Girvan & South Carrick Villages

Locality Data Profile 2017

*Premature mortality is described as deaths under the age of 75 years. This measure is considered an important indicator as a higher premature mortality rate suggests there is still room to improve population health.

POPULATION AND DEPRIVATION

Overall, the South Ayrshire population is projected to remain relatively static between 2014 and 2039. However, projections suggest that there will be approximately a 10% drop in the working age population whilst the percentage of individuals of pensionable age and over is due to increase by 21% across the same time period.

Many parts of South Ayrshire are prosperous and it is a vibrant area in which to live and work, and to visit; however, significant inequalities continue to exist within and between our communities.

• The Girvan & South Carrick Villages (GSCV) Locality has a population of 9,504 people, and has decreased slightly across recent years.

• One in four people in the GSCV Locality are aged over 65. • Approximately one in five people in the GSCV Locality live in a deprived neighbourhood. • One in five children in the GSCV Locality live in poverty.

ECONOMY AND SKILLS

The key driver underpinning our future prosperity and the ability to realise the potential of our communities is a local economy which develops and achieves sustainable growth. Delivering economic recovery and growth will contribute to improve outcomes for young and old, improved health, employment, inclusion, and safer and stronger communities.

• Around three out of five people aged 16 to 74 are economically active. • Approximately half the people in work in the GSCV Locality work in caring, leisure and other

service occupations, skilled trades and in elementary occupations. • The level of unemployment (taken from the claimant count) in the GSCV Locality is slightly

lower than the South Ayrshire average. • The youth claimant count (16-24), as a proxy for youth unemployment, in the GSCV Locality is

higher than the level across Scotland as a whole. • Of the people not in work in the GSCV Locality, one in five are long-term sick or disabled. • Approximately nine out of 10 pupils leave school for a positive destination (college, university,

training or work).

SAFE COMMUNITIES

South Ayrshire is a safe place to live, where crimes of public disorder and violence have continued to reduce. We want to maintain this downward trend and ensure that people feel safe within their own homes and communities. • No datazones in the GSCV Locality are identified as the most deprived 0-15% in respect of crime. • The rate of deliberate dwelling fires in the GSCV locality has tended to be lower than the South Ayrshire

average over recent years.

HEALTH & WELLBEING

Positive health and wellbeing is at the heart of our community planning arrangements. We recognise that there are significant challenges in respect of the wellbeing of our communities and will work though Integrated Health and Social Care arrangements to tackle these challenges;

• One in three mothers smoke during pregnancy in the GSCV Locality. • Approximately only one in five babies are breastfed in the GSCV Locality. • One in ten primary 1 children in the GSCV Locality are obese. • Just over half of Primary 1 children have no obvious dental caries. • The level of teenage pregnancies (15-19) in the GSCV locality is somewhat higher than the

level across South Ayrshire as a whole, although the difference is not significant. • The level of multiple emergency hospital admissions for older people (65+) in the GSCV

Locality is similar to the level across South Ayrshire as a whole but is significantly higher than the overall Scottish average rate.

• One in four people in the GSCV Locality have a long-term health condition. • Hospital stays due to alcohol in GSCV are significantly higher than the rate for Scotland as a

whole. • Hospital stays due to drug use in GSCV have been improving in recent years. • Approximately one in five people in the GSCV Locality are prescribed drugs for anxiety,

depression or psychosis.

The key driver underpinning our future prosperity and the ability to realise the potential of our communities is a local economy which develops and achieves sustainable growth. Delivering economic recovery and growth will contribute to improved outcomes for young and old, improved health, employment, inclusion, and safer and stronger communities.

Unemployment not only hurts the personal finances of those without work, but also reduces their participation in the overall economy. The inability to find work is also associated with stress, financial hardship, health problems, and strain on family relationships. The claimant count in the GSCV Locality has reduced from 2.7% in 2013 to 1.6% in 2017.

Among the long-term factors that affect the unemployment rate in South Ayrshire are those that also affect the country's overall competitiveness: education levels, infrastructure investments, diversity and balance in its economic mix, tax rates, and the regulatory environment. Any changes that improve South Ayrshire's attractiveness as a place to live or to do business will, over longer periods of time, tend to reduce the unemployment rate.

Education data for school leavers during 2015/16 demonstrates that within the GSCV pupils are more likely to leave education with literacy and numeracy skills at a higher level than other pupils across South Ayrshire.

