Future skills and competences in the pulp and paper industry
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Transcript of Future skills and competences in the pulp and paper industry
Future skills and competences in the pulp and paper industry
Steve Bainbridge, CedefopVienna, 22 February 2016
Past and forecast employment, EU (millions)
Source: Cedefop skills forecasts (2015)
Labour saving technology?
Shares of broad occupation groups in manufacturing and sector of wood, paper, print and publishing
Source: Cedefop skills forecasts (2015)
Woo
d, p
aper
, pr
int,
publ
ish-
ing
(2.6
mil)
Who
le m
anu-
fact
urin
g (3
2 m
il)
Woo
d, p
aper
, pr
int,
publ
ish-
ing
(2.4
mil)
Who
le m
anu-
fact
urin
g (3
0.7
mil)
2015 2025
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
24%31% 29%
35%
10%
11% 9%11%
56%51%
51%46%
10% 7% 10% 8%
Elementary occupationsSkilled manual occupationsSkilled non-manual occupationsHigh skilled occupations
Changes in working-age population and labour force by age, 2013-25 EU (%)
Source: Cedefop skills forecasts (2015)
Total job opportunities 2015-25, EU (thousands)
Source: Cedefop skills forecasts (2015)
All qualifications
Low qualification
Medium qualification
High qualification
-400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200
Total Requirement Replacement Demand Net Change
Wood, paper, print, publish-ing
All qualifications
Low qualification
Medium qualification
High qualification
-5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000
Total Requirement Replacement Demand Net Change
All manufacturing
Labour force trends by qualifications 2005-25, EU (%)
Source: Cedefop skills forecasts (2015)
Skill mismatch – what is it?
OverqualificationLacking the right skills
Skill mismatch
Employers unable to find the right talent, despite offering competitive wages, face skill shortages. Skill gaps arise where the skills required are unavailable in the workforce, for example, due to technological advance. Over or underqualification is where individuals take jobs that do not match their qualifications. People are over or underskilled where, whatever their qualification level, their skills do not match their job
Share of adult workers with skill deficits, EU (%)
Source: Cedefop European skills and jobs survey (2015)
MT EE RO CZ BG LV SK LT SI IE ES HR HU PL DK AT EU28 UK SE PT FR EL BE DE CY IT FI NL LU0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Changing job tasks and skill development (EU)
Source: Cedefop European skills and jobs survey (2015)
53%Adult employees whose tasks have
become significantly more varied since they started their job
22%Adult employees
whose skills have not developed since they
started their job
Many jobs still have low skill needs (EU)
Source: Cedefop European skills and jobs survey (2015)
40%Adult employees
needing only basic literacy to do their
job
33%Adult employees
needing only basic or no ICT skills to do
their job
Adult employees whose education or training involves some work-based learning (EU)
Source: Cedefop European skills and jobs survey (2015)
40% Adult employees
completing education and
training involving some work-based
learning
62%Adult employees in
professional, scientific or technical services completed
studies with no work-based learning
Principles for skill anticipation systems • High quality complementary data on different labour
market developments;• Capacity to analyse data to interpret developments
and their implications;• Organisations or committees to structure
cooperation between interested parties;• Mechanisms to transfer agreed findings concerning
future skill needs into VET curricular.
New data and results ONLINE Look for
at cedefop.europa.eu
Six key points • Technology good at routine; but people make businesses competitive.• Skills in demand will be behavioural skills to deal with non-routine
tasks. • Demand for high-skills, but also medium-level skills to replace people
leaving the labour market. • Skill mismatch affects employees not just unemployed people. • To reduce skill mismatch raising qualification levels is not enough.
Skills must also be used and developed through work-based learning, continuing training and good jobs.
• Skill anticipation systems (Why, how much, which methods, for whom?)
And last but not least…
None of this can happen without the social partners
Thank you for your attention
More information:www.cedefop.europa.eu
Access the forecast data and results online at www.cedefop.europa.eu!