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DevISSuesDevelopmentISSues Volume12/Number2/November 2010
Also in this issue:Generation Text
Local Government and Development
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From the Editorial Board
ISS is the International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam
The Financial Crisis 2 Years On
It was in the summer o 2008 that the frst bank in the US ell, Lehman Brothers. At the time, both the general public and
economists thought that it was an entirely American phenomenon. Within a ew months, however, the crisis had spread across
Europe, with banks alling or being taken over by the state, including devastating bankruptcies o Icelands main banks. Yet ormost o 2009, the general view was still that the crisis would not hurt the developing world. It was seen as a rich mens crisis, right
at the heart o the fnancial centres o the world, rom New York to London and rom Reykjavik to Frankurt. In her contribution
to this special issue, Esther-Mirjam Sent emphasizes the word men here, showing that the crisis emerged in a male-dominated
fnancial sector. She argues, on the basis o available research outcomes, that management teams that represent a critical mass o
women are better able to cope with risk and lead to better business perormance. So, a stronger representation o Lehmans sisters
may have prevented the crisis in its current orm.
A narrow economic view may hold on to the wishul thinking that the negative eects o a fnancial crisis in the US would remain
limited to the fnancial sector in the developed world. But those taking a wider economic perspective knew that this was a myth,
desperately held on to by those who had no idea how vulnerable fnancial markets are in todays fnancialized and globalized
world. Prabirjit Sarkar shows in his contribution that stock markets and other orms o fnancial market development do not
necessarily promote economic growth in developing countries. Rather, the fnancial sector seems to be a risk or development.
While the fnancial system in the US and Europe almost collapsed, the wider economic perspective appeared to be the morerealistic one. Governments in the developed world stepped in to nationalize banks that were considered too big to ail and thereby
interered heavily in the market. While the real economy consumption, investment, exports, imports, employment showed
alarmingly sharp declines. Hence, it seems not good or the economy to have the fnancial market continuously spread.
As the crisis moved into its second year, it became clear that it was spreading to the developing world as well. First to its fnancial
sector, with banks being aected through toxic derivatives they had bought rom US and through the drying up o oreign
capital inows, which declined by a third in 2009. The eect o the crisis in the developing world was, however, not limited to
the fnancial sector. It also hit the real economy, in particular through a reduction in exports as well as imports. These eects
are described clearly in the paper by Peter van Bergeijk. Hence, there is an important lesson to be learnt about the extent o
globalization o the world today: our world is even more strongly globalized than most o us thought. Not only through the spread
o ICT and coca cola to every village across the globe, but also through the fnancial interconnectedness o the worlds banks and
fnancial markets, and the increasing role o trade or a countrys development. Although Arica seems to have become more
resilient to uctuations in its growth over the past decade, the continent is still vulnerable to economic downturns elsewherein the world, as Jorge Arbache argues in his contribution. Aricas growth benefts are mainly due to exports o resources, which
beneft only a ew countries on the continent and still depend heavily on imports by the developed world and China.
This crisis has thus shown the vulnerability o the globalized economy, in which not only good things spread quickly, but also bad
things can very easily contaminate every country around the world and, worse still, hit the weakest groups hardest, as Richard
King points out in his article. He brings together indicative evidence that poor women are hurt particularly, due to their role as
providers or household livelihoods and their communities.
Finally, this issue contains two fne papers by ISS participants that are not part o the theme. The frst one, by Sergio Ferragut,
applies an innovative local development perspective to the development o an open market in the city o The Hague. The other
one, by Marie Angelie Resurreccion, ocuses on youth mobilization in the Philippines, reerred to as generation text, through
mobile phones and internet. Both give hope or a better world to come ater the fnancial crisis. And perhaps even more so or
ideas rom the developing world where alternatives or Western white male fnancial innovations are more likely to come rom
perhaps in text messages.Irene van Staveren
The cover this issue is a collage in which we have tried to illustrate various aspects o the current global economic crisis. The
background photograph is a Financial Crisis Montage by D.F. Shapinsky (see acknowledgement below) showing just some o the
headlines and news reports resulting rom the onset o the crisis. But economic crises, however they are started and whoever
is to blame, aect real people: in their jobs, their homes and their liestyles. The two superimposed photos show just two
examples o this. One shows two Vietnamese women making hats or their local community. The younger woman is helping her
mother as this is the only way she can make a living. The other photograph is part o a Brazilian bankers trade union poster
making the point that The gains o the bankers brings results. With thanks to Helen Hintjens, Lee Pegler and Karen Shaw.
Background photo Financial Crisis Montage by D.F. Shapinsky, October 2008
About the cover
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Contents
Page 4 / The fnancial crisis, the import collapse and the
developing countries
PetervanBergeijk
Page 6 / How Have Global Economic Crises Aected Aricas
Economic Growth?
JorgeArbache
Page 9 / Does the Stock Market Promote Growth?
PrabirjitSarkar
Page 12 / Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
RichardKing
Page 15 / The crisis as an opportunity or emale leadership
Esther-MirjamSent
Page 18 / The Local Government as a Central and Leading
Actor o Local Development: The case o the
Herman Costerstraat Market in The Hague
SergioFerragut
Page 21 / Youth Power 2.0: Harnessing technology or youth
mobilization
MarieAngelieResurrecion
TheviewsexpressedinDevISSuesarethoseotheoriginalauthorsanddonotnecessarilyrefectthoseotheInstitute.
Theonlineversionsoallarticleswithullbibliographycanbeoundatwww.iss.nl/devissues
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The fnancial crisis, the
import collapse and the
developing countriesPeter van Bergeijk
DespitegreenshootsintheOECDand
stronggrowthratesinChinaandIndia
theworldeconomyisnotoutothe
woodsyet.In2007themostserious
globaleconomiccrisissincethe1930s
startedandmanydevelopingandemergingeconomies(DEEs),thatsince
themid1990shadopeneduptothe
worldeconomy,arenowexperiencing
thedownsideostrategiesthat-or
goodreasons-reliedheavilyoninter-
nationaltradeandoreigndirectinvest-
menttoachievenationaldevelopment.
What Was expected
Whenthenancialcrisisburstoutin
2007themajorityoeconomistswasnot
expectingtheDEEstobehithard.Arst,oten-mentioned,reasonwasthat
developingcountrieshadnotengaged
inthekindonancialwhiz-kiddingthat
hadcreatedtheenormousbubbleinthe
OECD.Thusitwasassumedbymany
analyststhattheDEEswouldnotsuer
aall-outromthebankingcrisiswhich
aterallwasaproblemotheOECD
countries.Asecondreasonwasthe
mythodecoupling:thenonOECD,
inparticulartheBRICcountries(Brazil,
Russia,IndiaandChina)wereassumed
tohavereachedsustainablemomentumintheirdevelopmenttrajectory.Itwas
expectedthattheexperienceothe
dotcomcrisis(whentheBRICswereable
toshowcontinuousgrowthindepen-
dentlyotheweakeningOECDbusiness
cycle)wouldberepeated.
Bothideasweredangerousandwrong
(andactuallynotnewatallasthebelie
thattheperipherycouldescapethe
nancialcollapseinthecentrewasalso
widelysharedintheearly1930swhenitprovedtobeerroneous).Itistrue
thatsomeotheBRICscontinuedto
growconsiderablybutthesustainability
ogrowthin2010andbeyondisnot
sel-evidentbecausethemaindrivero
thoseexpansions(monetaryandscal
stimulus)cannotbeexpectedtolast
orever.Moreimportantly,smallerDEEs
probablydidnotexperiencethismo-
mentumandmayhavebeenhithard.
What is happening
Wedonotyetknowwhathappened
inmanycountries,simplybecausereal
timedataorasucientleveloanalysis
arenotavailable.Thismeansthatwe
havetodosomeeconomicdetective
workandusethemethodoindirect
observationtoineriandhowthecrisis
hitstheDEEs.Wecan,orexample,
takealookatmoreaggregatedatain
ordertogleantheimpactothecrisis
ontheDEEs.Intodaysworldmanychannelsexistthroughwhicheconomies
arelinked.Internationalfowssuchas
remittances,banklending,migration
anddevelopmentaidareinfuenced
bythedownturninOECDeconomies.
AnexampleistheamountoOcial
DevelopmentAid(ODA).Lastyearthe
OECDs Development Co-operation
Report 2009estimatedthattheunder-
lyingtrendgrowthrateothevolume
oaidneededtoincreaseto11per
centperyearinordertoachievethe
Millenniumgoals.Theresultsin2009were,however,disappointingasthe
amountoaidincreasedby0.7percent
only.Importantlythisisnottheresult
oincreasedspendingbutoexchange
ratemovementsthatcontributemore
than4percentagepoints.Actuallytotal
ODAincurrentpricesandatcurrent
exchangeratesdecreasedromUS$122
billionin2008to119billionin2008
(actually12OECDcountriesreduced
ODA).
Otenthemeasurementothesefows
isimpreciseanddatabecomeavailable
withconsiderabledelay.Betterdata
existorForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)
andespeciallyorinternationaltrade
andthereorewewilltakeacloserlook
attheseinternationalfows.Atersix
yearsouninterruptedgrowth,FDIfows
todevelopingandtransitioneconomies,
accordingtoUNCTADsrecentGlobal
investment trends monitor,declinedin2009by35percentand39percent,re-
spectively.Exportvolumesalsoshowed
substantialdeclines.Accordingtothe
World trade monitor(compiledbyCPB
NetherlandsBureauoEconomicPolicy
Analysis)DEEsrealexportsatthestart
o2010weresome12percentbelow
theirprevioushigh(thepeakothe
tradecycleisin2008).Experiencesat
theregionallevelshowedalotovari-
ation.Asiadenitelydidbetter,butex-
portsinLatinAmericahaddecreasedby
19percentandthevolumeoexportsin
theMiddleEastandAricawaseven25
percentbelowthepreviouspeaklevel
(thetradecycleorthelatterregionap-
pearstoollowadoubledippattern).
Somearguedthatthesedevelopments
couldbeasymptomoaprocesso
deglobalization.Othersblamedaco-
llapseotradenance(whichisparticu-
larlyrelevantorDEEs)andanincrease
inprotectionismorthedeclines.Itis,
however,importanttonotethatthetradeandinvestmentcontractionstook
placeinapolicycontextthatbyand
largeappearedtohavebeenwithstand-
ingthetemptationsoprotectionism
and,moreover,theG20madeadditional
tradenancingoUS$250toUS$400
billionavailable,includinginstruments
tomitigaterisksandliquiditysupport.
