Gassco - Future Gas Export from the Norwegian Continental Shelf - Thor Otto Lohne
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Transcript of Gassco - Future Gas Export from the Norwegian Continental Shelf - Thor Otto Lohne
Future Gas Export from the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS)
Thor Otto Lohne CFO and Executive Vice President
2013 • 76 fields are in production – more than 40% of the discovered resources are produced
• 55 companies are license holders on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS)
• 42 wells drilled in 2012
• The investment level in 2012 was more than 20 B€ (incl. exploration cost)
• Oil production (incl. NGL and condensate) in 2012 was about 1.9 million bbl/d
• Gas sale in 2012 was 114.8 GSm³
The petroleum sector – Norway’s largest industry
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www.gassco.no
• Connected to all major gas-producing
fields on the NCS
• 7 975 km of large-diameter, high-
pressure pipelines
• Riser platforms
• Large processing facilities in
Norway
• Receiving terminals in four
European countries
• Connected to major downstream
gas transmission systems in Europe
and the UK
The integrated Norwegian gas transport system
www.gassco.no
Gassco
• Gassco is responsible for safe and efficient gas transport from the Norwegian Continental Shelf
• Key activities include:
‒ Asset management; technical operation and maintenance of the pipelines, platforms and onshore facilities
‒ System operations; planning and monitoring of the gas supply
‒ Capacity management; administration of the available transport capacity
‒ Infrastructure development; adjustments and expansions of the gas infrastructure
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Situation on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS)
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
20102000199019801975
Produksjon av naturgass og teoretisk eksportkapasitet, 1975-2010GSm3/år
Exit-kapasitet
TROLL
ORMEN LANGE
SLEIPNER ØST
ÅSGARD
FRIGG
EKOFISK
KVITEBJØRN
Other
ODIN
OSEBERG
SNØHVIT
HEIMDAL
VEST EKOFISK
GULLFAKS SØR
TUNE
KRISTIN
Frigg transport (Vesterled)
Nor-pipe
Zeepipe
Europipe
Franpipe
Europipe II
Langeled
Tampen Link (FLAGS)
Gjøa (FLAGS)
Snøhvit
Kilde: OD; Gassco
Norge har vært gjennom en periode med rask vekst i gass-produksjon og tilhørende oppbygging av infrastruktur
Norway has had a rapid growth both in gas production and build-up of gas infrastructure
Production from existing fields and discoveries is expected to decline after 2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Gjennomsnittlig gassfunn per brønnGSm3
Tidsperiode2006-20102001-20051996-20001991-19951986-19901981-19851976-19801971-19751966-1970
Excl Ormen Lange
Excl TrollIncl Ormen Lange
Incl Troll
Kilde: OD
Sirkelstørrelsen er proporsjonal med samlede gassfunn i 5-årsperioden
Regresjon som angir langsiktig trend ekskludert Troll og Ormen Lange
51137
243 197 204 166 118228
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Antall brønner i 5-årsperioden
Størrelsen på et typisk gassfunn på norsk sokkkel har falt
The average size of gas discoveries has decreased, thus the need for coordination and joint development is increasing
New production from undiscovered resources could be located far from existing gas infrastructure
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Norwegian Sea:
Barents Sea:
North Sea:
• 16 fields under development.
• 84 fields undergoing evaluation.
• New gas and oil infrastructure projects
in the Sleipner- and Tampen area.
• Several upgrading and robustness
projects, e.g. Kårstø expansion project,
Gassco Emden project.
• Polarled investment decision 1Q 2013.
• Barents Sea Gas Infrastructure (BSGI)
forum established.
Source: NPD, Gassco
Several field- and infrastructure development projects are ongoing on the NCS
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www.gassco.no
The Gudrun field will start the production in 2014. Light oil from Gudrun will be processed at Kårstø.
The Edvard Grieg and Ivar Aasen fields are planning export of gas via the SAGE system to UK with start-up in 2015 and 2016 respectively.
Johan Sverdrup, one of the largest discovery ever made on the Norwegian Continental Shelf, is planned to start-up in 2018. The gas and oil export solutions are currently being studied.
WEST CABLE
LUNO
DRAUPNE
APOLLO
On the Utsira High in the North Sea significant oil and gas discoveries have been made - after 40 years of exploration
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www.gassco.no
One of Europe’s largest industrial projects the next years. First crossing of Artic circle with a subsea pipeline. Deepest field development and pipeline on NCS. Investment decision 1Q 2013, start-up 2016.
Extending the gas value chain northwards
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www.gassco.no
Source: NPD
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Development of the resources in the Barents Sea require infrastructure solutions
Several promising discoveries are made in the Barents Sea the recent years.
The industry interest and expectations in the Barents Sea is high.
The exploration activity in the Barents Sea is extraordinary high.
Long distance to existing infrastructure require development evaluation in an area perspective.
