FX Weekly July 10 - 16 2011 Elite Global Trading

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Transcript of FX Weekly July 10 - 16 2011 Elite Global Trading

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    GBPUSD: Has continued to trade at this yearslows. Short side has been capped at 1.5910

    and upside has been capped at 1.6260 forthe past 3 weeks. The big event this week for

    the GBP is CPI on Tuesday. As the BOE moves

    through another meeting standing still on

    Interest Rates, the GBP has no clear direction.

    The only consistency in this pair is it's

    weakness. We look to short on rallies.

    Recommendation: Look for a possible rally uptowards 1.6188- 1.6230 this week. We still

    favor the short side. Look for shorts after rally,careful of long plays. We remain Bearish Bias.

    EURJPY: Was capped last week at 117.74 onthe upside and 114.50 on the downside. The

    pair has been trading in this range for severalweeks now. Look for any weakness to be

    capped at 113.50, a break of that will move

    towards 112.00 and start the bearish move to

    lower lows. We still see this pair remaining in

    this range for a few more weeks and expect a

    breakout to the upside. Watch for EU news

    that could dampen that outlook. Also watch

    for the news out of Japan on most recent

    earthquake.

    Recommendation: Play swings within currentrange and prepare for a breakout play beyond

    these current levels of 113.50 and 117.80.

    We are Neutral.

    Euro / Japanese Yen

    UK Pound Sterling / United States Dollar

    Elite Global

    Trading Forex Weekly CommentaryJuly 10th July 16th 2011 Volume 1, Issue 11

    In this issue:

    EURJPY

    GBPUSD1

    EURUSD

    AUDUSD

    GBPJPY

    NZDUSD

    2

    Event Risk 3

    Contact Info

    Disclaimer4

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    EURUSD: Continues to trade inside the trianglepattern, as prices closes in on the apex a breakoutin either direction is highly probably. The pair

    traded down last week after the ECB raised

    interest rates. With EU debt risks the uncertainty

    rises with the unknown of EU nations possibly

    falling into default status.

    Recommendation: The pair is currently trading at1.4260 close the bottom of the triangle patternnear 1.4160 a rally up towards the top of the

    triangle is expected, near 1.4500. EU event risk

    will drive this pair in either direction for a breakout

    play so be ready. In the meantime look for a long

    play back up to top of triangle, buy on dip close to

    1.4160, tight risk. We are Neutral

    Euro / US DollarElite GlobalTradingJuly 10th July 16th 2011 Volume 1, Issue 11

    AUDUSD: Has been trading near highs of themonth and looks to possible break higher. We may

    need some event risk to push higher. Current

    resistance 1.0789 a break of this will confirm

    bullish bias up towards 1.1000.

    Recommendation: Breakout play above 1.0789

    first target 1.0890 second target 1.100. Careful of

    this being a confirmed top and if so look for a

    reversal play down towards 1.0650-1.0400. We

    remain Bullish Bias.

    Australian Dollar / United States Dollar

    GBPJPY: Has recently come off of the low of128.00 and has been in a sideways choppy

    range between 128.50-130.85. With current

    weakness of the GBP, this pair continues to

    trade near lows and looks to break lower

    towards 126.00 levels over the weeks ahead.

    Recommendation: Look for shorts afterrallies. We are Neutral in this pair. Current

    support 129.00 128.64 128.00 and

    resistance 130.33 130.80

    UK Pound Sterling / Japanese Yen

    NZDUSD: Has traveled to it's highs last weekbreaking higher to .8380. This pair is looking

    to hit top of trend line near .8450. Support for

    this pair is .8235-8180.

    Recommendation: Bullish bias, look to buy on

    dips and be cautious of topping around .8450

    -.8500

    New Zealand Dollar (Kiwi) / United States Dollar

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    Elite Global

    Trading

    July 10th July 16th 2011 Volume 1, Issue 11

    Monday:JPY: Monetary Policy Statement

    Tuesday:GBP: CPI 4:30am

    USD: Trade Balance 8:30am

    USD: FOMC Meeting Min 2pm

    CNY: GDP 10pm

    Wednesday:GBP: Claimant Count Change 4:30am

    USD: FED Chairman Bernanke Testifies

    NZD: GDP 6:45pm

    Thursday:EUR: CPI 5am

    USD: Core Retail Sales 8:30am

    USD: PPI 8:30am

    USD: FED Chairman Bernanke Testifies

    Friday:USD: Core CPI

    USD: Preliminary UoM Consumer

    Confidence 9:55am

    EUR: Bank Stress Tests

    Weeks Event Risk

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    Any reliance you place onsuch information is thereforestrictly at your own risk.

    In no event will we be liable for any

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    News letter Authors:

    Anthony Rousseau :[email protected]

    James [email protected]

    Tel: 786-759-0348E-mail:

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    Elite Global Trading

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