Thecollapseointernationalexchange,
inotherwords,couldhavebeenmuch
largeriinappropriatepolicyresponses
hadoccurred.
imports provide a good
indication of crisis impact
Inormativeassuchobservationsmay
be,theydonotyetprovideanindi-
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cationotheactualimpactothecrisis
inindividualcountries.Iwewanttoob-
servetheimpactothecrisisonaspe-
ciccountry,oneothebestmethods
istoobservethedevelopmentothe
volumeoimports.Thisissobecause
tradefows,unlikemorecomprehensive
andcomplexphenomenasuchas(na-
tional)incomeareobservedreasonably
accuratelyandpublishedwithoutmuch
delay.Exportsandimportsdonot,how-
ever,providethesamesortoinorma-
tionabouttheconditionotheeconomy
oDEEs.Actuallyexportsotendonot
provideameaningulpictureothe
impactoacrisis.Adeclineindomes-
ticdemandmay,orexample,induce
rmstondnewmarketsabroadand,i
policymakersrespondwithdevaluation,
onewouldexpectexportstoincreaseintheatermathoanancialcrisis.This
isallthemoretrueaspolicymakers
typicallyoptoranexportledgrowth
strategytogetoutoacrisissituation.
Resourcesarethusotenre-allocated
towardstheexportsectorinordertoen-
surethathardcurrencycanbeearned,
orexample,inordertobeabletomeet
internationaldebtobligations.Exports
thusactuallymaytendtogrowduring
andaternancialcrises.Fromapoliti-
caleconomyperspectivetheperceptionmayberelevantthatimportsentailan
outfowohardcurrency.Thuspolicy
makersmightnotbeinclinedtocome
totheaidoimportingrms(unless
theimportsarecrucialortheexport-
ingindustry).Paymentriskisespecially
relevantortheimporterwhowillexpe-
rienceariseintransactioncosts,orex-
ample,becauselettersocreditoreven
ullpaymentinadvanceisrequired.The
reductionineectivedemandthatisa
consequenceoanancialcrisisdirectly
translatesintoareducedimportvolume.Finally,inascenariothatinvolvesade-
preciationothecurrency,thepriceo
importswillriseandthusexertanega-
tiveinfuenceonthevolumeoimports.
Allinalltheimpactoanancialcrisis
shouldbeexpectedtobemostvisible
andunambiguousinthedevelopment
othevolumeoimports.
Where does the crisis hit?
Figure1analysesthedeclineinthe
volumeoimportsinacross-countrysettingoragroupo45countriesover
theyears2007to2009.Thisgroupo
countriescoverstheOECDandthema-
jorDEEs(Chinaisnotincludedbecause
thedataareinsucientlycomparable).
TheFigurecomparesthepeakandthe
troughotheimportcycleoverthispe-
riod.Thegurerstoallillustratesthe
largevariationincountryexperiences.
TheNetherlandsregistersoneothe
smallestimportcontractions(oabout
-11percent);thelargestcontractions
osome-45percentoccurinBelarus
andVenezuela.Importantly,thegure
relatesthisdeclinetothelevelodevel-
opment(whichisapproximatedbythe
incomeperheadinUSdollars).Thedot-
tedregressionlineindicatesthatlower
incomeperheadisassociatedwith
strongercontractionothevolumeo
imports.TheobservationthattheDEEs
(haveto)reducetheirimportexpendi-
turestoamuchlargerextentsuggests
thattheyarehitharderbythecrisisthan
therichercountries.Ocoursethisisnotadirectobservationbutthendingthat
manyDEEsareadverselyhitbythecrisis
iscorroboratedbyothermoreadvanced
techniquessuchastheWorldBanks
appliedmicrosimulationmodelswhich
alsoshowthatthesemacroeconomic
eectstrickledowntothe(new)poor
andespeciallyamiddleincomegroup
ocrisisvulnerablewithsubstantial
povertyanddistributionaleectsand
potentiallyimportanteectsonlong
termgrowth.Itisalsoimportanttonote
thatimportsintheNationalAccountsaresubtractedinordertoarriveat
GrossDomesticProduct.Acontrac-
tionoimportswillthusparadoxically
infuenceGDPupwardly.Thismaymake
theNationalAccountgureslookmore
positivelythantheactualunderlying
developmentoconsumption,invest-
mentandnetgovernmentexpenditure.
TheupshotisthatarecoveryoGDP
maybelesssustainablethanexpected.
Allinall,theimportantconclusiono
thisarticleisthatthedevelopingand
emergingeconomiesparticularlyhave
experiencedverysubstantialdeclinesin
importvolumes.Theimplicationisthat
thesecountriesmusthavebeenhitrela-
tivelyhard.Importantly,thecontraction
oimportswilllimittheirprospectsover
themediumterm,becausedevelop-
mentrequiresimportsocapitalgoods,
rawmaterials,intermediategoodsand
essentialconsumergoods.Thecontrac-
tionoimportsmaythusactasauture
drainondevelopmentandtheinfuenceothecrisiswillgobeyondthedirect
economicimpact,orexamplebecause
healthcarehastobecutdown.The
WorldBank/IMFGlobalMonitoring
Report2010TheMDGsatertheCrisis
analysestheimpactodecelerating
growthonhumandevelopmentindica-
torsndingthatlieexpectancyatbirth
onaveragedeclinesby10percentas
inantandchildmortalityincreaseby50
to75percentrespectively.Againstthis
backgroundthedevelopmentoODAis
evenmoredisappointing.
PeterA.G.vanBergeijkisProessoroInternational
EconomicsatISSanddeputydirectoroCERES,
theDutchResearchSchoolorResourceStudiesor
Development.
Source:P.A.G.vanBergeijk,OntheBrinkoDeglobalizationEdwardElgar,
Cheltenham2010,Appendix7.1
Figure 1 Import reduction (volume change in per cent 2007-2009)and level of development (GDP per capita 2008)
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Howhastheglobaleconomiccrisisa-ectedeconomicgrowthinsub-Saharan
Arica(Arica)?Thisisaparticularly
importantquestionbecauseothecon-
tributiongrowthcanmaketoachieving
theMillenniumDevelopmentGoalsin
thecontinent.Unlikepreviousinterna-
tionalcrises,Iwillarguethatthistime
Aricahasdonequitewelleconomi-
cally,comparedwithotherregions,and
hasshownsomeeconomicresilience.
Aricancountrieseconomicgrowthhas
beenrisinginparallelwiththerestotheworldsincetheearly2000s;itstop
perormersaredoingwellcomparedto
ast-growingcountriesinotherregions.
Furthermore,theregionquicklyre-
sumedgrowthaterlastyearseconomic
shock:overall,Aricaneconomiesare
expectedtogrow5percentthisyear
and5.9percentin2011,abovethe
worldaverage.
ButdoesthismeanthatAricanecono-
mies,asagroup,havenallyturnedthe
corneronthepathtosustainedgrowth?Growthoverthepastthreedecades
hasbeenlowandevennegative.Good
timeswereotenollowedbyverybad
timesandeconomicgrowthwasrarely
sustained(withsomenotableexcep-
tionslikeBotswanaandMauritius).In
lightothisvolatilebackground,in
thisshortpieceIseewhethergrowth
hasreallyacceleratedinrecentyears.
Ialsoaskabouttheunderpinningso
highergrowthrates.And,nally,Iask
whetherthemorerecenteconomicgrowthissustainableornot,inrelation
totheeconomiccrisis.Toconductthis
exercise,Iwillemploythemethodology
oArbacheandPage(2007)toidentiy
growthaccelerationanddeceleration.
ThereaterIuseGDPpercapitagrowthdatatakenromtheWorldDevelopment
Indicatorsortheyears1980to2008.
Overthepastthirtyyears,averageannu-
algrowthrateacrosstheAricanconti-
nenthasbeenjust1percent.Thispoor
perormancecanbeattributedmainlyto
extremelylowandevennegativegrowth
inthe1980sand1990s.Thiserawas
markedbysevereeconomicfuctua-
tions,negativegrowthandconficts,as
wellasglobalandinstitutionaldisrup-tion.Growthacceleration-aperiod
characterizedbygrowthratesabove
thetrendoratleastveyearsinarow
(seeArbacheandPage2007ormore
details)-onlyoccurredin28percento
theyearsbetween1980and1999.This
gurehasincreasedto57percentor
thepost-2000period.Thismeansthat
thechancesoranAricancountryto
experienceagrowthaccelerationhave
improved,morethandoubling.Similarly,
theprobabilityoagrowthdeceleration
-aperiodcharacterizedbygrowthratesbelowthetrendoratleastveyears-
reduceddramaticallyintheregionto10
percentinthe2000s,rom30percent
in1980-1999.Table1showsthis.
Theregionsgrowthhasnotbeenuni-
ormacrosscountries,withresource-rich
countriesgrowingsignicantlyasterin
recentyearsthantheaverage(Table1).
Resourceandmineral-wealthycountries
haveprosperedeconomically,growing
by5percentperannumonaverage
since2000,whichistwicetheAricanre-
gionsmeangrowthrateorthatperiod.
Theresource-richgroupocountries
alsoexperiencedmanymoreperiods
ogrowthacceleration(70percentcom-
paredto26percentbeore2000).By
comparison,non-resourcerichcountries
havegrownonaverage1.5percent
perannumsince2000andexperienced
growthaccelerations51percentothe
time,uprom30percentbeore2000.
Thesestatisticssuggestthattheregions
recentmorerapidgrowthreliesstrongly
onthegrowthperormanceinresource-
richcountries.
What underpins recent
groWth?
Muchotheimprovementineconomic
perormanceinAricaneconomies
sincetheyear2000canbeseenasbe-
ingcausedbyasubstantialincreasein
growthaccelerationscombinedwitha
substantialreductionintherequency
andseverityogrowthdecelerations
(Table1).AccordingtoArbacheand
Page(2007),amongthemainactors
explaininggrowthvolatilityinArican
economies,certainlyduringmuchothepost-independenceera,areconficts,
naturaldisasters,commodityprice
shocks,termsotradeshocksandpoor
policies.Duringtheperiodsince2000,
manyotheseactorshavebecome
moreavourable:confictshavegra-
duallydeclined;therehavebeenewer
naturaldisasters;commodityprices
havebeengenerallyquitehighandhigh
pricesairlysustained.Itcanalsobe
arguedthatmacromanagementhasim-
proved.Overall,Aricancountrieshave
benetedagreatdealromavourableeconomic,politicalandnaturalcon-
ditions.Uptothepresent,theglobal
crisishasnotsignicantlychangedthe
patternocommodityprices.
Towhatextentisthisturn-aroundas-
sociatedwithchangesinthegrowth
determinantsthatarelinkedtolong-run
growth?Iexaminegrowthdeterminants,
suchasinvestment,savingsandtrade,
beoreandaterthe2000s,tryingto
identiywhethertheyhaveimproved.Althoughsuchanapproachdoesnot
allowustoidentiycausalrelationships
betweenchangesingrowthdetermi-
nantsandgrowthepisodes,romthe
pointoviewoassessingsustainability,
How Have Global
Economic Crises
Aected AricasEconomic Growth?
Jorge Arbache
the regions recentrapid
growth relies ..on..growth
in resource-rich countries.