Undiscovered resources per area
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Observers
Gassco has together with the industry started a significant work program for the Northern areas
Barents Sea Gas Infrastructure Forum
Oil & gas companies
Project support
Technology neutral evaluation of transport solutions
Focus on understanding of the transportation needs in and from the Barents Sea
Evaluation of applicable transport solutions for different resource and market scenarios
Potential gas production from the Northern areas for different resource outcomes Maximum daily production, MSm3/day
0
50
100
150
2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010
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Significant exploration programs - will yield new information on resources
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Gas dicoveries Oil discoveries Prospects 12
Norvarg/ Ververis
Snøhvit
Low: 50 GSm³ Medium: 100 GSm³ High: 150 GSm³
100 GSm³
Existing discoveries may justify a new gas transport solution - Illustrative transport costs from the Barents Sea, tariffs in NOK/Sm3
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Nyhamna
Åsgard
Polarled
Melkøya
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Impact of and on existing system – gas resources from the north will impact the investment decisions
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Description
• The supplies from existing areas indicate a gradual decline of the utilization of Kårstø from 2021 and onwards
• Investments to maintain capacity or shut in capacity will be dependent on additional resources
• The utilization of the Heimdal-Vesterled-St.Fergus chain is dependent on new resources after 2020
• Investments required in the Heimdal-Vesteled-St. Fergus chain. Decisions dependent on the utilization of the infrastructure
Kårstø
Heimdal/ Vesterled/ St. Fergus
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Polarled precedence: 8-10 years to startup
2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2016 2017 2012 2013
Halten-Nordland
Area Study
• Victoria • Aasta Hansteen • Linnorm
NSGI Pre Feasibility (DG1)
• Victoria • Aasta Hansteen • Linnorm
NSGI Feasibility (DG2)
• Aasta Hansteen • Linnorm • Constrained
Area B volumes • Upside
volumes: Gro, Dalsnuten
NSGI Concept decision (DG3)
• Aasta Hansteen • Linnorm • Zidane • Constrained
Area B volumes • Upside
volumes: Asterix, Gro
NSGI FEED (DG4)
• Aasta Hansteen • Linnorm • Zidane • Fogelberg (not
part of DG4 decision)
• Constrained Area B volumes
Production startup
• Polarled startup Oct. 2016
• Kristin volumes from Oct. 2016
• Aasta Hansteen startup Q3 2017
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BSGI Forum
FEED Concept selection
Confirm feasibility
Further mature the resource basis in the Barents Sea and evaluate the need
for increased export capacity
2014 2015 2016 2017 2013
Establish sponsor group
2021
~25 wells drilled – new discoveries
Apollo
Atlantis
614 ?
Wisting
NorvargAppraisalNorvarg
Appraisal
Darwin
Nunatak
Skavl
Kramsnø
Iskrystall
Bønna
Ensis
Byrkje / Gloppen
Askepott
Barents Sea Exploration program
2013/2014
Norvarg
Snøhvit
Ververis
Gamma
Skalle
Alke Nord & Sør
Selina
Goliat
Skrugard & Havis
Nucula
GothaSnabb /Kart
Komag/Lavvo
VerverisAppraisal
606
Formica
Saturn
Neiden
Skårungen
Aurelia
Barents Sea Southeast opening
NPD Barents Southeast est.
Awards 22. license round
Awards 23. license round
New Barents gas transport
Barentshavsrør:
24 MSm3/dag i 2022,
utvidelse til 38 MSm3/dag
rundt 2025
NSGI-rør:
70 MSm3/dag i 2016
Nyhamna
Åsgard-området
Norskehavet Frontier
Barentshavet Sør
Barentshavet
Nord
Barentshavet Nytt
område
Norskehavet Nord-
Ø
s
t Norskehavet Sub-basalt
Ny
infrastruktur
fra
uåpnede
områder
Ny
infrastruktur
Potential timeline of events
Indicative Barents Sea infrastructure schedule
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How we work
Barents Sea Gas Infrastructure Forum (steering committee)
BSGI secretariat (Gassco)
NCS synergies Northern Area considerations
Technology Resources and
production Gas transport
solutions Market
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Illustration of potential transport solutions for the northern area
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350
440
650
660
707
814
840
880
1200 Langeled
Barents sea pipeline 1000
Statpipe
Franpipe
Zeepipe I
Åsgard Transport
Europipe I
Europipe II
Norpipe
Vesterled • Heimdal – St. Fergus 1978
Route Startup year Length in kilometers Pipeline
• Ekofisk – Emden 1977
• Kårstø – Dornum 1999
• Draupner – Dornum 1995
• Åsgard – Kårstø 2000
• Sleipner – Zeebrugge 1993
• Draupner – Dunkerque 1998
• Statfjord – Kårstø – Ekofisk 1985
• Melkøya – Åsgard Transport ?
• Nyhamna – Easington 2007
A potential Barents Sea pipeline vs. other NCS pipelines
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Development of new oil and gas resources are dependant on cost effective solutions
Gasscos role is to contribute to maximize the value creation from the petroleum resources on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
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