GALBRAITHS RESEARCH Weekly S&P Market Report · 30-jan-20 front hakata 298,465 2002 hitachi zosen...
Transcript of GALBRAITHS RESEARCH Weekly S&P Market Report · 30-jan-20 front hakata 298,465 2002 hitachi zosen...
28 February 2020
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GALBRAITHS RESEARCH
Weekly S&P Market Report
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
SALE & PURCHASE
Second-hand
Bulk Carriers 2
Representative Sales - Bulk Carriers 3
Tankers 4
Representative Sales - Tankers 5
Second-hand Statistics 6
Contracting 7
Demolitions 8
Commodity Information 9
Contacts 10
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
2
Second-Hand - Bulk Carriers
The practicalities of concluding sales has rarely been harder. Inspectors are re-
luctant to fly to many parts of the world, class surveyors are restricted in their
travel, exchanging crews is proving impossible in a number of ports. It is little
wonder that most buyers are taking time out. For the short term at least it seems
the situation will worsen before it improves as more countries are affected and
travel restrictions widen. Shipping, like many other industries, are suffering as this
world health scare evolves. Our thoughts are with all nations trying to control this
menace.
For some, business must continue and offers were invited on Monday for the
Kamsarmax MV ‘Bright Pegasus (82,165 Dwt built 2013 Tsuneishi Zhoushan).
We understand she has followed a similar fate of the MV ‘Magnolia’ earlier this
month and has been withdrawn. The vessel will now head to her DD where she
will be fitted with a scrubber. Offers were invited on the basis of her being deliv-
ered with scrubber fitted, but a target price of close to us$ 20 million proved too
high.
In a private and off-market deal, reports have emerged that the Greek Controlled
Kamsarmax MV ‘Olympic Galaxy’ (81,383 Dwt built 2009 Universal) has been
committed for region US$ 13.5/13.8 million. Greek buyers are being linked with
the purchase. Note the vessel has freshly surveys passed and BWTS installed,
and being an Olympic vessel, we presume very well maintained.
A segment down and interest remains firm for modern Panamax vessels, 5 par-
ties are rumoured to be inspecting the MV ‘TR Infinity’ (77,113 Dwt built 2015
Imabari) where she is promptly due in Norfolk, USA and 6-7 parties are rumoured
on the MV ‘Faye’ (76,619 Dwt built 2010 Shin Kasado), which arrived in Bunati on
the 22nd Feb. Decreasing in age we understand Chinese buyers have purchased
the elder Panamax MV ‘Harvest Peace’ (74,193 Dwt built 2002 Namura) for
region US$ low/mid 6ms. The vessel has DD due July 2020. Some Chinese buy-
ers are now offering after waiving inspection in light of travel restrictions.
A busy week for followers of Ultramaxes as reports emerged clients of Meghna
have committed on subjects the MV ‘Adventure III’ (62,534 Dwt built 2019 Oshi-
ma) for region US$ 26 million. You will recall the Bangladeshi-based buyers
picked up the sister MV ‘Adventure II’ back in March for circa US$ 26.5 million.
Furthermore, there are unconfirmed rumours that clients of Tufton have parted
company with the Ultramax duo MV ‘TR Omaha’ & TR Niklas’ (63581 Dwt built
2014 Jiangsu Hantong) for region US$ 17.5 million apiece. You will recall the ‘TR
Omaha’ failed last month to clients of Oman Shipping for region US$ 17.7 million.
The Supramax MV ‘Pacific Light’ (50,198 Dwt built 2007 P/T PAL Indonesia)
has reportedly been sold on a bareboat charter basis to clients of Marti Shipping
who we understand have an obligation to purchase the vessel within 24 months.
The accurate price at this point is unreported.
Finally, we understand clients of Genco have committed their SPP Handysize MV
‘Baltic Wind’ (34,409 Dwt built 2009) for region US$ 7.75 million. The buyers are
undisclosed. For reference the MV ‘Miss Simona’ (34,500 Dwt built 2010 SPP)
sold in September for region US$ 8.75 million.