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7
thisisnotnecessarilyalimitation:we
donotneedtoknowwhether,say,an
increaseintheinvestmentrateledto
morerequentgrowthaccelerations
ormorerequentaccelerationso
growthpromptedariseininvestment.
Regardlessothedirectionocausality,
ithereisevidencethatthestructural
characteristicsoAricaseconomies
strengthenedduringtherecentperiod
omorerequentgrowthacceleration,
itincreasesourexpectationthatthe
recentgrowthaccelerationmaybe
sustained.
Table2showsthemeanvalueogrowth
determinantsduringgrowthaccelera-
tionsbeoreandater2000.Thegures
indicatethatmostgrowthdeterminants
havenotchangedsignicantlysince2000:theonlyinvestmentvariablethat
increasedwasoreigndirectinvest-
ment.Therewasareduction,notan
improvement,ininvestmentvariablesin
resource-richeconomiesduringgrowth
accelerationsbeoreandater1999,
whereasthevaluesothesevariables
remainedbasicallythesameinnon-
resource-richeconomies.Infation
dropped,mostlyduetonon-resource
richcountries,suggestinganimprove-
mentinmacroeconomicpolicies.Allothergrowthdeterminantsexamined
remainedmostlyunchanged.
Theempiricalliteratureongrowthalso
suggeststhatpoliticalandinstitutional
reormscanleadtoacceleratedgrowth,
evenincircumstanceswhereunderlying
economicvariablesremainlargelyun-
changed.Table2showsthatmeasures
oAricasgovernanceremainedmostly
unchangedbetweenthetwoperiods
orbothresource-richandnon-resource
richcountries:noimprovementsinthe
measuresogovernance.
hoW durable is groWth in the
face of crises?
Whatdoesthisanalysissuggestabout
thedurabilityoAricasrecentgrowthperormance?Althoughanumbero
otherstudieshaveoundthatgrowth
canoccurwithoutcorrespondingin-
creasesininvestmentrates,thelacko
improvementinaggregateandprivate
investmentisworrisome.Theabsence
oanysignicantincreaseintheinvest-
mentrate,asawhole,duringgrowth
accelerationssuggeststhatmucho
thegrowthsince2000consistsmostly
oincreaseduseoexistingproduction
capacityandoincreasedproductivity.Whilesuchmovementiswelcomeand
marksareversalrompastlowyields
oninvestment,itdoesraiseconcerns
regardingthesustainabilityogrowth.
Aricasaggregateandprivateinvest-
mentrateslagbehindotherregions
and,evenwithanimprovementin
productivity,thelackoimprovement
ininvestmentposesproblemsromthe
pointoviewothesustainabilityour-
thergrowth.Thecurrentnancialcrisis
isnotlikelytobehelpulinthisrespect.
Althoughtradehasexpandedoverall
sincethemid1990s,itdoesnotappear
tobeleadinggrowthinthe2000sas
itisgrowingonlyslowly.Comparedto
LatinAmerica,theMiddleEast,North
AricaandSouthAsia,Aricahasalways
hadahighshareotradeinitsnational
incomeandahighratiooexports
toGDP.However,Aricanexportsare
growingrelativelyslowlyandnon-tradi-
tionalexportsareaverytinyshareothe
regionsoutput.Moreworrisomeisthat
Aricasexportsremainheavilyconcen-
tratedinaewtraditionalcommodities.
Again,thecurrentcrisis,withitsnega-tiveeectonworldtrade,isnotlikelyto
behelpulatall.
Theevidenceonpoliciesandinstitu-
tionsalsoraisesconcernsorgrowth
sustainability,asthesehavenot
changed,suggestingthateconomic
growthhasnotbeenaccompaniedby
improvedgovernance.
Therearethusalmostnosignicant
changesingrowthdeterminantsinArica.Theexceptionisorthoseo
investmentintheresource-richcoun-
tries,butthesewentdown,notup,
andinfation,whichimproved.Atmost,
thesechangescontributetoreducing
therequencyandseverityogrowthde-
clines(ArbacheandPage,2010).
Table 1: GDP per capita growth rate and frequency of growth acceleration and deceleration Africa
1980-2008 1980-1999 2000-2008
GDPgrowth(%) 1.01 0.25 2.55
GDPgrowth(%)-resourcerichcountries 1.93 1.97 5.01
GDPgrowth(%)-non-resourcerichcountries 0.63 0.40 1.53
Frequencyogrowthacceleration(%)-allcountries 39.0 28.4 57.1
Frequencyogrowthdeceleration(%)-allcountries 22.4 29.6 10.3
Frequencyogrowthacceleration(%)-resourcerich
countries42.4 25.8 70.4
Frequencyogrowthacceleration(%)-non-resourcerichcountries 37.7 29.5 51.5
GrowthaccelerationanddecelerationdenitionsaccordingwithArbacheandPage(2007).
Thedenitionoresource-richcountriesisromtheRegionalEconomicOutlook2010,IMF.
Calculationsbasedon1,189country-yearobservations.
political and institutional
reforms can lead to
accelerated growth.
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8
conclusions
Thecurrentglobalnancialcrisishasnot
changedAricasrecentgrowthpat-
tern,whichhasremainedstrongsince
thebeginningothedecade.Empirical
evidencesuggeststhattheimprove-mentineconomicperormanceturns
outtobeduelargelytotwoactors:a
substantialreductionintherequency
andseverityogrowthdeclinesinall
economiesandanincreaseingrowth
accelerations,especiallyinmineral-rich
economies.Thereissomeevidence
omodestimprovementsingrowth
determinants,andanindicationthatthe
growthsurgewaspropelledmainlyby
therapidgrowthindemandornatu-
ralresourcesandbyimproveduseo
existingproductioncapacityandactorsoproduction.Theconcentrationo
growthaccelerationintheresource-
richeconomiesraisesthepossibility
thatgrowthisvulnerabletodeclinesin
commoditypricesandtothenatural
resourcecurse.Aricancountrieshave
totakeadvantageothegoodtimesto
acceleratesocialprogress,todiversiy
theireconomies,and,aboveall,to
strengthentheireconomicundamen-
tals,asthesearethepillarsosustained
growthandarelessvulnerabletocrises.
JorgeArbacheissenioreconomicadvisoratthe
BrazilianDevelopmentBank(BNDES).Heisaor-
merdirectorotheAricaDevelopmentIndicators,
WorldBank(2005-2009).Email:jarbache@gmail.
com.
Table 2: Differences of means of economic fundamentals and institutional variablesduring growth acceleration - Africa
AllcountriesResource-rich
countries
Non-resourcerich
countries
Variable 1980-1999 2000-2008 1980-1999 2000-2008 1980-1999 2000-2008
Investment(%GDP) 24.7 22.6 30.6 22.8 22.9 22.1Privatesectorinvestment(%GDP) 14.6 14.4 21.8 13.9 12.4 14.6
Foreigndirectinvestmentnetfow(%GDP) 1.73 4.35 2.54 6.73 1.41 3.45
Savings(%GDP) 10.2 11.6 25.8 23.0 5.32 5.65
Trade(%GDP) 73.9 75.8 84.9 85.1 69.9 70.3
CPI(%) 16.2 10.4 24.0 15.2 14.2 7.8
Politicalstability(-2.52.5) -0.44 -0.59 -0.92 -1.1 -0.30 -0.29
Voiceandaccountability(-2.52.5) -0.43 -0.49 -1.0 -0.89 -0.25 -0.27
Regulatoryquality(-2.52.5) -0.47 -0.56 -0.68 -0.93 -0.41 -0.36
Ruleolaw(-2.52.5) -0.65 -0.66 -0.97 -1.08 -0.56 -0.42
Governmenteectiveness(-2.52.5) -0.60 -0.63 -0.86 -1.02 -0.52 -0.42
InstitutionalvariablesareromKaumann,D.,Kraay,A.andMastruzzi,M.(2009),Governance
MattersVIII:AggregateandIndividualGovernanceIndicators,1996-2008.WorldBankPolicyResearchWorkingPaperNo.4978.
Ratingscalerangesrom-2.5(weakperormance)to2.5(veryhighperormance).Calculationsbasedon1,189country-yearobservations.
Working Papers
ISS Working Papers can be ound
on the ISS website at www.iss.nl/
Library/Publications/Working-
Papers. They can also be ordered in
hard copy rom The Bookshop, PO
Box 29776, 2502 LT The Hague, The
Netherlands
506 Interactions Between States And Markets In A Global Context O
Change: Contribution For Building A Research Agenda On Stakeholders
Social Responsibility / Patricia Almeida Ashley
505 Climate Change And The Language O Human Security / Des Gasper
504 Socio-Economic Determinants O Road Trafc Accident Fatalities In Low
And Middle Income Countries / Michael Grimm And Carole Treibich
503 Cultivating Humanity? Education And Capabilities For A Global Great
Transition / Des Gasper And Susan George
502 To What Extent Can Disparities In Compositional And Structural Factors
Account For The Gender Gap In Unemployment In The Urban Areas O
Kenya? / Wambui R. Wamuthenya
501 Does Inequality In Health Impede Growth? / Michael Grimm
500 Economic Crisis And Womens Employment Rate In A Sub-Saharan Arican
Country: Explaining The Rise In Womens Employment Rate In The Urban
Areas O Kenya / Rose Wambui Wamuthenya
499 Short And Long Run Macroeconomic Eects O Trade Policy In The
Presence O Debt Servicing / Syed Mansoob Murshed
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Figure 1: Cross-Country Relationship between Stock Market Turnoverand Growth Rate for 34 Less Developed Countries
(2001-2006 Averages)
Thispaperquestionstheconventionalwisdomthatstockmarketsencourage
growth.Theresearchisbasedona
paneldataanalysiso34lessdeveloped
countriesovertheperiod2001-2006.
the present study
Inthestockmarket,saversprovide
investibleundstorms.Inturn,andi
allworkswell,saverscanrecouptheir
investmentatanytimeotheirchoice.
Ahighlybuoyantstockmarketprovides
themarketmechanismorpromotinggrowthandinvestmentasrmscanfoat
newsharestoraisecapitalorinvest-
ment.
Data Source and Methodology
Theactivitiesothestockmarketare
measuredbystocktradinginrelationto
GDP.Intheprocess,themarketvalue
othermsgenerallyrises,whichis
capturedbyrealmarketcapitalization
(whichisthemarketvalueototalshares
orstocksoallthedomesticcompanies
listedinthestockmarketsoacountrydividedbythegeneralpriceindex)
inrelationtoGDP.Theturnoverratio
(TURNOVER)istheratiobetweenthe
valueostockstradedandrealmarket
capitalization.Thisratioisotenusedto
getaroughideaothebuoyancyinthe
stockmarket.Anothervariabletomea-
surethesizeothestockmarketisthe
numberodomesticrmslistedonthe
nationalstockmarket.Forcross-country
comparisonitisdefatedbythesizeo
population(LISTPOP).
