GBE FDI119

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    Global Business Environment

    Pradip Chakrabarty

    [email protected]

    Room No. 8.Ph. 4124 2499

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Changing Environment of Global

    Business

    Globlisation

    An English princess

    with her Egyptian boyfriend,

    driving a German car

    with a Dutch engine,

    driven by a Belgian

    who was drunk on Scottish whiskey,

    followed closely by Italian Paparazzi,

    on Japanese motorcycles, ..*

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    Free movement of

    Goods/ServicesCapital

    Technology

    Labour

    across borders.

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    Forces behind globalization

    --25% global production sold abroad(7% in 1950).

    --Import restrictions decreasing

    --Foreign ownerships increasing

    --Trade progressing faster than production

    --Deepening relationship,

    --Broadening interdependence

    Wider resources, products, services, mkts

    Variety, qlty, prices improve.

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    Factors leading to growth in globalization :--

    1.Tech growth :

    -- Transportation, communication and in all

    areas

    2. Liberalization of trade :

    Trade barriers brought down.

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    3. Growth of support services:--

    Banking, payment, insurance, trademissions, trade fairs, storage ,

    distribution, courier, internet, personal

    visits etc.

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    4. Growing consumer pressure:

    Rise in income

    rise in demand, taste, qlty, novelty, niche.

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    5. Increased competition:

    Producers of diverse/ dissimilar products &

    services compete for consumers

    discretionary/ surplus/ disposable income

    This pressure forces firms to look outside to

    source/ sell

    International/ global approach aids

    competitiveness

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    6. Changing political scenario :

    --Breaking of communist bloc

    -- foe to friend stories among nations.

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    7. Increased international cooperation:

    Treaties, agreements

    reciprocal advantage, growth in mutual exim,

    addressing common issues,

    Travel facilities, security of investment, patents,

    trademarks, copyrights,Construction & developmental projects along the

    border areas for joint good,

    Fight against disease, flood, calamities.**

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    Global environmental Factors & Issues

    (General aspects)

    Cultural

    -- Culture > integral part of operating envn,

    --Every bsns function subject to cultural

    issues

    -- own culture may not be the best always

    -- sensitivity to cultural differences for

    decision making

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    -- awareness of foreign culture

    -- cultural dynamics-- behavioral practices accept, adjust,

    appreciate

    -- dealing with cultural differences/ culturalcollision

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    Political & Legal

    -- Different mkts different situations

    --part of the external envn influencesmanagerial decisions

    -- relation betwn Govt and bsns largely depends

    on these issues

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    -- intrinsic differences exist

    practice, procedure, strategy

    have to adapt

    straight transformation

    unlikely--opportunities & threats vary

    due to politico-legal structure.

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    -- role of Govt

    -- political ideology

    --political risk--legal structure

    assume importance.

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    Economic

    --1975 2000, world economic outputdoubled

    --some countries prospered faster

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    -- some companies moved up

    very rapidly, surpassing theGDPs of many countries

    -- understanding the impact of

    economic changes essentialfor wiser investment

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    -- change in policy / status in one country

    impacts others

    (event of 9/11 in USAand the consequences there,

    affected Indian IT sector)

    --Economic envn of competitors countries

    -- economic policies indicate Govt goals/

    objectives and mkt transition

    -- small economic changes can impact mkt.

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    National Differences in Political, Social,

    Legal Environment

    -- Individualism & Collectivism

    Rights & roles of individuals or community

    Role of Govt to give primacy accordingly

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    Individualistic socity

    mkt correction by Govtpublic awareness, fair play,

    monopoly issues

    encourage competitionless

    control.

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    Collectivistic socitiesGovt agencies play

    stronger role

    industry structure, corporate & managerialconduct

    equality, welfare, democracy in workplace.

    Socities pluralisticclass oriented, linguistic grps, tribal/ ethnic/

    religious grps

    competing ideologies, interests

    Influence political system/ conduct.

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    Political system

    2 extremesDemocracy free opinion, election,

    judiciary, bureaucracy, property rights --.

    Mkt based bsnsTotalitarianism forcibly controls bsns

    envn.

    Transition to open economy happenin bigway delinking politics with economy.