13.5%

16.0%

17.1%

Top 3 Occupations (2011)

Caring, leisure andother serviceoccupations

Elementaryoccupations

Skilled tradesoccupations

3.5% 7.9%

15.5%

24.5%

48.6%

Status of Economically Active (2011)

Full-timestudent

Unemployed

Self-employed

Employee:Part-time

Employee: Full-time

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%Claimant Count 16+

Girvan and South Carrick VillagesSouth Ayrshire

94% 85%

92% 92%

71%

92%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Lit & Num SCQF Level4 or Better

Lit & Num SCQF Level5 or Better

College, University,Training or Work

2015/16 School Leavers Data

GSCV South Ayrshire

Economy and Skills

South Ayrshire is a safe place to live where crimes of public disorder and violence have continued to reduce. We want to maintain this downward trend and ensure that people feel safe within their own homes and communities.

Housing has an important influence on health inequalities in Scotland. This is through the effects of housing costs, housing quality, fuel poverty and the role of housing in community life. Many people do not live in a home that is warm, dry and affordable. There is more work to do to ensure that housing across tenures provides a sufficient number of quality, affordable homes to meet the needs of people in South Ayrshire.

Around two thirds of properties are owned, either with a mortgage or outright in the GSCV locality, with 20% being rented council housing. Approximately 40% of all dwellings in the GSCV locality are flats.

A high crime rate suggests an unsafe community, which impacts on people's quality of life and may deter public and private improvements or investment and reduce the residential desirability of an area. In an unfavourable or declining economy, crime can increase. Poor earning power, unemployment or frustration with the resulting deprivation are factors which may lead people to commit criminal acts. Other factors affecting crime levels include alcohol abuse and drug dependency.

Intervening early, engaging with young people and getting the right help at important times in their lives - especially for the most vulnerable - are vital steps to divert them from the wrong choices and impairing life chances. An effective and visible police presence helps to tackle offending and reduce fear of crime.

20.3%

15.7%

43.4%

20.2%

Dwelling Type(2016)

Detached

Semi-Detached

Terraced

Flats

38.1%

26.4%

0.1%

20.2%

3.5% 8.4%

1.1% 2.2%

Tenure (2011) Owned outright

Owned with amortgage or loanShared ownership

Rented (Council)

Rented (Social)

Rented (Private)

Rented (Other)

Living Rent Free

3

4

7

0 2 4 6 8

0-5%

5-10%

10-15%

15-30%

30-50%

50-100%

SIMD Crime Domain (2016)

Safe Communities

The rate of annual crime per 100,000 individuals in the GCSV locality has tended to be slightly lower than the overall South Ayrshire average and has also been declining over recent years.

Crimes of disorder are the most common crime group in the GSCV locality followed by crimes of dishonesty and road traffic offences. The rate of road traffic offences was slightly higher in the GSCV locality during 2016/17 than the overall South Ayrshire average.

During 2013/14 to 2014/15 the rate of accidental dwelling fires was approximately in line with the South Ayrshire average however the rate appears to have increased significantly during 2015/16 before returning to normal levels again in 2016/17.

The rate of deliberate dwelling fires has historically tended to be much lower in Girvan as compared to the overall South Ayrshire average.

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Crime Rate per 100,000 Population

GSCV South Ayrshire Totals

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Crimes by Grouping - rates per 100,000 (2016/17)

GSCV South Ayrshire

0

50

100

150

200

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Accidental Dwelling Fires Rate per 100,000

GSCV South Ayrshire

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Deliberate Dwelling Fires Rate per 100,000

GSCV South Ayrshire

Safe Communities

Positive health and wellbeing is at the heart of our community planning arrangements. We recognise that there are significant challenges in respect of the wellbeing of our communities and will work through our Integrated Health and Social Care arrangements to tackle these challenges.

The wellbeing of individuals and communities is shaped by social, environmental and individual factors. Improvement in the health of younger people in particular could be achieved in the next 10-15 years if smoking and alcohol use in pregnancy could be reduced; breastfeeding support improved; healthy diets and physical activity promoted; and more support offered to families in need with housing, finance, safety, parenting, and social isolation.

