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Transcript of FX Markets
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FX and money Markets
Adrian Codirlasu, CFA, PhD
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Money market
All interbank and other wholesale market
transactions which involve the loan or
deposit of a currency for an agreed periodor for repayment after an agreed period of
notice at an agreed rate of interest
Maturity up to one year (generally)
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Eurocurrencies
The particular currency dealt is not the local
domestic currency of the country in which the
deposit is placed Eurocurrency markets consist of international
and other commercial banks in a number of
financial centers, which perform the wholesale
function of matching the supply of and demandfor currencies on a loan/deposit basis between
interbank and other market participants
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Exchange rate definition
Exchange rates express the value of a unit
of one currency in other currency
Example, USDCHF 1.3950 shows theprice of one dollar in Swiss francs
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FX market
All transactions which involve the
exchange of one currency for another on
an agreed value date at an agreed rate ofexchange
Types of transactions: spot, short date and
outright forwards and foreign exchangeswaps
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ISO 4217 standard
Currencies should always be abbreviated
using their International Standards
Organization (ISO) codesAs a general rule they are made up of two
letters for the country and one for the
currency abbreviation, i.e. United States(US) dollar (D) = USD, Japanese (JP) yen
(Y) = JPY
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Currency pairs
One currency in any quoted currency pair
remains constant and is referred to as the base
currency (or the certain currency in Bank of
England terminology) The second currency is the quoted or
countercurrency (or the uncertain currency in
Bank of England terminology)
The exchange rate is quoted as the number ofunits of the uncertain currency to be exchanged
for one unit of the certain currency
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Currency pairs
XXXYYY
XXX certain currency
YYY uncertain currency
Exception YYY:
USD certain currency
YYY uncertain currency
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Market participants Central banks
Commercial banks
Investment banks
Other financial institutions (insurance
companies)
Multinational corporations
International trading companies
Private clients Hedge funds
Brokers
Electronic matching systems
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Central banks
Role to control and ensure the smooth
operation of the foreign exchange and
money markets in their local currency, with
the institutions of the major centrescollaborating in times of market turbulence
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Exchange rate regimes
Floating
Managed floating
Target zone
Crawling (peg, band)
Fixed Currency board
Monetary union
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Commercial banks
Institutions which, rather than acting as
market makers in the interbank market,
are happy to quote their own customers
dealing rates for transactions in various
markets and products and then, acting as
market users, contact their correspondent
banks to cover such transactions, perhapspreferring to make a small margin per deal
rather than run a risk position
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Investment banks
Major operators in the worlds financial
markets.
They are constantly seeking opportunitiesto improve investment returns and use the
foreign exchange and money markets and
associated products to this end
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Multinational corporations
Many worldwide commercial enterprises which
have over the years grown into operations
spanning many different industries and countries Many of these are able to operate in similar
fashion to banks in the markets and some have
even diversified into the financial services
industry using foreign exchange and moneymarket activities to add value to their other
commercial operations
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International trading companies
Involve themselves in the financial
markets only to support their mainstream
commercial activities, i.e. entering themarkets only when it is necessary to
repatriate foreign currency earnings or
provide foreign currency cover for theirongoing business
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Private clients
Transactions done by high net worth
individuals (some in multi-million currency
units) switching currencies in theirconstant search for the best return on
global investments
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Hedge funds
Are able to enter the foreign exchange and
money markets with consolidated amounts
far in excess of those availableindividually.
These managed funds have over recent
years caused high market activity andhave on occasions been blamed for
periods of speculation and currency unrest
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Traditional/voice brokers
Brokers in the foreign exchange and moneymarkets and associated treasury derivative
markets are intermediaries only
These brokers do not operate on their own
account, merely on-quoting their clientinstitutions bid and offer prices to all market
participants with the express intention of
achieving the finest (closest) spread between
bid and offer in an attempt to encourage
participants to deal through their offices, thereby
earning a commission on each transaction
closed
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Electronic matching system
Electronic matching systems such as Reuters
2000/2, EBS and Bloomberg now provide
dealers with a further alternative to close
exchange transactions.
The market penetration of these electronic
matching systems has increased dramatically in
recent years and their scope has become morediverse.
A wide range of currency pairs and products are
now available via these means.
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FX market
OTC
Deregulated
Brokers
Matching platforms: EBS, Reuters,
Bloomberg
Banks individual platforms
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Participants
Market makers (financial institutions)
Market takers (financial institutions,
corporates, hedge funds)
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Market making
The custom for the calling counterparty
(market user) to ask the market maker for
his two-way price (to buy/sell in foreign
exchange markets and to borrow/lend in
interest rate markets)
The market maker dictates the two-way
price and gets the benefit of the spread
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Quotation methods
Spot foreign exchange: bidoffer for the
base currency
Forward foreign exchange: bidoffer forthe base currency
Money market: bidoffer for the cash (low
high in interest rate terms)
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Money markets
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Money market
Cash-based transactions involving the
lending and borrowing of funds which are
paid away/received on the start date andrepaid on a fixed date or determinable
maturity
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Interest payment
The payment of interest on fixed deposits
and loans up to one years duration occurs
at maturity along with repayment of theprincipal amount invested.
If the deposit/loan is for a longer period
than 12 months then interest is payableannually on the anniversary and at final
maturity
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Base
Money market actual/360
Sterling money market - actual/365
Government bonds actual/actual Eurobonds 30/360
actual refers to the actual number ofdays in any period for which interest is
being calculated
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Translations
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Exercise
What is the equivalent of a money market
yield of 6.00 percent in terms of a
eurobond coupon rate?A: 6.0000%
B: 6.0833%
C: 5.9178%
D: 5.8750%
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Exercise
Which of the following rates represents the
best yield?