Second-hand Prices - Bulk Carriers
5yr Sentiment
Capesize 35.0 q
Panamax 21.5 q
Supramax 19.5 q
Handysize 16.0 u
10yr Sentiment
Capesize 20.0 q
Panamax 12.5 q
Supramax 12.5 u
Handysize 8.0 u
15yr Sentiment
Capesize 14.0 u
Panamax 8.0 q
Supramax 7.5 q
Handysize 5.5 q
Mill US$
Mill US$
Mill US$
Monthly Second-hand Sales Activity
No. mill dwtInvestment
(mill $)
Jan-19 41 2.57 583.8
Feb-19 20 1.30 187.1
Mar-19 39 2.45 451.7
Apr-19 48 2.95 391.4
May-19 38 2.44 385.7
Jun-19 38 2.80 415.9
Jul-19 52 3.62 667.6
Aug-19 37 2.13 403.0
Sep-19 56 4.09 800.9
Oct-19 71 4.37 637.8
Nov-19 27 1.36 178.9
Dec-19 30 1.80 323.1
2019 total 497 31.88 5,427
Jan-20 34 2.15 323.0
Feb-20 31 2.16 317.9
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
2020 total 65 4.32 641
Bulk Carriers
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
3
Representative Sales - Bulk Carriers
(ALL DETAILS BELIEVED TO BE CORRECT BUT NOT GUARANTEED)
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil
l. U
S$
5yr Old Asset Prices
Capesize Panamax
Supramax Handysize
0
10
20
30
40
50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil
l. U
S$
10yr Old Asset Prices
Capesize Panamax
Supramax Handysize
Recently Reported Bulker Sales Activity
Date Name DWT Build Yard Engine Model Price Buyer
23-Jan-20 ALEX A 50,399 2002 KAWASAKI 6S50MC-C $6.50m Middle Easterns
23-Jan-20 SUNNY YOUNG 81,967 2011 DAEWOO 6S60MC-C8 $15.70m GREEKS
30-Jan-20 FANTHOLMEN 32,581 2010 JIANG ZHENJIANG 5S50MC-C $5.80m CHINESE
30-Jan-20 PATRICK STAR 52,454 2004 TSUNEISHI 6S50MC $8.00m UNDISCLOSED
30-Jan-20 TRITON VALK 55,651 2009 MITSUI 6S50MC-C $11.25m GREEKS
30-Jan-20 PHOENIX BAY 74,759 2006 HUDONG ZHONGHUA 5S60MC $8.25m UNDISCLOSED
30-Jan-20 OCEAN GARNET 93,018 2010 COSCO DALIAN 6S60MC $11.00m CHINESE
30-Jan-20 AQUAJOY 171,009 2003 SASEBO 6S70MC $11.30m CHINESE BUYERS
30-Jan-20 AQUACARRIER 175,935 2011 JINHAI 6S70MC $18.00m Berge Bulk Ltd
31-Jan-20 NORFOLK 164,218 2002 CSBC 6S70MC $9.35m UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 GENCO CHARGER 28,398 2005 IMABARI 6S42MC $5.20m UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 RED DAISY 61,254 2016 IWAGI ZOSEN 6S50ME-C8 $21.00m UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 GREAT WENCHENG 91,439 2005 OSHIMA 6UEC60LSII $9.40m CHINESE
13-Feb-20 HAPPY VENTURE 28,587 1996 HUDONG 5L50MC $3.20 CHINESE
13-Feb-20 ARCADIA 50,362 2002 SHANGHAI SHIPYARD 6S50MC $5.20m CHINESE
13-Feb-20 NOVO MESTO 53,626 2005 ZHEJIANG 6S50MC-C $6.30m Indonesians
13-Feb-20 CYGNUS OCEAN 58,609 2013 NACKS 6S50MC-C8 $13.25m UNDISCLOSED
13-Feb-20 WOOYANG QUEEN 71,298 1997 NAMURA 6S60MC $4.50m UNDISCLOSED
13-Feb-20 TOPEKA 74,716 2000 HUDONG 5S60MC-C $6.00m CHINESE
13-Feb-20 NAVIOS STAR 76,662 2002 IMABARI 6S60MC $6.15m CHINESE
13-Feb-20 ALAM PADU 87,052 2005 IHI 6RTA58T $10.00m WOOYANG
13-Feb-20 SHINYO ALLIANCE 176,269 2005 UNIVERSAL 6S70MC $14.00m Korean Buyers
20-Feb-20 DUBAI MOON-I 31,800 2009 NANJING DONGZE 6S42MC $6.40m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 GLORIA GALAXY 32,701 2010 NANJING DONGZE 6S42MC $6.00 Vietnamese