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    Certain Political Risks :

    shift in public policy

    differential treatment for/ against foreign cos.

    -- procedural regulations, lawlessnes etc. etc.

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    Legal Envn

    Common Law system tradition, judgment

    based.

    Civil Law systematic, codified laws.

    Theocratic system base on religious,

    spiritual tenets.

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    Whatever system impact on investment,

    repatriation, dividends, tax, duties,reporting obligations, IPR, labour laws,

    working hrs, starting/ closing of bsns,

    registration rules, obstacles in bsns.Some specific concerns :--

    --Product safety & liability acc to local stds.

    -- Mkting freedom on 4Ps (e.g. cigarettead).

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    -- Country of origin differential treatment,

    local content requirment.

    -- Legal jurisdiction

    choice of law and theforum.

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    Intl Economic Envn

    Change in one element of economics

    Change envn.

    Important indicators :

    GNI (Gross National Income)total value ofall goods & services produced by a country in

    a year.

    GDP (Gross Domestic Product) total value

    of all goods & services produced within the

    borders of a country in a year, including

    foreign owened companies.

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    more relevant GNI per capita divided by

    population.

    GNI growth rate, std of living important eco

    potential indicators.

    Human development access to knowledge,

    nutrition, food, healthcare,

    employment, law and order, recreation, freedom

    of expression etc.

    Inflation aggregate demand> aggregatesupply prices up more than income rise.

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    Inflation interest rate, exchange rate, cost

    of living, eco stability, political stability.

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    Balance of Payment

    Inflow Credit (+)

    Outflow Debit(-).

    3 components of BOP :

    a) Current A/c goods, services,transfers(remittance).

    b) Capital A/c investment and lending

    activities.c) Reserves a/cgold, forex reserves.

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    Current A/c

    Net flow of goods, services (may be invisiblelike shipping services), gifts, transfers etc.

    Capital A/c

    Portfolio (purchase of financial assets withmaturity beyond one yr).,

    Short-term investment (securities maturing inless than a yr),

    Direct investment (mgt control is exerted),Govt borrowing/ lending.

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    Official Reserves

    It measures the nations surplus or deficitbalance on its current and capital A/cs.by netting the reserve assets/ liabilities.

    Surplus increase in forex, gold.BOP indicates economic health of the

    currency.

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    Political & Country Risks

    Political decisions/ events can affect

    profitability of bsns.

    e.g.

    Nationalization unilateral taking over

    meagre/no compensation.

    Civil strife/ war.Breach of contractby Govt or by domestic

    cos with Govt approval.

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    Imposition of tariffs, local content, export

    obligations.

    Kidnap, extortion, terrorism.

    Profit repatriation limits.

    Labour rights.Discrimination in taxes domestic vs

    foreign/ favoured nation.

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    Types of political risks :

    Shift in public policy

    In disfavour of foreign/ dominating cos

    To gain greater share of the benefits

    May be for the masses

    shift fromindividualism to colectivism

    These are systemic political risks.

    --------------------

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    Corruption makes operations costly.

    Bureaucracy, customs assistance, speed

    money bribe big riskProcedural.

    ------------------

    Foreign investor prospers envy in host Govt

    More benefits to host country desiredMonetory policies, tax structures, regulations altered

    Distributive risk.

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    Ethnic violence, civil disorder, war, military

    upheavals, and international terrorism

    affect one and allCatastrophic.

    So 4 types of political risks systemic,

    procedural, distributive, catastrophic.

    Assessment varies from detailed

    statistical reports to impressionistic tales

    of recent visitors.

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    Which are the countries with particular

    political risks ?Russia,

    Iraq,

    India ?Salim ?

    Posco ?

    Enron ?

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    Systemic

    Shift in public policy

    shift from individualismto collectivism.

    (Change at policy level)

    Distributive

    Monetory policies, taxlaws, regulationsaltered

    More benefits to hostcountry desired.(Change at functional

    level).

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    Cultural Differences : Impact on Bsns

    Culture not isolated from economy,politics.

    Genl expectation > people from other

    cultures to respond same way as we do

    leading to cultural clash.

    But culture evolves, changes.

    Certain traits found similar across theglobe,e.g. attitudinal difference betwn

    urban & rural people, managers & workers

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    How does culture form ?