Forthisstudy,weobtainedthere-
levantWorldBankdataorGDPgrowth
(GGDP),TURNOVERandLISTPOPor
34lessdevelopedcountries(LDCs)
Does the Stock Market
Promote Growth?Prabirjit Sarkar
Dostockmarketswork?Isthereanylinkbetweenstockmarketdevelopmentandgrowth?So-calledmainstreamjournalso
economicsareulloarticlesprovidinganarmativeanswertothesequestions.Moreover,thisliteraturearguesthatnancial
marketsingeneralandstockmarketsinparticularworkbetterinanAnglo-Saxonlegalenvironmentasthisprovidesbetter
investorandcreditorprotection.Itisurtherarguedthatthelessdevelopedcountriesinheritingthislegalenvironmentollowing
colonizationexperiencehighernancialdevelopment:nancialinstitutionsandstockmarketsfourishandthegeneralpublic
participatesmoreinnancingcompanyinvestmentprojects.Asaresult,oneaspectothepresentregimeoglobalizationhasbeen
atendencytowardslegalglobalization.Dancingtothetuneothistrendolegalglobalization,shareholderandcreditorprotection
lawunderwentsubstantialchangesinmanycountries.
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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10
ortheperiod2001-2006.Twoscatter
diagramsdepictingthecross-country
averagerelationshipbetweeneach
stockmarketdevelopmentindicatorand
realGDPgrowthrate(allaveragedover
theperiod)provideasnapshotviewo
whatweound.Theyshownoclearrela-
tionshipbetweenstockmarketdevelop-
mentandrealgrowthrate.
Foramorerigorousinvestigation,we
undertookaregressionanalysisothe
relationshipbetweeneachothestock
marketdevelopmentindicatorsand
thegrowthrate.Thiswasbasedona
ullpaneldataseto204observations
(ratherthanthe34observationsused
inthescatterdiagrams)andincludesa
proxyvariableorthestageodevelop-
ment,namelytheinitial(2001)GDPpercapita.Inaddition,weincorporatedan
indexonancialdevelopment,domes-
ticcredit-GDPratio.
Ourestimatesshowthattherealgrowth
ratehasneitherasignicantrelationship
withstockmarketturnoverrationorwith
stockmarketlisting.Similarlythereisno
signicantrelationshipbetweengrowth
anddomesticcreditexpansion.
ToincorporatetheAnglo-Saxonlegalorigineect(whereallegedlynancial
marketsunctionbetter),wedistinguish
thesecountriesromtherestwiththe
helpoadummyvariable.Thisassumes
thevalueooneortheninecountries
(Ghana,HongKong,India,Malaysia,
Nigeria,Pakistan,Singapore,South
AricaandThailand)withanAnglo-
Saxonlegalheritageandzeroorall
othercountries.Theresultcontradicts
themainstreamliterature.Itisnegative
andhighlysignicant,indicatingalower
growthrateinthecountrieswithAnglo-Saxonlegalheritage.Thismaybepartly
becauseohighergrowthratesinChina
andotherex-socialistcountrieshaving
noAnglo-Saxonlegalheritage.
Theresultsthereoreconrmthe
insightsromthetwodiagrams:we
ndnodirectandpositiverelationship
betweennancialandstockmarket
developmentandrealgrowthrate.
observations
JohnMaynardKeynescomparedstock
marketswithcasinosanddiscounted
theimportanceothestockmarket
orcapitalaccumulationandgrowth.
Nevertheless,inthepresenterao
nancialliberalizationundertheaegiso
thethreepillarsotheBrettonWoods
system,stockmarketdevelopmenthas
beenanimportantpartobothinternal
andexternalnancialliberalizationin
lessdevelopedcountries.
Yet,ourstudyndsnorelationship
betweenstockmarketdevelopmentand
realgrowthrate.Furthermore,wend
noevidenceoarelationshipbetween
growthrateandnancialdevelopment
asmeasuredbydomesticcredittoGDP
ratio.Apossibleexplanationorthisis
thatinmostcasessharesarebought
onlytosellatalaterdatetoappropri-
atecapitalgains.Buyingandselling
onthestockmarketisotengoverned
byspeculationand/orincorneringthemarkettomakeaquickprot.Indeed,
thesearethedominantactivitiesinthe
sharemarketinfuencingshareprices,
stockmarketcapitalizationandsoon
andareunrelatedtolong-termcapital
ormationandgrowth.Thislackoa
relationshipbetweengrowthandstock
marketdevelopmentwasalsonotedin
anearlierstudyinthecontextoIndia
(IndiaMacroeconomicAnnual2008).
Similarly,a1993WorldBankstudyshowedthatstockmarketsonlyplayeda
minorroleinthepost-warindustrializa-
tionoEastAsia.RobertWade(1990),
inhiswell-knownbookGoverningthe
Market,discussedindetailtheroleo
thestateintheeconomicdevelopment
oEastAsia,arolewhichothershave
alsoarguedisarmoreimportantthan
theroleostockmarkets.TheEastAsian
crisiso1997andtheconsequentretar-
dationotheirgrowthowedmuchto
theirnancialopennessandtherelated
speculativeactivitiesthroughtheirstockmarkets.Thecrisisothepresent-day
worldeconomy,ontheotherhand,was
triggeredbyso-callednancialinnova-
tions(creditexpansionthroughsecuriti-
zation)bythebanksanover-expansion
ocredit.
TosumupinthewordsoNobelPrize
winningeconomistRobertLucas:
economistsbadlyover-stresstherole
onancialactorsineconomicgrowth.
PrabirjitSarkarisProessoroEconomicsat
JadavpurUniversity,India.Hecanbecontactedat
John Maynard Keynes
compared stock markets
with casinos
Figure 2:Cross-Country Relationship between Stock Market Listing ofFirms and Growth Rate for 34 Less Developed Countries
(2001-2006 Averages)
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11
MA Research Papers published online
In 2008, ISS started publishing MA Research Papers online.
Due to the success o this, we have decided wed like to
publish as many Research Papers written beore 2008 as well.
I youd like your Research Paper to be available online, let us
know by typing the ollowing link into your browser https://
extensionorm.dabbledb.com/page/mapapersonline/ZIVXpaj
ISS in The Hague
ISS is one o the leading global academic centres or
Development Studies. It is thereore appropriate that ISS is
housed in The Hague: the international City o Peace and
Justice.
Within the city, ISS is strategically
positioned and has undertaken
initiatives and research that support
the position o The Hague as an
international metropolis o peace,
justice and security. ISS has close
links, teaching programmes and
capacity building projects with many
o the international organizations,
ministries, embassies and NGOs in and
around The Hague.
One o these is the 15th International Metropolis Conerence
which will took place in October 2010. This prestigious
international event dealt with questions o migration,
integration and citizenship. ISS was involved in developing
the academic content o the event and hosted two o the
workshops:
Citizenships Initiatives in Social Empowerment - the case o
Laak Noord; coordinated by EFSQ
Realising human rights: towards cities o saety and sanctuary,
coordinated by Helen Hintjens and Rachel Kurian
58th Dies Natalis
This years Dies Natalis took place on 14 October 2010. Apart
rom celebrating the ISS birth date, this years event also
included the Inaugural Lecture o new ISS Rector Proessor Leo
de Haan. The title o his lecture was Development Studies inPerspective: Sharing the Future at
Opening MA programme 2010-2011
The 2010/11 MA programme opened on 9 September. A
total o 180 students have enrolled in the MA programme,
representing 55 countries. The average age is 31 and 57 per
cent are women. India has the highest number o participants
this year with 18 students.
ISS and CDS sign Memorandum of Understanding
The Centre or Development Studies (Trivandrum, Kerala) and
ISS recently signed a new memorandum o understanding
(MoU) to consolidate and deepen 30 years o collaborative
research and capacity building. It covered population issues
under the umbrella o UNFPA global training programme
on Population and Development in the 1980s and 1990s and
more recently on the joint diploma in
Universalizing Socio-economic Security
or the Poor (USS). The main aim o the
MoU is to contribute towards knowledge,
skills and tools or eective policy
analysis o key development issues and
institutional capacity building especially
in relation to the dimensions o human
poverty alleviation through locally and globally sustainable
development processes. For urther details please get in touch
with Dr Mahmood Messkoub [email protected]
Alumni meetings in 2010
Alumni meeting in Tegucigalpa, Honduras in April 2010.
Six alumni meetings where held
around the world this year. From
Ethiopia to Germany and rom
Honduras to Japan, these events
brought together ISS sta and
ormer students in an inormal
setting where news about ISS
was exchanged or an update on
what ISS alumni have achieved
since graduation. More meetings are planned or next year: i
youd like to get involved in organizing a meeting in your area
please contact the alumni ofce at [email protected]
Martin Blok wins Dutchversity prize
Martin received his award at the Dutchversity event in
Amsterdam in May. ISS Welare
Ofcer, Martin Blok won the
Dutchversity Award which is
presented to people who make a
positive contribution to diversity. In
Martins case it was presented or his
work at ISS with the Worldschool
and other projects involving ISS
students, but also or his work
outside ISS such as the sports and music projects he organizes
or children rom dierent backgrounds in his home city o
Rotterdam.
ISS at a glance 2009
What did ISS do in 2009? This question is
answered in the ISS annual report ISS at
a glance 2009 It gives a concise overview
o ISS main activities in 2009 including
details o Doctorate deences, ISS teaching
and public debates. ISS at a glance 2009 is
available rom the ISS website.
ISS Tweets
ISS now also tweets! Follow us on http://twitter.com/issnl
ISS News
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
12/24
12
Thereisnowlittlequestionthatthe
crisishasaectedmanywomenand
menlivinginpoverty.Shockshavebeen
transmitted,impactshavebeeneltand
responseshavebeenborneacrossall
realmsoeconomicactivity,romthe
nancialeconomytotheormalandinormalproductiveeconomies,through
totheunpaidandpaidreproductive(or
caring)economywherethelabourorce
isnurturedandreproduced,primarilyby
women.Towhatextentarethesevari-
oustremorsgenderedandhowarethey
destabilizingthelivesowomenlivingin
poverty?
Thecrisishasbeengenderedintwo
respects.
numbers
First,thenumbers owomenandmen
aectedbythecrisishasvariedwithin
andacross,eacheconomicsphere.In
EastAsia,womenactoryworkershave
experiencedsomeothemostdramatic
eectsothecrisis,whereasinZambias
copperbelt,predominantlymalemin-
ershavebeenlosingtheirlivelihoods.
Unortunatelyourabilitytoenumerate
theseeectshasbeenlimited.There
hasbeenbothapaucityotimelysex-
disaggregateddataonthepovertyandemploymentimpactsothecrisisanda
lackoeconomicandlabour-orcedata
(whethersex-disaggregatedornot)on
theinormalandreproductivespheres
otheeconomy(wherewomenseco-
nomiccontributionsaregreatest).