20-Feb-20 ULTRA TOLHUACA 37,429 2015 OSHIMA 5S50MC-C8 $17.00m Japanese leasers
20-Feb-20 MARIANA 50,655 1998 NAMURA 6UEC60LSII $5.25m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 MOBILANA 56,370 1998 NAMURA 6UEC60LSII $5.25m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 WHITE HAWK 61,360 2012 OSHIMA 6S50MC-C $16.00m GREEKS
20-Feb-20 SBI BOLERO 81,210 2015 HUDONG ZHONGHUA 6S60ME-C8 $19.00m UNDISCLOSED
24-Feb-20 ANEMONE 30,587 2007 COCHIN 6S42MC Ariston Navigation Corp
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
4
Second-Hand - Tankers
Greek buyers are being linked with the purchase of the Sinokor VLCC MT
‘Mediterranean Glory’ (319,247 Dwt built 2004 Hyundai Samho) for region US$
31.5 million. Note the vessel passed surveys back in August 2019. The level is
noticeably softer than the MT ‘Jin-Ei’ which sold at the start of January (with TCE
circa 100k per/day) for region $35 million.
In the product sphere we understand the pumproom MR MT ‘Eagle Mel-
bourne’ (50,079 Dwt built Onomichi 2011) is now committed to Greek buyers for
mid US$ 18 million. You will note the vessel does not have BWTS installed. For
reference the older sister MV ‘Rich Wind’ (47,401 Dwt built 2009 Onomichi) sold
in January, BWTS fitted, for region US$ 16.7/16.8 million.
Furthermore offers were due today on the MR MT ‘PTI Orion’ (51,218 Dwt built
2006 STX), the levels at this point are undisclosed. For reference sister MT
‘Reliance II’ (46,100 Dwt built 2006 STX) sold for high US$ 13 million in Decem-
ber. Owners were looking for similar numbers, though these are unlikely to be
achieved.
To conclude clients of Waruna are being linked with the purchase of the Handy
Tanker MT ‘Baltic Commodore’ (37,343 Dwt built 2003 HMD) for region US$ 8.4
million.
Second-hand Prices - Tankers
5yr Sentiment
VLCC 75.0 u
Suezmax 52.0 u
Aframax 41.0 u
LR1 30.0 u
MR 30.0 u
10yr Sentiment
VLCC 50.0 u
Suezmax 36.0 u
Aframax 29.0 q
LR1 18.0 u
MR 19.0 u
15yr Sentiment
VLCC 35.0 q
Suezmax 23.0 u
Aframax 17.0 q
MR 12.0 u
Mill US$
Mill US$
Mill US$
Monthly Second-hand Sales Activity
No. mill dwtInvestment (mill
$)
Jan-19 20 1.80 368.3
Feb-19 20 1.32 256.9
Mar-19 33 3.41 534.1
Apr-19 23 2.71 420.2
May-19 21 1.63 338.3
Jun-19 34 2.85 610.8
Jul-19 24 2.57 384.7
Aug-19 32 3.68 423.4
Sep-19 17 1.26 206.2
Oct-19 46 5.00 669.0
Nov-19 36 4.45 656.7
Dec-19 18 1.66 305.3
2019 total 324 32.35 5,174
Jan-20 48 5.73 897.4
Feb-20 23 2.80 606.3
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
2020 total 71 8.53 1,504
Tankers
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
5
Representative Sales - Tankers
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil
l. U
S$
5yr Old Asset Prices
VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil
l. U
S$
10yr Old Asset Prices
VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR
(ALL DETAILS BELIEVED TO BE CORRECT BUT NOT GUARANTEED)
Recently Reported Tanker Sales Activity
Date Name DWT Build Yard Engine Model Price Buyer
