Getting Serious About Carbon Pricing: Putting a Price on Carbon #priceoncarbon
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Transcript of Getting Serious About Carbon Pricing: Putting a Price on Carbon #priceoncarbon
WWW.WRI.ORG/CARBONPRICING
GETTING SERIOUS ABOUT CARBON PRICINGApril 30, 2015
Washington, DC
MICHAEL OBEITER WWW.WRI.ORG/CARBONPRICING
PUTTING A PRICE ON CARBON: A Handbook for U.S. Policymakers
WHY PRICE CARBON?
• Pricing carbon can be a core element of U.S. long-term climate change strategy
• A carbon price can also serve other policy goals– Promote economic growth– Support clean energy– Transition assistance
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
OBJECTIVES
• Putting a Price on Carbon provides an overview of carbon pricing– Basic primer– Refresher and reference work
• Future work from WRI will build on this foundation
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
PAPER OVERVIEW
• Basics of Pricing Carbon• A Brief History of
Carbon Pricing• Key Design Features• Uses of Carbon Pricing
Revenues• Economic Effects of a
Carbon Price
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
CARBON PRICING PROGRAMS AROUND THE WORLD
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
CARBON PRICING IN THE UNITED STATES
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
Federal proposals• McCain/Lieberman (2003)• Waxman/Markey (2009)• Whitehouse/Schatz (2014)• Delaney (2015)• …and many more
PROGRAM TYPE: CARBON TAX VS CAP-AND-TRADE
• Both incentivize emissions reductions • Similar design and revenue decisions• Carbon tax offers administrative
simplicity and price certainty• Cap-and-trade offers emissions
certainty
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
CARBON PRICE DESIGN: KEY QUESTIONS
• Which gases?• Which sectors?• Where to impose the regulation?• What price or cap level and trajectory?• Include a border tax adjustment?• How to monitor and enforce?• What complementary policies?
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
CARBON PRICE DESIGN: EXAMPLES
• Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative– Electricity CO2
– Most revenues go to energy efficiency– $2.9 billion in lifetime savings to 3.7 million
households• British Columbia Carbon Tax
– Started at C$10, now C$30 – Covers ~3/4 of GHGs– Most revenues used to reduce taxes
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
REVENUE USE
• Revenue can be used to accomplish various objectives:– Promote economic growth– Offset adverse impacts – Investment in climate change protections
• Substantial revenue opportunity– $15 / tonne price could generate ~$100 billion
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
REVENUE NEUTRAL TAX SWAPS
• Taxes on labor/capital discourage productive activity we want more of
• A carbon tax discourages activity we want less of
• Why not tax destructive instead of productive activities?– For example, use revenues to reduce income or
payroll taxes
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
LUMP SUM DIVIDEND
• Send every household a check
• Key advantages:– Relatively simple– Revenue neutral (or nearly neutral)– Ensures low-income taxpayers are not
negatively impacted
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
ADDITIONAL REVENUE USES
• Various other policy objectives: – Deficit reduction– Transition assistance – R&D for low-carbon technologies– Climate change adaptation
• Different uses of revenue are of interest to different stakeholders
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
ECONOMISTS OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT A CARBON TAX
Source: http://www.igmchicago.org/igm-economic-experts-panel/poll-results?SurveyID=SV_8oABK2TolkGluV7; weighted by confidence
Statement: Government should raise revenue with a carbon tax instead of labor income taxes
ECONOMIC IMPACT STUDIES
• Winners and losers in short run
• Smart use of revenue can offset negative impacts
• Trade-offs exist between revenue options
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
CONCLUSION
• A carbon price can be the cornerstone of long-run U.S. climate policy AND achieve multiple additional objectives
• Designing a carbon pricing policy involves a number of important decisions that can broaden support
www.wri.org/carbonpricing
FUTURE RESEARCH
• WRI aims to promote dialogue on why and how to implement a carbon price
• WRI will delve deeper into key issues:– Basic economics and incentives underlying a
carbon price – Regional disparities and how to address them– How a carbon price can drive innovation
Keep an eye on www.wri.org/carbonpricing for new research
PUTTING A PRICE ON CARBON: A HANDBOOK FOR U.S. POLICYMAKERS
THANK YOU
WWW.WRI.ORG/CARBONPRICING
WWW.WRI.ORG/CARBONPRICING
GETTING SERIOUS ABOUT CARBON PRICINGApril 30, 2015
Washington, DC