Butevencompletelabourandunem-
ploymentdatawouldstillpaintonlya
partialpictureothegenderedim-
pactsothecrisis;explainingneitherthereasonsnortheconsequential
realitiesbehindlabour-orcechanges.
Unemploymenthitspooramilieshard,
regardlessowhetheritisawomanor
manwhoislaido.Butthechanceso
aamilyrecoveringromthissetback
isshapedbythedierentlevelso
bargainingpowerthatwomenandmen
haveinthelabourmarketandtheirdi-
erentresponsibilitiesathome.
norms
Second,then,thesocial normsthatgov-erntherelationshipsbetweenwomen,
menandtheinstitutionswithwhich
theyinteracthavelargelydetermined
howindividualshaveelttheeects
o,andrespondedto,thecrisis.These
relationshipsareprooundlydierent
orwomenandmen.Inmuchothe
labourmarket,orexample,womenare
stillseenassecondarybreadwinners,
makingthemmoresusceptibletobeing
laido,withemployersinglobalsupply
chainsotenignoringoutstandingpayandevadinglegalobligationstogive
noticeandpaycompensation(Emmett,
2009).InThailand,despitesignicant
progressintermsowomensparticipa-
tionintheproductiveeconomy,they
remainstructurallydiscriminatedagainst
intermsooccupationalsegregation
andprejudice,leadingtolowerposi-
tionsandwages(Paitoonpong,etal.
2009).Theimpactothisonworkersand
theiramiliesmaybeunderestimated
igendernormsperpetuatethenotionthatmenaretheprimaryproviderso
amilyincomewhilewomenworkto
earnsmallamountstocoverincidental
expenses.Ahouseholdsheavydepen-
denceonaemalewageisusuallya
signogreaterpoverty,ewerchoices
andlesspowertosurvivecrisis.
Socialnormsnotonlyaectlabour
orce-dynamics;theypermeateall
aspectsosociety.Forexample,in
thehome,thetime-consumingand
non-remunerativeburdenoeedingandcaringorhouseholdtendstoall
disproportionatelytowomen.
Thepreexistingsocialnormsthatlead
togenderinequalitiesincludingthe
under-representationowomenatall
levelsoeconomicdecision-makingand
theirover-representationininormal,
vulnerableandcasualemployment
haveotenhadamoresignicanteect
inaggravatingtheconsequenceso
thecrisisonwomenthanthegenderinequalitiesarisingspecicallyrom
thecrisisitsel.Similarly,prioritiesor
governmenteconomicstimulihave
requentlybeenbasedonapriornorm
thatprioritizessubsidisestoheavy
Gender and the Global
Economic CrisisRichard King
ThebankingcentresoEuropeandNorthAmericamayrsthavebeenshakenbyanancialearthquakealittleovertwoyearsago,
buttheglobaleconomiccrisishassinceseismicallyexpandedtotherealeconomiesocountriesacrosstheglobe.Eachwaveo
impacthasbeentransmittedalonganumberoaultlines,eachwithitsownuniquerhythmandamplitude.Twoyearson,some
economicplatesarealreadysettling,whileothersareyettobeshakenbyscalatershocks.
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13
industryratherthantextileorretailsec-
torsthatemploymorewomen(EWL&
Oxam,2010).
Yettheseunderlyinginequalitiesarenot
static;theyhavebeenexacerbatedby
acomplexwebosudden-onsetshocks
andlonger-termtraumasonwhichthe
economiccrisishasbeensuperimposed.
Theseincludeoodanduelprice
shocks,changingclimaticconditions
andtheHIVandAIDSpandemic.Some
otheseordealsareinterlinked,others
areindependentooneanother;all
haveaddedtothemarginalizationo
womenlivinginpoverty.
Butwhilsttherearesignsthatthe
economiccrisishasreinorcedmany
existinggendernormsanddeepenedinequalities,thereisalsoevidencethat
someothesenormsaredecomposing
andbeingcalledintoquestionbythe
crisis.Forexample,menwhondthem-
selvesunemployedasaresultothecri-
sismaytemporarilytakeonroleswithin
thereproductiveeconomythattheyare
notaccustomedto,suchascookingthe
amilymeal.Amongstaectedsheanut
gatherersinGhanamenarenewlybeing
askedtocontributetowardsamilyood
(Dogbe&Marshall,2009).InVietNam,thegenderdivisionolabourhasbeen
breachedamongsomedaylabourers
sincetheonsetotheeconomiccrisis
aswomenhavebeenorcedtoaccept
constructionjobsthatareusuallythe
preserveomen.ResearchbyOxam
suggeststhat,withlimitedsourcesoo-
cialsupport,crisis-aectedworkersin
Hanoismobileday-labourmarkethave
developedaverystrongsenseocom-
munityandhaveadoptedarangeo
inormalcopingstrategies.Bothwomen
andmenotenworkinagroup,receiveequalpayandsharelivingexpenses
bylivingwithellowmigrantsromthe
samevillages.Whetheranygender
normswillbetransormedonaperma-
nentbasiswiththetraditionaldivi-
sionolabour,andmensandwomens
overallworkburden,beingrenegotiated
withinboththereproductiveandpro-
ductiveeconomiesremainstobeseen
(KingandSweetman,2010).
increased informalization
Forbothmenandwomen,theeconom-
iccrisishasresultedinincreasedinor-
malization.Researchconductedbythe
InclusiveCitiesprojectontheimpacts
othecrisisontheinormaleconomies
o10developingcountriesoundthat
60percentointervieweesbelieved
thatthemajorityonewentrantstotheir
particularinormalsectorwerewomen.
Thisisthoughttobebecausewomen
employedintheormalsectorhold
themostprecariousjobsandaremost
vulnerabletobeinglaid-oduringeco-
nomiccontractions(Horn,2009).Former
actoryworkersinThailand,orexample,
haveturnedtoinormalhome-based
work,whileelsewhere,laid-owomen
havebeguntocookoraliving.Initial
analysissuggeststhatstreetvendorsin
severaldevelopingcountriesaresuer-
ingromthetwinsqueezesoincreased
competitionromretrenchedworkers
turningtoalivelihoodwithlowbarriers
toentryandreducedconsumerdemand
aseconomiescontract.Home-based
workershavesimilarlysueredroma
reductioninexportdemand,areduction
inpayratesorpieceworkandrombe-
ingundercutbynewmigrantentrantsto
themarket(Horn,2009).Bothmustalso
contendwithhigherbusinessoperating
costsaswellasreducedearnings.
Inspiteothesediculties,inormal
workremainsanecessityormany
womenastheyhavebeenletwithew
otheralternativesbytheirpersonal,
socialandeconomicmarginalization.In
Pakistan,orexample,InclusiveCities
home-basedintervieweesliveinan
areawherewomenarediscouraged
romworkingoutsideothehomeeven
thoughmanyworkerspossesspecialist
Sasithorn, 29, former factory worker skips meals so that her children
can eat three meals a day. She now baby-sits other workers children.
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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14
skillsthatcouldincreasetheirincomes
(Horn,2009).Butevenwherewomen
canworkinormallyoutsidethehouse,
theeconomiccrisishasorcedthemto
worklongerhours,givingthemlesstime
toullthesocialreproductionroles
theyarealsocommittedto.
resilience and social capital
Nonetheless,oneothemoststriking
ndingsoOxamsresearchonthe
economiccrisis(across12countrieson
vecontinents)istheextenttowhich
communitieshave,thusar,beenable
toresistorabsorbtheshockstheyve
aced.Inasurprisingnumberocases,
migrantshavenotreturnedtotheir
villages;householdshavebeenableto
eedthemselvesromtheirgardensor
arms;mostpeoplehavekepttheirjobs,albeitwithlowerwages,ewerhours
andworseconditions;andamilies
havemanagedtokeeptheirchildren
inschool.Familyandsocialnetworks
havesharedoodandlenteachother
money(Greenetal.,2010).Inthecase
oVietNam,Hanoisdaylabourershave
developedjob-sharingarrangements;
witheweropportunities,labourershave
beencompelledtotakewhateverjob
opportunitieshavebeenavailable,yet
theyhavealsobeenwillingtosharetheworkaswellasinormationabout
employmentopportunitieswithoth-
ers,therebysacricingsomeotheir
ownpotentialincome.Labourershave
alsoborrowedmoneyromeachother
duringidledays.Thoughtheseinormal
copingmechanismsareinsucientto
maintainthesamelevelsoincome
thattheypreviouslyreceived,theydo
atleastprovideaverybasicmeanso
subsistenceandeasethelivesopoor
emaleandmaleworkersandtheirde-
pendents(Paitoonpongetal.,2009).
Mostpeoplelivinginpovertyhave
relied,whetherthroughchoiceorother-
wise,ontheirownnetworksoriends,
amily,neighbours,religiousbodies,
orcommunityinstitutionstoweather
thiscrisis.However,withoutaccessto
adequatesocialprotectionthisappa-
rentresiliencehasitslimits.Assets,
oncedepleted,takeyearstorecoup;
workingextrahoursinsecondorthird
jobsleavesalegacyoexhaustion;loanstakenontonanceconsumption
accumulateintocrushingdebtburdens;
andmealsoregonecanaectchildren
ortheirentirelietimes.
Aswomenaretheprimarycarersin
virtuallyallsocietiesandaremainly
responsibleormanaging,produc-
ingandprocessingood,theyarealso
expectedtondwaysoensuringtheir
householdssurvival.Manywomen
arethereorepayingaparticularprice
throughtheiradditionalunpaidworkto
supporttheirhouseholds.Forwomen
especially,thetwinpressuresoproduc-
tiveandreproductiverolescanquickly
becomeoverwhelmingintimesocrisis;
itdoesnottakemuchorcopingstrate-
giestotipoverintoaormosel-de-
eatingdesperation.Wherewomenare
providingsaetynetsortheiramilies
anddependentswithoutadequatestate
support,theirtangibleandintangible
assetsarebeingdepletedandtheir
essentialbasicneedsoroodandsleeparebeingoregone.Wherehouse-
holdsareorcedintodistresssaleso
theirreserveassets,womensaremore
vulnerablethanmens.Researchbythe
InstituteoDevelopmentStudiesinto
theood,uelandnancialcriseshas
uncoveredsignsthatgenderinequities
inthedistributionohouseholdresour-
cesareworsening(IDS,2009).
Additionally,womensstocksosocial
capital(orexamplesocialnetworks
thatpotentiallyoermutualhelpand
support)areerodedduringtimeso
economiccrisis.Neitherwomensnor
mensstocksosocialcapitalarelimit-
lessandneithercansubsidisethecostoeconomicimpoverishmentindenite-
ly;whenassetsareullydepleted,social
capitaldriesup.Butaswomentypically
havelessaccessto,andcontrolover,
nancialandphysicalcapital,theytend
torelymoreheavilyonsocialcapitaland
playamoreactiveroleingenerating
itthandomen.Whenhouseholdsare
pittedagainsteachotherinastruggle
orsurvival,andwhentheirtimeisat
suchapremium,itisotendicultor
womentondthetimetonurturetheserelationships.
