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GEODEMOGRAPHICS AND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO INFER HEALTH MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES Jens Kandt · UCL Geography · 16 April 2015
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GEODEMOGRAPHICS AND SPATIALMICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATATO INFER HEALTH MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES
Jens Kandt · UCL Geography · 16 April 2015
HEALTH ‘BEHAVIOURS’ IN LONDON
London Health Commission (2014)
Smoking: Physical inactivity:
THE GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH ‘BEHAVIOURS’
Behaviour vs. practice
UNDERSTANDING SOCIETY LONGITUDINAL STUDY
Lifestyle survey Panel with
n > 40,000 Since 2009 Whole UK
THE HEALTH MILIEUS
THE HEALTH MILIEUS
THE HEALTH MILIEUS
THE HEALTH MILIEUS
INFERRING MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES
SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION
Matching (‘constraint’) variables1. education2. age3. job status4. tenure5. hh.composition6. marital status7. NSSEC status8. health9. cars10. hh.size11. disability12. ethnicity13. children14. unpaid care15. sex
GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH MILIEUS
‘INTERNAL’ VALIDATION
var age car children disability econ.active education ethnicity hh.comp. marital NSSEC tenure
C.E.(%) 11.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 6.6 0.0 6.8
LOAC category X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9 X10
A. Intermediate Lifestyles 1.14 1.12 0.99 1.06 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.95 1.45 0.99
B. High Density & High Rise Flats 1.30 1.21 1.07 1.09 0.65 0.87 0.72 1.01 1.28 0.88
C. Settled Asians 1.12 0.92 1.24 0.99 0.79 0.64 0.92 1.39 0.86 1.01
D. Urban Elites 0.76 0.90 0.83 0.77 1.51 1.76 1.20 0.69 0.60 0.95
E. City Vibe 0.92 0.99 0.89 0.95 1.21 1.30 1.11 0.83 0.88 0.94
F. London Life Cycle 0.62 0.79 0.84 0.86 1.49 1.29 1.40 0.82 0.71 1.16
G. Multi-Ethnic Suburbs 1.21 1.16 1.03 1.05 0.69 0.77 0.74 1.24 1.16 0.92
H. Ageing City Fringe 0.75 0.83 1.00 1.17 1.14 0.85 1.24 0.91 0.97 1.18
Milieus
‘EXTERNAL’ VALIDATION: LONDON OAC (Longley & Singleton 2014)
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONSMilieu approach vs. conventional geodemographics
dimension milieu segmentation conventional geodemographicsanalytical unit individual areatheory social theory ecological reasoningspatial patterns hypothesis given zonal ‘evidence’ ecological descriptionecological output continuous degrees discrete classesdynamic extension direct indirect
AcknowledgementsPaul Longley, UCL · Jenny Robinson, UCL · James Cheshire, UCL ·Nicola Shelton, UCL
THANK YOU.