    Parent to child, teacher to taught, leader tofollower, ..

    Basic values instilled in childhood.

    Change by choice ( when newopportunities are in hand) or imposition

    (mostly by masters cultural imperialism).

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    Cultural stabilizers : Language, religion.

    Same language culture spreads easily.

    Religion provides strong values.

    Bsns organisations have to care for local

    beliefs on products, components,timings ..

    Multi-religious countries friction to gain

    religious control of political power

    chaos impediment to bsns.

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    Behavioural practices affecting bsns : --

    1.Stratification systems of societies,

    2. Work motivation

    Stratification systems of societies :

    a. Performance criterion (e.g. US society)employment, promotion on merit,

    competence, competition no

    discrimination on age, seniority, gender,

    ethnicity, religion etc.

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    b. Gender-based grps certain gender

    prefered in sectors or in genl,

    Nursing, secretarial.

    c. Age based grps senior wiser

    seniority promotion.Also may be, younger more productive

    Opportunities for products to look younger.

    d. Family-based grps family status mostimp. not much trust outside the family

    memebers. ( Chinese family bsns in S.E Asia).

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    Work motivation : varied motives to work

    Certain societiesIncentive for work

    economic development desire for material

    wealth

    Work to gain salvation.

    Success & reward different countries

    Different probabilities of success

    Different rewards, different consequences offailure.

    How wd u enthuse the workers ?

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    High uncertainty of success with high

    reward, and little or none for failure.

    Values underlying behavioural differences --

    Power Distance :

    Relationship betwn superiors-subordinates.Hi distance??

    Autocratic.

    Low distance??Consultative.

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    Individualism / collectivism :

    Hi individualism

    How wd u motivate ??

    Challenging jobs

    Satisfying which need ??

    self actualization.Hi collectivism

    How wd u motivate ??

    Safe physical & emotional environmentSatisfying which need ??

    Security needs.

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    Ethical Issues

    Foundation : -

    Cultural and Legal

    Teachings from family, scriptures,observation, experience, economic

    condition

    sense of right, wrong

    deep-seated ethical beliefs.

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    Sense of ethics varies grp to grp.relative

    intervention unethical.

    Certain other issues of ethics certainbehaviour universal.

    Expected basic practice ordinary decency

    honesty, fairness.Respectable conduct by foreign enterprise

    Trust of the mktBusiness success.

    M ltil t l t i t

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    Multilateral agreements exist on

    employment practice, consumer

    protection, environment, human rights,political activities.

    NGOs currently put pressure to behave.

    Ethi l i d b l

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    Ethics also imposed by law,

    But unethical not necessarily, illegal.

    All laws based on moral perception,experience, enforceability cannot

    foresee all future issues.

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    Irresponsible, unethical conduct

    bad publicity

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    Important contemporary issues of ethics :--

    -- Global warming >

    drawing natural resources need to beconcerned abt env impact.

    -- Tired pricing of pharmaceuticals

    Higher price in richer countries.

    -- Labour conditions

    Fair-wage, child labour, workhours,

    conditions, union rights.

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    Irresponsible, unethical conduct

    bad publicity

    Lower employee moralLegal action, social boycott

    declining sales.

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    Govt. Intervention & Trade Control

    What, how much, with which country a

    country shd trade ?

    Shd mkt forces decide these Laissez-

    faire approach ?

    Shd Govt intervene ?

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    Different theories to guide policies.

    If no restriction, exports will take place from

    low to high cost of prodctn countries.Restrictions exports hampered prodn

    may happen in restricting countries.

    Inter entionist Theories

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    Interventionist Theories :

    Theory of Mercantilism :--

    Wealth is measured by treasure (gold)Export more than import

    Restrict import save outbound

    expenditure

    Colonial practice prevent colonies from

    manufacturing.

    Theory of Neo-Mercantilism

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    y

    Generate favourable balance of trade

    To gain social, political objective

    Produce more than domestic demand

    Export surplus

    have full employment.

    Free Trade Theories :

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    Free Trade Theories :--

    Consumers buy what best serves their needs

    leads to specialization in prdctn.