A: Semi-annual money market yield of4.50%
B: Semi-annual bond yield of 4.50%
C: Annual bond yield of 4.50%
D: Annual money market rate of 4.50%
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Annual vs. semiannual yield
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Exercise
A semi-annual CHF rate is 5 percent.
What is the effective annual yield?
A: 4.939%
B: 4.945%
C: 5.0000%
D: 5.0625%
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Exercise
An annual DKK rate is 5 percent. What is
the effective semi-annual yield?
A: 4.939%
B: 4.945%
C: 5.0000%
D: 5.0625%
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Time value of money
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LIBOR
LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) is the moneymarket benchmark interest rate
BBA LIBOR offered rates per period for the major
currencies are obtained from 16 reference banks in
London selected by the BBA on the basis of private
nominations and discussions with advisory panels of
senior market practitioners
These banks are selected to reflect the balance of the
market in terms of country of origin and type of institutionand on the basis of reputation, scale of market activity
and perceived expertise in the currency
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EURIBOR
European Banking Association (EBA) fixes
a similar daily benchmark rate by
reference to a panel of 57 banks Because of the wider spread of reference
banks (some perhaps with a lesser credit
rating or market standing than for the BBAEuro LIBOR fixing), EURIBOR is typically
always higher than EUR LIBOR
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FX markets
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Dates
Trade date date of the trade
Value date date of the settlement
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Value dates
Spot (T + 2, exceptionally T + 1)
Ante-spot dates (TDY, TOM)
Forward
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Quotation
EURCHF 1.2500/10
How many Swiss francs for one euro
1.25 big figure
bid/ask 00/10 pips
CHF 0.9590/95
How many Swiss francs for one USD
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Direct vs. indirect quotation
Direct XXX: how many XXX per USD
Most of the currencies
RON 10 Mio means USDRON 10 Mio
Indirect YYY: how many USD per YYY
EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD means EURUSD,
GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD
EUR 10 Mio means EURUSD 10 Mio
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Spot trade - confirmation
Pair
Rate
Direction buy/sell
Amount (in first currency)
Bank for bought currency
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Exposure
EURUSD, 1.3750, notional EUR 1 Mio
Long: buyEUR, sell USD, at 1.3750,
notional of the trade EUR 1 Mio
Short: sell EUR, buy USD, at 1.3750,
notional EUR 1 Mio
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Spot trade - confirmation
At 1.3750 I buy EURUSD
Amount EUR 1 Mio
My EUR to Deutsche Bank
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Orders
Limit (take profit)
Stop loss
One cancel another OCO
If done
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Exercise
Four banks in the international market
quote you spot USD/JPY. Which is the
best quote for you as a buyer of JPY?A: 121.49 53
B: 121.45 51
C: 121.50 57
D: 121.47 52
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Cross currencies
Cross currency rates are traditionally
those exchange rate quotations which
neither include the US dollar nor thepound sterling as one of the currencies
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Cross currency calculation rules
One direct (to a USD base) and one indirect (to a non-
USD base) quoted currency against the US dollar:
condition 1 multiply the same sides (left-hand side by left-hand side and right-hand
side by right-hand side)
Both direct quoted currencies against the US dollar (to a
USD base): condition 2
or
both indirect quoted currencies against the US dollar (toa non-USD base): condition 3 cross divide opposite sides (left-hand side by right-hand side and right-
hand side by left-hand side)
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Exercise
A client wants to sell CHF against GBP.
The USD/CHF rate is 1.4915/20, the
GBP/USD rate is 1.4628/33. What rate do
you quote to the client?
A: 2.18 24
B: 2.18 32C: 2.18 17
D: 2.18 47
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Exercise
USD/CHF is 1.52 50/55 and USD/JPY is
120.20/25. What price would you quote to
a customer who wishes to sell JPY against
CHF?
A: 78.79
B: 78.82
C: 78.81
D: 78.85
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Exercise
USD/CHF is quoted 1.5005/15 and
GBP/USD as 1.6120/30. At what rate
could you buy GBP and sell CHF?A: 2.4188
B: 2.4203
C: 2.4219
D: 1.0742
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Outright forward
One-way transaction to buy or sell one
currency against another (like a spot
transaction) except that it is for a fixedforward value date
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FX swap
Money market transactionAn exchange of cash flows in the two
currencies of the swap over a period
ranging from one day (overnight ortom/next) to a number of months,
sometimes years
Consists of two transactions reversingeach other, one date against a further
forward date, most frequently spot against
a forward date
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Quotations
Forward rates are quoted as a two-way
price in forward swap points
These points are adjustments to be madeto the spot price to achieve the forward
exchange rate applicable to the dates in
question
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EURRON Forward prices
EUR/RON Swap Forward
spot rate points rate
1 Month 4.3000 645 4.3645
3 Months 4.3000 1940 4.4940
6 Months 4.3000 3150 4.6150
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Forward trade - confirmation
Pair (EURUSD)
Forward rate 1.3760: spot rate 1.3750,
swap points 10 Buy/sell
Settlement date
Amount EUR 1 Mio Settlement place (my EUR/USD to)
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Swap points
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Implied rates
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Exercise
Spot EUR/USD is quoted 0.9500 (midpoint). If six months (180 days) USD
interest rates are quoted 5.50 percent and
same period EUR are 4.50 percent, what is
the approximate level of the EUR/USD
forward swap points in dealer terms?
A: 45 47
B: 47 45
C: 4.70 4.50