FX Markets

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FX Markets

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    FX and money Markets

    Adrian Codirlasu, CFA, PhD

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    Money market

    All interbank and other wholesale market

    transactions which involve the loan or

    deposit of a currency for an agreed periodor for repayment after an agreed period of

    notice at an agreed rate of interest

    Maturity up to one year (generally)

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    Eurocurrencies

    The particular currency dealt is not the local

    domestic currency of the country in which the

    deposit is placed Eurocurrency markets consist of international

    and other commercial banks in a number of

    financial centers, which perform the wholesale

    function of matching the supply of and demandfor currencies on a loan/deposit basis between

    interbank and other market participants

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    Exchange rate definition

    Exchange rates express the value of a unit

    of one currency in other currency

    Example, USDCHF 1.3950 shows theprice of one dollar in Swiss francs

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    FX market

    All transactions which involve the

    exchange of one currency for another on

    an agreed value date at an agreed rate ofexchange

    Types of transactions: spot, short date and

    outright forwards and foreign exchangeswaps

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    ISO 4217 standard

    Currencies should always be abbreviated

    using their International Standards

    Organization (ISO) codesAs a general rule they are made up of two

    letters for the country and one for the

    currency abbreviation, i.e. United States(US) dollar (D) = USD, Japanese (JP) yen

    (Y) = JPY

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    Currency pairs

    One currency in any quoted currency pair

    remains constant and is referred to as the base

    currency (or the certain currency in Bank of

    England terminology) The second currency is the quoted or

    countercurrency (or the uncertain currency in

    Bank of England terminology)

    The exchange rate is quoted as the number ofunits of the uncertain currency to be exchanged

    for one unit of the certain currency

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    Currency pairs

    XXXYYY

    XXX certain currency

    YYY uncertain currency

    Exception YYY:

    USD certain currency

    YYY uncertain currency

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    Market participants Central banks

    Commercial banks

    Investment banks

    Other financial institutions (insurance

    companies)

    Multinational corporations

    International trading companies

    Private clients Hedge funds

    Brokers

    Electronic matching systems

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    Central banks

    Role to control and ensure the smooth

    operation of the foreign exchange and

    money markets in their local currency, with

    the institutions of the major centrescollaborating in times of market turbulence

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    Exchange rate regimes

    Floating

    Managed floating

    Target zone

    Crawling (peg, band)

    Fixed Currency board

    Monetary union

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    Commercial banks

    Institutions which, rather than acting as

    market makers in the interbank market,

    are happy to quote their own customers

    dealing rates for transactions in various

    markets and products and then, acting as

    market users, contact their correspondent

    banks to cover such transactions, perhapspreferring to make a small margin per deal

    rather than run a risk position

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    Investment banks

    Major operators in the worlds financial

    markets.

    They are constantly seeking opportunitiesto improve investment returns and use the

    foreign exchange and money markets and

    associated products to this end

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    Multinational corporations

    Many worldwide commercial enterprises which

    have over the years grown into operations

    spanning many different industries and countries Many of these are able to operate in similar

    fashion to banks in the markets and some have

    even diversified into the financial services

    industry using foreign exchange and moneymarket activities to add value to their other

    commercial operations

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    International trading companies

    Involve themselves in the financial

    markets only to support their mainstream

    commercial activities, i.e. entering themarkets only when it is necessary to

    repatriate foreign currency earnings or

    provide foreign currency cover for theirongoing business

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    Private clients

    Transactions done by high net worth

    individuals (some in multi-million currency

    units) switching currencies in theirconstant search for the best return on

    global investments

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    Hedge funds

    Are able to enter the foreign exchange and

    money markets with consolidated amounts

    far in excess of those availableindividually.