Theextentotheapparentresilience
thatwomenaredisplaying,orthe
degreetowhichitwillactuallyerode
uturelivelihoodchancesandchildrens
cognitivedevelopment,dependstoa
largedegreeonthelevelobuering
providedbyappropriatepublicex-
penditureandsocialprotectionmeas-
ures.Worryingly,romthisperspective,
someothemostsevereimpactsothe
crisisorwomenmay,perhaps,stillbe
emerging.
Worse yet to come?
Budgetanalysisrom24poorcountries
withsocialspendingdetailsavailable
suggeststhat,inordertoreinintheir
wideningscaldecits,18countries
arecuttingbudgetallocationstoone
ormoreotheprioritysocialsectorso
education,health,agricultureandsocial
protection.Educationandsocialpro-
tectionareparticularlybadlyaected,withaveragespendinglevelsin2010
lowereventhanthosein2008(Kyrili
andMartin,2010).Suchcutsarelikely
todisproportionatelyburdenwomenas
emaleshavebothprimaryresponsibility
oramilywellbeingandcomprisethe
majorityopublicsectoremployees.
Eachsuccessivecrisisdepletesthe
copingcapacities,bothphysicaland
psychological,opeopleandcommuni-
tieslivinginpoverty.Butthedeptho
resilienceandthedegreetowhichit
willbolsteruturedevelopment,areto
alargeextentdeterminedlongbeore
eachcrisisactuallystrikes.Twoyears
onromtheinitialnancialshockthere
isanurgentandparticularneedtotop-
upthesesourcesoresilienceandto
reorganizesopeopleareabletoretain
orenhancetheirabilitytodealwiththe
nextlargeshockbeoreitarrives.Policy
responsestodatehavetoootenailed
toadequatelyconsidereithertheneeds
opeoplelivinginpovertyorhowtheymightbegintoaddressthegender
inequalityinpower,workloadandop-
portunitiesthatexacerbatewomens
experienceotheworldsmultiplecrises.
Unlesspolicyresponsesaresuciently
attunedtoprovidingholisticsolutions
thatchallengethegender-biasedstatus
quo,ratherthansimplyprovidingtem-
poraryrespiteromthesymptomsojust
onecrisis,womenwillbeincreasingly
vulnerabletoeachsuccessivecrisis.
RichardKingisaPolicyResearcherwithOxamGB.
menmay temporarilytake on roles within the
reproductive economy
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15
Atthesametime,theNewYork-based
consultingrmCatalyst(2008a)ound
thatwomenheldjustover15percento
alldirectorshipsatFortune500com-
panies.Othese,66companieshadno
womenboarddirectorsatall,andonly
92companieshadthreeormorewomen
boarddirectorsin2008.Catalyst(2008b)
alsooundthatwomenheldjustunder
16percentocorporateocerposi-
tionsattheFortune500topcompaniesinthesameyear,comparedwithjust
over6percentotop-earningpositions
inthosecompanies.Atthesametime,
therewere75Fortune500companies
withnowomencorporateocersatall.
Thenancialworldisincrisis.Andthe
eectsontherealeconomyareseri-
ousandglobal.Oneothepossible
explanationsorthisisthatunbridled
masculinebehaviourhasledtobusi-
nesspracticesthathaveprecipitated
collapse.Thisshortarticlearguesorthedesirabilityoabalancebetween
eminineandmasculinecharacteristics
inthebankingworldandsuggeststhat
someimportantlessonscanbedrawn
romthecreditcrisisinthisrespect.
gender diversity as a factor of
success
Thereisinallthisapitiullymissedop-
portunity.Onedoesnothavetobean
ardenteministtorealizethathaving
morewomeninhighrankingposi-tionsinbusinesswillpromotedierent
outcomes.Genderdiversityisaproven
actorosuccessinthebusinessworld
(Joy,Carter,WagnerandNarayanan,
2007;Lckerath-RoversandVanZanten,
2008;McKinsey2008).Psychological
testssuggestthatamanwithoutstress
canassessriskbetterthanawoman
withoutstress,buttestsalsosuggest
thatinsituationsostresssoperva-
siveinthebankingandnanceworld
-theoppositehasbeenoundtobe
thecase(vandenBos,Harteveldand
Stoop,2009).Whatlessonscanwe
drawromallthis?Itseemsthatdur-
ingstableeconomicperiods,typicallymalecharacteristicsmaybeparticularly
useultoosterinnovationandencour-
agehealthyrisk-takingwhichcanhelp
topromoteoveralleconomicgrowth.
However,duringmoreuncertainperiods
oeconomicinstability,moreclassically
emaleinputssuchascautionand
caringmaybeevenmoreessentialthan
risk-taking,whichcanaggravatereces-
sionaryresponses.Arangeoeconomic
experimentshavesuggestedthatmixed
teamsomenandwomenactually
perormbestacrosstime,andorthis
kindoreason:suchteamsaremore
abletodealandrespondtobothstable
periodsandunstableperiodsoboomandbust(Gratton,2007;Kamas,Preston
andBaum,2008;Sent,vanStaverenand
Vyrastekova,2009).Toputitbluntly,we
aretalkingaboutwomenbeingessential
tohardeconomicsandnotonlyabout
sotissuesowomensliberationand
proessionaldevelopment.
potential concerns
YetitisBritishemaleeconomistBlythe
Masterswhoiscommonlyheldrespon-
sibleorcreatingCDSs(CreditDeault
Swaps)aswellasCDOs(Collateralized
DebtObligations).Shethusappears
tobeoneotheculprits,guiltyo
engineeringintoplacethecurrentcreditcrisis.WasntitalsoDutchemale
businesswoman,NinaBrink,whohad
ahighlyquestionableroleintheailed
initialpublicfotationotheinternet
companyWorldOnline?Perhapsso,
butmaybethesewomenoperatedin
thiswaybecausetheyttedintoavery
dominantlymaleculture,tomaintain
theirpositionsandtoprovethemselves
theequalsotheirmainlymalecol-
leagues.Womenneedtobepresentin
acriticalmassinorderortheircontribu-
tiontobecomeapparentandpalpable.Ithasevenbeensuggestedthatwomen
onlystarttoberegardedasindividuals
intheirownrightoncewomenmakeup
atleastonethirdothebusinessteam
(ChestermanandRoss-Smith,2006).
Inotherwords,adistinctioncanbe
drawnbetweenemaleandeminin-
ityandbetweenmaleandmasculinity.
PlaceonewomaninaBoard,andone
tendstoobservethatherbehaviourwill,
throughpeerpressure,becomemoremasculinethaneventhatosomeo
hermalecolleagues.Thiswillbeher
eorttotintothenewenvironment.
PlacetwowomeninaBoard,theywill
otenkeepadistanceromeachotherin
The crisis as an
opportunity or
emale leadership
Esther-Mirjam Sent
TheWorldEconomicForumsgenderreportor2010showedthatinthe20countries
surveyed,only2percentoCEOsintheFinancialServices&Insuranceindustrywere
emale.Thiscomparedwith6percentoverallindustriesorthesamecountries
(ZahidiandIbarra,2010).
..women have to first
jump off a glass cl iff
-
7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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16
ordertoavoidtheimpressionthattheir
collaborationisaconspiracy.Onlywith
threeormorewomeninaBoardcana
culturestarttobecreatedinwhichitis
thinkableanddoabletodisplaysome
othecharacteristicsthoughtoas
typicallyeminine.Someothequali-
tiesthatwomencanbringtobusiness
environmentscanthenstarttoassert
theirpositiveinfuence.Perhaps.
deeply ingrained prejudices
Sincediversityisaprovenactorosuc-
cess, why then do more prot-minded
companies not hire more top women?
Thereasonscanbeoundindeeplyin-
grainedprejudicesaboutwomenamong
male executives. This is expressed, or
instance, in an experiment
inwhichtwoanonymousap-plication letters were shown
toa group omalesubjects
(Norton,VandelloandDarley,
2004). One candidate had a
better education, the other
had more work experience.
Theexperimentshowedthat
75 per cent o all subjects
chose the candidate with a
better education. But when
thenames o the applicants
werepresentedandthecan-didate with a better educa-
tion was a woman, only 44
percentoallsubjectspoint-
edtoeducationasthemost
relevantactor.Otherexperi-
mentsshowthatawomanis
valuedlesswhenthereisonly
one emale candidate, but
thatajobitselisvaluedless
whentherearethreeormore
emale candidates (Heilman,
2001). Some research also
suggests that recommenda-tion letters or women tend
to be ormulated dierently
(Trix and Psenka, 2003). For instance,
they tend to be shorter and include
lessrepetitionostrongwordslikeout-
standing,excellent,andsuperbthan
the letters written or men. Moreover,
whereasmenareportrayedmoreasre-
searchersandproessionals,womenare
generallycommendedortheirteaching
andtraining.
Theideathatwomenarenotnatural
leadersisadeeplyingrainedprejudice,
asshowbyanotherexperiment(Porter,
LindauerGeisandJennings,1983).A
groupomenorwomenwereputat
arectangulartableandsubjectswere
askedwhotheythoughtwouldbethe
leaderothegroup.Themajorityothe
subjectspointatthepersonatthehead
othetable.However,ithesubjects
areinamixedpartyandawomansits
attheheadothetable,mostmenand
womenwillpointatamanwhoissitting
elsewhereasthepotentialleaderothe
group.
Suchdeeplyingrainedprejudiceswill
persistaslongasbusinessisdominated
byamalecultureandcompanieswill
ndithardtoidentiyorattractsuitable
emalecandidatesorhighrankingposi-
tion.Womenwhoadjust,willcontinue
toberegardedascompetent,but
unkind.Womenwhodonotadjust,will
beregardedasincompetent,but(orbe-
cause)nice(Heilman,Wallen,Fuchsand
Tamkins,2004).
Tobreaktheso-calledglassceilingand
reachthetop,womenhavetorstjump
oaglasscli,sincewomenwillmore
otenthanmenbeputintoahighly
riskymanagementposition,wheretheirchancesosucceedingareveryslim
(RyanandHaslam,2005).Experimental
researchagainsuggeststhatinpros-
peroustimes,so-callednormaltimes,
mostsubjectspreeramaleleaders,
butduringcrisis,mostpreerawoman
(RyanandHaslam,2007).Asaresult,
womenaremorelikelytobeputina
dicultmanagementpositionandcan
ndthemselvesontheedgeoaglass
cli.
the crisis as an opportunity
Argumentsorincreasingthenum-
berowomeninleadershippositions
havebeenaroundorsometime.Yet
littlehasbeendonetoworkonthose
insights.Thecreditcrisiscanbea
chancetorevivethosearguments
oremployingmorewomeninsenior
management.Sincethenancialworld
iscompletelydominatedbymen,itis
clearthattheiractionshavebeenthe
maincauseothecredit
crisis.
