GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report,...

61
GDP Per Capita Constant 2000 US$ Source: World Bank 2006 Country US$ Japan 38,609 United States 36,655 United Kingdom 26,363 Canada 24,688 Germany 23,705 France 23,432 Mexico 5,968 Russian Federation 2,286 China 1,323 India 538

Transcript of GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report,...

Page 1: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

GDP Per Capita

Constant 2000 US$

Source: World Bank 2006

Country US$

Japan 38,609

United States 36,655

United Kingdom 26,363

Canada 24,688

Germany 23,705

France 23,432

Mexico 5,968

Russian Federation 2,286

China 1,323

India 538

Page 2: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Exports of Goods and Services

As Percent of GDP

Source: World Bank 2006

Country Percent

Canada 38.3

Germany 38.0

Russian Federation 35.0

China 34.0

Mexico 30.1

France 26.0

United Kingdom 24.7

India 19.1

Japan 11.8

United States 9.6

Page 3: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Exports to NAFTA

Merchandise Exports

20072006200520042003200220012000199919981997

40

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

Percent Change, Year Ago

CanadaMexico

Source: Global Insight

Page 4: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Imports on the Rise

Level of Imports from Selected Countries

Source: Global Insight

0604020098969492908886

100

80

60

40

20

0

US$ Billions

Mexico CanadaJapanS. KoreaChina

Page 5: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Imports on the Rise

As Percent Share of all U.S. Imports

Source: Global Insight

0604020098969492908886

25

20

15

10

5

0

Percent

Mexico CanadaJapanS. KoreaChina

Page 6: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Trade Balance With Mexico Merchandise Trade

Source: Global Insight

0604020098969492908886

50

40

30

20

10

0

5

0

-5

-10

-15

-20

US$ Billions US$ Billions

Exports to Mexico - LImports from Mexico - LTrade Balance - R

Page 7: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Imports from Mexico 2006

Source: ITA

Electric

Machinery;

Sound & TV

Equip

24%

All Other

30%

Mineral Fuel,

Oil; Bitumin

Subst.; Mineral

Wax

17%

Vehicles and

Parts

17%

Nuclear

Reactors,

Boilers,

Machinery

12%

Page 8: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Other

Vegetables and

Preparations

23%

Other

Beverages,

excl. fruit juice

4%

Peppers

7%

Livestock and

animal

products

10%

Other

Agricultual

Products

8%

Fruit and

Preparations

19%

Beer

18%

Tomatoes

11%

U.S. Agricultural Products from Mexico 2005

Source: USDA

Page 9: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Top World Oil Producers* 2005

Source: EIA

*Table includes all countries total oil production exceeding 2 million

barrels per day in 2005.

Total Oil Production

(million barrels per day)

1 Saudi Arabia 11.1

2 Russia 9.5

3 United States 8.2

4 Iran 4.2

5 Mexico 3.8

6 China 3.8

7 Canada 3.1

8 Norway 3.0

9 United Arab Emirates 2.8

10 Venezuela 2.8

Rank Country

Page 10: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Top World Oil Net Exporters* 2005

Source: EIA

*Table includes all countries with net exports exceeding 1 million

barrels per day in 2005.

Net Oil Exports

(million barrels per day)

1 Saudi Arabia 9.1

2 Russia 6.7

3 Norway 2.7

4 Iran 2.6

5 United Arab Emirates 2.4

6 Nigeria 2.3

7 Kuwait 2.3

8 Venezuela 2.2

9 Algeria 1.8

10 Mexico 1.7

Rank Country

Page 11: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Trade Balance With Canada Merchandise Trade

Source: Global Insight

0604020098969492908886

100

80

60

40

20

0

0

-5

-10

-15

-20

-25

-30

US$ Billions US$ Billions

Exports to Canada- LImports from Canada- LTrade Balance - R

Page 12: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

High-Tech Exports As Percent of GDP

0402009896949290

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

Percent

United States

Canada

Mexico

Source: World Bank 2006

Page 13: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

IndiaRussian Fed.

CanadaMexico

U.KFrance

JapanGermany

ChinaU.S.