    These managed funds have over recent

    years caused high market activity andhave on occasions been blamed for

    periods of speculation and currency unrest

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    Traditional/voice brokers

    Brokers in the foreign exchange and moneymarkets and associated treasury derivative

    markets are intermediaries only

    These brokers do not operate on their own

    account, merely on-quoting their clientinstitutions bid and offer prices to all market

    participants with the express intention of

    achieving the finest (closest) spread between

    bid and offer in an attempt to encourage

    participants to deal through their offices, thereby

    earning a commission on each transaction

    closed

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    Electronic matching system

    Electronic matching systems such as Reuters

    2000/2, EBS and Bloomberg now provide

    dealers with a further alternative to close

    exchange transactions.

    The market penetration of these electronic

    matching systems has increased dramatically in

    recent years and their scope has become morediverse.

    A wide range of currency pairs and products are

    now available via these means.

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    FX market

    OTC

    Deregulated

    Brokers

    Matching platforms: EBS, Reuters,

    Bloomberg

    Banks individual platforms

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    Participants

    Market makers (financial institutions)

    Market takers (financial institutions,

    corporates, hedge funds)

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    Market making

    The custom for the calling counterparty

    (market user) to ask the market maker for

    his two-way price (to buy/sell in foreign

    exchange markets and to borrow/lend in

    interest rate markets)

    The market maker dictates the two-way

    price and gets the benefit of the spread

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    Quotation methods

    Spot foreign exchange: bidoffer for the

    base currency

    Forward foreign exchange: bidoffer forthe base currency

    Money market: bidoffer for the cash (low

    high in interest rate terms)

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    Money markets

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    Money market

    Cash-based transactions involving the

    lending and borrowing of funds which are

    paid away/received on the start date andrepaid on a fixed date or determinable

    maturity

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    Interest payment

    The payment of interest on fixed deposits

    and loans up to one years duration occurs

    at maturity along with repayment of theprincipal amount invested.

    If the deposit/loan is for a longer period

    than 12 months then interest is payableannually on the anniversary and at final

    maturity

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    Base

    Money market actual/360

    Sterling money market - actual/365

    Government bonds actual/actual Eurobonds 30/360

    actual refers to the actual number ofdays in any period for which interest is

    being calculated

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    Translations

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    Exercise

    What is the equivalent of a money market

    yield of 6.00 percent in terms of a

    eurobond coupon rate?A: 6.0000%

    B: 6.0833%

    C: 5.9178%

    D: 5.8750%

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    Exercise

    Which of the following rates represents the

    best yield?

    A: Semi-annual money market yield of4.50%

    B: Semi-annual bond yield of 4.50%

    C: Annual bond yield of 4.50%

    D: Annual money market rate of 4.50%

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    Annual vs. semiannual yield

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    Exercise

    A semi-annual CHF rate is 5 percent.

    What is the effective annual yield?

    A: 4.939%

    B: 4.945%

    C: 5.0000%

    D: 5.0625%

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    Exercise

    An annual DKK rate is 5 percent. What is

    the effective semi-annual yield?

    A: 4.939%

    B: 4.945%

    C: 5.0000%

    D: 5.0625%

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    Time value of money

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    LIBOR

    LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) is the moneymarket benchmark interest rate

    BBA LIBOR offered rates per period for the major

    currencies are obtained from 16 reference banks in

    London selected by the BBA on the basis of private

    nominations and discussions with advisory panels of

    senior market practitioners

    These banks are selected to reflect the balance of the

    market in terms of country of origin and type of institutionand on the basis of reputation, scale of market activity

    and perceived expertise in the currency

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    EURIBOR

    European Banking Association (EBA) fixes

    a similar daily benchmark rate by

    reference to a panel of 57 banks Because of the wider spread of reference

    banks (some perhaps with a lesser credit

    rating or market standing than for the BBAEuro LIBOR fixing), EURIBOR is typically

    always higher than EUR LIBOR

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    FX markets

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    Dates

    Trade date date of the trade

    Value date date of the settlement

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    Value dates

    Spot (T + 2, exceptionally T + 1)

    Ante-spot dates (TDY, TOM)

    Forward

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    Quotation

    EURCHF 1.2500/10

    How many Swiss francs for one euro

    1.25 big figure

    bid/ask 00/10 pips

    CHF 0.9590/95

    How many Swiss francs for one USD

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    Direct vs. indirect quotation

