Game theory and international relations slideshare
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Transcript of Game theory and international relations slideshare
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Collective security, game theory and
international relations
Providence Day School25 February 2013
Adam Seldiswww.mrseldis.com
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Is collective security acting in a
country’s best interests?
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RedRed BlackBlack
RedRed
BlackBlack
Player 2
Player 11
13
0
03
22
Card game
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Player APlayer A Player BPlayer B TotalTotalPair 1Pair 1Pair 2Pair 2Pair 3Pair 3Pair 4Pair 4Pair 5Pair 5Pair 6Pair 6Pair 7Pair 7Pair 8Pair 8Pair 9Pair 9
Pair 10Pair 10
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DenyDeny ConfessConfess
DenyDeny
ConfessConfess
Prisoner B
Prisoner A1 yr
1 yr3 yrs
0 yrs
0 yrs3 yrs
2 yrs2 yrs
Prisoners’ Dilemma
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How does game theory apply to
international relations?
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Afghan War
EscalatEscalatee
NegotiaNegotiatete
Pull outPull out
EscalatEscalatee
NegotiaNegotiatete
Washington
Taliban
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Afghan War
EscalatEscalatee
NegotiaNegotiatete
Pull outPull out
EscalatEscalatee
Military stalemate = more killings
Military win for Taliban
Military win for Taliban
NegotiaNegotiatete
Military win for
Washington
Stalemate = no more killings
Political win for Taliban
Washington
Taliban
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Afghan War
EscalatEscalatee
NegotiaNegotiatete
Pull outPull out
EscalatEscalatee
NegotiaNegotiatete
Washington
Taliban-1 1 3
-5-3-2
1 0 -3
30-3
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WarWar PeacePeace
WarWar
PeacePeace
Country 2
Country 11
13
0
03
22
War or peace?
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Collective security
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‘League of Nations’. Cartoon taken from Punch
magazine. 28 July 1920
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To what extent was WW1 caused by collective security?
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Is collective security acting in a
country’s best interests?
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Other examples?•Cold War - USA vs USSR
•Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands - Japan vs China
•Falklands/Malvinas Islands - UK vs Argentina
•Nuclear weapons - Iran vs Israel
•http://tinyurl.com/splitorsteal