250

200

150

100

50

0

US$ Billions

High-Tech Exports Level*

*Data is for most recent year available

Source: World Bank 2006

Page 14: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Foreign Direct Investment

Net Outflows as a Percent of GDP

Source: World Bank 2006

Country Percent

Canada 4.8

United Kingdom 3.8

France 2.3

United States 2.2

Russian Federation 1.8

Japan 0.7

Mexico 0.5

India 0.2

China 0.1

Germany -0.3

Page 15: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Foreign Direct Investment

Net Inflows as a Percent of GDP

Source: World Bank 2006

Country Percent

United Kingdom 3.4

China 2.8

Mexico 2.6

Russian Federation 2.2

France 1.2

United States 0.9

India 0.8

Canada 0.6

Japan 0.2

Germany -1.3

Page 16: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Current Account Deficit Increases United States

050095908580

200

0

-200

-400

-600

-800

-1000

1

0

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-6

-7

US$ Billions Percent

Balance (L)Share of GDP (R)

Source: BEA

Page 17: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Comparison of Hourly LaborCost Index Relative to U.S.

JapanU.K.

IrelandCanada

Russian F.Mexico

China India

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

U.S. = 100

Source: McKinsey&Co.

Page 18: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Labor Productivity Output Per Hour in Manufacturing, 2004

U.K.CanadaGermanyFranceJapanU.S.

190

180

170

160

150

140

130

1992 = 100

Source: BLS

Page 19: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Cost Advantage Relative to U.S. Manufacturing, (U.S.= 0)

JapanGermany

ItalyU.K.

NetherlandsFrance

CanadaSingapore

20

15

10

5

0

-5

-10

Percent

Source: KPMG

Page 20: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Cost Advantage Relative to U.S. Research and Development, (U.S.= 0)

GermanyJapan

U.K.Italy

FranceCanada

NetherlandsSingapore

40

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

Percent

Source: KPMG

Page 21: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Cost Advantage Relative to U.S. Software, (U.S.= 0)

GermanyJapan

U.K.Italy

FranceNetherlands

CanadaSingapore

40

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

Percent

Source: KPMG

Page 22: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Cost Advantage Relative to U.S. All Sectors, (U.S.= 0)

GermanyJapan

U.K.Italy

FranceNetherlands

CanadaSingapore

25

20

15

10

5

0

-5

-10

Percent

Source: KPMG

Page 23: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Prevalence Rates of EntrepreneurialActivity Overall Business Owners (Nascent + New Established)

JapanFrance

GermanySweden

U.K.Italy

SwitzerlandU.S.

CanadaChina

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Percent

Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor

Page 24: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Supply of Offshore Talent McKinsey Global Institute

According to Survey of 83 HR Professionals:

• In low-wage counties, on average only 13% of

university graduates are suitable to work in a multinational company

• Driven by China and India, only 7% of the

workforce in low -wage countries has at least a college degree

• Fewer than 10% of potential job candidates in China were suitable for work in a foreign

company

Page 25: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Tertiary Education Attainment

As Percent of Population

ItalyMexico

FranceGermany

U.KKorea

JapanU.S.

CanadaRussian Fed.

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Percent

Source: OECD

Page 26: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Burden of Government Regulation

(1 = Burdensome, 7 = Not Burdensome)

Russian Fed.Mexico

IndiaGermany

Korea, Rep.U.K.

Canada China

U.S. Japan

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

Score

Mean = 3.1

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

Page 27: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Quality of Math and Science Education

(1 = Lag Far Behind Most Countries, 7 = Among Best in the World)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

MexicoChina

Russian Fed.U.S.

U.K.Germany

Korea, Rep.Canada

JapanIndia

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

Score

Mean = 4.0

Page 28: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Technological Readiness

(1 = Lags Behind Other Counties, 7 = Is Among World Leaders)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

Russian Fed.China

MexicoIndia

Korea, Rep.U.K.

CanadaU.S.

GermanyJapan

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

Score

Mean = 3.9

Page 29: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Value Chain Presence

(1 = Companies Primarily Involved in Resource Production, 7 = Do

More than Just Produce)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ’06-’07

Russian Fed.China

CanadaMexico

IndiaKorea, Rep.

U.S.U.K.