    Direct XXX: how many XXX per USD

    Most of the currencies

    RON 10 Mio means USDRON 10 Mio

    Indirect YYY: how many USD per YYY

    EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD means EURUSD,

    GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD

    EUR 10 Mio means EURUSD 10 Mio

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    Spot trade - confirmation

    Pair

    Rate

    Direction buy/sell

    Amount (in first currency)

    Bank for bought currency

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    Exposure

    EURUSD, 1.3750, notional EUR 1 Mio

    Long: buyEUR, sell USD, at 1.3750,

    notional of the trade EUR 1 Mio

    Short: sell EUR, buy USD, at 1.3750,

    notional EUR 1 Mio

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    Spot trade - confirmation

    At 1.3750 I buy EURUSD

    Amount EUR 1 Mio

    My EUR to Deutsche Bank

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    Orders

    Limit (take profit)

    Stop loss

    One cancel another OCO

    If done

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    Exercise

    Four banks in the international market

    quote you spot USD/JPY. Which is the

    best quote for you as a buyer of JPY?A: 121.49 53

    B: 121.45 51

    C: 121.50 57

    D: 121.47 52

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    Cross currencies

    Cross currency rates are traditionally

    those exchange rate quotations which

    neither include the US dollar nor thepound sterling as one of the currencies

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    Cross currency calculation rules

    One direct (to a USD base) and one indirect (to a non-

    USD base) quoted currency against the US dollar:

    condition 1 multiply the same sides (left-hand side by left-hand side and right-hand

    side by right-hand side)

    Both direct quoted currencies against the US dollar (to a

    USD base): condition 2

    or

    both indirect quoted currencies against the US dollar (toa non-USD base): condition 3 cross divide opposite sides (left-hand side by right-hand side and right-

    hand side by left-hand side)

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    Exercise

    A client wants to sell CHF against GBP.

    The USD/CHF rate is 1.4915/20, the

    GBP/USD rate is 1.4628/33. What rate do

    you quote to the client?

    A: 2.18 24

    B: 2.18 32C: 2.18 17

    D: 2.18 47

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    Exercise

    USD/CHF is 1.52 50/55 and USD/JPY is

    120.20/25. What price would you quote to

    a customer who wishes to sell JPY against

    CHF?

    A: 78.79

    B: 78.82

    C: 78.81

    D: 78.85

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    Exercise

    USD/CHF is quoted 1.5005/15 and

    GBP/USD as 1.6120/30. At what rate

    could you buy GBP and sell CHF?A: 2.4188

    B: 2.4203

    C: 2.4219

    D: 1.0742

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    Outright forward

    One-way transaction to buy or sell one

    currency against another (like a spot

    transaction) except that it is for a fixedforward value date

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    FX swap

    Money market transactionAn exchange of cash flows in the two

    currencies of the swap over a period

    ranging from one day (overnight ortom/next) to a number of months,

    sometimes years

    Consists of two transactions reversingeach other, one date against a further

    forward date, most frequently spot against

    a forward date

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    Quotations

    Forward rates are quoted as a two-way

    price in forward swap points

    These points are adjustments to be madeto the spot price to achieve the forward

    exchange rate applicable to the dates in

    question

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    EURRON Forward prices

    EUR/RON Swap Forward

    spot rate points rate

    1 Month 4.3000 645 4.3645

    3 Months 4.3000 1940 4.4940

    6 Months 4.3000 3150 4.6150

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    Forward trade - confirmation

    Pair (EURUSD)

    Forward rate 1.3760: spot rate 1.3750,

    swap points 10 Buy/sell

    Settlement date

    Amount EUR 1 Mio Settlement place (my EUR/USD to)

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    Swap points

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    Implied rates

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    Exercise

    Spot EUR/USD is quoted 0.9500 (midpoint). If six months (180 days) USD

    interest rates are quoted 5.50 percent and

    same period EUR are 4.50 percent, what is

    the approximate level of the EUR/USD

    forward swap points in dealer terms?

    A: 45 47

    B: 47 45

    C: 4.70 4.50