    Theory of Absolute Advantage

    Real wealth of a nation from good s , servicesavlble to people, not just treasure.

    Natural advantage climatic, minerals etc.

    Acquired Adv. process, product tech.Theory of Comparative Advtge.

    H M h t T d ?

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    How Much to Trade ?

    1)Theory of Country Size suggests

    Large cntries depend less on trade thansmall ones

    Varied climates, different natural resources

    more chance of self-reliance

    E t d i t h l f th i

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    Export and import much less of their

    production and consumption respectively

    more distance to be coveredMore expensive logistics.

    2) Si f E

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    2) Size of Economy

    Large economies dominant world traders

    Produce enough to sell & exportGenerate hi income more purchases

    by people of home goods & imported

    goods.

    What type of Goods to Trade ?

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    What type of Goods to Trade ?

    1)Factor-Proportion Theory suggests

    Land, labour, capital whichever isabundant compared to the other 2 wd

    decide the type of goods to be produced.

    If labour abundant labour intensive

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    If labour abundant labour intensive

    goods.

    But labour skills, productivity variesLeading to international specialization by

    tasks, e.g. R&D (high education),

    production (cheap workers) etc.

    2) P d ti T h

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    2) Production Tech

    Different methods posbl, e.g. with high

    labour or high tech (capital reqd).3) Product Tech

    Mfg reqrs acquired advantage >

    education, training, technology, R&Dfound in rich cntries.

    Poor cntries mostly primary products

    less product differentiation.

    Dynamics of Trade

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    Dynamics of Trade

    1) International Product Life Cycle Theory

    Production Location for certain kinds ofproducts shifts as they pass thru their life

    cycle.

    New prdct innovation R&D, hi-incomecntry domestic mkt introduction

    stage exports to other hi-income cntries

    Mkt expands, demand increases (growth)

    prodction standardises, cheaper

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    equipments for mass prodction appears

    Competitors arrive prodctn starts other

    cntries

    Eventually, low cost cntries become prdn

    lacales sell locally

    Then exports back to original innovating

    countries.

    2) Porter Diamond Theory

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    2) Porter Diamond Theory

    4 conditions, important forcompetitive

    superiority a) Demand Conditions (spurs innovation),

    b) Factor Conditions (provide advntge due

    to absolute or factor-proportion reasons) ,

    ) R l t d & S ti I d t i

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    c) Related & Supporting Industries

    (ancillaries, inputs etc),

    d) Strategy, Structure & Rivalry(rivalry, competition force further break-

    through in process/ product.

    Combination of a, b, c, d affects sustenanceof competitive advantage.

    Govt intervention : Economic Rationales

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    Govt intervention : Economic Rationales

    1)Unemployment :

    Restricting imports to protect jobs can meetwith retaliation by counter restrictions by

    other countries.

    Small economies can less retaliate.Capital intensive prdction greater trade

    loss than job loss.

    2) Infant Industry :

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    2) Infant Industry :

    Shielding emergent industries from

    international competition whole mkt todevelop competitive edge >

    greater efficiency, economy of scale.

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    3) Industrialization :

    Protectionism to encourage faster growth

    thru industrialization, luring investment,promote exports

    4) E i i

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    4) Economic issues :

    BOP adjustment thru trade,

    fairness/ access in reciprocation betwncountries,

    bargaining tool, price control objective.

    Non Economic Rationale for Protectionism :

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    Non-Economic Rationale for Protectionism :

    Essential/ strategic industries maintainance,

    No shipment to unfriendly countries,*Creating a sphere of influence thru aids,

    credits, grants.**

    WTO REGIME

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    WTO REGIME

    After World War II International TradeOrgn. (50 Countries)

    23 countries agreed to Trade Rules &

    Tariff ConcessionsKnown as GATT.

    1994 123 countries membership

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    1994 123 countries membership

    GATT -- 1948 to 1994, average tariff for mfgd

    goods 40% to 4%

    WTO currently abt 150 members 97% world

    trade.

    Agreements aimed by consensus

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    Agreements aimed by consensus.

    Agreements ratified by parliaments of membercountries.