Toputitcrudely,there-
ore,thebehavioural
characteristicsthathave
causedthecrisistospin
outocontrolaretypi-
callymalecharacteristics,
includingexaggerated
optimism,over-devel-
opedgreed,irrational
levelsorisk-seeking
behaviourandalacko
condence.Houseown-
erswereoverlyoptimistic
aboutrisinghouseprices
andthengreedylenders
tookenormousrisksinis-
suingmortgagestoover-
condentpotentialhome
owners.Oncecon-
dencebegantocrumble,
thenancialworldwas
shatteredintopieces
andlostcondencein
previousstrategiesbasedonpreviouscalculations
orisk,lossandprot.
Researchsuggeststhatonthewhole,
menaremoreotenoverly-optimistic,
excessivelygreedy,andrisk-seeking,
andhavelesscondenceinothers,than
women(CrosonandGneezy,2009;Eckel
andGrossman,2008).
Alongwithsomeomycolleaguesin
theEconomicsDepartmentatRadboud
UniversityNijmegen,Ihavelookedintotherisksthatmenandwomen
takeinplayingthegameshowDealor
NoDeal.Theshowrevolvesaround
luck,courage,strategyandthearto
stoppingattherighttime,ratherthan
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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17
continuingtothrowallonesluckaway.
Thepresenterhelpscandidatestode-
cidewhethertheywilla)riskeverything
ortherstprizeo250,000Euros,or
closeadealwiththebank.Itheygoor
therstprize,theyalsoriskhavingnoth-
ingtotakehome.Inourownanalysis
o120episodes,weoundthatwomen
weremorelikelytoacceptasaebet
andstopplayingthegamethanmen,
whotendedtocontinueuntiltheylost.
Acceptingthesaebetgraceully,
meantthatonaveragewomencontes-
tantswonanaverageoaroundtwiceas
muchasthemencontestantsForthose
womenwhodidcompletethegame,
theyendedupwithabiggerpay-o
thanmenaswell(Sent,Groenendijk,
Roosendaal,Vyrastekova,2008).
the crisis as a danger
Thecrisisthusoerssomeopportunities
orwomentobecomemoreimportant
inleadershippositions,especiallyinthe
developedworld.Butatthesametime,
itposesadangerormanywomenand
girlsindevelopingcountries,whoare
hitespeciallyhardbythecrisis.Therst
jobcutswereconcentratedinsectors
inwhichmillionsoyoungwomenand
girlsareemployed,especiallyinexport-
relatedindustries,orexampleinChina.
Youngwomenandgirlsarethenorced
toremainathomewithoutworkand
tohelpinthehome.Sincethestarto
thecrisis,thereisalsoevidencethatthe
childdeathrateisincreasing,especially
amonggirlchildren.Moregirlsand
womenwillalsobeorcedtocompete
inasexindustryalsohitbyallingde-
mandandallingincomes.
Thisisaseriousdangerbecausegirlshavetheuture.Educatedyoungwo-
menindevelopingcountriescanearn
moreorthemselvesandtheiramilies
(anestimated10percentmorewith
eachadditionalyearoprimaryschool-
ing;25percentwitheachadditional
yearosecondaryschooling).Women
willalsohavehealthierchildrenthelon-
gertheycanremainineducation,and
theirgirlchildrenwillbemorelikelyto
gotoschoolthemselves.Thiscanhelp
toimproveagriculturalproductionand
todecreasemalnutrition,sincewomen
tendtoinvestahighproportionupto
90percentotheirincomebackinto
thehousehold.Men,bycontrast,tend
toinvestjust30to40percentotheir
incomedirectlybackintothehousehold
(PlanInternational,2008).Whatismore,
acrossdevelopingcountries,ithasbeen
estimatedthatigirlshadthesame
educationalopportunitiesasboys,the
resultcouldbeanincreaseineconomic
growtho92billiondollarsperyear
(PlanInternational,2008).
conclusion
Loesje(aamousDutchopinion-maker)
wiselywrote:Childrenaretheuture,as
longastheirmothersgetauturetoo.
Sincediversityingendertermshasbeenproventobeaactorinbusinesssuc-
cess,thelackowomeninhighranking
businesspositionsmaybeanoppor-
tunitywhichitwouldbeapitytomiss.
Thecurrentcrisismakesthecontrast
betweenthesetopexecutivewomens
choicesandthechoicesopoorwomen
acrosstheworld,includingindevelop-
ingcountries,allthemorepainul.
Esther-MiriamSentisProessoroEconomicTheory
andPolicyatRadboudUniversityNijmegen.
6 new professors at ISS
Thanks to the Vereniging Trustonds o Erasmus University
Rotterdam, ISS has been able to appoint six new proessors.
One o the aims o the Trustonds is to advance scientifc
research and education, in particular by establishing
(special) proessorial chairs. The ISS now has a total o 18
proessorships.
The inaugural lectures have already or will take place this yearor early next year.
Wil Hout - Proessor o Governance andInternational Political
Eeconomy (27 May 2010)
Max Spoor - Proessor o Development Sudies in Particular
Regarding Economies inTransition (30 September 2010)
Peter Knorringa - Proessor o Private Sector and Development
(4 November 2010)
Karin Arts - Proessor o International Llaw and Development
(18 November 2010)
Des Gasper - Proessor o Human Development, DevelopmentEthics and Public Policy (16 December 2010)
Irene van Staveren - Proessor o Pluralist Development
Economics (20 January 2011)
New and departing staff
Jan van Heemst Senior lecturer in Development Economics,
Gerrit Plugge Head Internal Services and Maureen Koster -
PhD ofce have retired ater many years at ISS.
Other staff leaving are: Kristine Komives - Senior Lecturer
in Rural Development, Environment and Population Studies,
Frances Morris Project Ofcer at ORPAS, Faroel Ibrahim -Finance Ofce.
New members o sta include Paul Huber who has joined
ORPAS andWim Geppaart to the Finance Ofce. Silke
Heumann started work as lecturer in the feld o Women
Gender and Development. Kristen Cheneyis our new senior
lecturer Children and Youth Studies.
In November more sta will be joining ISS - Susan Newman
as lecturer International Economics/Macroeconomics, Luca
Tasciotti, Post-Doctoral Researcher and Diederik Meijering as
senior Project Administrator.
Sta News
diversity in genderis a
factor in business success
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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18
introduction
First there was no market.TheHerman
CosterstraatMarket(HCM)wasestab-
lishedmorethanseventyyearsagoat
theinitiativeotheMunicipalityoTheHague(MTH)aterlengthynegotia-
tionswithvendors.Initially,vendorshad
beenopposedtotheideaomoving
romtheiroriginalmarketplaceinthe
veryheartothecitytotheHerman
Costerstraatarea(atthattimeparto
thesuburbs),earingthemovewould
decreasetheirsales(Vonka,Municipal
Archives,2009).Nowadays,however,
theHCMisatthecentreoanareathat
hasbeentransormedromsuburbia
intoahuboeconomicandsocialactivity,andwithmorethan500stalls
itissaidtobethelargestopenstreet
marketinEurope.
Byprovidingtheleadershipandthe
servicesthatacilitatedandsupported
therapidgrowthotheHCMandthe
developmentothearea,andbycreat-
ingaregulatoryrameworkthatallowed
thedierentactorstointeractwitheach
other,theMTHlaidtheoundationsor
apeaceulcoexistencethathasben-etedallactorsinvolvedintheprocess.
Thesynergiesamongthedierent
actorspresentattheHCMaretoalarge
degreetheresultoaprocessinwhich
theMTHhasleadandaccompanied
thedevelopmentothemarketven-
dors,whileatthesametimeattending
totheneedsandinterestsothelocal
communityandotherbusinessesinthe
periphery.
Locatedstrategicallybe-
tweenAmsterdamandRotterdam,TheHaguehaslongbeenaworldcity,a
placeoculturalandcommercialconfu-
enceandexchangedespiteitsrelatively
smallsize(thepopulationislessthan
halamillion).Inordertoadapttothese
circumstances,theMTHhasovertime
beenrequiredtogobeyondtheprovi-
sionopublicservicestraditionallyas-
sociatedwithlocalgovernmentstobe-
comeacentralandleadingactorinthe
processolocaldevelopment.Through
anexaminationotheapproachbytheMTHtothedevelopmentandadmin-
istrationotheHCM,theaimothis
articleistobetterunderstandhowlocal
governmentscanmeaningullycontri-
butetoprocessesolocaldevelopment.
The Local Government as a
Central and Leading Actor o
Local Development: The case othe Herman Costerstraat Market
in The Hague
Sergio Ferragut
Governments are in a position to make markets and
competition work better, by taking the lead in making
business easier and less expensive and in determining
the nature and level of regulation (ILO, 2007).
HermanCosterstraat,TheHague;MTHArchives,1920
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19
the ever-evolving role of
local governments
AsrecentlysustainedbyNeland
Binns,localgovernmentisexpected
tomaximizesocialdevelopmentand
economicgrowth,tohelpensurethat
localeconomicandsocialconditionsare
conducivetothecreationoemploy-mentopportunities,totakealeadership
role,involvingcitizensandstakeholder
groupsinthedevelopmentprocessand
tobuildsocialcapitalandgeneratea
senseocommonpurposetondlocal
solutionsorsustainability(Neland
Binns,2001:357).
Localgovernmentsareusuallyrespon-
sibleorarelativelysmallgeographical
area,whichallowsthemtobeclosein
proximitytotheirconstituents.Asare-
sult,theyareinaprivilegedpositiontounderstandtheshortterminterestsand
needsotheircitizens.Implementing
policiesaimedatregulatingthedaily
complexrelationsomultipleactors
whileachievinganinclusivelongterm
visionordevelopmentrequireslocal
governmentstotakeaproactiveap-
proachbeyondtheprovisionobasic
services.Inordertoexploitthesyner-
giesandopportunitiesthatresultrom
localinitiatives,itismostimportantthat
theytakeacentralroleinregulatingtherelationsamongtheactorspresent.
AsNederveenPieterseoncesuggested,
agglomerationincreasestheproductivi-
tyoawide-rangingnumberoeconom-
icactivitiesinurbanareas.Essentially,
agglomerationallowsrmstoexperi-
encethebenetsobotheconomieso
scaleandscope(Pieterse,2000:8).For
agglomerationtoreapitsbenets,
stronginstitutionsandtheprovisionoa
clearregulatoryramework(thatisinline
withthelongtermvisionordevelop-ment)mustbepresent.
running an open market
WithintheMTH,responsibilityortheadministrationandcoordina-
tionosupporttothecitysseven
streetmarketslieswiththeOceor
theAdministrationoStreetMarkets
(OASM).Theservicesprovidedtothe
HCMincludecleaningandmaintenance
othemarket,runningawell-organized
transportationnetwork,providing
parking(currently470spacesunder
theHCM),toilets,policing,settling
disputesamongvendors,customers
andresidents,andprovidingaccesstoelectricityandrunningwatertoallstalls
(InterviewswithThelma,PoliceOcerat
theHCM,2009;Maria,OASMcleaning
staattheHCM,2009;Marieke,OASM
sta,2009).