The rate of deaths under the age of 75 years is generally accepted to be an important indicator of overall health in a community. The rates for premature deaths as a result of coronary heart disease have demonstrated an increase in the rate of deaths since around 2012 whereas premature deaths from cancer have remained generally stable during the same time period. Smoking, excessive use of alcohol, drug use, obesity and poor mental wellbeing all increase the risk of premature death. While smoking and excessive use of alcohol rates are falling, obesity rates have been rising in recent years.

45.9%

30.7%

16.0%

5.6%

1.9%

50.8%

30.1%

13.3%

4.4%

1.4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Very Good Health

Good Health

Fair Health

Bad Health

Very Bad Health

Self-Described Health Status (2011)

South Ayrshire Girvan and South Carrick Villages

64.4% 68.0%

35.6% 32.0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Girvan and SouthCarrick Villages

South Ayrshire

Long Term Health Conditions (2011)

Sum of One or more conditions No Condition

0

50

100

150

200

2011 - 2013 2012 - 2014 2013 - 2015

Premature Deaths from Coronary Heart Disease (Under 75s)

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2011 - 2013 2012 - 2014 2013 - 2015

Prermature Deaths from Cancer (Under 75s)

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

Excessive use of alcohol can cause harm through physical illness (cancer, liver disease, brain damage), mental health problems such as anxiety and depression, violence, and the emotional wellbeing of individuals and families. Rates of hospital admissions related to the use of alcohol in the GSCV locality have been increasing since 2012/13 in contrast to rates across South Ayrshire & Scotland as a whole which both demonstrate steadily decreasing rates.

The advice from the Chief Medical Officer on low-risk drinking is “not to drink more than 14 units of alcohol per week on a regular basis”. The possible introduction of a minimum price per unit of alcohol in Scotland is likely to help reduce harmful consumption. Individuals can obtain support and advice on their drinking habits by visiting their General Practitioner.

Levels of drug use in a community are linked to a complex interplay of personal, environmental and societal factors. Rates of hospital stays related to drug use have been reducing year-on-year across the GSCV locality and are now significantly below the overall South Ayrshire rate. Hospital stays usually result from either a drug overdose or an accidental injury related to drug use. Efforts are ongoing to support people to enter or remain in education or employment where possible and to create purposeful community activities for people to become involved with. Drug use services and pharmacies are involved in ongoing efforts to provide support to individual drug users with their addiction and with managing the health consequences such as by providing clean equipment.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Alcohol Related Hospital Stays per 100,000 Population

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

0

50

100

150

200

250

2011/12 -2013/14

2012/13 -2014/15

2013/14 -2015/16

2014/15 -2016/17

Drug Related Hospital Stays per 100,000 Population

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

In some circumstances, hospital admission provides timely access to expert assessment and treatment which can be life-saving. However, for some elderly people in particular, hospital admission can result from gaps or deficiencies in care processes that are delivered in the community. These “avoidable hospital admissions” can expose people to unnecessary risks such as hospital-acquired infections in addition to disruption to their lives and the lives of family members and carers.

The rate of patients aged 65 and over with multiple emergency hospital admissions have increased in the GSCV locality over the last five to seven years. Local rates display a similar pattern to South Ayrshire but the gap with the Scotland rate has increased in recent years.

Some of the most common causes of “avoidable hospital admissions” in older people have been identified as urinary tract infections, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), and angina; these account for up to 15% of all hospital admissions. Improvements to care processes can help to reduce “avoidable hospital admissions”, with examples including: patient self-management programmes, tele-related health care, home visits from District Nurses and increased involvement of General Practitioners and Hospital Consultants in decisions made at Accident and Emergency.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2011 - 2013 2012 - 2014 2013 - 2015

Rate of Patients (65+) with Multiple Emergency Hospitalisations per 100,000 Population

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

Smoking rates among pregnant women are similar to the general population and the harms to the mother’s health are the same as for any smoker (risk of heart disease, respiratory disease, cancer etc). However, smoking during pregnancy can also harm child development with a higher risk of low birth weight and pregnancy complications, in addition to the dangers of passive smoking after birth.

The percentage of women smoking during pregnancy in the GSCV locality has remained relatively stable, in contrast to national and South Ayrshire wide trends, leaving the GSCV locality with significantly worse prevalence levels. Most smoking cessation therapies and treatments are safe to use in pregnancy and the smoking cessation service will be happy to support and advise mothers on these issues.

