An Open Discussion of Future Trends

Glimpses of the future of education

-Bryan AlexanderDecember 2013

1. Overview2. Education3. Technology4. Education

and technology

5. Bubble?

Monthly environmental scan report

Trends identified, tested, projected

FTTE reports, January-December 2013

FTTE reports, January-December 2013

Education trends

International students -> US

“ universities building up

Adjunctification rising

Education trends

Alternative certification (competency, badges)

Northeast, midwest youth population and debt

US job changes (manufact->service, 1->many, declining participation, automation)

Enrollment decline?

Athletics are doing just fine

Weaker .edu trendlines

shared academic services executive compensation

rising amid controversy challenges to internships possible intergenerational

tensions library budgets

Technology trends

social media

digital video

cloud wars

augmented reality

automation and artificial intelligence

Technology trends

crowdfunding growing copyright battles continue durability of Moore’s Law office versus Web office

Technology ecosystem

Beyond the PC

"When we were an agrarian nation, all cars were trucks because that's what you needed on the farms." Cars became more popular as cities rose, and things like power steering and automatic transmission became popular…

"PCs are going to be like trucks," Jobs said. "They are still going to be around." However, he said, only "one out of x people will need them."

http://news.cnet.com/8301-13860_3-20006526-56.html ; image via Wikipedia

PCs getting crowded out

Mouse and keyboard declining

Mobile first 3d printing

mainstreaming

3d tv dying

Weaker tech trendlines

the limits of the Web

onshoring hardware production

Are ebooks about to plateau?

Nicholas Carr, linked http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/

Teaching and learning and tech

Teaching and learning and tech

blended/flipped classroom

rise of the net.generation

gaming in education

Teaching and learning and tech

campus digital security threats growing

educational entrepreneurship

big data and data analytics develop

Uses of social media

Uses of Web video

Changes in the LMS world

Blended learning

Learning analytics

Changes in library role

Digital humanities (in classroom)

The rise of the Maker movement

MOOCs

Credit for MOOCs STEM vs humanities Sustainability? xMOOC vs cMOOC Liberal arts campuses entering

A higher education bubble?

Continued cost/value crisis Student and parent anxieties

about debt and employment Grad school crises Bipartisan political pressure

Perhaps not

College premium persists

Debt closer to car ownership

Endowments returning, maybe (11%+ in 2013)

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Bryan on Twitterhttp://twitter.com/BryanAlexander

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bryanalexanderconsulting.com