … (YOUR COUNTRY) to increase a lot, to increase slightly, remain the same, fall slightly or fall a lot?1- Increase a Lot2- Increase Slightly3- Remain the Same4- Fall Slightly5- Fall a lot6- Don’t Know/No Response




43

EOY Questionnaire

Q4.a Are you now in paid employment - either full time or part time?

1- Full Time2- Part Time3- No

Q4.b Do you think your present job is safe, or do you think there’s a chance you may become unemployed?

1- Present Job is Safe2- Chance of Unemployment3- Don’t Know/No Response

Q4.c If you became unemployed, do you think you’d be able to find a new job fairly quickly, or do you think it might take longer?

1- New Job Quickly2- May Take Longer3- Wouldn’t Look4- Don’t Know/No Response

Personal Information / DemographicsD1. SexD2. AgeD3. Household income D4. Education: Highest attained D5. Employment D6. Religion D7. Settlement type (Rural/Urban)



44

NET HOPE SCORE BY PER CAPITA INCOME(Per Capita Income in US$ at PPP): Figures for 2009

243260India25

-5133390Iceland24

471480Ghana23

336960Germany22

-5833980France21

1734430Finland20

-285690Egypt19

-58040Ecuador18

2137720Denmark17

-3123610Czech Republic16

-168500Colombia15

466770China14

-737590Canada13

-42200Cameroon12

-3112290Bulgaria11

4710260Brazil10

-178740Bosnia9

-136520Belgium8

231580Bangladesh7

29030Azerbaijan6

-138550Austria5

-738210Australia4

-35420Armenia3

1214120Argentina2

241500Afghanistan1

Net Hope ScorePer Capita IncomeCountry in alphabetic orderSerial #

Appendix C:Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011



45

173340Iraq26

612850Vietnam53

-946730USA52

-386190Ukraine51

-4437360UK50

-1113730Turkey49

51950Tajikistan48

1541830Switzerland47

2438560Sweden46

-3531630Spain45

-4511420Serbia44

718390Russian43

-4614460Romania42

-1418440Poland41

153540Philippines40

298140Peru39

-212710Pakistan38

701980Nigeria37

-940510Netherlands36

2313530Malaysia35

-1310550Macedonia34

-116740Lithuania33

-3716510Latvia32

3210000Kosovo*31

-627310Korea30

2210270Kazakhstan29

-2133280Japan28

-3531330Italy27

Net Hope ScorePer Capita IncomeCountry in alphabetic orderSerial #



46

Picture Name/Company/Country



Appendix D:Contact Persons for Global Barometer of Hope and Despair: 2011 in countries across the Globe

Bianca MazzaferroColmar Brunton

Australia

Gerardo Tuñón CortiIBOPE Inteligência

ArgentinaArgentina

Ingrid LuskÖsterreichisches

Gallup-InstitutAustria

Ashraf HajiyevSIAR MediaAzerbaijan

Rahid Ahmed ORG Quest

Research Ltd.Bangladesh

William SterckmansDedicated ResearchBelgium

Aida Hadziavdic-Begovic

Mareco Index BosniaBosnia

Laure Castelnau& Hélio Gastaldi

IBOPE Inteligência

Brazil

Zhou XinCRC-Research

China

Cristina QuerubinCentro Nacionalde Consultoria

Colombia

Jan TrojacekMareco Praha

Czech republic

Roger ElstedDMA / Research

A/SDenmark, Sweden

Carlos A. CordovaCedatosEcuador

Assen BlagoevACSOR

Afghanistan

*

*

*

*

*

*

*

*

*

* To be placed upon receipt


47




Mila GrigorovaBBSS

BulgariaKosovo

Arnauld ZeufackRMS Cameroon

Cameroon

Diane Rousseau & Sarah Weill

Léger MarketingCanada

Dr. SherineZaklama

RadaResearch & Public Relations

Co.Egypt

Jari PajunenTaloustutkimus

OyFinland

Céline BracqBVA

France

Johannes HuxollTNS EmnidGermany

Eric HiameyRMS Ghana

Ghana

Vilborg Helga Hardardottir

Capacent IcelandIceland

Arundhati CharMaRS- Monitoring

and Research Systems Private

LimitedIndia

*

*

John SmurthwaiteTNS Malaysia

Malaysia

Imre van RooijenMarket Response

Netherlands

Josiah KimanziRMS Nigeria

Nigeria

Fatima IdreesGallup Pakistan

Pakistan

*

*

*

*

Dr. Ali AbdalRazakIIACSS

Iraq

Gustavo YralaDATUM InternacionalPeru

* *



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Paolo ColomboDOXAItaly

Hisako Kumada & Tazuko HanzawaNippon Research

Center (NRC)Japan

H.J.JungGallup Korea

Korea

Ivana TodevskaBrima

Macedonia

Teresita K. PerezAsia Research OrganizationPhilippines

Olga WiatrMARECO Polska

Poland

Natalia IvanishevaROMIR

Russian federationArmenia, Latvia, Lithuania

Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Tajikistan

Sladjana Brakus& Jelena Hrnjak

TNS Medium GallupSerbia

*

*

*

*

*

Marius Bobi &Delia Bebi

CSOPRomania

Cindy KaminskiTriGUSA

Beth OwenIndochina ResearchVietnam

*

Luciano MiguelInstituto DYM,

S.ASpain

Matthias KappelerISOPUBLICSwitzerland

Pervin OlgunArda Özkan

Barem ResearchTurkey

Sabrina MohitICM Research

UK

*



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Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no longer a member of Gallup International Association. Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll). This document is not intended for publication or distribution in the United States including all United States territories nor is it directed at entities and individual located therein. For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com

Global Barometer Hope Despair - Parte 3

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