0

10

20

30

40

50

2011/12 - 2013/14 2012/13 - 2014/15 2013/14 - 2015/16

% Mothers Smoking During Pregnancy

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

While some people benefit from these medicines, especially in the shorter term (6-12months), longer-term use can indicate a gap or deficiency in care services that help identify and address the underlying factors contributing to mental ill-health (“talking therapies”). Failure to address the underlying factors leaves people vulnerable to recurrence of illness or deterioration in mental health irrespective of medicines prescribed.

The number of people being prescribed medication for anxiety, depression or psychosis has increased steadily in the GSCV locality over several years, displaying a similar pattern to South Ayrshire and to Scotland as a whole, although prevalence levels in the GSCV locality are significantly higher than the Scottish average.

While most medicines for treating anxiety, depression and psychosis are safe, once the body adjusts to the initial effects of these drugs, their longer-term use can expose people to harmful side effects such as dependence/addiction and diabetes.

0

5

10

15

20

25

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

% of Population Prescribed Drugs for Anxiety/Depression/Psychosis

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

Among the many health benefits, breastfeeding helps to support immune system development in babies, which is important for coping with infectious illnesses such as gastro-enteritis and infections of the chest and upper respiratory tract.

The percentage of babies exclusively breastfed at 6-8 weeks in the GSCV locality has remained fairly stable across recent years but rates remain below the overall South Ayrshire and Scottish average rates.

Health visitors offer advice and support to individual mothers with initiating and sustaining breastfeeding and efforts are also ongoing to make breastfeeding more accepted and supported across society.

Planned pregnancies ensure that individuals are prepared for parenthood, giving children the best possible start in life.

The teenage pregnancy rate in the GSCV has been falling over recent years, displaying a similar pattern to South Ayrshire and Scotland.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2011/12 - 2013/14 2012/13 - 2014/15 2013/14 - 2015/16

% Babies Exclusively Breastfed at 6-8 Weeks

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2011 - 2013 2012 - 2014 2013 - 2015

Teenage Pregnancies per 1,000 Population

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

Childhood dental care is an important aspect of child health and a factor which can influence future disease prevention and oral health in later life. The percentage of primary 1 children with no obvious dental caries have steadily increased across the last few years in Scotland as a whole however local levels in the GSCV locality have dropped between 2013/14 and 2014/15.

Childsmile is a national programme which seeks to provide every child attending nursery with free, daily supervised tooth brushing, a dental pack containing a tooth brush and toothpaste, and encouragement to register with a local dentist. Childsmile also provides additional activities in areas of socio-economic deprivation or where tooth decay is more common including supervised tooth brushing to some primary school children, fluoride varnish application and a home visit from a dental health support worker.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

% of Children with No Obvious Dental Caries in Primary One

GSCV South Ayrshire Scotland

Health & Wellbeing

The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) is used to identify the most deprived areas in Scotland. SIMD identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation across all of Scotland in a consistent way. It allows effective targeting of policies and funding where the aim is to wholly or partly tackle or take account of area concentrations of multiple deprivation.

SIMD ranks Datazones s from most deprived (ranked 1) to least deprived (ranked 6,976). People using SIMD will often focus on the DZs below a certain rank, such as the 5%, 10%, 15% or 20% most deprived Datazones in Scotland.

In South Ayrshire there are 153 datazones of which 17% are located in the Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities Locality.The ANGFCC Locality includes 16 small areas or ‘datazones’ in the most deprived 20% of datazones across Scotland.

The Ten Most Deprived Datazones in South Ayrshire

Datazone Locality Rank S01012489 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 37 S01012491 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 42 1012502 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 46 S01012492 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 64 S01012501 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 75 S01012498 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 274 S01012490 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 350 S01012426 Girvan and South Carrick Villages 383 S01012425 Girvan and South Carrick Villages 469 S01012497 Ayr North and Former Coalfield Communities 477

Deprivation

I. Information Services Division Scotland (ISD)

II. National Records of Scotland (NRS) http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data

III. Nomis https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/

IV. Scotland’s Census 2011 http://www.scotlandscensus.gov.uk/ods-web/standard-outputs.html

V. Scottish Public Health Observatory (ScotPho) http://www.scotpho.org.uk/comparative-

health/profiles/online-profiles-tool VI. SIMD 16 Analysis: South Ayrshire.

VII. Statistics.Gov.Scot http://statistics.gov.scot/

Girvan & South Carrick Villages – Sources