30-Jan-20 MARIA DE CARMEN VIII 37,263 2001 HHI 6S50MC-C UNDISCLOSED
30-Jan-20 ECO PALM DESERT 49,703 2018 HYUNDAI-VINASHIN 6G50ME-B9 $35.00m JP MORGAN
30-Jan-20 CHAMPION POMER 52,579 2011 3 MAJ 7RTA48T $24.50m CTP LLC
30-Jan-20 ANDIMILOS 72,514 2004 SHI 6S60MC $10.20m UNDISCLOSED
30-Jan-20 MEGANISI 72,515 2004 SHI 6S60MC $10.20m UNDISCLOSED
30-Jan-20 FRONT HAKATA 298,465 2002 HITACHI ZOSEN 7S80MC $34.00m CHINESE
30-Jan-20 KATSURAGISAN 311,620 2005 KAWASAKI 7S80MC-C $35.00m INDONESIAN BUYERS
30-Jan-20 MADISON ORCA 320,054 2010 HHI 7RT-flex82T $50.00m Polaris
06-Feb-20 ES BRISTOL 3,590 2012 ES OFFSHORE 6N21A-EV UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 RIDGEBURY NALINI D 37,313 2008 HHI 6S50MC-C $11.50m Europeans
06-Feb-20 ANICHKOV BRIDGE 47,842 2003 HHI 7S50MC-C $10.20m UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 ERAWAN 99 105,000 1999 NAMURA 7RTA58T $7.50m UNDISCLOSED
06-Feb-20 RHEA 105,579 2002 SUMITOMO 6RTA58T $13.70m UAE Based Buyers
10-Feb-20 STENAWECO ELEGANCE 50,118 2017 HYUNDAI-VINASHIN 6G50ME-B9 $35.00m JP MORGAN
11-Feb-20 SCF KHIBINY 159,196 2002 HHI 6S70MC-C $19.00m SEAPIONEER
13-Feb-20 ADFINES STAR 19,118 2011 YANGFAN 7M43C $12.00m Canadians
13-Feb-20 ADFINES SUN 19,118 2011 YANGFAN 7M43C $12.00 Canadians
13-Feb-20 CAPE BEIRA 40,046 2005 SHINA 6S50MC $10.14m NIGERIANS
13-Feb-20 SKS SALUDA 159,437 2003 HHI 6S70MC-C $21.50m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 ASPHALT EXPRESS 6,855 2007 HUANGHAI 8DKM-28 $3.50m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 RIO DAYTONA 12,835 2010 STX 6S35MC $6.00m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 NU SHI NALINI 16,705 2012 JIANGSU LONGHAI 6S35MC Global Tankers Pvt Ltd
20-Feb-20 BOW HECTOR 33,694 2009 SHIN KURUSHIMA 6S50MC $19.00m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 NEGISHI MARU 106,650 2005 KOYO DOCKYARD 6S60MC-C $15.80m UNDISCLOSED
20-Feb-20 FSL SHANGHAI 115,915 2007 SHI 6S60MC-C $26.00m Performance Shipping (Diana)
20-Feb-20 DAEWOO 5475 300,000 2021 DAEWOO $93.50m EURONAV
20-Feb-20 DAEWOO 5473 300,000 2020 DAEWOO $93.50m EURONAV
20-Feb-20 DAEWOO 5474 300,000 2020 DAEWOO $93.50m EURONAV
20-Feb-20 ASTIPALAIA 305,965 2001 DAEWOO 6S90MC-C $26.50m Modec Inc
24-Feb-20 GODAVARI SPIRIT 159,106 2004 HHI 6S70MC-C $21.70m Chemnav Inc
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
6
Second-hand Statistics
Top 10 Sellers by Country and Sector
B ulk
C arriersT ankers
Grand
T o tal
Greece 103 61 164
Japan 100 36 136
Germany 39 36 75
D enmark 21 35 56
USA 36 16 52
H o ng Ko ng 21 19 40
N o rway 25 10 35
UK 27 7 34
Singapo re 22 12 34
T aiwan 17 13 30
Other 151 149 300
Note: Data based 2019 & 2020 ytd
N o . Vessels
Top 10 Buyers by Country and Sector
B ulk
C arriersT ankers
Grand
T o tal
Greece 68 48 116
C hina 82 17 99
H o ng Ko ng 22 1 23
Indo nesia 8 13 21
Vietnam 18 2 20
UK 5 13 18
D enmark 2 15 17
Japan 9 7 16
USA 4 11 15
India 2 12 14
Other 338 248 586
Note: Data based 2019 & 2020 ytd
N o . Vessels
12
10
12
1414
11
14
15
0
4
8
12
16
Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize
Av
g.