    Basic functions of WTO :--

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    Basic functions of WTO :

    1. Facilitate implementation, administration andoperation of trade agreements

    2 forum for further negotiations on matters within

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    2. forum for further negotiations on matters within

    its mandate

    3. dispute settlement

    4. periodic review of trade policies of member

    countries

    5. Provide tech assistance, training programmes

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    , g p g

    6. Eencourage cooperation within international

    orgns.

    7. WTO provides foundation for multi-lateral

    trading system,

    Based on follg principles :--

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    Based on follg principles :--

    Trade Without DiscriminationMFN (Most Favoured Nation) treatment

    Any favour/ concession must be to all.

    Exceptions to MFN

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    Exceptions to MFN

    free trade agreements,

    mkt access to dvlping cntries, raising barriers against specific cntries to protect

    against unfair trade.

    National treatment local and imported goodsget same treatment once goods are in the cntry

    Gradual Move Towards More Free (less restricted)

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    Gradual Move Towards More Free (less restricted)

    Mkts Thru Negotiations

    Progressive liberalisation,

    longer period granted to dvlpg nations.

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    I li ti f WTO I t ti l Mkt

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    Implications of WTO on International Mktg

    A. Binding concessions & commitments

    Security of access to foreign mkts.

    B Agreement on customs valuation

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    B. Agreement on customs valuation

    Importers declared value will be accepted for

    customs purpose (e.g.duty calculation).

    C.Agreement on pre-shipment inspection (of price)

    Reduce malpractice of under/ over invoicing.

    D. Agreements on import licensing procedures

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    g p g p

    Licenses, if reqd, for the prdct will be issued

    expeditiously.

    E. Rules applicable to exports

    reimbursement of indirect taxes on exported

    prdcts.

    F. Anti-dumping & Countervailing actions

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    F. Anti dumping & Countervailing actions

    Exporters of subsidised prdcts expect imdt

    notice if investigation begins.

    INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS

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    INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS

    UNCTADUnited Nations Conference on Trade &

    Development Estd.1964 with 164

    members.

    Objectives

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    Objectives

    1.Forum for dvlping cntries to discuss

    problems on Econo. Dvlpmnts.

    2.Formulate policies on trade, aid,

    transport, technology, finance etc. for

    dvlopmnt purposes.

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    3. Negotiate multinational trade

    agreements betwn nations for economicand overall develpmnt of the dvlping

    and underdvlped cntries.

    4. To prepare proposals for putting itsprinciples and policies into effect.

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    3. No discrimination on differences in

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    socio-economic system, and adoptionof trading methods, policies to beconsistent with this principle.

    Achievements

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    Achievements

    GSP Implementationlow tariffs for mfgd goods from devlping &

    underdevlped to devloped cntries

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    Not all cntries benefited equally.

    Primary agro exporting cntris

    particularly.

    Constraint of enough transformation i.e.

    value addition.

    Quota restrictions.

    Obj ti f GSP

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    Objectives of GSP :

    -- increase export earning, promote

    industrialization, accelerate economic

    growth

    Preference-receiving cntris adopt

    measures to assist their producers/

    traders / exporters

    -- Identification of

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    -- Identification of

    export opportunities/products,

    introduction of import duty drawback,trade agreements with socialist cntries,

    -- Establishmnt of ancillary units to satisfyth l f i i

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    the rules of origin,

    rail frt subsidy,

    participation in trade fairs, exihibitions,

    advtsing to overseas mkts.

    Non tariff barriers

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    Non-tariff barriers

    UNCTAD prepared members to

    effectively participate in multilateralnegotiations regarding

    import licensing,

    import quotas,

    Govt procurement stds

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    Govt procurement stds.,

    packing, labelling,

    health & sanitary reqrmnts,

    customs procedure etc.

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    International Moneytory Fund (IMF)

    Cooperative insttn to maintain a stable

    system of buy and sell of currencies

    Quick, smooth payment of foreign money.

    -- Lends money to members with

    conditions.

    -- No authority on countrys domestic

    matters.

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    a) INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR

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    )

    RECONSTRUCTION &

    DEVELOPMENT(IBRD) To combat poverty by providing loans,

    advice, assistance to developingcountries to support their economic and

    social growth.

    b) INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSN(IDA)

    For lending to the poorest countries.