JapanGermany

7

6

5

4

3

2

Score

Mean = 3.8

Page 30: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Company Spending on R&D

(1 = Do not Spend Money on R&D, 7 = Spend Heavily on R&D)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

MexicoRussian Fed.

ChinaIndia

CanadaU.K.

Korea, Rep.Germany

U.S.Japan

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

Score

Mean = 3.4

Page 31: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

University Collaboration

(1 = Minimal or Nonexistent, 7 = Intensive and Ongoing)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

Russian Fed.Mexico

IndiaChina

Korea, Rep.Canada

U.K.Japan

GermanyU.S.

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

Score

Mean = 3.3

Page 32: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Availability of Scientists and Engineers

(1 = Nonexistent or Rare, 7 = Widely Available)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

ChinaMexico

Russian Fed.Korea, Rep.

U.K.U.S.

GermanyCanada

IndiaJapan

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

Score

Mean = 4.4

Page 33: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Researchers

Per Thousand Employed

Source: OECD

IndiaMexico

ChinaKorea, Rep

GermanyRussian Fed.

CanadaFrance

U.S.Japan

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Per Thousand Employed

Page 34: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

2004200320022001200019991998199719961995

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Thousands

Biotech Patents Issued in U.S. All Universities, Cumulative

Page 35: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Capacity for Innovation

(1 = Low, 7 = High)

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-’07

MexicoRussian Fed.

ChinaIndia

CanadaKorea, Rep.

U.K.U.S.

JapanGermany

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

Score

Mean = 3.5

Page 36: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Broadband Subscribers

Per 1000 People

Source: World Bank 2006

Country Per 1000 People

Canada 164.3

Japan 145.8

United States 129.0

France 108.2

United Kingdom 102.5

Germany 83.7

China 16.5

Mexico 3.1

Russian Federation 0.86

India 0.65

Page 37: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

Utility Patents 1

Brain Drain 1

Venture Capital Availability 1

Personal Computers 2

Quality of Scientific Research Institutions 2

Extent of Marketing 2

Company Spending on R&D 3

Time Required to Start a Business 3

Tertiary Enrollment 4

University/Industry Collaboration 4

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 38: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Competitive Disadvantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

Business Costs of Terrorism 111

Government Surplus/Deficit 101

Government Debt 73

Organized Crime 55

Foreign Ownership Restrictions 43

Quality of Math and Science Ed. 42

Favoritism in Decisions of Government Officials 39

Prevalence of Trade Barriers 36

Judicial Independence 36

Real Effective Exchange Rate 35

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 39: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Mexico’s Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

FDI and Tech Transfer 20

Primary Enrollment 21

Cooperation in Labor-Employer Relations 27

Foreign Ownership restrictions 31

Value Chain Presence 38

Financial Market Sophistication 38

Extent of Marketing 40

University/Industry Collaboration 40

Laws Relating to ICT 42

Quality of Management Schools 43

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 40: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Mexico’s Competitive Disadvantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

Business Costs of Crime and Violence 117

Organized Crime 114

Reliability of Police Services 105

Agricultural Policy Costs 102

Quality of Math and Science Ed. 101

Burden of Government Compliance 94

Time Required to Start a Business 93

Availability of Scientist and Engineers 85

Public Trust of Politicians 85

Quality of the Education System 82

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 41: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Canada’s Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

Number of Procedures to Start a Business 1

Time Required to Start a Business 2

Soundness of Banks 5

Quality of Management Schools 4

Personal Computers 5

Extent of Marketing 8

Financial Market Sophistication 9

Availability of Scientist and Engineers 9

Utility Patents 10

Quality of Scientific Research Institutions 11

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 42: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Canada’s Competitive Disadvantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007

Category Rank/125

Real Effective Exchange Rate 107

Government Debt 89

Business Costs of Terrorism 74

Extent and Effect of Taxation 66

Cellular Telephones 55

Flexibility of Wage Determination 50

Value Chain Presence 46

Cooperation in Labor-Employer Relations 42

Prevalence of Trade Barriers 39

Burden of Government Compliance 38

Source: The Global Competitiveness Report ‘06-07

Page 43: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Mexico - Map

Page 44: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

The United States Has the World’s LargestEconomy and Growth Has Outpaced OtherDeveloped Economies

Source: Global Insight

Page 45: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source: Global Insight