Rulesandregulationsgoverningstreet
vendinghavebeeninplaceinThe
Haguesince1856,whenrstintroduced
bytheMTH.Overtime,thesehave
beenmodiedtoadapttothechanging
natureobusinessandsociety,mostre-
centlyin2004(MunicipalArchives,2009).
TherulesgoverningtheopenmarketscanonlybemodiedbytheMTH,and
areadministeredatthemarketlevelby
theOASM,thusacilitatingthemonitor-
ingoactivitiesandensuringanearly
responsetoconficts.
Bycoordinatingprovisionoservices
andcreatingandadministeringaclear
andtransparentregulatoryramework,
theMTHhasleadandacilitatedthe
sustainabledevelopmentotheHCM
anditssurroundingarea.Bybeingclose
inproximitytothevendors,theMTHhasbeenabletoensuretheirneeds
areattendedtowhilepreventingthe
escalationoconfictsandgrievances.
Similarly,bytakingresponsibilityor
thedailyadministrationothemarket,
theMTHhashelpedvendorskeepthe
marketorganizedandrunning,thus
contributingtothemaintenanceand
creationoemploymentopportunities
the sellers
Approximately550vendorsheldOASM-issuedpermitsattheHCMin2009.
Permitsareissuedorthreeyearsinthe
rstinstance,andareeitherrenewed
automaticallyorinheritedbyam-
ilymembersithepermitholderdies
TheOpenMarket,TheHague;OASMwebsite,2009,
HCM local government
that went beyond its
traditional role
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7/28/2019 Gender and the Global Economic Crisis
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20
(MTHwebsite,2009).Onceapermitis
obtained,dailyrentsarequitelow,be-
tween7and16eurospermarketday.As
wellaspayingrent,vendorspayincome
taxesbasedonthekindsoproducts
theysell.Insum,operationalcostsare
low,meaningthatvendorscanstarta
business(itheycangetastall)with
relativelysmallamountsocapital.
HCMsellersarerepresentedbytwo
organizations:CentralAssociationor
AmbulatoryTrade(CVAH),established
in1921andmainlyrepresentinglong-
establishedvendorsoDutchorigin,
andVETRA,amorerecentlyormed
organizationthatgroupsmainlynon-
Dutchvendors.Despitethepresenceo
theseorganizationsattheHCM,most
vendorsarenotthateagertotakepartandvoicetheiropinionsasagroup.The
outcomeisadistinctlackoorganiza-
tionalcapacityamongmarkettraders
tomakestrong,consensualdecisions,
andaweakbasisorcollectiveactions
todeendtheircommoninterests.
Themarketspaceisdividedinto
separateareasinwhichdierenttypes
oproductsaresold.Vendorsrom
similaroriginscanendupsellingsimilar
productsandbelocatedinadjacentornearbystalls.Withineacharea,stallsare
assignedonthebasisohowestab-
lishedvendorsare,andmanystallsare
runbymembersothesameamily.This
contributestoarelaxed,inormalatmo-
spherewherestallholderscompetition
canbemutedbyinter-connections.
customers and the local
community
Themarketisaspaceoreconomicac-
tivityandsocialinteractionandintegra-
tion.Itcreatesnotonlyjobsandincomebutalsolinksamongpeopleandactors
thatcanleadtoincreasedandbetter
economicandsocialdevelopment.
Keepingthisbalanceamongalltheac-
torspresentintheHCMandsurround-
ingareaistheresponsibilityotheMTH.
Over150,000customersromthecity
andbeyondvisittheHCMeveryweek
(OASMwebsite,2009).Manycustomers
choosetoshopatthemarketbecause
othehugevarietyoproductsavail-ableatpricesthataregenerallyvery
competitive.Migrantsespeciallyshop
theretondproductsthatrelatetotheir
dietandliestyles.Othercustomersare
inthemarketsimplybecausetheyenjoy
thebustle,theexperience,thecrieso
thesellers.Evenpeoplenotthatinter-
estedingettingtheirweeklygroceries
willcometothemarkettobrowse,to
goshoppingcasually,orgitsorex-
tras.Manystallsoergoodsorpassing
customers,includingarangeosnacks
anddrinks.
Alargenumberopeoplecometothe
HCM,andtheOASMtriestominimize
negativeeectsonlocalresidentsinthe
immediateneighbourhood.Sometimes,
however,therearecomplaintsrom
residentsandbusinesseslocatedinthe
peripheryothemarketandtheOASM
isresponsible,intherstinstance,or
receivingsuchcomplaints.Themost
commoncomplaintsrelatetovendors
carsandtrucksblockingthestreetsaroundthemarketorentrancesto
privatehouses.Also,onmarketdays
thereisanincreaseinreportedpetty
crime,mostoitinsidethemarketarea
itsel(Marieke,OASMsta,2009).In
response,aspecialunitotenpolice
ocershasbeensetuptopatrolthe
marketfoorandsurroundingstreetson
marketdays(Thelma,PoliceOcer
attheOASM,2009).Sincethereisno
consumerassociationandnoresidents
orneighbourhoodassociationaroundtheHCM,bydeaulttheMTHisalso
responsibleorensuringresidentsand
customersrightsarerespected.
businesses in the periphery
Commercialactivityandsocialinterac-
tionisnotlimitedtothemarketitsel
asmanyshopslocatedintheperiphery
otheHCMoerproductsandservices
tomarketcustomers.Someothese
shopshavebeenintheneighbourhood
oraewyearsbutmosthaveopened
recentlytoservethehugenumberocustomersvisitingtheHCM.
ThecontrastbetweenvisitingtheHCM
areawhenthemarketisopenand
closedissignicant.Whenthemarketis
closed,theewshopsthatremainopen
areusuallyrunbytheirownersonly,who
mostlyspendthedayreorganizingor
cleaningtheshopwaitingorthenext
daythatthemarketisopen(Hussein,
MoneyTranserService,2009).
Whilesupportingthegrowthothe
HCM,theMTHhasthereorealsocre-
atedtheconditionsorotherbusinesses
intheperipherytofourish,astheydi-
rectlybenetromtheservicesprovided
(publictransportationandsecurity,or
example)andthecustomersvisitingthe
areaeachweek.
conclusion
First there was no market.Bytakingthe
leadandbecomingacentralactorin
theprocessoestablishing,regulating
andadministeringtheHCMandthe
relationsandinterestsothevarious
actorspresentinthearea,theMTHhas
contributedtothesustainabledevelop-
mentotheneighbourhoodandthe
city.Intheearly1900s,nothingcould
haveindicatedthepotentialothe
HermanCosterstraatarea.Itwasthe
long-termvisionandcommitmentothe
municipalitytothedevelopmentothe
areathatinitiallytriggeredandthencar-
riedontheprocessthatresultedinthesuccessulstoryothemarketandthe
neighbourhoodthatwewitnesstoday.
ThecaseotheHCMisthusanexample
olocalgovernmentthatwentbeyond
itstraditionalroletobecomeacentral
andleadingactorintheprocessolocal
andcommunitydevelopment.
AsorthelimitationsotheHCM
experience,itisimportanttohighlight
thelackoauniedrepresentativebody
thatcouldeectivelyguaranteethatthe
voicesandinterestsoallthevendors
areincludedandconsideredwhenmak-
ingdecisionsandtakingpositionsinne-
gotiations.Thislackhamperseortsto
achievecommonlong-termbenetsor
allvendors.Whoshouldberesponsible
ortakingthatinitiative,isaquestion
thatremainsopen.
Asannouncedin2010,theHCMarea
willsoonbecompletelyreurbished
aspartothecomprehensiveurban
developmentplansturningtheLine11tramzoneintooneoworldworking
andliving(translatedromtheDutch).
Fromthemunicipalitysperspective,
thechallengeortheutureisonce
againtounderstandhowitcankeep
contributingtotheurtherdevelopment
andimprovementothemarket,while
remainingsensitivetotheneedsand
interestsoallactorsinvolvedandpres-
entinthearea.
SergioFerragutgraduatedromISSin2009withanMAindeveolopmentstudies.Hespecializedin
LocalandRegionalDevelopment.
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the rise of generation text
In2001,thePhilippinesgrabbedthe
worldsattentionwithanexampleo
PeoplePowerwhichledtotheoust-
ingothecountrysleader.Morethana
millionpeoplegatheredatthehistoricEDSAAvenue,siteotherstPeople
Powerin1986,toexpressoutrage
againstwhattheyperceivedtobema-
nipulationothecountrysrstimpeach-
menttrialagainstapresidentbyhis
alliesinthesenate.
Themobilephoneservedasthemega-
phonewhichcalledpeoplebackto
EDSA.Theappealtoprotestspreadlike
wildreromonecellphonetoanother.
Non-governmentorganizations,church
groups,universitiesandotherinstitu-tionsconverged,withalargenumber
romtheyouthsector.
EdericEder,ayouthactivist,postedan
articleonhisbloginwhichhewrote
aboutyouthparticipationinthePeople
Power.InFilipino,hewrote:
Wearereadytorespondtothecallo
thetimes.Againandagain,wewilluse
ourstrengthandouryouth,andour
gadgetstoensurethereedomoourMotherlandandwearereadytoguard
ourquestorjustice.Weareontheside
ohistory...wearetheyouth,thehope
othenationWeareGenerationTxt.
Thecellphonewasinstrumentalinmo-
bilizingthepeople,especiallytheyouth.
Ederacknowledgedthatyoungpeople
wereun-lovingandtech-savvybutthey
knowwhentobepoliticallyinvolvedand
tostandupandtakeaction.
Where has generation text
gone?
Yetaterthe2001PeoplePower,the
passionotheyouthandtheFilipino
peopleseemedtodissipate.Theprom-
iseoanewleadershipwasdeemeda
Youth Power 2.0: Harnessing
technology or youth
mobilizationBy Marie Angelie Resurreccion
Technologyhasbecomecloselytiedwithyouthculturesothepresentgeneration.InthecaseothePhilippines,ithasbecomea
meansomobilizingyouthduringsignicantnationalevents.Thisarticlewilllookintohowcommunicationtoolstranslatetheuseo
socialmediaintosocialactionamongtechno-savvyurbanFilipinoyouth.
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ailure.Thecitizenry,onceenergizedby
nationalunity,succumbedtothetravails
odailylie.Youngpeoplearenowac-
cusedoapathybecausemobilization
hasbecomedicultdespiteconstant
callstorallyagainstthepresentgov-
ernmentbelievedtohavecommitted
abuseopower,corruption,election
raudandhumanrightsviolations.
Pessimistsallegethatpeoplearesu-