Generation Expansion Planning
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Transcript of Generation Expansion Planning
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M I D
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T E R M P R E SE N TAT IO N
ST U DY ON RE NE WA B L E E NE RGY
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INTEGRATED
GE NE RA T ION E XPA NSION PL A NNING
AKIF ZIA KHANSTUDENT ID:1114201007
SUPERVISOR : DR. SUN YING YUN
NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIVERSITY
BEIJING, CHINA
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BRIEF OVERVIEW
MODELLING AND CASE STUDY
TIME LINE
SIMULATION AND RESULTS
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A lot of work has been done to integrate larger amount of RESin grid but if only from the economical aspects, renewable
generation technology cannot compete with traditional
generating technology.
If other factors are considered in the planning process, such as
the impacts on the environment or social benefits, the results
would be different
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Approach of merging production (or generation) cost with
external cost into a total specific cost increases competitiveness of
non-fossil generation sources.
To see the economic, environmental and structural impacts of a
full internalisation of external costs in the electricity generation
sector.
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(SocialCosts)
(External
Costs)
(Private Costs or
Internal Costs)
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External cost values used in this study have been taken from the
outcomes of the European Commission (EC) Extern-E Project.
The methodology used for this project applies the impactpathway approach
The consecutive negative impacts (damage) are quantified using a
damage function.
Economic valuation of the damage is obtained by the
willingness-to-payof the affected individual to avoid a negative
impact resulting
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External cost per unit is taken from the Extern-E project and it is
calculated as a function of Power Generation from a power plant
Further the external cost is scaled based on the population
density in the region and carbon, sulphur content in coal.
Finally,
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MATHEMATICALMODELLING
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Chance ConstrainedModel
Genetic Algorithm LinearProgramming
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Set consisting of all the available technologiesr Discount Rateit Number OF Units required of type i in year
Cfi Capacity factor of unit it Average annual utilization hours
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PDt= the largest load in year t;
= the availability rate of the generation
unit at peak load
S.R = the spinning reserves ratio
requirement of system.
1, 2 = the pre-defined confidential level of
power constraints
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SIMUULATION,CODINGAND RESULTS
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Opti Toolbox
GA
LP
VS
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UNIT TYPE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
WIND 400 500 500 600 700
PV 0 100 150 150 250
COAL 350 700 700 700 1000
UNIT TYPE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
WIND 100 100 200 200 300
PV 0 0 50 100 100
COAL 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
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CASE NAME Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year5
CASE 1(External Cost Considered)
Power Generation of Wind Power 400 500 500 600 700
Power Generation of Solar Power 0 100 150 150 250
Power Generation of Coal Power 350 700 700 700 1000
Capital investment cost 70,000 73,530 74,680 79,890 80,685
Operation cost 48,748 52,780 53,890 54,963 56,742
External Costs of Energy 13,375 26,750 26,750 26,750 40,125
Total Annual Costs 132,123 153,060 155,320 161,603 177,552
Total Cummulative Cost 145,498 285,183 440,503 602106 779658
CASE 2(External Cost Neglected)
Power Generation of Wind Power 100 100 200 200 300
Power Generation of Solar Power 0 0 50 100 100
Power Generation of Coal Power 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000Capital investment cost 72,000 72,000 74,450 75,000 76,500
Operation cost 45,500 45,500 47,000 47,500 48,000
Total Annual Costs 117,500 117,500 121,450 122,500 124,500
Total Cummulative Cost 117,500 235000 356450 478950 603450
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Progress Chart: Task Completed
Impending Task
75%:Literature Review
Data Gathering
Mathematical Modeling
Coding and Simulation
25%:
Paper Publication
Final Thesis Write up
July13-Sep13 Paper Submission
Oct13-Dec13 Thesis Submission
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RECOMMENDATIONSAND SUGGESTIONS
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