The United States Leads All MajorEconomies in GDP Per Capita

Page 46: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

More Diverse and Older Workers AreDriving Growth in the American Workforce

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Page 47: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source: Office of Advocacy, U.S. Small Business Administration

Small and Medium-Sized FirmsCreate Most New Jobs

Page 48: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source: International Intellectual Property Alliance, “2004-2005 Estimated Trade

Losses Due to Copyright Piracy” (Sep. 18, 2006)

American Businesses Lose Billions of DollarsAnnually Due to Intellectual Property Violations

Page 49: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source: Updated version of Figure 1 in David H. Autor, Frank Levy, and Richard J. Murnane, “The Skill Content Of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration,” Quarterly Journal of

Economics, 118(4), November 2003. See also Frank Levy and Richard J. Murnane, “How Computerized Work and Globalization Shape Human Skill Demands,” (May 31, 2006)

Higher-Order Skills Have Grown inImportance, Driven by TechnologicalChange and Globalization

Page 50: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Immigrants, Women and MinoritiesHelp Drive U.S. Entrepreneurship

Source: Robert W. Fairlie, “Kauffman Index of Entrepreneurial Activity: National Report, 1996-2005” (2005)

Page 51: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

The United States Has High Levelsof Job Churn

Page 52: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. Multinationals Sell Three Times MoreThrough Foreign Operations Than Through Exports

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 53: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

U.S. consumption has drivenexport-led growth around the world

Source: Global Insight, Inc.

Page 54: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Energy expenditures are a growingshare of U.S. economic output

Source: International Energy Agency, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

Page 55: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Regional competitiveness(International Competitiveness Index: IMCO)

52.5

61.7

63.2

53.2

61.3

63.0

Asia EEC NAFTA

2004

2006

Source : IMCO, Punto de Inflexi ón: Situaci ón de la Competitividad de M éxico, (2007)

Page 56: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Canada’s Performance in the

Global Economy

• Canada’s economic performance has been strong over the

past decade

• Canada’s macroeconomic framework created the right

conditions for improvement in living standards and

sustained economic growth.

– Lowest debt burden among G7

– Low and stable inflation

– Declining taxes

– Among the strongest employment growth in G7

– Among the strongest real GDP growth per capita in G7

• But the rest of the world has not stood still. Canada faces

new pressures on our prosperity.

Page 57: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Competitiveness and

Prosperity Pressures

• Trade, Investment, and Technology flows fuel productivitygrowth. These flows face new domestic and internationalchallenges:

• Domestic

– Demographic challenges to expanding our highly skilledworkforce

– Trade and investment barriers in service industries

• International

– Competitors’ rapidly improving business climates andincreased efforts to attract FDI and innovation

– Emerging markets’ growing share of FDI and innovation

– China and India integrated into global economy and movingup global value chains

– Appreciating Canadian dollar

Page 58: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

Source of imports

NAFTA EU ASIA Others

NAFTA 34.90% 16.67% 32.03% 16.41%

Importer EU 6.12% 61.99% 12.94% 18.95%

ASIA 10.62% 10.84% 54.93% 23.61%

Others 11.84% 37.43% 21.96% 28.77%

Source: IMF DOTS for year 2005

Regional Trade Integration

Page 59: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Growth in Merchandise Trade

2000-2005

%

ASIA*(excl Japan)

EU-25North

America

* Asia includes China, India, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand, Singapore, South Korea, Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam and others

Source: IMF

Exp

ort

sIm

port

s

Exp

ort

sIm

port

s

Exp

ort

sIm

port

s

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60

66.0%

59.4%

49.2%

Geographical Distribution of China’s Imports*(Share of Chinese Imports Sourced from Within Geographic Area Covered by Circle)

* Merchandise Imports

Source: DFAIT calculations based on data from China Customs

Page 61: GDP Per Capita - Milken Institute...U.S. Competitive Advantages Global Competitiveness Report, 2006-2007 Category Rank/125 Utility Patents 1 Brain Drain 1 Venture Capital Availability

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

90

92

94

96

98

'00

'02

'04

'05

North America’s Share of World

%

Outward FDIInward FDI

Imports

Source: UNCTAD and WTO

Exports