Ag
e
Bulk Carriers
2019 2020
1515
1413
13
11
17
13
16
10
0
4
8
12
16
20
VLCC Suezmax Afra/LR2 Pana/LR1 MR
Av
g.
Ag
e
Tankers
2019 2020
61%
39%
2019
Bulk Carriers
Tankers
48%
52%
2020 ytd
Bulk Carriers
Tankers
Second-hand Sales Activity
Average Sales Age
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
7
Contracting
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.10
Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize
No
. V
esse
ls
Mill. d
wt
Bulk - Contracting Activity 2019
Sum of DWT No. Ships
1.0
0.0
1.0
0.40.0
0.1
01
23
45
67
8
910
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
VLC
C
Suezm
ax
Afr
a/L
R2
P'm
ax/
LR
1
MR
Handy
10-2
5k
No
. V
esse
ls
Mill. d
wt
Tankers - Contracting Activity 2019
Sum of DWT No. Ships
Newbuilding Prices - Bulk Carriers
NB SentimentPrompt
ResaleSentiment
Capesize 52.0 u 50.0 u
Panamax 32.5 u 30.5 q
Supramax 28.0 u 27.5 q
Handysize 24.0 u 24.5 u
Note: NB basis Japan, Prompt Resale basis S.Korea
Mill US$
Newbuilding Prices - Tankers
NB SentimentPrompt
ResaleSentiment
VLCC 92.0 u 104.0 u
Suezmax 63.0 u 70.0 u
Aframax 52.0 u 55.0 u
LR1 41.0 u 42.0 u
MR 35.5 u 37.5 u
Note: NB basis Japan, Prompt Resale basis S.Korea
Mill US$
Contracting / New Orders - as reported by end Jan-20
0
20
40
60
No
. V
es
se
ls
Monthly Contracting - Bulk Carriers
2019 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
No
. V
es
se
ls
Monthly Contracting - Tankers
2019 2020
11%0%
35%
31%
4%
19%
Tankers - Contracting 2019
VLCC Suezmax Afra/LR2 P'max/LR1 MR Handy 10-25k
0%
20%
0%
80%
Bulk Carriers - Contracting 2019
Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
8
Demolitions
As it stands, 4 VLOC’s and 12 capes have been sold for recycling
since the start of the year. This has placed the yards under in-
creased pressure and having purchased nearly 150,000 ldt this
month, Bangladesh is struggling for capacity. As such, prices have
fallen by US$ 5 – 10’s in the sub-continent. With the dry market as
it is, it will be of no surprise to see the supply of tonnage increase
in coming weeks.
Alang is currently the busiest recycling destination and has man-
aged to secure a number of Container and smaller bulkers in the
last 10 days as prices on offer are at about US$ 10’s higher than
those in Chittagong. In general in India, containers are reaching
US$ 395 per ldt, bulkers 375 and tankers US$ 385.