    WTO

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    WTO

    GATTWTO, Jan 95.

    Deals with vital areas of eco

    activity, incorporates enforceable

    rules.**

    REGIONAL ECONOMIC

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    INTEGRATION

    Geographical group of cntriesagreements reduce, remove tariffs,

    non-tariffs free flow of goods, services,

    factors of prdction. Name some.ASEAN, EU, NAFTA etc.

    more rapid progress towards free trade

    than thru WTO.

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    Trade generation Vs Trade Diversion.

    Levels of Integration (by heirarchy)Gives rise to currency union, political

    union.

    1. Free Trade Area > barriers removed.

    2. Customs Union Barriers removed, +

    common external trade policy.

    3. Common Mkt customs union + freemovement of labour, capital.

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    4. Economic Union Common mkt +

    common currency, harmonization of taxrates, common fiscal policies

    very high degree of administrative and

    bureaucratic coordinating skills reqd.5. Political Union Union Parliament

    elected by people of member cntries,

    common defence policy.

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    Why Reg. Integration ?

    Acc. to eco theories

    Unrestricted free trade cntries willconcentrate on their areas of efficiencies

    greater world prdctn will happen.Other view

    Nation may gain, individuals/ grps. in certain

    sectors may loose,national sovereignty may get diluted to

    some extent.

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    These integrations are good only if,

    trade created > trade diverted.*Some economists feel that it is not

    happeing always, and hence they

    oppose.**

    Foreign Direct Investment

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    FDI Intl capital investment

    (but not always),can be by transferring mgrs, providing other

    expertise,

    by exchange of stocks.--whose control ? Major investors ?

    Dispersed ownership small %age can

    establish enough control Govt steps infor minority owners.

    Controlling interest desired, because

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    1.Cos self handling reduce costs

    Cheaper to handle oneself,2. Deny competitors access to resources,

    lessen the chance of developing

    competitors,3. Easier to deal globally.

    Methods of FDI :

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    1.Acquire/ buy an existing facility -- no

    addition to capacity --reforms across globe privatisation

    lot of Cos on sale overseas invstmnt

    opportunity.1.Construct new one/ green field

    investment.

    Benefits/ reasons of acquisition

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    a. Difficulty to transfer resources, local

    resources avlbl, orgn structure exists.b. Less adaptation to host culture needed.

    c. Brand/ goodwill liveraged.

    d. Gain access to local capital,e. Start up inefficiency eliminated,

    f. Mkt may not sustain additional capacity,

    g. Price of an under-performing Co less than astart-up cost

    Benefits/ reasons of Greenfield

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    a.Suitable Co for acquisition not avlbl,

    b.Sectors with less competition,c.Laws hindering acquisition to promote

    capacity creation, more competition, less

    dominance by ltd No. of firms.

    Motives/ reasons of collaboration (less than

    100% hi )

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    100% ownership):

    1.Laws of host cntry on limit of ownership/repatriation of profit, strategic sectors etc.

    2.Scale Allianceefficiency thru pulling of

    similar assets to grow in bsns,3.Link Alliance use complimentary

    resources for new bsns areas,

    4.Gain location specific assets

    access todistribution system, manpower, local

    cultural issues,

    5.Protection of copy right/ brand thru

    partner

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    partner.

    6. Geographical diversity obviateseasonality/ bsns cycles problems

    servicing multiple mkts.

    7. Sharing of risk in host cntry, and also

    globally for large MNCs

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    Franchising :

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    Franchising :

    Particularly relevant for service sector

    Healthcare, specialty retail, education ,

    Brand name, trademark, prodn &

    processing technics,,mktg guidelines service levels, shop

    area/ layout, minm sales, ,

    Intellectual property rights given over along time.

    Contract Mfg:

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    Mfg done at offshore location on contract,

    Producer & mkter are separate.

    Joint Venture :

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    2 or more firms equity participation

    new co formed expertise, resources,

    strength shared

    -- Foreign investment barrier overcome

    Local contact liasion Govt taken care of

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    Local contact, liasion, Govt taken care of

    Easy, speedy way of entry.*(Often stronger partner acquires weaker

    partner maruti-Suzuki, Escorts-

    Yamaha).**