Some reported sales:
Bulker – Sea Shark – built 1985 – 5,674 ldt – US$ 379 per ldt to
India
Container – Kweilin – built 1995 – 9,546 ldt – US$ 378 per ldt to
India
Container – Melanesian Pride – built 1990 – US$ 375 per ldt to
India
Scrap Assessments
Demolition Activity - as reported by end Jan-20
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
No
. V
es
se
ls
Bulk Carriers
2019 2020
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
No
. V
es
se
ls
Tankers
2019 2020
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
US
$ /
ld
t
Tankers
India Pakistan Bangladesh Turkey
Note: China assessments discontinued from January 2019
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
US
$ /
ld
t
Bulk Carriers
India Pakistan Bangladesh Turkey
Note: China assessments discontinued from January 2019
Demolition Prices
Tanker Sentiment Dry Cargo Sentiment
India 390 u 380 u
Pakistan 370 u 360 u
Bangladesh 380 u 370 u
Turkey 240 u 230 u
US$ / ldt
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
9
Bunkers & Commodity Information
Average Prices - Bunkers
F ujairah H o usto n R o tterdam Singapo re
P revio us Week 310 367 295 318
C urrent Week 301 351 284 303
D ec-19 285 356 261 343
Jan-20 309 347 297 368
F eb-20 298 357 289 314
A vg 2018 433 396 401 434
A vg 2019 378 380 349 403
A vg 2020 Ytd 304 351 293 343
F ujairah H o usto n R o tterdam Singapo re
P revio us Week 642 554 494 516
C urrent Week 616 540 462 483
D ec-19 715 630 576 626
Jan-20 747 633 551 666
F eb-20 641 544 482 518
A vg 2018 721 649 612 643
A vg 2019 708 617 569 595
A vg 2020 Ytd 699 593 520 599
Source: Bunkerspot
F ujairah H o usto n R o tterdam Singapo re
P revio us Week 515 493 463 504
C urrent Week 493 480 422 477
Jan-20 697 595 533 665
F eb-20 518 487 454 513
A vg 2019 632 599 548 636
A vg 2020 Ytd 616 546 497 596
Source: Bunkerspot. Note: VLSFO prices co llected from December 2019 onwards
US$ / tonVLSFO
US$ / ton
IFO380
US$ / tonMGO
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
US
$ /
to
n
Bunker PricesIFO380 Basket MGO Basket 0.5% LSFO Basket
-150
0
150
300
450
US
$ /
to
n
0.5% LSFO Differential
to IFO380 to MGO
Average Prices - Grain
Wheat C o rn So ybean Sugar
P revio us Week 199 150 332 321
C urrent Week 197 148 327 324
D ec-19 197 151 337 294
Jan-20 207 152 340 311
F eb-20 202 150 327 327
A vg 2018 192 152 351 281
A vg 2019 182 153 331 274
A vg 2020 Ytd 205 151 334 318
Source: Bloomberg
US$ / ton
Grain
Average Prices - Coal
R ichards B ay N ewcastle N C hinaP uerto
B o livar
P revio us Week 86 67 91 49
C urrent Week 82 67 91 49
D ec-19 84 65 87 49
Jan-20 86 66 89 47
F eb-20 86 66 91 48
A vg 2018 98 105 109 84
A vg 2019 71 77 96 55
A vg 2020 Ytd 86 66 90 47
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Refinitiv
CoalUS$ / ton, FOB
Iron Ore - China Crude Prices
P revio us Week 80 131 52.9 57.4
C urrent Week 84 129 50.0 53.4
D ec-19 85 130 59.5 65.5
Jan-20 88 130 58.3 64.1
F eb-20 83 131 50.9 55.1
A vg 2018 67 152 64.8 71.2
A vg 2019 90 132 57.0 64.0
A vg 2020 Ytd 86 129 54.9 59.9
Source: Bloomberg, Note: Stocks as prev Friday
US$ / ton
62%, C F R
C H IN A
US$ / ton
C hina
Sto ckpiles mill
mts
WT I Spo t
P rice F OB
B rent Spo t
P rice F OB
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
US
$ /
bb
l
Crude PricesDifferential WTI Brent
0
50
100
150
200
0
50
100
150
200
250
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil
l. m
ts
US
$ /
to
n
Iron Ore - ChinaChina CFR China Stockpiles mt
© Galbraiths Research 2020. All rights reserved.
10
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